This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
The Colts secondary is trashed with too many injuries. Certainly the Chiefs could hurt them if they use their players properly.However, the Chiefs are far from as good as their record would indicate, and their passing offense is actually a huge weakness. So basically, they're not really in a position to exploit the Colts biggest weakness.I don't see the Chiefs defense keeping Manning out of the end zone. But I can see Jamaal Charles having a huge day.Colts win 31-17
After watching Arian Foster have his way with the Colts, I would say their run D is their biggest weakness, and the Chiefs can exploit that, but only if they're able to keep the score close throughout. I think the fact that the game is in Indy gives the Colts the advantage.
Even up, I'm in for $1000 on Indy
Easy dude - I'm making a call - not making unfair bets.
The problem i have with this is Cassel. The Chiefs are an OK team if they do not have to pass. Problem is, playing against Manning and the Colts, they could find themselves down by double digit points at any point of the game. If the Chiefs are forced to pass to play catchup, they could lose this game by 20+.This is either going to be a field goal game, or a blowout. I think the Chiefs keep it close early while getting the ball in the hands of Charles and Mccluster, but end up getting blown out in the end once Cassel is forced to start passing.Colts 38Chiefs 17
Money Mouth
According to your call I should be getting 3 points. What's unfair about an even line?
This. First thing I thought of. They can't afford plays for losses. Steady diet of Jones might be the answer.
I just dont think using the inferior player is a great idea. Jones is a nice option to have to keep Charles fresh, but this is the game you want to keep Charles fresh for.
Too light on the yards. 200 rushing 175 receiving.God I hope you are right because I am starting him this week
Actually, a steady diet of Jones is exactly what they need and it does serve both purposes. He may be inferior from the perspective of generating big plays, but he's the superior option for grinding it out between the tackles, exposing the Colts run defense with the added benefit of bringing in Charles and his fresh legs. Charles is even more effective after Jones wears them down. Either way, it could me a moot point if the Colts establish an early lead. In that scenario, Charles would be key to their ability to catchup or keep pace.
If Charles scores 3 TD's, he will likely have more than 160 total yards. I doubt however that he will total 375. I know you were being sarcastic, but i could see him rushing for close to 200.Too light on the yards. 200 rushing 175 receiving.God I hope you are right because I am starting him this week
I can live with that!
Colts will not score 38 on the Chiefs, I can assure you that. Unless their defense has two pick-6s. And the idea that being down 10-14 points = in$tapazzz!11!!! is ridiculous. The Chiefs have a back who can house it from ANY yard line on the football field, and they're not going to drop back every single down with Cassel at QB and Freeney/Mathis on the other side. It's just such a stupid and overrated idea in general. The only way they abandon the running game is if they're down that much LATE. If it's 21-10 at halftime or something like that, they'll come out running early and often in the 3rd. If it takes them 6 minutes to score, so what? They'd take that over a 90-second drive ending in a turnover. Like I said, it'll have to be early 4th before they start ignoring the run completely. Chiefs likely lose a game that's closer than the final score, but their fantasy prospects should be decent. Charles and Jones are always a threat for 100/1+, and someone's going to have a nice game as a pass-catcher.
I think you left out two big things...- Not only have they game planned Manning before but they've had two weeks to prepare and get healthy for this game- Indy is not a very healthy team. Garcon will play but he hasn't seen much action. He wasn't even healthy enough to travel with the team last week. Collie wearing a boot? Indy has been one of the most one dimensional teams in the league this year and that's a lot of production to lose from the passing game if he doesn't play.I'm calling it this week KC wins a tight one 24-21 in Indy. Crennel and Weiss have experience game planning and preparing for Manning - The Chiefs have a lot of options on offence - I think Dexter McCLuster will be the difference maker in this one.
I'd take it if you taped a $100 bill to it
Cleveland lost their 3 games by 9 points to teams who are 2-1, 3-1, and 3-0. They deserve more than a "nuff said"
Me too -- my first live game of the season.I just hope Collie isn't a last-second inactive, ruining all of my fantasy teams since I won't be near a computer to change my lineups.
McCluster could indeed be in for a big game. Colts are solid against TEs so Cassel won't be able to lean on Moeaki and we know he can't get the ball to Bowe or Chambers consistently. The Colts also have a nasty pass rush so Cassel will be looking for the quick dump offs and those will go to McCluster.
what exactly is the point of "calling" something? Are you saying that you think KC is going to win this game > 50% of the time? Vegas odds are an incredibly efficient market. The rare times when the books opening lines are slightly off, those openers get hammered early by the sharps and the books adjust. To ignore Vegas odds when evaluating a sport would be like to ignore the stock market when evaluating a publicly traded company imo. According to Vegas, KC will win this game around 24-25% of the time. If that 3-1 longshot hits, I suppose you'll then come back to this thread and receive praise from everyone. And if you're wrong, then you'll come here and admit that you're wrong and everyone will forget about it. But to me that just seems pointless....if you really believe what you say(that KC is >50% to win) then you'd be a fool to not put a substantial amount of your net worth on the Chiefs moneyline, as getting a team at +300 when they are > 50% likely to win is an absurd value that you'll most likely never be able to get again. What exactly is the point of "calling" something that is a significant longshot anyway?I'm calling it this week KC wins a tight one 24-21 in Indy. Crennel and Weiss have experience game planning and preparing for Manning - The Chiefs have a lot of options on offence - I think Dexter McCLuster will be the difference maker in this one.
I really think they'll cover about 50% of the time and not cover about 50% of the time.Even sharp sports bettors can't beat lines that have already been out for days and have already adjusted to the market; It strikes me as comical that so many casual fans think they can. These casual fans would be much better off asking "What do the experts at the sportsbook see in this matchup that I'm overlooking?" rather than thinking that they somehow are more likely to be correct than the sportsbooks' closing lines.
I'd like to bet that the final score is somewhere in between 4 and 14. I'll bet up to $25,000 on this but will bet as small as $50, escrow to a reliable and trusted 3rd party a must. PM me if you're interested.
