Don't Toews Me
Footballguy
https://www.dni.gov/index.php/resources/bin-laden-bookshelf?start=1
Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) released another set of Bin Laden documents the other day on the 19th. That's the third set released thus far, with the two previous sets came out in March of 2016 and May of 2015.
I have not read the newly released documents yet, however, the following article touches on the situation:
http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-new-bin-laden-documents/article/2006384
So why create this thread? A couple of reasons:
1. The information is quite interesting and sort of makes one wonder. It begs the question of, "What don't we know?" At the same time, I have zero tolerance for conspiracy theories. However, there is a very fine line between conspiracy theories and investigating the foreign influences of AQ and 9/11 and getting to the bottom of it. And what is curious about the relationship between AQ and Iran is the ideological difference of Iran being Shia and AQ being Sunni.
2. The Schindler article peaked my interest back when I read it. Him being former NSA (not sure of how long he stayed in, but I'm fairly confident he was in when 9/11 occurred) and obviously knowing things the public does not know once again makes me curious. I won't speculate for reasons already mentioned. This specific excerpt from the linked Schindler article is interesting:
Other articles of interest:
https://kyleorton1991.wordpress.com/2015/09/19/irans-partnership-with-al-qaeda-and-unanswered-questions/
https://20committee.com/2014/09/25/what-if-everything-you-know-about-terrorism-is-wrong/
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/unlikely-alliance-irans-secretive-relationship-with-al-qaeda/
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/mar/9/osama-bin-laden-iran-shared-logistical-alliance-in/
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2014/09/25/Iran-s-relationship-with-al-Qaeda-It-s-complicated.html
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-binladen-documents-iran-idUSBRE8421EG20120503
https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the-al-qaeda-iran-connection/
Tried to include some more skeptical pieces of the connection just to show both sides.
It's impossible to conclude anything substantial here. The biggest thing is just to present some of the facts I came across.
Anyway, got off on a bit of a tangent there. Saw the first article and figured to touch on the Iran-AQ angle a bit more based on what I've seen/read over the last few months. But the thread is really open to the Bin Laden Documents in general, and with the recent set coming out last week, figured it deserved it's own thread.
Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) released another set of Bin Laden documents the other day on the 19th. That's the third set released thus far, with the two previous sets came out in March of 2016 and May of 2015.
I have not read the newly released documents yet, however, the following article touches on the situation:
http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-new-bin-laden-documents/article/2006384
The bold is referring to this press statement: https://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/press-releases/224-press-releases-2017/1474-closing-the-book-on-bin-laden-intelligence-community-releases-final-abbottabad-documentsThe Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) released 98 additional items from Osama bin Laden's compound today. If the ODNI has its way, then these files will be the last the American people see for some time. The accompanying announcement is titled, "Closing the Book on bin Laden: Intelligence Community Releases Final Abbottabad Documents." The ODNI says today's release "marks the end of a two-and-a-half-year effort to declassify several hundred documents recovered" during the Abbottabad raid.
But the total number of files released thus far, including today's document dump, is just a drop in the bucket compared to what was found in the al Qaeda master's compound. And if the public and the media care about transparency, then they should push to see more.
As THE WEEKLY STANDARD has reported in the past, more than 1 million documents and files were recovered in Abbottabad. Some of the documents (e.g. blanks, duplicates, scans of publicly available media, etc.) are basically worthless. But many thousands more illuminate how al Qaeda has operated.
On May 8, 2011, Tom Donilon, who was then President Obama's National Security Adviser, explained that bin Laden's documents and files would fill a "small college library." Donilon elaborated further that the recovered intelligence demonstrated Osama bin Laden's active role. At the time of his death, the al Qaeda founder oversaw a cohesive international network, receiving updates from around the globe on a regular basis.
In 2012, the Washington Post reported that U.S. officials "described the complete collection of bin Laden material as the largest cache of terrorism files ever obtained, with about 100 flash drives and DVDs as well as five computer hard drives, piles of paper and a handwritten journal kept by the al-Qaeda chief."
To date, the ODNI has released or listed just 620 "items" found in bin Laden's home. Only 314 of these are "declassified material."
That is an insignificant fraction of the total collection.
President Obama's White House also released 17 files via West Point's Combating Terrorism center in 2012. And a handful of additional documents made their way to the public during a terror-related trial in Brooklyn in 2015. But even including those files, the public has still only seen a small number of documents, as compared to the total cache.
Gen. Michael Flynn, who will serve as the National Security Adviser to President Trump, has read and been briefed on some of the bin Laden files. Gen. Flynn also fought to have the documents fully exploited. Last year, Flynn wrote that only a "tiny fraction" had been released to the public. That was before today's release. But the 98 new items hardly mark an appreciable increase.
Transparency is important for a number of reasons. Consider the ODNI's own statement on today's release, and how it provides a remarkably incomplete picture regarding al Qaeda's decades-long relationship with Iran.
Why would ODNI attempt to portray bin Laden's views as fixed and negative—"hatred, suspicion"—when documents written by bin Laden himself tell a more nuanced, yet troubling story?
