Can you sit the "STUD" Bulger? (1 Viewer)

[PoolShark]

Not really an "I told you so" bump, since Bulger hasn't even played yet, but after yesterday's games I'm feeling pretty good about Bulger's chances tonight (comparitively speaking).

Some of the QBs being pimped over him:

Bledsoe - 312 - 1 TD - 1 INT - Not terrible, but definitely unspectacular considering expectations.

E Manning - 215 - 1 TD - 1 INT - 10 rush - Unimpressive

Collins - 292 - 0 TD - 1 INT - Downright lousy

Brees - 164 - 1 TD - 0 INT - Lousy (fantasy-wise)

Delhomme - 236 - 2 TD - 3 INT - Unimpressive (did get hurt, could have been better)

Hasselbeck - 168 - 1 TD - 1 INT - 40 rush - Lousy (again, fantasy-wise; in spite of Seattle far exceeding their "expected" 27 points; ran all day long) maybe a little "told you so" here

Using what I would consider "standard" Qb scoring (1/25, 6 td, -2 int), Bulger would top all of the above with a 250 / 2 td / 2 int performance tonight.

I don't know about anyone else, but I'm expecting better than that. Obviously Bulger's jury is still out, but if I had benched him for one of the above I wouldn't be too happy about it right now.

 

[NYG Endzone]

Bledsoe - 312 - 1 TD - 1 INT - Not terrible, but definitely unspectacular considering expectations.

Two fumbles

 

[PoolShark]

Bledsoe - 312 - 1 TD - 1 INT - 2 FUM - Not Officially terrible but and definitely unspectacular considering expectations.

Two fumbles

Ok then, fixed. To be honest, I didn't even think to check for fumbles. The league I have Bulger in (and was therefore thinking about) doesn't penalize for them.

 

[Bouddha]

Not really an "I told you so" bump, since Bulger hasn't even played yet, but after yesterday's games I'm feeling pretty good about Bulger's chances tonight (comparitively speaking).

Some of the QBs being pimped over him:

Bledsoe - 312 - 1 TD - 1 INT - Not terrible, but definitely unspectacular considering expectations.

E Manning - 215 - 1 TD - 1 INT - 10 rush - Unimpressive

Collins - 292 - 0 TD - 1 INT - Downright lousy

Brees - 164 - 1 TD - 0 INT - Lousy (fantasy-wise)

Delhomme - 236 - 2 TD - 3 INT - Unimpressive (did get hurt, could have been better)

Hasselbeck - 168 - 1 TD - 1 INT - 40 rush - Lousy (again, fantasy-wise; in spite of Seattle far exceeding their "expected" 27 points; ran all day long) maybe a little "told you so" here

Using what I would consider "standard" Qb scoring (1/25, 6 td, -2 int), Bulger would top all of the above with a 250 / 2 td / 2 int performance tonight.

I don't know about anyone else, but I'm expecting better than that. Obviously Bulger's jury is still out, but if I had benched him for one of the above I wouldn't be too happy about it right now.

Lousy? Some of these performances are not that bad. Since we were talking about Hasselbeck, 168-1-1-40 is not horrible. I don't know what scoring systems you have in your leagues for rushing yards, but in mine it's equivalent to 248-1-1. FBG was projecting 263 passing and 8 yds rushing. So it's not far off. The biggest difference is TDs: projection 1.7 and actual 1. If my "lousy" players scored this well, I would be near unbeaten Anyway, it is true that the QBs above did not do as well as "expected". But expected values are just that: expected. If you roll a die, it could fall on 1 or 6, it does not change the fact that the expected value was 3.5.

I hope for a big game from Bulger tonight since I own him in my big league. But hoping for 2 TDs is optimistic. That projects to 32 TDs per year. On the road against a good defense? Mmmmm...

 

[jurb26]

 

[Bouddha]

 

[HoTnickZ]

Updated FBG projections this week:

Bulger down to QB9: 258-1.5-1.4

Hasselbeck up to QB3: 263-1.7-0.5

He's got Bulger beat in every category according to Doods

(even rushing if you ask)

I'm going with Hasselbeck at home this week. Besides the other reasons already listed in this thread, Indy also have playmakers on D and turnovers are always a concern with him, but I think its safe to say he'll still post solid numbers.

Did the same thing and I'm sure regretting it now.Screw you Shaun Alexander. :(

yup, totally inexcusable on my part... because I knew how pathetic Houston was combined with how Seattle love making SA a star on nationally televised games (not that you can blame them considering the opponent), and underestimated that it would be a lead from the start and run run run all day. Might not cost me after all, but just a bad call.

 

[Jiggyonthehut]

He'll be attempting 50+ passes, I don't care who he's playing, when you throw that much you will put up stats.

and take a lot of hits.

Im not exactly sure how benching bulger would remedy this.My guess is that Pace keeps Freeny occupied so there will be very few hits from the blind side. Which is good because those are the ones that will potentially knock him out of the game. Mathis may just beat up on Barron but at least Bulger will see it comming.

In fact I am starting bulger. Im definately loving the Holt- Harper matchup if holt can play and about this Indy defense- St. Louis is going to be the litmus test. With the exception of Cleveland, all the teams they faced are below average passing teams with porous Offensive Lines. Not to say that the St. Louis line is the greatest, but I think that individual matchups may limit the Indy pass rush.

