Can/Will Chad Johnson score more than 7 TDs this season? (1 Viewer)

[twitch]

I dont know where everyone has Chad Johnson on their big board of WRs, but he's considered #1 by many and top 5 by most. But last season, he had back to back games where he totaled 450yds and 5TDs. If you had him for those 2 weeks, you probably won. Its the other 14 weeks where he may have actually hurt you because he only scored TDs in 2 others, and NONE were beyond week 11. He had some nice yardage and reception totals, but he went scoreless the last 6 weeks of the season.

Now, Henry's suspension for the 1st 8 games will impact Johnson one way or another, and Im not even certain what Henry's return status may be for the 2nd half. The question is, can Johnson step up this year and have a Marvin Harrison or TO type of year regarding his TD production. Why has CJ NOT produced double digit TDs more consistently? Id love to expect the guy to 'break out' and score 12 or so TDs, but is that line of thinking unrealistic from someone who's never hit that mark? He's got the QB to get him the ball. He has the one less red-zone vulture WR to no longer limit him. He has the quality WR on the other side of the field to balance the D. What's your gut call on Chad Johnson's upside scoring potential this year? Im going with 12 myself.

 

[The Man with the Plan]

Blame Rudi and TJ. When the Bengals are at the 5-yard line who else is or should be getting the ball except for Rudi Johnson. 10 and out its mainly Houshmandzadeh. As long as they're both on the team Chad Johnson's touchdowns will always be decent (7-10) but no higher than that.

 

[buck naked]

Of course he will! That team has an easy schedule, and no Chris Henry for eight games. he may pass 7 in those 8 games!

 

[Da Guru]

TJ and Chad are co #1s now.

 

[Cookiemonster]

TJ and Chad are co #1s now.

I don't see it that way. I see last year as several factors favoring T.J., starting with the game of musical chairs the O-line was playing last year. T.J. is the more physical, possession-type WR. Chad is a great route runner with very good speed. Chad didn't have the time to get deep routes or double moves last year. Also remember that Cincy's offense didn't really start clicking 'till Palmer's knee started getting stronger as the season wore on. They were just trying to move the chains on a regular basis, and T.J. is great in that role. When the passing game started getting more and more aggressive, C.J. and Henry play bigger parts in the offense. I also look at the running game this year as being another + for C.J., especially the addition of K.Irons. Now that Rudi will actually get some help from another RB on the field and not just in the trainer's room, defenses should have a tougher time playing two deep safeties as often. I agree that T.J. is a very good WR, but on this team he's a #1b or a stud #2. I can't call him a co-#1 after his best season that didn't match C.J.'s season anyways.

 

[Jene Bramel]

Blame Rudi and TJ. When the Bengals are at the 5-yard line who else is or should be getting the ball except for Rudi Johnson. 10 and out its mainly Houshmandzadeh. As long as they're both on the team Chad Johnson's touchdowns will always be decent (7-10) but no higher than that.

The target stats from the past two seasons bear this out. Unless the Bengals go back to using Jeremi Johnson as a goal line option, though, the lack of Tony Stewart (who was always good for a few targets a year inside the five) and Chris Henry will bump Johnson's targets some. Still, expecting mid-double digit TD numbers from Johnson is a stretch.

 

[Da Guru]

TJ and Chad are co #1s now.

I don't see it that way. I see last year as several factors favoring T.J., starting with the game of musical chairs the O-line was playing last year. T.J. is the more physical, possession-type WR. Chad is a great route runner with very good speed. Chad didn't have the time to get deep routes or double moves last year. Also remember that Cincy's offense didn't really start clicking 'till Palmer's knee started getting stronger as the season wore on. They were just trying to move the chains on a regular basis, and T.J. is great in that role. When the passing game started getting more and more aggressive, C.J. and Henry play bigger parts in the offense. I also look at the running game this year as being another + for C.J., especially the addition of K.Irons. Now that Rudi will actually get some help from another RB on the field and not just in the trainer's room, defenses should have a tougher time playing two deep safeties as often. I agree that T.J. is a very good WR, but on this team he's a #1b or a stud #2. I can't call him a co-#1 after his best season that didn't match C.J.'s season anyways.

It did not match CJs, but it took away from CJs.

 

[jpapadub]

I have had 85 in a dynasty league for several years, and would gladly trade him for a Lee Evans-type WR and a prospect. Can't get any takers. His inconsistency kills me every year in the playoffs. 2nd highest record in this league in 3 years, 2nd Highest points scored. 2 3rd place finishes thanks to CJ letdowns in December. Granted, he is part of the reason I've scored so well, but I should have benched him for Curry last year in my semi-final.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

TJ and Chad are co #1s now.

I don't see it that way. I see last year as several factors favoring T.J., starting with the game of musical chairs the O-line was playing last year. T.J. is the more physical, possession-type WR. Chad is a great route runner with very good speed. Chad didn't have the time to get deep routes or double moves last year. Also remember that Cincy's offense didn't really start clicking 'till Palmer's knee started getting stronger as the season wore on. They were just trying to move the chains on a regular basis, and T.J. is great in that role. When the passing game started getting more and more aggressive, C.J. and Henry play bigger parts in the offense. I also look at the running game this year as being another + for C.J., especially the addition of K.Irons. Now that Rudi will actually get some help from another RB on the field and not just in the trainer's room, defenses should have a tougher time playing two deep safeties as often. I agree that T.J. is a very good WR, but on this team he's a #1b or a stud #2. I can't call him a co-#1 after his best season that didn't match C.J.'s season anyways.

When both were playing the last few years, TJ kept pace with or outscored CJ. CJ only has better total numbers because he's missed less games to injury. For instance last year when they both played it looked like...CJ: 1243yds, 6TDsHoush: 1081yds, 10TDsThat's 148 fantasy pts for CJ, and 168 for Housh. Add in that Housh actually spread out those 168 fantasy points over the whole year rather than getting them all in 2 weeks while CJ wasn't even good enough to be a WR3 on your team for 7/8's of the year and you have some interesting things to look at.Even the year prior before the "O-line issues" it looked like..CJ: 1255yds, 7TDsHoush: 1008yds, 8 TDsHarrison and Wayne's numbers weren't really closer than these years before people starting talking about them being 1a and 1b...

 

[Da Guru]

To answer the question, yes he can and yes he will.