In playoff games decided by a kicker, Peyton Manning is 0-5. Each and every time Manning put his team in position to win the game with a FG in the final minutes or OT, his kicker has missed. conversely, each and every time Manning's opponent put themselves in position to win with a FG in the final minutes or OT, they convert. Each and every time. Mannings composite passer rating in these games: 91.1.
The guy many think of as more clutch, Tom Brady, is 6-0 in similar situations. In these 6 wins, he had a passer rating of 73.8.
To put a little more perspective: If Brady had equal luck with playoff kicking game as Manning, he would have a 9-9 record with one SB win (2004), one SB loss (2007), and no other championship game appearances.
The difference in playoff game perception between Manning and Brady was written by Mike Vanderjagt, Nate Kaeding, Adam Vinateri, Nick Folk, Stephen Gotskowski, Justin Tucker, and Billy Cundiff.
Granted, some of the facts are a little off there (for example, Vinatieri hit the FG to give the Colts the lead in the 2010 playoff loss after Manning led them down the field, but then the Jets kicker beat them at the end), but all in all, it demonstrates pretty clearly the difference between the two when it comes to luck with kickers in playoff games.
As far as the Vinatieri in NE stuff goes, I'm not sure I buy into things as the original post suggests. For example, Vinatieri's 3 SB winning kicks were in tie games. So even if he missed, the Pats could still have won the game in overtime.Certainly the same argument could be used (or attempted to be used) about all other facets of the game. If the defense had one more stop, if ONLY ONE PLAY a game went the other way, etc.
In Brady's case, Reche Caldwell dropped a pass that would have most likely given the Pats a win against IND in the 2006 AFCC (and they stood an excellent chance of beating the Bears). NE was two circus catches away from potentially beating the Giants twice in the SB. If we want to play things out using that logic, a case could be made that Brady could have won 6 SBs by now (and someone on talk radio was trying to make that argument the other day).
I am not saying that, as the only thing that matters is what went down in the scorebook. In Manning's case, we could analyze the rest of those games with a fine tooth comb. Maybe he had a pick in the red zone that cost the Colts points. Maybe they had to settle for a FG earlier in the game instead of a TD from inside the 2 yard line. Bottom line, it's easy to point fingers at a kicker when Manning could quite easily had a role in the outcome (even if seemingly the outcome hinged on a kick). To play devil's advocate here, had the Colts offense scored two more TDs in those games, the kicker would not have needed to make a kick at the end of the game.
Also, I love how many people will forever and a day try to pin games on JUST the QBs. There's offense, defense, special teams, coaching, etc. that factor into things, yet somehow it's the QBs fault in losses or he's the hero in victories.
Playing out things with Brady the opposite direction, had Vinatieri missed his kicks and the Pats went on to lose the coin tosses and the defense allowed FGs on the first drives in OT for each of those games, Brady could be 0-5 in Super Bowls WHEN HE DID NOT SNAP THE BALL EVEN ONE MORE TIME. So Brady's role and production would not change at all, yet his legacy would be COMPLETLEY different.