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DFS Scandals in E.F.F.E.C.T (2 Viewers)

BusterTBronco said:
BusterTBronco said:
BusterTBronco said:
One has to wonder if there are any controls in place at all to prevent DraftKings and Fan Duel employees from trading data and then going to the other site to make a killing. I'll bet a lot of these guys make more money in DFS on the competitors site then they do in their day jobs.
If they're doing that they don't need jobs. It's insider trading or consumer fraud, take your pick, and when that happens, prosecution and regulation follow.
Insider trading laws only apply to securities, not fantasy sports. Its also not fraud.
Insider trading laws apply to a lot of things. So does RICO.
You are mistaken. Insider trading is the exclusive domain of the SEC and they have no jurisdiction over fantasy sports contests.
I know what you mean, I'm talking about the principle. People using inside information to profit off of "investing." I guess it is truly "unregulated" but it won't be for long. And whatever this falls under it's definitely prosecutable.

 
Was talking to one of my buddies that is a huge gambling and DFS junkie. Thought I'd be able to talk some sense into him over this, but he doesn't think it's a big deal and just plans on spending more money to try and win. I honestly don't think this will affect people like him. The smart guys like most of us in here realize this is a losing effort. But others, they just don't care enough, which is pretty sad.
Not that this says anything about anybody but you and your buddy, but is he up or down? I'm up $7k+ since November. But I guess I'm dumb for not being a smart guy and realizing its a losing effort.
No idea. He's claimed to have won a few thousand here and there, but no clue what he's put in there.

Sure, you can have success, especially if you stick to low stakes games. He doesn't. And the majority of the people on there don't. There's money to be made, but it's not through the GPPs
Well, I appreciate this compelling anecdotal evidence that people don't make money on GPPs.

 
BusterTBronco said:
Business Insider is reporting that DraftKings employees have won $6M playing DFS at FanDuel.

http://www.businessinsider.com/draftkings-daily-fantasy-sports-fanduel-2015-10
FTA: "According to research by Sports Business Daily, over one three-month stretch 91% of the player profits at DraftKings and FanDuel were won by just 1.3% of the players."

And that right there is why DFS advertising has become so completely pervasive this season, folks.

Any casino could take one look at that stat and tell you that it's laughably unsustainable. There's absolutely no way money can flow from fish to sharks at a pace that torrential without the games drying up completely ... unless new fish can be recruited into the pond at an even faster pace.

It's working so far. But it won't work forever. Mathematically, it can't.
well one saving grace for the DFS sites in the interim is that fish don't believe in math.
When the prize money is loaded towards the top 1% in the tournaments, why is it a shock that most of the money goes to the top 1%?
thats true if it was one tournament. But after thousands of tournaments you would expect the prize pool in aggregate to be much more spread out.
All of the tournaments are loaded with most of the money at the top. With millions of people playing the top 1% who win those prizes are still going to win the bulk of the money regardless of how many tournaments there are. But that is the fun in playing the tournament, the long shot chance to win the big one.
What I was trying to say is that you have to place in the top 1% of a tourament to get into the big prizes, or 90% of the money (which is why people play the tournaments, to try to win the big money) It doesn't matter if there is 1 tournament or a thousand tournaments, you still have to place in the top 1% to win the big prize so of course the top 1% will have the bulk of the money because of the large payouts for placing in the top 1%.

 
Was talking to one of my buddies that is a huge gambling and DFS junkie. Thought I'd be able to talk some sense into him over this, but he doesn't think it's a big deal and just plans on spending more money to try and win. I honestly don't think this will affect people like him. The smart guys like most of us in here realize this is a losing effort. But others, they just don't care enough, which is pretty sad.
Not that this says anything about anybody but you and your buddy, but is he up or down? I'm up $7k+ since November. But I guess I'm dumb for not being a smart guy and realizing its a losing effort.
No idea. He's claimed to have won a few thousand here and there, but no clue what he's put in there.

