Agreed - especially when taking draft position into consideration.
IMO if you’re at a turn, ADP kinda goes out the window. If you want a guy & you’re sitting 3.01, you take him at 3.01 because he’s damn sure not gonna make it back to 4.12
Many years ago when I played in too many leagues I had someone tell me I “reached” for a guy at 3.03. I asked, “oh, did you think he’d make it back to me at 4.10?”
He says, “no, I woulda taken him at 4.05 where’d he’d be a great pick”
I pointed out how the fact that he’d have taken him proved I was right to take him at 3.01 & he just didn’t get it. Kept saying I reached for him.
But I got the player I wanted at a value I could live with.