Steeler
Footballguy
Earlier this year someone brought up a couple games where the public money was coming in on one side but the lines didn't move in the direction you would expect - I think it was week 4 when DET played at CHI. I don't remember the line in that game, but CHI won outright and DET players under performed from a fantasy POV. Anyway, I made a mental note to check that stat in future weeks and this is the first time I actually looked, but I might have found a couple similar situations.
I'm checking here: http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart
The SEA/NO and OAK/TB games seem to fit this criteria. As I'm writing this, 64% of the public money is coming in on SEA but the line moved from -3.5 to -3. Also, 77% of the money is coming in on OAK but the line moved from pick-em to +1 for OAK.
If I'm reading this right, what does it mean for the game? And more importantly what does it mean for fantasy purposes? Downgrade SEA and OAK? Upgrade expectations for NO and TB? Is this meaningful at all?
I'm checking here: http://www.thespread.com/nfl-football-public-betting-chart
The SEA/NO and OAK/TB games seem to fit this criteria. As I'm writing this, 64% of the public money is coming in on SEA but the line moved from -3.5 to -3. Also, 77% of the money is coming in on OAK but the line moved from pick-em to +1 for OAK.
If I'm reading this right, what does it mean for the game? And more importantly what does it mean for fantasy purposes? Downgrade SEA and OAK? Upgrade expectations for NO and TB? Is this meaningful at all?