I'm not an Eagles fan so it didn't matter to me but it was UNDER and they did loseYou better hope that it's over or else the Eagles will have lost.o/u is 46.5 This will be an UNDER!!! UNDER I SAY!!!and the Phi/GB OVER. I don't think New York is playing good ball right now and I also feel the GB-Philly game could go either way so just take the over as there should be a lot of points scored.
Being able to see into the future is $$$Do you have a link or anything substantial to back up the bolded or did you make this up?Almost every year we get to the playoffs and someone does a real nose dive in the 1st round of the playoffs. And many are going to look at New Orleans and want to jump on but the fact is laying double digits on the road in the playoffs is a recipe for disaster. I'm not saying Seattle pulls the upset but the Saints are built to play inside or in decent weather and you put them on the road in Seattle even where they have had success recently...I'm not sure I want to bet my unit on that situation.
The game that stands out on the board to me is Baltimore -3 at KC. Yes, Arrowhead is a tough place to play but let's look at the 2 teams because there is a major difference. Baltimore is 12-4 and you look at the 4 losses and you see this. Cinci on a short week after a brutal MNF game against the Jets week 1 and I can understand that loss. The other 3 games were against New England, Atlanta and Pittsburgh. New England...they actually had that game won and ended up giving it away. 23-20 in OT...I watched that game and couldn't believe Baltimore let it slip away. They lose to Atlanta who is 13-3 and the No 1 seed in the NFC and they let that one get away...26-21. Finally they lost to Pitt in a game that could have easily gone their way, 13-10. Baltimore could be 15-1 or 14-2 right now so they really are even better than that record.
Let's look at KC. They had the easiest schedule in the land and their biggest wins were over 7-9 Seattle and St Louis. They have not beaten a quality opponent all season and now Weis has made a real riff and probably should have been dismissed to go to Gainesville and let Haley call the plays. The players can feel the tension and they are not solid inside the locker room. Add in that Baltimore is now getting 100% from guys like Ed Reed who is on a tear again and I honestly think Baltimore will win this game by 2 Touchdowns. Remember when Miami played Baltimore in the opening round of the playoffs a couple years ago and was destroyed? Baltimore is not a wildcard team, they are probably the 2nd or 3rd best team in the AFC but compete with the Steelers and come out on the short end of the stick. This game should be a laugher and get ugly. I predicted KC would win their division back in August but one of the main reasons was their easy schedule. Baltimore is a different level and they are not on that level yet.
My prediction...Baltimore 27...Kansas City 13
Back the Truck Up!!!
My other 2 plays on the board this weekend would be Indy -3 and the Phi/GB OVER. I don't think New York is playing good ball right now and I also feel the GB-Philly game could go either way so just take the over as there should be a lot of points scored. If you only make one play, bet the house on Baltimore.
Some people cannot see the forest for the treesA solid call but 87% of the public hit it. And that link you posted has ALREADY been debunked. Friggin' 20 minutes and they're wiping the floor with it. No idea why they post such trash to begin with. Your original claim remains complete speculation, mostly media-aided--and the media is a joke. Your other analysis is solid, so I don't know why you dabble in such conjecture.
KC lost for the same reason they usually do: Cassel is a joke. 9 carries for Charles was embarrassing. And of course they refused to cover Heap, despite locking down their WRs and plugging the run. My only real surprise is that the Chiefs blocked Haloti Ngata OK. Dude's an animal but was strangely quiet yesterday.
Believe me, I'm all for firing Haley, but the Weis stuff is media-created garbage. They didn't lose because of that nonsense. They lost because they lack talent, Cassel is awful, Charles got 9 carries and the overall playcalling was terrible (which has been the case a lot of the year). Really, I wish there WAS some sort of dispute. It'd be nice to think any of that tripe contributed and the Chiefs can keep their heads up.Some people cannot see the forest for the treesA solid call but 87% of the public hit it. And that link you posted has ALREADY been debunked. Friggin' 20 minutes and they're wiping the floor with it. No idea why they post such trash to begin with. Your original claim remains complete speculation, mostly media-aided--and the media is a joke. Your other analysis is solid, so I don't know why you dabble in such conjecture.
KC lost for the same reason they usually do: Cassel is a joke. 9 carries for Charles was embarrassing. And of course they refused to cover Heap, despite locking down their WRs and plugging the run. My only real surprise is that the Chiefs blocked Haloti Ngata OK. Dude's an animal but was strangely quiet yesterday.
I was agreeing with you. MoP had no facts to back up his assertions on Weis/Haley, but acted like they were facts. I also agree that Cassel suxorsBelieve me, I'm all for firing Haley, but the Weis stuff is media-created garbage. They didn't lose because of that nonsense. They lost because they lack talent, Cassel is awful, Charles got 9 carries and the overall playcalling was terrible (which has been the case a lot of the year). Really, I wish there WAS some sort of dispute. It'd be nice to think any of that tripe contributed and the Chiefs can keep their heads up.Some people cannot see the forest for the treesA solid call but 87% of the public hit it. And that link you posted has ALREADY been debunked. Friggin' 20 minutes and they're wiping the floor with it. No idea why they post such trash to begin with. Your original claim remains complete speculation, mostly media-aided--and the media is a joke. Your other analysis is solid, so I don't know why you dabble in such conjecture.
KC lost for the same reason they usually do: Cassel is a joke. 9 carries for Charles was embarrassing. And of course they refused to cover Heap, despite locking down their WRs and plugging the run. My only real surprise is that the Chiefs blocked Haloti Ngata OK. Dude's an animal but was strangely quiet yesterday.
Things like this make me think the whole "public vs. sharps" and "Trap Games" and "Vegas never loses" are all overrated. There are plenty of times when the big public favorite cashes.whoahThe public is backing: This is the big one. So far, a whopping 87% of the public is all over the Ravens (-3) and 59% of the action is on the UNDER (40.5). The Chiefs went 7-1 at home this season, which is why many of the sharps in Vegas like the home dog.
Where this game ranks: Baltimore (-3) is currently the second-most popular bet over at Sportsbook.com, trailing only Auburn (-2.5).
I really like Chicago this week (and for the record, I had the Seahawks last week on the way to a 3-1 ATS record - stupid Colts)I also like the Packers, Ravens, and Pats. I can't remember the last time I felt this strong about a bunch of picks - probably have the least confidence in the Ravens because I'm a homer and doubt my own objectivity.Nice call MOP. So who's going to cause the next truck to back up into my driveway this weekend?It's still early in the week, but I like Chicago and the under right now.Chicago - 24Seattle - 6 (unless Mike Williams gets free for a long one)
MoP and I were in lock-step last week (which initially scared me here, but then I remembered it wasn't LHUCKS), so I'm hoping that at least one of us has another good week.Ministry of Pain said:I'll be firing up the Brinks truck tonight/tomorrow. I have my eye on a couple of games.