Call of the week (1 Viewer)

[SoBeDad]

The Colts should win, but if Austin doesn't play it could affect the Colt offense. Manning is completing almost 70% of his passes, because Austin's shagged them at an incredible 82% rate (32/39). They seem to be very insync, even on the longer passes like the beautiful over the shoulder 28-yard TD against the Giants. I'm not saying Peyton's gonna lose his mojo without Austin in the lineup, but if the Colts struggle offensively, some people will bring it up.

 

[SoBeDad]

The Colts should win, but if Austin doesn't play it could affect the Colt offense. Manning is completing almost 70% of his passes, because Austin's shagged them at an incredible 82% rate (32/39). They seem to be very insync, even on the longer passes like the beautiful over the shoulder 28-yard TD against the Giants. I'm not saying Peyton's gonna lose his mojo without Austin in the lineup, but if the Colts struggle offensively, some people will bring it up.

Forgot to add that Blair White has caught only 5 of 10 targets, while Garcon is at 4 of 12. Manning makes receivers who can catch and run good rotes look good and I'm not sure if White and Garcon will be as consistent as Collie.

 

[Go deep]

This is either going to be a field goal game, or a blowout.

I'd like to bet that the final score is somewhere in between 4 and 14. I'll bet up to $25,000 on this but will bet as small as $50, escrow to a reliable and trusted 3rd party a must. PM me if you're interested.

Thats tempting, it would have to be for more than 50 for me to go through the trouble. Although it will be closer to 50 than 25K. Ill PM you if i decide to do it.

 

[Macdaddy_2004]

I'm calling it this week KC wins a tight one 24-21 in Indy. Crennel and Weiss have experience game planning and preparing for Manning - The Chiefs have a lot of options on offence - I think Dexter McCLuster will be the difference maker in this one.

what exactly is the point of "calling" something? Are you saying that you think KC is going to win this game > 50% of the time? Vegas odds are an incredibly efficient market. The rare times when the books opening lines are slightly off, those openers get hammered early by the sharps and the books adjust. To ignore Vegas odds when evaluating a sport would be like to ignore the stock market when evaluating a publicly traded company imo. According to Vegas, KC will win this game around 24-25% of the time. If that 3-1 longshot hits, I suppose you'll then come back to this thread and receive praise from everyone. And if you're wrong, then you'll come here and admit that you're wrong and everyone will forget about it. But to me that just seems pointless....if you really believe what you say(that KC is >50% to win) then you'd be a fool to not put a substantial amount of your net worth on the Chiefs moneyline, as getting a team at +300 when they are > 50% likely to win is an absurd value that you'll most likely never be able to get again. What exactly is the point of "calling" something that is a significant longshot anyway?

Cause I think KC is going to win the game.

 

[Tackling Dummies]

The line is Indy +8.5. I don't know if they'll win, but I really think KC will cover.

I really think they'll cover about 50% of the time and not cover about 50% of the time.Even sharp sports bettors can't beat lines that have already been out for days and have already adjusted to the market; It strikes me as comical that so many casual fans think they can. These casual fans would be much better off asking "What do the experts at the sportsbook see in this matchup that I'm overlooking?" rather than thinking that they somehow are more likely to be correct than the sportsbooks' closing lines.

What are the underdogs the past 2 weeks?

 

[Ghost Rider]

The Colts should win, but if Austin doesn't play it could affect the Colt offense. Manning is completing almost 70% of his passes, because Austin's shagged them at an incredible 82% rate (32/39). They seem to be very insync, even on the longer passes like the beautiful over the shoulder 28-yard TD against the Giants. I'm not saying Peyton's gonna lose his mojo without Austin in the lineup, but if the Colts struggle offensively, some people will bring it up.

Out of curiosity, is Austin Collie a close personal friend of yours?

 

[CA_7]

PFT: Indy vs Chiefs (Video)

 

[Lobary]

The line is Indy +8.5. I don't know if they'll win, but I really think KC will cover.

This does not mean what you think it means.

 

[Macdaddy_2004]

NFL Headlines

Report: Austin Collie unlikely to face Chiefs

ESPN's John Clayton reports that Austin Collie (foot) is likely to miss Sunday's game against Kansas City.