Sure, you can have success, especially if you stick to low stakes games. He doesn't. And the majority of the people on there don't. There's money to be made, but it's not through the GPPs
Well, I appreciate this compelling anecdotal evidence that people don't make money on GPPs.
I get it, you won some money on a GPP once and now you're awesome

 
"According to research by Sports Business Daily, over one three-month stretch 91% of the player profits at DraftKings and FanDuel were won by just 1.3% of the players."

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/draftkings-employees-reportedly-won-nearly-190600043.html
So? Sounds like our stock market. Oh wait I just had an epiphany :getsshotinheadbygovt:
But, how much did those 1.3% players invest? If those are the very high volume players that might make sense.

I could set up a 50/50 and enter all of the entries and "win" $36,000, but I had to spend $40,000 to join the contest to "win" that $36,000...?

I'm sure the stat is still telling, but without the other half of that information it is misleading.
The info is in the article, but for you and me, does it really matter? The money is being won by a small group of players.
For sure, so instead of getting butt hurt about it, why not join the small percentage?

After reading that article I decided that I would either quit or take it much more seriously. I had some spare time, and I do analytics for a living, so I built my own predictive model. I've submitted over 3,000 lineups en masse in the $3-$5 entry GPPs, and am currently at 31% ROI despite not landing in the top 50 spots in any GPP so far.

This is the new poker boom and the ones who can figure out the game are cashing in big time.

TLDR; quit your complaining and skill up

 
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BusterTBronco said:
Business Insider is reporting that DraftKings employees have won $6M playing DFS at FanDuel.

http://www.businessinsider.com/draftkings-daily-fantasy-sports-fanduel-2015-10
FTA: "According to research by Sports Business Daily, over one three-month stretch 91% of the player profits at DraftKings and FanDuel were won by just 1.3% of the players."

And that right there is why DFS advertising has become so completely pervasive this season, folks.

Any casino could take one look at that stat and tell you that it's laughably unsustainable. There's absolutely no way money can flow from fish to sharks at a pace that torrential without the games drying up completely ... unless new fish can be recruited into the pond at an even faster pace.

It's working so far. But it won't work forever. Mathematically, it can't.
well one saving grace for the DFS sites in the interim is that fish don't believe in math.
When the prize money is loaded towards the top 1% in the tournaments, why is it a shock that most of the money goes to the top 1%?
thats true if it was one tournament. But after thousands of tournaments you would expect the prize pool in aggregate to be much more spread out.
There aren't thousands of big money tournaments.

One per site per week. So 4 players from each site are millionaires at this point. (this year)
Depends on your definition of big. There are tournaments that pay 100k to first prize almost every day of the week. NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, NFL, EPL, MMA, NASCAR, Sure the biggest ones are in NFL but winning 100k is not minor.

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.
Unless the DK employees and the FD employees are sharing insider information.

 
...and you know it's the tip of the iceberg. I wish it would just go away, it's making FF suck. The biggest laugher is that they'll "match your $200" promotion. They're just giving money away! lol Wait, they matched my 200, I won at least that, but I'm down 100???!! Wha wha whaat?

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.
Unless the DK employees and the FD employees are sharing insider information.
Ok, that would do it for me. As I understand it, that is NOT the nature of the current issue. Seems like a lot of flimsy assumptions at this point, but it's not the first time the media and public have flipped out without thinking this through very well.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.
My understanding was that the employees traded it to each other and with other insiders (on a forum?) since they weren't allowed to play on their own sites? Not sure if that is accurate.

 
Why does everybody lose their minds talking about this?
It seems a lot of people who don't play it have an anger towards it for some reason...
I don't think that's true. i know some people who play and make a lot of money doing it (they use scripts and all the other cheap stuff), but even they admit the whole industry is a train wreck and are trying to milk it for all they can before things fall apart.

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.
An article posts one lineup from one particular week about the ownership percentages of a handful of players on each site and people take it as gospel as they very similar. I'd like to know how similar the ownership percentages actually are.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
:lmao: If he's making those investments based on the "knowledge and research" he's gained in his employment, where said knowledge and research isn't available to the public ... that's pretty much the definition of "insider trading".

