A WR that we may be forgetting about (1 Viewer)

[gianmarco]

I'm as guilty as others. I was a big believer in the hype on him. In fact, I was a big driver of the hype. Since then, I've pretty much cast him aside and have lost almost all interest. I'm starting to wonder if that might be a mistake and if there may be a potential for a big boost in value in the future.

The guy is Josh Morgan.

What happened to him? Well, Crabtree came into town last year. We know that he's going to be the star on the team. Also, Vernon Davis has finally emerged. So why Morgan? Well, Morgan is pretty much the clear starter on a team with 3 stars (RB, WR, and TE). The thing is, Morgan may be able to excel in that situation. He's likely not going to do it on a consistent, weekly basis, but I could very well see him having some big weeks if Alex Smith can take some strides and defenses fail to account for him.

He's only been in the league 2 years, playing minimally his 1st year. Last year, in only his 2nd year, he managed 52/527/3. Nothing exciting at all but still respectable considering how woeful they were on offense last year (27th in total offense). Crabtree may still not blow up into the WR everyone is expecting just yet. While I like Vernon Davis a lot, I don't know if he'll be replicating his 13 TDs from last year. And, if you look at his #'s once Crabtree hit the starting lineup last year, his numbers improved somewhat.

While I know there's lots of WRs who failed to do much after their first couple years, look at a couple recent guys who were originally touted, somewhat forgotten, and then burst onto the scene:

S. Smith (NYG) -- 2nd year with 57/574/1

Roddy White -- 2nd year with 30/506/0

Sidney Rice -- 2nd year with 15/141/4

In other words, if Morgan is as good as some of us thought he was based on what was seen early on, then he has the potential to put up WR3/4 worthy numbers at a much lower price. A 70/1000/5 year wouldn't surprise me at all. Not bad for a guy ranked in the 50's-60's by most.

 

[LawFitz]

Simply put, Alex Smith combined with a run-first offense isn't a situation likely to support three receiving options as fantasy relevant. Crabtree and VD are going to share the majority of any passing love that this team will generate.

Morgan will get the scraps from a (relatively) bare table. Good player, but the opportunity just isn't there.

 

[by_the_sea_wannabe]

I'm as guilty as others. I was a big believer in the hype on him. In fact, I was a big driver of the hype. Since then, I've pretty much cast him aside and have lost almost all interest. I'm starting to wonder if that might be a mistake and if there may be a potential for a big boost in value in the future.The guy is Josh Morgan.What happened to him? Well, Crabtree came into town last year. We know that he's going to be the star on the team. Also, Vernon Davis has finally emerged. So why Morgan? Well, Morgan is pretty much the clear starter on a team with 3 stars (RB, WR, and TE). The thing is, Morgan may be able to excel in that situation. He's likely not going to do it on a consistent, weekly basis, but I could very well see him having some big weeks if Alex Smith can take some strides and defenses fail to account for him.He's only been in the league 2 years, playing minimally his 1st year. Last year, in only his 2nd year, he managed 52/527/3. Nothing exciting at all but still respectable considering how woeful they were on offense last year (27th in total offense). Crabtree may still not blow up into the WR everyone is expecting just yet. While I like Vernon Davis a lot, I don't know if he'll be replicating his 13 TDs from last year. And, if you look at his #'s once Crabtree hit the starting lineup last year, his numbers improved somewhat. While I know there's lots of WRs who failed to do much after their first couple years, look at a couple recent guys who were originally touted, somewhat forgotten, and then burst onto the scene:S. Smith (NYG) -- 2nd year with 57/574/1Roddy White -- 2nd year with 30/506/0Sidney Rice -- 2nd year with 15/141/4In other words, if Morgan is as good as some of us thought he was based on what was seen early on, then he has the potential to put up WR3/4 worthy numbers at a much lower price. A 70/1000/5 year wouldn't surprise me at all. Not bad for a guy ranked in the 50's-60's by most.

A noticeable difference I see between Morgan and the three guys listed here is opportunity.All three of those guys had a chance to be their teams #1 option. Morgan at best is #3. I do agree that he is a solid pick for as late as he is going.