We'd take his report with some caution. Clayton is shaky in his weekly "medical report" on SportsCenter and if Collie practices Friday Clayton's tune would probably change. Check back for an update this afternoon. If Collie does not play, Pierre Garcon would become a worthwhile WR3. Oct. 8 - 12:34 pm et

 

[Macdaddy_2004]

NFL Headlines Report: Austin Collie unlikely to face Chiefs ESPN's John Clayton reports that Austin Collie (foot) is likely to miss Sunday's game against Kansas City.We'd take his report with some caution. Clayton is shaky in his weekly "medical report" on SportsCenter and if Collie practices Friday Clayton's tune would probably change. Check back for an update this afternoon. If Collie does not play, Pierre Garcon would become a worthwhile WR3. Oct. 8 - 12:34 pm et

Oh-Oh

 

[Northbound Train]

Line is now Indy -7

Chiefs cover with shot to win outright late and blow up all those Survivor pools

 

[Stinkin Ref]

As a Chiefs fan I am just happy that there was even a thread like this started. I went into this season hoping to see progress and there has defintiely been alot

BUT

The weather was the great equalizer in the SD game. The early part of the game before the weather hit Rivers was moving the ball easily. The other two wins were against QBs/offenses that are inept.

I hope the Chiefs can keep it respectable but I think Indy wins by 10-14 points by tourching an improving but inexperienced Chiefs secondary.

If the Chiefs win Sunday I may not be sober until Tuesday and will officially be a believer of the 2010 team. Until they can win against a good team on the road, I am going to continue to believe that they are a team on the rise that is a few pieces short of becoming a contender.

this........starting to cough slightly right now while at work in possible preparation for a sick day on Monday......

 

[krugoh]

Moeaki: 6/82/2

 

[Macdaddy_2004]

Line is now Indy -7Chiefs cover with shot to win outright late and blow up all those Survivor pools

I'm not rolling with Indy this week - despite what everyone is saying I think Crennel and Weiss have solid game plans on Off and DEF.

 

[duaneok66]

Line is now Indy -7Chiefs cover with shot to win outright late and blow up all those Survivor pools

I'm not rolling with Indy this week - despite what everyone is saying I think Crennel and Weiss have solid game plans on Off and DEF.

Indy's playing at home - they will steamroll the Cheifs . . .

 

[billyjohnson]

Think a better title for this thread would be "Call of the WEAK".

 

[KCC]

The line is Indy +8.5. I don't know if they'll win, but I really think KC will cover.

I really think they'll cover about 50% of the time and not cover about 50% of the time.Even sharp sports bettors can't beat lines that have already been out for days and have already adjusted to the market; It strikes me as comical that so many casual fans think they can. These casual fans would be much better off asking "What do the experts at the sportsbook see in this matchup that I'm overlooking?" rather than thinking that they somehow are more likely to be correct than the sportsbooks' closing lines.

The line is determined and adjusted by public betting trends - NOT by team talent evaluations being conducted by some "experts at sportsbook". A lot of times it takes public perceptions time to catch up with teams that have made significant improvements after being bad for a few years, and I think this is just such a case.

 

[Max Power]

I'm Bullish on Bowe today. I think this is going to be one of the higher scoring games today.

 

[Homer]

I'm calling it this week KC wins a tight one 24-21 in Indy. Crennel and Weiss have experience game planning and preparing for Manning - The Chiefs have a lot of options on offence - I think Dexter McCLuster will be the difference maker in this one.

Keep your day job?

 

[[icon]]

I'm calling it this week KC wins a tight one 24-21 in Indy. Crennel and Weiss have experience game planning and preparing for Manning - The Chiefs have a lot of options on offence - I think Dexter McCLuster will be the difference maker in this one.

what exactly is the point of "calling" something? Are you saying that you think KC is going to win this game > 50% of the time? Vegas odds are an incredibly efficient market. The rare times when the books opening lines are slightly off, those openers get hammered early by the sharps and the books adjust. To ignore Vegas odds when evaluating a sport would be like to ignore the stock market when evaluating a publicly traded company imo. According to Vegas, KC will win this game around 24-25% of the time. If that 3-1 longshot hits, I suppose you'll then come back to this thread and receive praise from everyone. And if you're wrong, then you'll come here and admit that you're wrong and everyone will forget about it. But to me that just seems pointless....if you really believe what you say(that KC is >50% to win) then you'd be a fool to not put a substantial amount of your net worth on the Chiefs moneyline, as getting a team at +300 when they are > 50% likely to win is an absurd value that you'll most likely never be able to get again. What exactly is the point of "calling" something that is a significant longshot anyway?

WB Assani Boards are a better place with ya around.

 

[CA_7]

Great call. :X Colts covered and won by 10. Oh yea, I was pretty close too.

Colts win by 12.

 

[Das Boot]

. What exactly is the point of "calling" something that is a significant longshot anyway?

Board Cred

I know.

 

[duaneok66]

These threads would be fine as long as the OP came back whether he was RIGHT or WRONG . . .

 

[Macdaddy_2004]

KC was in the game until the last 5mins - nothing wrong with sticking your neck out and making a call.

Good game.

 

[Dragon1952]

They were winning because the defense and special teams were scoring. This is what happens when you have to rely on Cassell and the offense to win a game.