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.
My understanding was that the employees traded it to each other and with other insiders (on a forum?) since they weren't allowed to play on their own sites? Not sure if that is accurate.
. That is the conspiracy it has been taken to but not what the story is.

 
Why does everybody lose their minds talking about this?
It seems a lot of people who don't play it have an anger towards it for some reason...
I don't think that's true. i know some people who play and make a lot of money doing it (they use scripts and all the other cheap stuff), but even they admit the whole industry is a train wreck and are trying to milk it for all they can before things fall apart.
I don't think one thing has anything to do with the other. I was only responding to the posts about people losing their minds. I haven't read every post but I've noticed some people who don't play have a real anger about the whole idea of it. I'm not saying that is right or wrong or care much about it one way or the other, just noting an observation.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
:lmao: If he's making those investments based on the "knowledge and research" he's gained in his employment, where said knowledge and research isn't available to the public ... that's pretty much the definition of "insider trading".
The knowledge is public afterwards. He also did not play on his own site so it isn't "insider" information.

 
Why does everybody lose their minds talking about this?
It seems a lot of people who don't play it have an anger towards it for some reason...
I don't think that's true. i know some people who play and make a lot of money doing it (they use scripts and all the other cheap stuff), but even they admit the whole industry is a train wreck and are trying to milk it for all they can before things fall apart.
I don't think one thing has anything to do with the other. I was only responding to the posts about people losing their minds. I haven't read every post but I've noticed some people who don't play have a real anger about the whole idea of it. I'm not saying that is right or wrong or care much about it one way or the other, just noting an observation.
got ya, i agree. it has to do with the onslaught of advertising, it's annoying the general public.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
I think the difference here is your examples represent a translation of learned skill then applied but in this case, it is a translation of data and information applied in the same format.

So instead of a plumber learning his skill at his job and then charging his neighbor to fix a sink, this is more like a guy taking the formula for Coke and opening up a "Koke" factory.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
:lmao: If he's making those investments based on the "knowledge and research" he's gained in his employment, where said knowledge and research isn't available to the public ... that's pretty much the definition of "insider trading".
The knowledge is public afterwards. He also did not play on his own site so it isn't "insider" information.
A research analyst at Fidelity hears from the CFO of a company he follows on Thursday that their quarterly earnings (to be announced publicly next Monday) are gonna miss expectations. He logs onto his account at TD Ameritrade Friday morning and buys a shipload of put options on the stock.

By your yardstick, he's all good. Right?

 
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Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
I think the difference here is your examples represent a translation of learned skill then applied but in this case, it is a translation of data and information applied in the same format. So instead of a plumber learning his skill at his job and then charging his neighbor to fix a sink, this is more like a guy taking the formula for Coke and opening up a "Koke" factory.
That is a good point.

On one hand he has that data but on the other hand he is applying it to a different format which brings in to question how valuable that data is.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
I think the difference here is your examples represent a translation of learned skill then applied but in this case, it is a translation of data and information applied in the same format. So instead of a plumber learning his skill at his job and then charging his neighbor to fix a sink, this is more like a guy taking the formula for Coke and opening up a "Koke" factory.
That is a good point.

On one hand he has that data but on the other hand he is applying it to a different format which brings in to question how valuable that data is.
In the hands of a smart person...very valuable.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
:lmao: If he's making those investments based on the "knowledge and research" he's gained in his employment, where said knowledge and research isn't available to the public ... that's pretty much the definition of "insider trading".
The knowledge is public afterwards. He also did not play on his own site so it isn't "insider" information.
A research analyst at Fidelity hears from the CFO of a company he follows on Thursday that their quarterly earnings (to be announced publicly next Monday) are gonna miss expectations. He logs onto his account at TD Ameritrade Friday morning and buys a shipload of put options on the stock.

