timschochet
Footballguy
24 Hour Fitness just declared Chapter 11. They’re going to close 132 stores.
ATT announced today they will close 250 stores.
I have been a commercial shopping center real estate agent and property manager in Southern California for 30 years. Here are my thoughts (for what they’re worth):
1. There’s not going to be any quick economic recovery. We’ve got a lot of bad times ahead. A lot of retail jobs are going to be gone forever. COVID has accelerated a process that was already slowly taking over retail as online purchasing grew.
2. There’s going to be a ton of vacancies. I mean more than we’ve seen in our lifetimes. Landlords haven’t quite felt the sting yet but they will. They’re going to have to lower rents to stay competitive.
3. ANY square footage over 10,000 feet is suspect. That includes fitness, supermarkets, Department stores, electronics, etc. Tenants formerly thought of as “anchor” tenants are going to disappear. Instead of a 50,000 square foot furniture store, you’re going to end up shopping at a 2000 sf store and if what you want isn’t there, you’ll be presented with an online catalogue. Or else you can drive out of your way to an outlet.
4. Customer service will be key to everything. In the past consumers chose between low prices and excellent customer service. Now the businesses that want to survive will have to provide both.
It will be a great time to be a consumer- if you still have money to spend that is. A lot of folks won’t.
ATT announced today they will close 250 stores.
I have been a commercial shopping center real estate agent and property manager in Southern California for 30 years. Here are my thoughts (for what they’re worth):
1. There’s not going to be any quick economic recovery. We’ve got a lot of bad times ahead. A lot of retail jobs are going to be gone forever. COVID has accelerated a process that was already slowly taking over retail as online purchasing grew.
2. There’s going to be a ton of vacancies. I mean more than we’ve seen in our lifetimes. Landlords haven’t quite felt the sting yet but they will. They’re going to have to lower rents to stay competitive.
3. ANY square footage over 10,000 feet is suspect. That includes fitness, supermarkets, Department stores, electronics, etc. Tenants formerly thought of as “anchor” tenants are going to disappear. Instead of a 50,000 square foot furniture store, you’re going to end up shopping at a 2000 sf store and if what you want isn’t there, you’ll be presented with an online catalogue. Or else you can drive out of your way to an outlet.
4. Customer service will be key to everything. In the past consumers chose between low prices and excellent customer service. Now the businesses that want to survive will have to provide both.
It will be a great time to be a consumer- if you still have money to spend that is. A lot of folks won’t.