Brooks has finished no worse than QB8 in season's where he played in all 16 games (2001-2004). I don't understand why the majority on this board dismiss him so easily. I beleive he represents great value at his current ADP.
You're right if you like a bottom of the league performer. QB 8 in a 10 team league isn't that good regardless of ADP. In fact it's not that good in a 12 team league either. Teams with the lower QB performers are at a huge disadvantage for winning their championships. Especially those that perform poorly during your fantasy playoffs.Now if you can somehow manage to get the #1RB, a top 5 WR and the top TE then maybe you can get away with it. But it's not the best situation you can find yourself in if you can avoid it.
The point difference between QB4 and QB12 last year was 1.33 points per game. The ADP difference between QB4 and QB12 this year is 39 draft picks. If you think that 1.33 points per game is a huge disadvantage, then you're crazy. If you don't think that 39 extra draft slots is worth 1.33 points per game, then you're crazy.For comparison purposes, the difference between RB4 and RB12 is 7.32 points per game. The difference between RB8 and RB24 is 5.11. The difference between RB27 (who is being drafted around QB4) and RB41 (who is being drafted around QB12) is 1.96 points per game. As a result, RB27 + QB12 will outscore RB41 + QB4.
All of this is drastically ignoring Brooks' upside, though. He's not being drafted as QB12, he's being drafted as QB15. And he's not finishing as QB12- he's always finished as QB8. The difference between QB4 and QB8 last year was .86 points per game, but draft-wise, it's a difference of *FIFTY DRAFT SLOTS*. That, my friend, is EXTREME value- and that's even ignoring Brooks' upside now that he's playing with Randy Moss.
Edit: Basically, like TEs, once you get past the top 2-3 QBs, everyone else is clustered really really tightly, and so QB12 presents virtually no disadvantage compared to QB4. There was a greater point difference between RB11 and RB13 last year than there was between QB4 and QB12.
I guess it depends on your league. I'm guessing you don't get dinged for TO's and if so you may be right. The league I played in shows a bigger difference in the regular season numbers to the tune of 3.5 points per game.But again I must go back to my original point from my first post that seems to be getting missed. My point was to assess what Brooks is doing in the ff playoffs. His numbers are not that good. 1-2 good games out of his last 9 does not represent value at any ADP IMO. His regular season numbers are decent if you can get him late but his FF playoff numbers are not what champions are made of. I much prefer to see him on someone else's team.
OBTW-I have never lost a champioship to a team that had Brooks as their QB. I do know of 1 person that won a championship with him. It was 2 years ago. when Brooks had his week 14 8 pointer and week 15 39 pointer. This owner had a bye week that week 14 otherwise they would've lost.
First off, by your own admission, he's been a top-12 QB during the playoffs still. I don't get what the problem was.Second off, you keep touting his 8-point game. Was he the only QB in the history of the NFL to post an 8-point game during the fantasy playoffs? How much was Peyton Manning worth in the playoffs last year, out of curiousity?
Third off, just because you never knew anyone who won the league with Brooks as their starting QB doesn't mean anything. I've never known anyone who won their league with Manning as their starting QB. Does this mean you wouldn't want Peyton Manning on your team now?
By the way...
Here's a link to the QB rankings from weeks 14-16 over the past 4 years. Despite missing two games last season, Brooks still ranks 10th. If you go from 2002 to 2004 to get rid of last year's data (where he missed), Brooks ranks 5th. If you want to launch into a tirade about turnovers blah blah blah again, then I urge you to look again at the numbers. Aaron Brooks has 4 interceptions during that span. That's less than anyone else in the top 30 over that span except for #16 Steve McNair (4 INTs), #20 Billy Volek (3 INTs), #24 Patrick Ramsey (3 INTs), and #30 Tommy Maddox (4 INTs). So ding him all you want for turnovers- that'll just move him up 2 spots in the rankings to #8 overall- again, despite missing 2 of the 3 weeks last year.
I really have no idea where you're getting your numbers from, but it really doesn't seem to be from real-world results.