By your yardstick, he's all good. Right?
No because that isn't the same thing. The employee only had draftkings knowledge. He didn't have fanduel knowledge.

Better analogy.

If you lived and breathed the oil and gas industry and had intimate knowledge about some companies because you worked for or researched those companies and then invested in some unrelated oil and gas company. People do this all the time.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
I think the difference here is your examples represent a translation of learned skill then applied but in this case, it is a translation of data and information applied in the same format. So instead of a plumber learning his skill at his job and then charging his neighbor to fix a sink, this is more like a guy taking the formula for Coke and opening up a "Koke" factory.
That is a good point. On one hand he has that data but on the other hand he is applying it to a different format which brings in to question how valuable that data is.
In the hands of a smart person...very valuable.
Are you just assuming or you know?Is there any data comparing the two ownership %s?

 
Assuming but I would think someone with statistics knowledge could put that data to good use. I don't think this data is all that valuable to the average DFS participant.

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
I think the difference here is your examples represent a translation of learned skill then applied but in this case, it is a translation of data and information applied in the same format. So instead of a plumber learning his skill at his job and then charging his neighbor to fix a sink, this is more like a guy taking the formula for Coke and opening up a "Koke" factory.
That is a good point.

On one hand he has that data but on the other hand he is applying it to a different format which brings in to question how valuable that data is.
Approximately 6 million dollars

 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
:lmao: If he's making those investments based on the "knowledge and research" he's gained in his employment, where said knowledge and research isn't available to the public ... that's pretty much the definition of "insider trading".
The knowledge is public afterwards. He also did not play on his own site so it isn't "insider" information.
A research analyst at Fidelity hears from the CFO of a company he follows on Thursday that their quarterly earnings (to be announced publicly next Monday) are gonna miss expectations. He logs onto his account at TD Ameritrade Friday morning and buys a shipload of put options on the stock.

By your yardstick, he's all good. Right?
No because that isn't the same thing. The employee only had draftkings knowledge. He didn't have fanduel knowledge.
If you don't think there's a significant correlation between FD and DK ownership percentages or that having that knowledge ahead of time isn't massively valuable, then I'm not really sure what I'm going to say to convince you.

Personally, what I'm convinced of is that "insiders" at FD have been sharing these percentages with their DK counterparts, and vice versa, every single week (or day, in the case of MLB/NBA/NHL). Why? Because human greed knoweth no bounds.

 
I don't understand how ownership info for Draft Kings would help this dude win at Fanduel. Players are priced differently, scored differently, and lineups aren't even the same.
Has anyone even ventured to contemplate this, yet? This *scandal* makes no sense for this very reason.
Unless the DK employees and the FD employees are sharing insider information.
Ok, that would do it for me. As I understand it, that is NOT the nature of the current issue. Seems like a lot of flimsy assumptions at this point, but it's not the first time the media and public have flipped out without thinking this through very well.
Just to be clear, I'm not making any assumptions or accusing anybody of anything. I'm just responding to the idea that people don't understand how it could help.

Having lived through the online poker scandals, maybe I'm just skeptical of unregulated industries with billions of dollars of cash flowing in.

I will say that one of the most disturbing things about this is DK's quick response which sounded like an attempt to sweep it under the rug. I don't know about you but I would feel much better if they had said something like "The Employee in question has been suspended pending a thorough investigation."

 
Was listening to SiriusXM Fantasy on my way home today. Believe it was Jeff Mans that was on. SiriusXM should be embarrassed for having this clown on their air. I've never seen a bigger shill for DFS in my life.
Ever since cancelling SXM and going the podcast route, SXM hasn't crossed my mind in months. No commercials (maybe a few minutes an hour of a live read) and much, much deeper content. You can definitely do better, that station was a total shill for noobs and DFS.
Yeah I'm not sure why I listen to it. Just something to hear on the commute, but after the disaster today, I'm never listening again.
yeah I was pretty disappointed at how much damage control was done by all of the radio hosts. I could pretty much envision the meeting first thing this morning...don't insult our sponsors, don't have the sheep run for the hills....it's still fun everyone! Keep playing!
 
