Louisville Slugger
Footballguy
As draft day approaches I am starting to think that Michael Turner may be the best choice @ #3 especially in td heavy leagues.
Conventional wisdom suggests that either MJD or Ray Rice should be the selection at the three spot, but the more I think about it the more I don't feel comfortable with either one.
Maurice Jones Drew - Two weeks ago my choice at #3 was a slam dunk. I figured Chris Johnson and Adrian Peterson would be off the board and the easy selection would be MJD. BUT with the recent news about Jones Drew's lateral meniscus problem I am having a serious issue with taking a player who may or may not have a fairy serious injury at #3. This is a quote from another site who spoke with a doctor in regards to the type of injury MJD has. The doctor said the following "if he's there and another guy is there, I'd probably lean toward the other guy. You're taking a little bit of a risk knowing that well, he's got this thing that could linger all season."
There is a very good chance that MJD's injury is completeley insignificant, but do you want to take that chance at # 3 when there are guys there who will put up similar #'s to a healthy MJD?
Beyond the injury the fact that the Jag's offense is medicore at best gives me some pause. Another thing to remember is that MJD had somewhat of a drop off in the second half of last season. Will he wear down from after touching the ball so many times last season and being only 5-7?
Ray Rice - As much as I like Rice in this improving offense the presence of Willis McGahee keeps Rice out of the truly elite rb's especially in a td heavy league. I was a Rice owner last season and I nearly put my foot through my tv set several times when the Ravens would take Rice out of the game after going the lengh of the field with Rice only to have WM vulture a cheap td.
Another factor to consider when thinking about Rice at #3 is the likelihood that the Ravens will be throwing more this year with the acquisition of Anquan Boldin. If that's the case isn't it likely that he won't see as many drop off passes out of the backfield?
This brings me to Michael Turner.
What is there not to like about this guy? Unlike Ray Rice, Turner is going to be the undisputed goal line man with the Falcons who have a much better offense than MJD has with the Jags. In only 11 games Turner had 10 td's...He finished 8th in the league in points per game despite two aborted attempts to return from a twisted ankle that significantly lowered his points per game average.
Turner averaged 4.9 yards per carry in 2009 compared to 4.5 in 2008. His injury last season may be a blessing in disguise for him this season. Coming of a 377 carry season in 2008 Turner only touched the ball 178 times last year. Thus he is rested and only 28 years of age.
With all the hype around guys like MJD, Ray Rice and Frank Gore it's easy to forget that Turner was the #2 rb behind only D.Williams and well ahead of A.Peterson in 2008. Turner had 1,700 and yards on the ground and 17 td's in 2008. Is there any reason why he can't put up 1,500 yards and 15 td's in 2010? Isn't that a better option than a banged up MJD or Ray Rice who will be taken out on the goal line?
In my mind Turner is the choice at #3 at the moment... Am I over thinking this?
Conventional wisdom suggests that either MJD or Ray Rice should be the selection at the three spot, but the more I think about it the more I don't feel comfortable with either one.
Maurice Jones Drew - Two weeks ago my choice at #3 was a slam dunk. I figured Chris Johnson and Adrian Peterson would be off the board and the easy selection would be MJD. BUT with the recent news about Jones Drew's lateral meniscus problem I am having a serious issue with taking a player who may or may not have a fairy serious injury at #3. This is a quote from another site who spoke with a doctor in regards to the type of injury MJD has. The doctor said the following "if he's there and another guy is there, I'd probably lean toward the other guy. You're taking a little bit of a risk knowing that well, he's got this thing that could linger all season."
There is a very good chance that MJD's injury is completeley insignificant, but do you want to take that chance at # 3 when there are guys there who will put up similar #'s to a healthy MJD?
Beyond the injury the fact that the Jag's offense is medicore at best gives me some pause. Another thing to remember is that MJD had somewhat of a drop off in the second half of last season. Will he wear down from after touching the ball so many times last season and being only 5-7?
Ray Rice - As much as I like Rice in this improving offense the presence of Willis McGahee keeps Rice out of the truly elite rb's especially in a td heavy league. I was a Rice owner last season and I nearly put my foot through my tv set several times when the Ravens would take Rice out of the game after going the lengh of the field with Rice only to have WM vulture a cheap td.
Another factor to consider when thinking about Rice at #3 is the likelihood that the Ravens will be throwing more this year with the acquisition of Anquan Boldin. If that's the case isn't it likely that he won't see as many drop off passes out of the backfield?
This brings me to Michael Turner.
What is there not to like about this guy? Unlike Ray Rice, Turner is going to be the undisputed goal line man with the Falcons who have a much better offense than MJD has with the Jags. In only 11 games Turner had 10 td's...He finished 8th in the league in points per game despite two aborted attempts to return from a twisted ankle that significantly lowered his points per game average.
Turner averaged 4.9 yards per carry in 2009 compared to 4.5 in 2008. His injury last season may be a blessing in disguise for him this season. Coming of a 377 carry season in 2008 Turner only touched the ball 178 times last year. Thus he is rested and only 28 years of age.
With all the hype around guys like MJD, Ray Rice and Frank Gore it's easy to forget that Turner was the #2 rb behind only D.Williams and well ahead of A.Peterson in 2008. Turner had 1,700 and yards on the ground and 17 td's in 2008. Is there any reason why he can't put up 1,500 yards and 15 td's in 2010? Isn't that a better option than a banged up MJD or Ray Rice who will be taken out on the goal line?
In my mind Turner is the choice at #3 at the moment... Am I over thinking this?
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they're average at best, that defense was pilfered in the off-season..