Also in the cover two scheme, the defense is generally geared towards Indy's first few opponents- Qb's without a good arm, TE primary, short routes rather than deep. So in effect, Indy's D should look good thus far- every team sans the Browns (and maybe even them) lacks a pure deep threats and relies on TE routes and quick-drops to avoid the pressure. Here is why St Louis is a good matchup.

X Factor 1) Kevin Curtis. Its clear he's going to be the #3 in this game and theres where his value is. The LB's who play back a little do not have the speed to shadow curtis and with Bob sanders gimpy, and slow, this is a problem. The Safety is playing deep so he'll have quite a bit of turf to cover to get to the ball if it is thrown in the 10-15 yard mark, past the LB's and yet too far for the safety to arrive in time. Thus, Curtis has the ability to catch and find an open lane downfield with his speed- because neither sanders or doss will be able to get to the grey area in the coverage. This hole is in the dead center of the field and if Curtis can get a pass there, he'll smoke the safetys.

X Factor 2) Tory Holt. The other soft zone against the defense is along the sideline, just a bit farther than where the LB's play. If Bulger can complete a pass to Holt and if the corner shanks the tackle, theres nothing but daylight seperating Holt from the endzone. Again, the safety has a lot of ground to cover and even if he gets to holt, a shanked tackle can lead to 10-20+ extra yards on any given play along the sidelines. Now here is where Curtis comes into play. If Indy chooses to bring in sanders or Doss to contain the routes to curtis, they leave open a bigger window of opportunity for Holt for the big play and nobody does it better than Holt. Also if they play more shallow coverage, than a shanked tackle may end up yielding a touchdown.

My feeling is that Bulger will have his miscues but will have a otherwise good game. Possibilities are galore with this offense.

dont say i didnt tell you- sorry had to gloat, fantasy team is doing great

 

[jurb26]

 

[Bouddha]

Bulger 121-1-1Game over?I told you so

 

[PoolShark]

Bulger 121-1-1

Game over?

I told you so

WOW! Great call!!! Please let me know in advance if you can predict when other game-ending injuries will occur for the rest of my players so I can bench them or trade them away in advance.

While you're tooting your own horn, how did the Vegas over/under work out? Was that Rams' total of 18.5 just for the first quarter? If so, you were right--they ARE freaky correct.

I'm not sure if you were actually watching the game, but my guess is "NO." If you were, it would have been pretty obvious that Bulger (along with the rest of the STL offense) was tearing up the "awesome" Colts D.

The line was playing great, Bulger had all the time he needed, and they were pretty much moving the ball at will. If not for that hit, he certainly looked to easily outperform all of the guys on my earlier list. He was more than halfway there in the first quarter.

As to wishing you could get performances like Hasselbeck's from all you players so you would be unbeaten, you must have a different view of what constitutes a "good" fantasy perfromance from a QB.

In the league I have Bulger, we use a fairly standard QB scoring system. 1/20 passing, 1/10 rushing, 6 pt TDs, -2 INTs. Using that system Hass scored:

16.4 points (8.4 + 4 + 6) (-2)

If he averaged that per-game, he would be the #20 QB in my league. Not what I'm looking for from my starting QB position. Even drafting QBBC you expect to be able to exploit matchups and get a top 10 performance from the position weekly.

 

[Bouddha]

Bulger 121-1-1

Game over?

I told you so  

WOW! Great call!!! Please let me know in advance if you can predict when other game-ending injuries will occur for the rest of my players so I can bench them or trade them away in advance.

While you're tooting your own horn, how did the Vegas over/under work out? Was that Rams' total of 18.5 just for the first quarter? If so, you were right--they ARE freaky correct.

I'm not sure if you were actually watching the game, but my guess is "NO." If you were, it would have been pretty obvious that Bulger (along with the rest of the STL offense) was tearing up the "awesome" Colts D.

The line was playing great, Bulger had all the time he needed, and they were pretty much moving the ball at will. If not for that hit, he certainly looked to easily outperform all of the guys on my earlier list. He was more than halfway there in the first quarter.

As to wishing you could get performances like Hasselbeck's from all you players so you would be unbeaten, you must have a different view of what constitutes a "good" fantasy perfromance from a QB.

In the league I have Bulger, we use a fairly standard QB scoring system. 1/20 passing, 1/10 rushing, 6 pt TDs, -2 INTs. Using that system Hass scored:

16.4 points (8.4 + 4 + 6) (-2)

If he averaged that per-game, he would be the #20 QB in my league. Not what I'm looking for from my starting QB position. Even drafting QBBC you expect to be able to exploit matchups and get a top 10 performance from the position weekly.

Yes I can predict injuries, TDs, everything. I knew Bulger would have a great start but would throw an INT and get injured. I did watch the game. In the future, ALWAYS listen to what I say.

I was just pulling your leg

 

[pizzatyme]

I'd start Bulger.  Either the Colts D is a mirage and he gets his stats, or the Colts D is very good but the Rams fall behind early and he gets his stats.

I'll be at the game and hope to see some fireworks. However, I don't see this happening.

Imagine the stroyline from the game on Monday night...

I see it one of 2 ways:

Colts D shows it can be dominant against a good offense, has 7 sacks, 3 picks and Freeney gets on the horse trailer.

Or

Rams "rally" around their fallen coach and play a miraculous game ending the Colts winning streak. Bulger/Holt share the Trailer award with a combined 6TDs.

I'll take the former to happen here, but it is a homer call.

Colts 31-Rams 20 after a garbage time TD for the Rams.

Colts win, Rams cover. Vegas hits the total.

Some were off but not too bad overall! 3 picks and 45-20 Go Colts!