Genuinely curious.

Is it such a huge deal that the knowledge an employee is gaining at his employment is being used for personal financial gains on a different platform?

This happens all the time. This isn't insider trading. This is more akin to financial knowledge and research gleaned by an advisor in his employment and then making his own investments. Or a realtor who starts getting into investment properties.
:lmao: If he's making those investments based on the "knowledge and research" he's gained in his employment, where said knowledge and research isn't available to the public ... that's pretty much the definition of "insider trading".
The knowledge is public afterwards. He also did not play on his own site so it isn't "insider" information.
A research analyst at Fidelity hears from the CFO of a company he follows on Thursday that their quarterly earnings (to be announced publicly next Monday) are gonna miss expectations. He logs onto his account at TD Ameritrade Friday morning and buys a shipload of put options on the stock.

By your yardstick, he's all good. Right?
No because that isn't the same thing. The employee only had draftkings knowledge. He didn't have fanduel knowledge.
If you don't think there's a significant correlation between FD and DK ownership percentages or that having that knowledge ahead of time isn't massively valuable, then I'm not really sure what I'm going to say to convince you.

Personally, what I'm convinced of is that "insiders" at FD have been sharing these percentages with their DK counterparts, and vice versa, every single week (or day, in the case of MLB/NBA/NHL). Why? Because human greed knoweth no bounds.
I believe that data is valuable but just think this is a little overboard in terms of calling it a scandal for something where the employee didn't break any rules or policies. That may be the more important thing in this, is that it isn't regulated and this can happen as a result.

If the employees are swapping data then that is of course a big issue.

 
Anyone who doesn't think own % at one site means much at another site really needs to read Dodds' post in the DFS forum with his thoughts on all this. And remember what he has on the line with DFS.

 
Dodds from the dfs forum... bold mine...


My take on all of this:

- These sites need to encrypt the data so that it can't be queried before lineup lock. Or failure to do that, just publish LIVE % owned calculations for all to see as the people are making their lineups. Both are likely radical tweaks from how these sites operate currently.

- Having players working for one not being able to play on another site doesn't solve the problem if an employee can query the database and get that info to someone. These sites have to stop any ability for data to be queried.

- I contend that a LOT of smart people could do major damage knowing % owned from one set and applying it mathematically to a different set of numbers.

- A lot of sites like ours are trying to crack percent owned. Why would we work so hard at that? Because it's needed to determine who to go after and who to fade in the bigger GPPs. Having precise or nearly precise data is a big edge. We can try and crack it, but it's a very imprecise world that creates it in the first place (ie mentions on FBG, RotoGrinders, etc can all move it)

I have hope that both of these companies are taking this extremely seriously. As for the allegations themselves, I am not going to get into that. I don't have enough facts to know what what really happened.
 
Anyone who doesn't think own % at one site means much at another site really needs to read Dodds' post in the DFS forum with his thoughts on all this. And remember what he has on the line with DFS.
It's odd the issue seemed put to rest there, yet here some of the same posters are still misinformed. % owned is huge. It was posted for both sites in the dfs forum for the 350k winning lineup and the percentages were very close. You do not need precision. You need to know who the high and low percentage owned players are. DK's data provides that for FD contests with NO special math required.

 
ESPN has just wiped itself clean. They no longer have any of that crap littering the site. I think anyone who thinks this isn't blowing up is kidding themselves. These are probably the same types who spend time semantically arguing that Jared Fogle isn't a child molester over on the FFA.

Where there is smoke there's fire......

 
ESPN has just wiped itself clean. They no longer have any of that crap littering the site. I think anyone who thinks this isn't blowing up is kidding themselves. These are probably the same types who spend time semantically arguing that Jared Fogle isn't a child molester over on the FFA.

Where there is smoke there's fire......
two way street

http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/2015/10/06/draftkings-pulls-advertising-espn-amid-questions-inside-trading/73476434/

 

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