 

[Couch Potato]

When you have a strong #1 which I believe Crabtree will be, plus a high production TE and RB in Davis and Gore, AND you're not a high end passing team, the #2's ceiling is pretty low.

 

[jurb26]

Is Morgan even going to be a starter on the 49ers?

 

[Anthony Borbely]

When you have a strong #1 which I believe Crabtree will be, plus a high production TE and RB in Davis and Gore, AND you're not a high end passing team, the #2's ceiling is pretty low.

 

[Lord Lucan]

Is Morgan even going to be a starter on the 49ers?

I think a lot of the hype about Morgan came because there was a brief period where it appeared that a group of ex Virginia Tech WRs were going to take the NFL by storm (Morgan, Eddie Royal, David Clowney, maybe Justin Harper) - that died down fairly quickly despite Royal's rookie season.

 

[Gopher State]

No value in Morgan with the big three. I don't even see him being worth a roster spot, much better sleeper wr's then him.

 

[Balance]

Good effort. I love this time of year when people start trying way too hard and/or over-analyzing things.

I mean that too. No way I could do this good a job at muddying the waters.

 

[Clifford]

Wasn't Morgan always a project? White and rice were pretty highly regarded prospects coming out of college. Regardless no value except in the deepest leagues as in start six wrs

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

Morgan looked like a potential stud when it was possible that Crabtree was going to re-enter the draft for a bit there. He is good enough to be a fantasy WR2 or WR3 if he was given the opportunity, but he won't be in SF for at least a year or two longer, unless Gore goes down for an extended period. He's still a great dynasty stash, more talented than most realize and still on the upslope of his career - he missed a lot of his rookie year.

 

[gianmarco]

When you have a strong #1 which I believe Crabtree will be, plus a high production TE and RB in Davis and Gore, AND you're not a high end passing team, the #2's ceiling is pretty low.

I'm not saying his ceiling is high at all. Not everybody has to be a potential top 10 stud to hold value. Right now, he's worth pennies and could end up a very solid WR3/4 starter as early as this year. Also, as alluded above by Bloom, he's still young and situations can always change. I'm just saying, the guy is the clear starter at WR2 now and has flashed talent that many noticed. His value right now is probably lower than it should be.

 

[renesauz]

He's a guy I like to stash in dynasty, but in redraft he's borderline WW fodder. As others have said, he's ast best the third recieving option on a run first team AND is still young/relatively raw. His upside this season is fairly low unless Crabtree goes down for an extended period.

 

[Dawg Pound 69]

Morgan looked like a potential stud when it was possible that Crabtree was going to re-enter the draft for a bit there. He is good enough to be a fantasy WR2 or WR3 if he was given the opportunity, but he won't be in SF for at least a year or two longer, unless Gore goes down for an extended period. He's still a great dynasty stash, more talented than most realize and still on the upslope of his career - he missed a lot of his rookie year.

Was curious why you believe Morgan won't be in SF long term. Had seen quotes from Singletary this offseason that they view Morgan as their longterm starter.

 

[Kool-Aid Larry]

I'm as guilty as others. I was a big believer in the hype on him. In fact, I was a big driver of the hype. Since then, I've pretty much cast him aside and have lost almost all interest. I'm starting to wonder if that might be a mistake and if there may be a potential for a big boost in value in the future.The guy is Josh Morgan.What happened to him? Well, Crabtree came into town last year. We know that he's going to be the star on the team. Also, Vernon Davis has finally emerged. So why Morgan? Well, Morgan is pretty much the clear starter on a team with 3 stars (RB, WR, and TE). The thing is, Morgan may be able to excel in that situation. He's likely not going to do it on a consistent, weekly basis, but I could very well see him having some big weeks if Alex Smith can take some strides and defenses fail to account for him.He's only been in the league 2 years, playing minimally his 1st year. Last year, in only his 2nd year, he managed 52/527/3. Nothing exciting at all but still respectable considering how woeful they were on offense last year (27th in total offense). Crabtree may still not blow up into the WR everyone is expecting just yet. While I like Vernon Davis a lot, I don't know if he'll be replicating his 13 TDs from last year. And, if you look at his #'s once Crabtree hit the starting lineup last year, his numbers improved somewhat. While I know there's lots of WRs who failed to do much after their first couple years, look at a couple recent guys who were originally touted, somewhat forgotten, and then burst onto the scene:S. Smith (NYG) -- 2nd year with 57/574/1Roddy White -- 2nd year with 30/506/0Sidney Rice -- 2nd year with 15/141/4In other words, if Morgan is as good as some of us thought he was based on what was seen early on, then he has the potential to put up WR3/4 worthy numbers at a much lower price. A 70/1000/5 year wouldn't surprise me at all. Not bad for a guy ranked in the 50's-60's by most.