 

[Ghost Rider]

I think the Chiefs will play them tough, but you generally need good QB play to beat the Colts, and the Chiefs don't have that. KC will run the ball well on the Colts, but I could see a lot of their drives bogging down and resulting in field goals. I'll say 24-16 Colts.

Dang, I didn't miss this by much. KC played well, but Cassell is just not good.

 

[[icon]]

KC was in the game until the last 5mins - nothing wrong with sticking your neck out and making a call. Good game.

If everyone stuck their neck out and made a call each week on something like this with little or no real fantasy relevance, then the pool would be borderline unreadable.

 

[Cheesedawg]

KC was in the game until the last 5mins - nothing wrong with sticking your neck out and making a call. Good game.

If everyone stuck their neck out and made a call each week on something like this with little or no real fantasy relevance, then the pool would be borderline unreadable.

Kinda like it is when a blowhard wastes space with his irrelevant and unnecessary policing of the forum. KC was a live dog which didn't win but was a good percentage play compared to the odds.

 

[TheChairman]

Next week call Detroit over NYG. One of these weeks it has to hit.

 

[Macdaddy_2004]

Next week call Detroit over NYG. One of these weeks it has to hit.

I won't do that - I've never ever posted in this forum a "call of the week" post. This was the one time I did and it didn't hit.I honestly thought KC had a very good chance to take the game - they proved it to by hanging around until the end.

They had a brutal offence today - I thought that was the one key point of the game I really didn't have to worry about.

 

[munygon2]

Needless to say I was way off of my Charles prediction but he still did well enough to get me some much needed points yesterday.

 

[pizzatyme]

I love me some prediction threads! The Chiefs STILL suck.

 

[Assani Fisher]

The line is Indy +8.5. I don't know if they'll win, but I really think KC will cover.

I really think they'll cover about 50% of the time and not cover about 50% of the time.Even sharp sports bettors can't beat lines that have already been out for days and have already adjusted to the market; It strikes me as comical that so many casual fans think they can. These casual fans would be much better off asking "What do the experts at the sportsbook see in this matchup that I'm overlooking?" rather than thinking that they somehow are more likely to be correct than the sportsbooks' closing lines.

The line is determined and adjusted by public betting trends - NOT by team talent evaluations being conducted by some "experts at sportsbook". A lot of times it takes public perceptions time to catch up with teams that have made significant improvements after being bad for a few years, and I think this is just such a case.

You're 100% wrong, and its a complete myth that sportsbooks try to balance action.

 

[Lehigh98]

The line is Indy +8.5. I don't know if they'll win, but I really think KC will cover.

I really think they'll cover about 50% of the time and not cover about 50% of the time.Even sharp sports bettors can't beat lines that have already been out for days and have already adjusted to the market; It strikes me as comical that so many casual fans think they can. These casual fans would be much better off asking "What do the experts at the sportsbook see in this matchup that I'm overlooking?" rather than thinking that they somehow are more likely to be correct than the sportsbooks' closing lines.

The line is determined and adjusted by public betting trends - NOT by team talent evaluations being conducted by some "experts at sportsbook". A lot of times it takes public perceptions time to catch up with teams that have made significant improvements after being bad for a few years, and I think this is just such a case.

You're 100% wrong, and its a complete myth that sportsbooks try to balance action.

What's the reasoning behind where they set it then and why? Are they trying to hit the actual result? Are they trying to get people to bet what they think will be the losing end?Why not try to balance the action and to be safe and just collect the vig?

 

[Sigfawn]

The line is Indy +8.5. I don't know if they'll win, but I really think KC will cover.

I really think they'll cover about 50% of the time and not cover about 50% of the time.Even sharp sports bettors can't beat lines that have already been out for days and have already adjusted to the market; It strikes me as comical that so many casual fans think they can. These casual fans would be much better off asking "What do the experts at the sportsbook see in this matchup that I'm overlooking?" rather than thinking that they somehow are more likely to be correct than the sportsbooks' closing lines.

The line is determined and adjusted by public betting trends - NOT by team talent evaluations being conducted by some "experts at sportsbook". A lot of times it takes public perceptions time to catch up with teams that have made significant improvements after being bad for a few years, and I think this is just such a case.

You're 100% wrong, and its a complete myth that sportsbooks try to balance action.

He's actually correct. He never said balance. He said the line is effected by public betting trends. Which is correct.There are huge groups of fans who always bet the home team. The Pats are a great example. College football powerhouses. There are a huge chunk of people in New England who put the same money on the Pats to win/cover every week. Regardless of who they are playing. Vegas had huge loses the year they went 16-0. So when you have built in action for a team, it does change how they set the line.