sdsjr3
Footballguy
So, in my 14 team redraft league I'm 2-3. Only league where I'm really struggling. SA is the big reason, but Driver and Gates played a role as well. Granted, it's still early, but with bye week issues this week (Dillon/Maroney/Harrison/Driver), and the thought of going 2-4 and needing to go 6-1 out to have a legit shot at the playoffs looming I decided it was time to make a move.
First off, I don't want to turn this into an ACF post. That's not my intention. I'm just putting my opinions out there for some guys in a similar situation to chew on. And I'm sure that there will be plenty of opinions thrown out...likely many negative ones. I'm simply at the point where I'm taking a calculated risk based on potential rather than perceived value.
OK, I used to trade just to trade, as many do when they first start FF. Over the past few years, I've learned that if you believe you drafted well, then barring injury, you're team should pan out even if it starts off slow. So making "blockbuster" type deals is something I typically frown upon for my teams. And that patience has worked.
Well, My QB on this particular team is Hasselbeck. So, with the thought of having all my eggs in one basket so-to-speak, I was worried about the aformentioned thought of needing to go 6-1. If Seattle has a bad week, I'd be in severe trouble. Hasselbeck has very little trade value as all the teams in this league are smart, and have solid starting QB's, and I won't get a good return on my investment for Hass. So I put SA/Morris on the market. Something I swore I'd never do, despite SA's foot. I reviewed the rosters in the league and 1 team was in a very similar situation as he had McNabb/Westbrook/Cbuck. So we talked. He said he'd be willing to trade the Westy/CBuck combo for SA/MoMo. I checked schedules. Philly's is tough, but that doesn't seem to bother Westy's value when he's able to play 60 minutes. And of course, there's all the question marks about SA's foot not being 100%. Seattle's schedule OTOH is quite easy. Hard to overlook that, but I believe that with all the weapons they have at WR, Hass will be solid and I may still have a lot of Seattle's fantasy points in hand because of that. With Driver on bye, and my belief is that Jennings may have more value going forward this year, I decided to see where his value was perceived at by this same owner. his top 2 WR's were S. Moss, and M. Muhammad. Unlike some, I REALLY like Muhammad for the remainder of the year, and he's already off bye. I said I'd give Driver for Muhammad. So, the deal was done.
This is what it looked like. I got Westy/CBuck/Muhammad for SA/MoMo/Driver.
In terms of value...most will likely think I lost. And maybe I did. On Philly's bye week NE plays Indy. A solid matchup for Dillon/LM. I personally am 50-50 on this myself. SA is the league MVP, and a fantasy stud. But if Westbrook's knee holds up...I honestly think he'll be SA's equal. But at least of Seattle throws in a clunker, or a game where SA/Morris aren't involved as much because they are throwing, I'm not in a position where I can't make up those points elsewhere. Muhammad is a consistant 10pt/week scorer. I like that out of a WR.
All in all, I had a hard time pulling the trigger, but at this point I felt it was time to gamble. Something I rarely do anymore as I said. Sometimes you win in these cases, some times you lose. But I just wanted to throw this out as an idea for owners in situations similar to mine. Of course, many likely wouldn't be interested in this much risk after week 5.
First off, I don't want to turn this into an ACF post. That's not my intention. I'm just putting my opinions out there for some guys in a similar situation to chew on. And I'm sure that there will be plenty of opinions thrown out...likely many negative ones. I'm simply at the point where I'm taking a calculated risk based on potential rather than perceived value.
OK, I used to trade just to trade, as many do when they first start FF. Over the past few years, I've learned that if you believe you drafted well, then barring injury, you're team should pan out even if it starts off slow. So making "blockbuster" type deals is something I typically frown upon for my teams. And that patience has worked.
Well, My QB on this particular team is Hasselbeck. So, with the thought of having all my eggs in one basket so-to-speak, I was worried about the aformentioned thought of needing to go 6-1. If Seattle has a bad week, I'd be in severe trouble. Hasselbeck has very little trade value as all the teams in this league are smart, and have solid starting QB's, and I won't get a good return on my investment for Hass. So I put SA/Morris on the market. Something I swore I'd never do, despite SA's foot. I reviewed the rosters in the league and 1 team was in a very similar situation as he had McNabb/Westbrook/Cbuck. So we talked. He said he'd be willing to trade the Westy/CBuck combo for SA/MoMo. I checked schedules. Philly's is tough, but that doesn't seem to bother Westy's value when he's able to play 60 minutes. And of course, there's all the question marks about SA's foot not being 100%. Seattle's schedule OTOH is quite easy. Hard to overlook that, but I believe that with all the weapons they have at WR, Hass will be solid and I may still have a lot of Seattle's fantasy points in hand because of that. With Driver on bye, and my belief is that Jennings may have more value going forward this year, I decided to see where his value was perceived at by this same owner. his top 2 WR's were S. Moss, and M. Muhammad. Unlike some, I REALLY like Muhammad for the remainder of the year, and he's already off bye. I said I'd give Driver for Muhammad. So, the deal was done.
This is what it looked like. I got Westy/CBuck/Muhammad for SA/MoMo/Driver.
In terms of value...most will likely think I lost. And maybe I did. On Philly's bye week NE plays Indy. A solid matchup for Dillon/LM. I personally am 50-50 on this myself. SA is the league MVP, and a fantasy stud. But if Westbrook's knee holds up...I honestly think he'll be SA's equal. But at least of Seattle throws in a clunker, or a game where SA/Morris aren't involved as much because they are throwing, I'm not in a position where I can't make up those points elsewhere. Muhammad is a consistant 10pt/week scorer. I like that out of a WR.
All in all, I had a hard time pulling the trigger, but at this point I felt it was time to gamble. Something I rarely do anymore as I said. Sometimes you win in these cases, some times you lose. But I just wanted to throw this out as an idea for owners in situations similar to mine. Of course, many likely wouldn't be interested in this much risk after week 5.