There's no question that some of bin Laden's files document the tensions and problems in al Qaeda's relationship with Iran. Bin Laden worried that members of his family would be tracked by Iranian intelligence. At one point, al Qaeda even kidnapped an Iranian diplomat in order to force a prisoner exchange. Some senior al Qaeda leaders have been held in Iranian custody for years.
But there is much more to the story, including the documents detailing Iran's longtime collusion with al Qaeda. The ODNI is essentially asking readers to focus on the bad days in al Qaeda's marriage with Iran, while ignoring the good days.
One previously released document, apparently authored by bin Laden himself, summarized his views on Iran. In a letter dated Oct. 18, 2007, Bin Laden warned one of his subordinates in Iraq not to openly threaten attacks inside Iran. Bin Laden explained why (emphasis added):
"You did not consult with us on that serious issue that affects the general welfare of all of us. We expected you would consult with us for these important matters, for as you are aware, Iran is our main artery for funds, personnel, and communication, as well as the matter of hostages."
Bin Laden was pragmatic when it came to dealing with Iran for reasons that are not hard to understand: Iran was the "main artery" for his organization. Why would ODNI attempt to portray bin Laden's views as fixed and negative—"hatred, suspicion"—when documents written by bin Laden himself so plainly contradict this?
Since July 2011, President Obama's Treasury and State Departments have repeatedly made it clear that Iran hosts senior al Qaeda leaders. Echoing bin Laden's letter, the State Department has even described al Qaeda's network inside Iran as its "core pipeline."
The Treasury and State Departments publicly accused the Iranian regime of allowing al Qaeda to operate inside Iran in: July 2011, December 2011, February 2012, July 2012, October 2012, May 2013, January 2014, February 2014, April 2014, August 2014, and July 2016.
In addition, during congressional testimony in February 2012, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper described the relationship as a "marriage of convenience."
Today's statement by the ODNI says nothing about this "convenience."
The bin Laden files are an invaluable resource for checking the U.S. Intelligence Community's assessments. The CIA's erroneous assessment of al Qaeda's strength in Afghanistan is a case in point.
In June 2010, then CIA Director Leon Panetta told ABC's This Week that al Qaeda's footprint in Afghanistan was "relatively small," totaling "50 to 100" members, "maybe less."
A memo written by Osama bin Laden's chief manager that same month told a different story. In the memo, bin Laden's henchman explained that al Qaeda was operating in at least eight of Afghanistan's provinces as of June 2010. In addition, just one al Qaeda "battalion" based in Kunar and Nuristan had 70 members by itself. In other words, just one al Qaeda "battalion" exceeded the lower bound of the CIA's figures for all of Afghanistan—all by itself. U.S. officials have been forced to concede in recent months that there are far more al Qaeda fighters in Afghanistan than previously estimated. If they had accurately assessed bin Laden's files, then they would have already known that.
Osama bin Laden's files are a crucial resource to understanding the 9/11 wars, and al Qaeda's strengths and weaknesses. The American public should be able to see as many of them as possible.
Former NSA analyst John Schindler touched on the AQ-Iran relationship here: http://observer.com/2016/04/uncovering-the-hidden-truths-of-911/Closing the Book on bin Laden:
Intelligence Community Releases Final Abbottabad Documents
Third, Final Tranche Echoes Earlier Revelations in “Bin Laden’s Bookshelf” Series
Today marks the end of a two-and-a-half-year effort to declassify several hundred documents recovered in the raid on Usama bin Laden’s Abbottabad, Pakistan, compound in May 2011. This final batch of documents mirrors themes in previous releases, including bin Laden’s:
-Focus on the United States and the West as the primary enemy
-Hatred, suspicion of Iran and a foreboding forecast of a major Sunni-Shia clash
-Criticism of the ISIL (then al-Qa’ida in Iraq) brand of terrorism, cautioning against undisciplined targeting and the importance of gaining support, consensus-building, and providing for the needs of a populace before declaring an Islamic State
“Bin Laden later in life recognized how terrorist organizations are prone to brutal violence that alienates the support they are so desperate to attract, but he and his successors could do little to temper the rise of ISIL and the next generation of zealots,” said one analyst from the interagency team.
This release aligns with the president’s call for increased transparency—consistent with national security prerogatives—and the 2014 Intelligence Authorization Act, which required the ODNI to conduct a review of the documents for release.
Beginning in October 2014 and with DNI approval, the CIA spearheaded a rigorous interagency review of the classified documents under the auspices of the White House’s National Security Council staff. Representatives from seven agencies combed through the documents—with the goals of increasing transparency and responding to the congressionally-directed action.
“The declassified documents reveal bin Laden’s strategy for upending global politics through protracted violent conflict directed primarily against the United States and the West. Bin Laden—like many terrorist leaders before him—was an idealist who romanticized terrorism as a way to right what he believed was wrong with the world—and lead to the re-creation of a lost utopia for his followers, a destructive vision that continues to spark violent conflict globally,” the analyst said.
