hutchins929
Footballguy
Who's the better dynasty prospect?
Simpson has the higher ceiling, but Royal is more likely to be a good WR2/3 in FF. IMO Simpson could be the next Kelly Washington / Tyrone Calico or TO, while I like the Royal / Mason comparison - I wouldn't have thought about it, but I like it.In %'sSimpson - 25% chance to be WR1 quality, 50% chance to be a bust, 25% chance to WR2/3.Royal - 10% chance to be WR1 quality, 30% chance to be a bust, 60% chance to WR2/3.(I may be too high their chance to succeed, but you can get my drift)I generally like to draft the guy with a higher ceiling, but they're close.I took a shot with Simpson, higher ceiling, imo.I love his size, the kid is raw but has monster potential.He's also in a great system.
It was the complete opposite for second-round pick wide receiver Jerome Simpson. Simpson struggled terribly on Saturday causing two Palmer interceptions by failing to complete his routes. The first interception was picked off and returned for a touchdown by cornerback Johnathan Joseph. The second pick took place in the endzone.There were a few knocks on Simpson coming out of college and a couple stood out during practice.Voted Eddie Royal here as a long term prospect, but I like Simpson more this year. I think Simpson has more of an opportunity to produce out of the gate. CIN needs to find a WR3 and Simpson could fill that role. It's possible Andre Caldwell could steal that position away, but right now the good money is on Simpson.
FWIW, this is the same reasoning that might've lead owners to draft Matt Jones over Mark Clayton or Greg Jennings. Now obviously Jennings is a best case scenario for Royal and Jones is a worst case scenario for Simpson, but I'm not sure the difference in upside is as great as you're implying. Royal is just as athletic as Simpson and he arguably has an easier path to playing time since Marshall is on the only young talent at WR on his team.why spend a dyno pick on a guy that should produce similar numbers of a vet that could be acquired cheaply and easily when a sky is the limit option is also available.
I don't think comparing Simpson to Matt Jones is a fair one, Jones likely cost more and had never played WR. I see what you're saying, just don't think Jones is an appropriate comparison. Haven't looked at ADP's in a while since my first dyno draft has come and gone and #2 isn't until August, but we're talking about guys who are 4th/5th rounders in IDP dyno's and 3rd/4th rounder's in non-IDP dyno's. There's a difference in my eyes in swinging for the fences with your 2nd round dyno pick and swinging for the fences with your 4th, the later the pick the bigger the swing. I also believe in my evaluation of the bigger upside projects, this strategy isn't for everyone. If you can't handle being horribly wrong sometimes or don't trust your instincts going the safer route may be better for you.FWIW, this is the same reasoning that might've lead owners to draft Matt Jones over Mark Clayton or Greg Jennings. Now obviously Jennings is a best case scenario for Royal and Jones is a worst case scenario for Simpson, but I'm not sure the difference in upside is as great as you're implying. Royal is just as athletic as Simpson and he arguably has an easier path to playing time since Marshall is on the only young talent at WR on his team.why spend a dyno pick on a guy that should produce similar numbers of a vet that could be acquired cheaply and easily when a sky is the limit option is also available.
Andre's more physically gifted than Reche was. He's also more polished and a more complete player. Also, Reche can't be that bad if he's managed to last 6 years in the league. He's not WR1/WR2 caliber, but he's clearly talented enough to keep making rosters.caldwell isnt as good as his brother and his brother was a bust. simpson has an easier road than what people think.
i wont disagree that caldwell is probably the safer pick. there are plenty of those types on the waiver wire though. as far as fantasy success i see simpson's ceiling being much higher but his floor is lower too.Andre's more physically gifted than Reche was. He's also more polished and a more complete player. Also, Reche can't be that bad if he's managed to last 6 years in the league. He's not WR1/WR2 caliber, but he's clearly talented enough to keep making rosters.caldwell isnt as good as his brother and his brother was a bust. simpson has an easier road than what people think.
Ever notice that the younger brother is never as good as the older brother? I still like Caldwell because of where ended up.caldwell isnt as good as his brother and his brother was a bust. simpson has an easier road than what people think.
no, actually I haven't. Aside from Peyton / Eli, what's your study group?Ever notice that the younger brother is never as good as the older brother? I still like Caldwell because of where ended up.caldwell isnt as good as his brother and his brother was a bust. simpson has an easier road than what people think.
:Calico:I like Simpson's upside as much as any WR to come out in recent memory. With a little refinement, this kid could be really, really special.
Maybe I'm in the minority but i'm not a big fan of Simpson and I dont trust his hands.(sure they are huge but he seems to struggle making certain catches.) Plus he doesnt seem as fluid off the line and in and out of his breaks. Honestly if his hands weren't so big and he didn't jump almost 12ft in the broad jump I dont think anyone would have been talking about him. Now as far as Royal goes I may be in the minority also as I have him rated right behind the BIG wrs(Kelly, Sweed, and Thomas) I also think he could turn out to be the Steve Smith #1 of this class. If you look at Smith you'll he and Royal have alot of similar traits. (toughness, hands, speed, quickness, and Route running). I dont know yet if he has that fire that SS plays with or not but he definitely has to higher ceiling to me. I also honestly think he may be 1 injury away from being an immediately playable wr. But then again thats JMHO.Voted Eddie Royal here as a long term prospect, but I like Simpson more this year. I think Simpson has more of an opportunity to produce out of the gate. CIN needs to find a WR3 and Simpson could fill that role. It's possible Andre Caldwell could steal that position away, but right now the good money is on Simpson.Getting back to Eddie Royal - I really like this guy. He reminds me of a young Derrick Mason, with better moves. Remember, Mason started off as a return guy who then got his chance in his 2nd year. I see Denver leaning heavily on Royal in the return department with gradual opportunities in the offense as a slot receiver in three and four WR formations. If Brandon Stokely suffers an injury, we could see Royal's presence in the offense earlier than expected, but for the most part, he'll mainly see action as a return man. Eddie Royal of 2009 is going to be a big story, I just don't see him being a big contributor from the get go. A lot will depend on his ability to make catches. He has always been an elusive receiver, but it's his hands at the pro level that I need to see more of. If he can develop that facet of his game, he could very well be a Derrick Mason clone.
There's also Champ and Boss Bailey.Of course, even Peyton/Eli is a terrible example, because Peyton and Eli are both much better football players than their older brother, Cooper. I suppose you could make a list of NFL players who have male siblings and figure how many older and how many younger siblings they have, but you can't strictly go by NFL players because the vast majority of NFL players have brothers (either older or younger) who were never even good enough to make the league.no, actually I haven't. Aside from Peyton / Eli, what's your study group?Ever notice that the younger brother is never as good as the older brother? I still like Caldwell because of where ended up.caldwell isnt as good as his brother and his brother was a bust. simpson has an easier road than what people think.
Exactly, which is what makes it a ######ed argument.BTW, I can't believe that there is serious debate between Simpson and Royal.There's also Champ and Boss Bailey.Of course, even Peyton/Eli is a terrible example, because Peyton and Eli are both much better football players than their older brother, Cooper. I suppose you could make a list of NFL players who have male siblings and figure how many older and how many younger siblings they have, but you can't strictly go by NFL players because the vast majority of NFL players have brothers (either older or younger) who were never even good enough to make the league.no, actually I haven't. Aside from Peyton / Eli, what's your study group?Ever notice that the younger brother is never as good as the older brother? I still like Caldwell because of where ended up.caldwell isnt as good as his brother and his brother was a bust. simpson has an easier road than what people think.