I don't know about the others, but I think sidney rice is a really horrible analogy.

 

[Captain Hook]

Morgan looked like a potential stud when it was possible that Crabtree was going to re-enter the draft for a bit there. He is good enough to be a fantasy WR2 or WR3 if he was given the opportunity, but he won't be in SF for at least a year or two longer, unless Gore goes down for an extended period. He's still a great dynasty stash, more talented than most realize and still on the upslope of his career - he missed a lot of his rookie year.

Was curious why you believe Morgan won't be in SF long term. Had seen quotes from Singletary this offseason that they view Morgan as their longterm starter.

Dawg Pound - re-read Bloom's quote - he said Morgan wouldn't be a WR2/3 in SF for a year or two longer......THEN hit delete - you do I do

 

[Yenrub]

I thought this thread was going to be about Tyrone Calico

 

[Jayrod]

Since he's young enough, I'm keeping him on my taxi squad.

The league would have to be deep to keep him on an active roster.

 

[runner06]

He should be a starter, but like others have said, he'll only be the third option in the 49ers offense most likely. He would either need an injury to Crabtree or Davis or for the 49ers to start passing the ball significantly more for him to have redraft value. I'm thinking he'll put up Michael Jenkins type numbers this year.

 

[thecatch]

Morgan will definitely start, but I don't see him being relevant fantasy-wise without some major injuries to SF's WR group. I also think that SF plans on using more 3 WR sets with Ted Ginn in there as a potential deep threat. Ginn won't be fantasy relevant either, but Ginn will steal a few looks from the other guys. Rookie Kyle Williams is another wild card and is probably the quickest WR of the group.

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

Morgan looked like a potential stud when it was possible that Crabtree was going to re-enter the draft for a bit there. He is good enough to be a fantasy WR2 or WR3 if he was given the opportunity, but he won't be in SF for at least a year or two longer, unless Gore goes down for an extended period. He's still a great dynasty stash, more talented than most realize and still on the upslope of his career - he missed a lot of his rookie year.

Was curious why you believe Morgan won't be in SF long term. Had seen quotes from Singletary this offseason that they view Morgan as their longterm starter.

sorry worded that a little strange - i mean he wont be given the opportunity to be a WR2/WR3 for fantasy for another year or two in SF - i dont think the pass offense would allow for it, but when (if) Gore is gone (2012), it might.

 

[TS Garp]

A 70/1000/5 year wouldn't surprise me at all.

Really? I think it would take a season-ending injury to Crabtree or Vernon Davis for this to have any chance of happening. I agree with you that he's talented and probably a bit overlooked, but there are too many factors working against his fantasy prospects this season.

 

[loose circuits]

Got him in the 16th round in a Survivor league draft which was heavy in WR's in the 1st place, I think that's decent value. Just after Mike Thomas on my board. I like the upside of guys that we are still learning about. Morgan has it. Hopefully Smith can find him when he beats that single coverage he'll see constantly. However, he'll likely go undrafted in a lot of my redrafts. He's a guy to watch closely though.

 

[destro]

Well, I certainly forgot about him, but now that I remember him, I think I'm going to try to forget him again. Every opportunity-based variable in this equation is working against Morgan.

 

[Binky The Doormat]

I haven't forgotten him. However - his "value" ranges from an elementary school lunchroom pimento cheese sandwich with crust to a generic brand "C" battery.

More "value" could be found in the last pick of a 20 team-26 round draft with favorable WR scoring rules.

 

[NorrisB]

He was a darling before Crabtree and Davis emerged. His value is very very limited and Id be looking at other options, preferably one with a QB