Given the large number of documents to review, and the increasing public demand to see them, the White House asked ODNI to declassify and release the documents as they were ready. This is the third, final tranche to be released. The first tranche was released May 20, 2015 and the second on March 1, 2016.
Since the first release, the Intelligence Community has reviewed hundreds of additional documents for possible declassification and release. The document-review process can be time consuming because—once a document is declassified—it cannot be reclassified. The IC needs to ensure no declassified document will directly injure efforts to keep the nation secure, including safeguarding sensitive sources and methods.
“While I am pleased to finally bring this interagency effort to its close, I would note that playing a small role in fostering increased government transparency by enabling the American public access to these historic documents is truly humbling,” said the head of the interagency task force as she reflected on the end of the declassification review.
So why create this thread? A couple of reasons:
1. The information is quite interesting and sort of makes one wonder. It begs the question of, "What don't we know?" At the same time, I have zero tolerance for conspiracy theories. However, there is a very fine line between conspiracy theories and investigating the foreign influences of AQ and 9/11 and getting to the bottom of it. And what is curious about the relationship between AQ and Iran is the ideological difference of Iran being Shia and AQ being Sunni.
2. The Schindler article peaked my interest back when I read it. Him being former NSA (not sure of how long he stayed in, but I'm fairly confident he was in when 9/11 occurred) and obviously knowing things the public does not know once again makes me curious. I won't speculate for reasons already mentioned. This specific excerpt from the linked Schindler article is interesting:
3. After reading that article way back, I came across a very good book on Al Qaeda. "Hunting in the Shadows: The Pursuit of Al Qaeda since 9/11," by Seth G. Jones. I would certainly recommend it to anyone interested on the topic as the book was very informative. Post 9/11, AQ members decided on escape routes out of Afghanistan. They likely assumed the US would invade Afghanistan (and some left after the US invasion in late 2001/early 2002) and that their sanctuary would be lost, but what exactly stops them from fleeing? Many fled to Pakistan, which is where Bin Laden himself fled to after the Battle of Tora Bora in December 2001. However, some also fled to Iran. These include, but not limited to: Abu al-Khayr al-Masri, Abu Muhammad al-Masri, Saif al-Adel, Sulayman Abu Ghayth, Abu Hafs al-Mauritani. Sa'ad bin Laden (a son of UBL), and Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. These aren't some no name AQ members. Abu al-Khayr al-Masri was a member of AQ's Shura Council in 2001. So was Abu Muhammad al-Masri. And Saif al-Adel. And Abu Hafs al-Mauritani. And Abu Ghayth al-Kuwaiti (who I believe is Sulayman Abu Ghayth). Sa'ad bin Laden was a son of UBL. And Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, of course, later was the leader of Al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI). Another member of interest who resided in Iran was Muhammad Hasan Khalil al-Hakim (also went by the name Abu Jihad al-Masri), who "was an Al Qaeda operational and propaganda leader." Again, all of this information came from the book and Seth G Jones. The book wasn't exclusively about Iran+AQ relationship, but it did touch on it throughout.Despite these facts, the 9/11 Commission demonstrated little interest in Iranian ties to the Planes Operation. While admitting that several of the hijackers had transited Iran, and that Khalid Sheikh Muhammad, the notorious KSM, the jihadist entrepreneur who came up with the Planes Operation, had stashed his family in Iran for years, it went no further. Why Tehran would want to help Sunni radicals was left essentially unexplored. In particular, the 9/11 Commission punted on the obvious lines of inquiry that such information opened up to anyone with eyes wanting to see, lamely noting that the issue of Iran’s role “requires further investigation by the U.S. Government.”
That additional inquiry never came. In fairness to the 9/11 Commission, they were not allowed to see important information that might have changed their minds. In particular, they did not see NSA signals intelligence that shed significant light on Iran’s clandestine role supporting al-Qa’ida generally and the Planes Operation particularly. SIGINT from NSA makes up the lion’s share of intelligence in our government, and the fact that the 9/11 Commission was never shown the impressive full NSA archive of reports, many highly classified, on the very topic they were investigating seems incomprehensible.
Other articles of interest:
https://kyleorton1991.wordpress.com/2015/09/19/irans-partnership-with-al-qaeda-and-unanswered-questions/
https://20committee.com/2014/09/25/what-if-everything-you-know-about-terrorism-is-wrong/
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/unlikely-alliance-irans-secretive-relationship-with-al-qaeda/
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/mar/9/osama-bin-laden-iran-shared-logistical-alliance-in/
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2014/09/25/Iran-s-relationship-with-al-Qaeda-It-s-complicated.html
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-binladen-documents-iran-idUSBRE8421EG20120503
https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the-al-qaeda-iran-connection/
Tried to include some more skeptical pieces of the connection just to show both sides.
It's impossible to conclude anything substantial here. The biggest thing is just to present some of the facts I came across.
Anyway, got off on a bit of a tangent there. Saw the first article and figured to touch on the Iran-AQ angle a bit more based on what I've seen/read over the last few months. But the thread is really open to the Bin Laden Documents in general, and with the recent set coming out last week, figured it deserved it's own thread.