Found Norton's comments in Antoine Winfield's face off very interesting. He brought up a concept I never really thought about regarding alignment of the CB's in a cover two. Norton commented the strong side CB in the cover 2 is the one that racks up the stats. The example given was Barber and Kelley. Is this a consistent trend? Who are the strong side CB's in all the other cover 2's? I would assume Peanut played on the strong side. This could be very important considering all the teams moving that are moving to the cover 2.
I would guess Winfield would play on the strong side since he is such a good tackler. Bly doesn't seem like a good fit there in Detroit.
Norton and I have discussed the terminology often because it can get a little confusing. For the most part, offenses are right-handed, that is, the tight end aligns next to the RT. The mirror defensive image then, makes the
left side of the defense the strong side and the right side the weak side in most cases. Therefore, your ROLB is your WLB as a default.The Tampa-2 defense is interesting in that it seeks to spill plays toward the weak side of the defense where the pursuit can make the play. It's part of the reason the WLB is more valuable in this scheme.
Both corners should have value in this defense. Both have short zone and run support responsibility. The strong side (LCB) may see more plays start to his side of the field, but due to the increased blockers he'll see and the design of the defense to force things to the weak side, his opportunity isn't significantly higher than the weak side corner (RCB). That corner, like the WLB, is primed to make plays in pursuit and in plays that have been forced back in his general direction.
For frame of reference:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2yr avg)
RCB Ronde Barber -- 80 solo tackles/96 total
LCB Brian Kelly -- 47 solos/55 total
Indianapolis Colts (2 yr avg)
RCB Jason David -- 38 solos/46 total
LCB Nick Harper -- 59 solos (82 in 2003)/71 total
Chicago Bears (2005)
RCB Nathan Vasher -- 41 solos/48 total
LCB Charles Tillman -- 85 solos/96 total (proj 71 solos 2004, 74 2003)
IMO, there's no discernible pattern here with regard to RCB vs LCB. I think the player to target is the player who's aggressive and willing in run support. If the corner can't play run support, he won't make the plays no matter what opportunity is afforded him. Barber and Tillman have clearly been well thought of in run support over time. The Colt corners (and Vasher) have not.
That's why I've got Nate Clements (RCB) and Antoine Winfield (LCB) ranked so highly, with McGee close behind. Those guys are proven run support corners. I liked Dre' Bly (RCB) early on after looking at his raw tackle numbers but have since read that his run support skills are suspect. I still think he'll be successful, but am no longer as high on him as I was. I think I'd watch both Fred Smoot (RCB) and Fernando Bryant (LCB) closely during the preseason. Both have apparently bulked up in the offseason and are healthy. Both have been praised at times for their run support and tackling, but have been inconsistent. I think this year's out-of-nowhere stud corner could well be one of those two.
As I said in our discussion about how the Tampa-2 will affect the safeties, I'm
really interested in how this plays out this season. Each of these teams will play a slightly different Tampa-2 scheme, but the sample size we get this year will go a long way to projecting the fantasy output of these guys moving forward.