Defensive Analysis - Weeks 11-16 for: (1 Viewer)

[Hugonel]

I put this in the Ravens post which isn't getting much press. This research took a few hours so I thought I'd post it more generally.

Through week 10 I conducted research on Ravens, Patriots, Bears, Jax, Philly, Washington, Chiefs, Cards, and Denver. All except Bears are free agents in my league which is why these were chosen (very small rosters, I had to drop Patriots to fill the bye).

We just count defensive scores (6 pts), sacks (1 pt), interceptions (1 pt) and fumble recoveries (1 pt).

Based on sacks/int/fr alone, the points earned by each team so far are (higher is better):

Denver 33

Philly 35

Balt 36

Wash 36

Cards 38

Jax 40

Chiefs 41

Bears 45

Pats 45

Then I reviewed their remaining schedules, calculating the sacks/int/fumbles lost by their remaining opponents and came up with the following (higher scores mean easier schedules)

Balt 161

Philly 162

Bears 187

Wash 195

Cards 200

Jax 200

Pats 213

Chiefs 234

Denver 250

It's also worth noting that the Patriots faced very few (actually, none by my review) teams in the first 10 weeks that are prone to giving up sacks/int/fumbles. The Patriots also have home games weeks 14-16. They also have a high-powered offense to force the other team to throw. Conversely, the Bears faced four patsy teams. The others were in between.

 

[The Jacket]

Good effort. How some of these defenses are still available is beyond me.

It's pretty clear to me that KC and New England are two of the better fantasy defenses in the entire league - that they both have decent schedules remaining is a bonus. I look for big things out of New England against some garbage teams like the Jets and Dolphins and I look for similarly big things out of KC when they get to face the likes of Vince Young and whatever scrub Oakland starts at Arrowhead.

 

[Hugonel]

Good effort. How some of these defenses are still available is beyond me.

It's pretty clear to me that KC and New England are two of the better fantasy defenses in the entire league - that they both have decent schedules remaining is a bonus. I look for big things out of New England against some garbage teams like the Jets and Dolphins and I look for similarly big things out of KC when they get to face the likes of Vince Young and whatever scrub Oakland starts at Arrowhead.

Thanks. We are allowed only 12 men on the roster. Ridiculously small. Due to LJ and ADP injuries (and the reluctance to drop LJ yet) I was forced to dump Patriots to pick up Chicago because my division rival has a great team and I want to win the division so I can get the bye week. Of course, I didn't need the Chicago points to win the game, so now I lament the decision.

I'll stick with Chicago this week but also like KC and Jax (the Pats have been picked up).

 

[Hugonel]

I should clarify my affinity for Jax defense. 4/6 last games are at home and the last 3 games (weeks 14-16) are generally against easier teams. KC has Detroit week 16, but the sacks Detroit has given up really skews the numbers to favor KC. Weeks 14-15 are better for Jax. Frankly, if I can carry two defenses I might, just to play KC in week 16.

 

[The Jacket]

Good game by KC - it's just a pity they couldn't put Manning on his #### a couple more times with all the pressure they got. Instead, Manning threw it incomplete.

I can't wait to see how Vince Young does at Arrowhead against this D. He might put up a donut. And that's not a passing TD donut - a QB rating donut!