When evaluating based on a pickup game it's hard not to take guys based on what they are actually doing (young guys). There are a few obviously great players that have less than 5 years of service time. The question becomes when does a player get "full value" and not dinged for longevity issues.
There is a difference between projecting greatness and giving full greatness for what they have already accomplished.
my head is all choosies, has been from the beginning - sports, words, morals, company, pursuits. the best life lies in knowing who you are and that of which you are capable, that the give
is the get in life, and making choices based on value.
as i've recounted before, i "played" fantasy sports for the first time in 1968 in a school cafeteria when me, Jimmy Mezger & Larry Litelli "drafted" teams from the SI Season Preview issue and kept score by the stats in the Sunday Globe.
i am of the George Foster school of value, which is the virtual opposite of Hall of Fame school of value. talented is exhibited, value confirmed, place in the hierarchy established, consideration then given to durability & decline in an ancillary fashion. George Foster scared the piss out of pitchers more than anyone but Willie McCovey or Barry Bonds for FIVE YEARS. there are probably a hundred batters in the HOF who NEVER scared a pitcher - that's why you've never seen a comment from me on any Hall of Fame that wasn't 99% spit.
we are dealing with two dead guys - RLewis & DPetrovic - i know of. value established on both - 100 out of 100 b-ball people would have told you Lewis was only getting better and Drazen would only have drawn more deliciously irritating comparisons to Kobe. they were both undervalued by the quantifying HOFheads who make up most of the "letter" gens (that's your value). it's not close to being right.
in the draft a decade ago, i considered injured guys higher as long as they had definitively established their value before they became less available. Waltons, Hills - hell yes. Penny established greatness, perhaps not alltimeness. Same with Amare. McGrady's willingness to play at less than his best influences his alltime value (i put him behind Penny, ahead of Amare). I watched Derrick Rose play last nite and it almost made me cry. but a great. Oden, Bowie, of course not.
Then there's my guy, all-time Top 5 center, Sabonis. His value as such was never established here. Even if one didnt see him play Euroball (as i did), one could extrapolate that, if he was a leading player on a playoff team when he could qualify for handicapped parking at the arena, but i get it that some cant go there. recent FFA drafts have showed me, tho, that number of allstar games played more than actual stardom with this set, so.....
Then there's the kids. I count 12 players on 2010 - including one of mine (but he fit my team and kids were flying off the board) - who have not establlshed alltime value. my guess is that all but maybe 2 will, but they shouldnt have been drafted. Embiid could end up the best i ever seen but, one year ago, Aron frikkin Baynes types could lean on him and get him to stop playing. no value yet. Doncic, 3rd season but he's been the Magic/Bird/Westbrook/Harden from day one. yes value
there. wanted to lay that down before the next phase. nufced