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Does Adrian Peterson Have an Above Average Injury Risk? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter LHUCKS
- Start date
LHUCKS
Footballguy
jurb26
Footballguy
Well, this has probably led to the history.
Chachi
Footballguy
Good point.
jurb26
Footballguy
How many years do you need before you can say it is more likely than the "average" RB?
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King of the Jungle
Footballguy
His two major injuries were not "prone" injuries.
1) Broken collarbone flipping into the endzone.
2) Injured knee - hit on the side of the leg.
Give him some time to prove otherwise.
1) Broken collarbone flipping into the endzone.
2) Injured knee - hit on the side of the leg.
Give him some time to prove otherwise.
LHUCKS
Footballguy
If I was drafting him #2 overall I'd probably put some thought into it for this year.
massraider
Footballguy
Shoot, in dynasty startups, I think his ADP is higher than that.Yeah, I think he's gonna have more injuries than the average back. Wouldn't keep me from taking him. He's the kind of guy that puts fantasy teams in the playoffs all by himself.
massraider
Footballguy
NFL Network about to replay his 296 yard game................
NOW.
NOW.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
I voted yes for the same reason... usually, if a player can not stay healthy in college... they will not stay healthy in the pros.
Sabertooth
Footballguy
jurb26
Footballguy
J. Stewart.....
identikit
Footballguy
What a great permance by ADP...2-3 times (so far) in this game, he has tried to hurdle would-be tacklers...that worries me....
cstu
Footballguy
I think he's slightly more likely to get "banged up" type injuries due to his running style, but not serious (knee) injuries. It's not worth worrying about IMO.
massraider
Footballguy
Tonight at 10 EST.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
Hes Joseph Addai Injury Prone.. not Jacobs Injury Prone. He'll miss a couple a games a yr, always be on the Ijury Report.. drive owners crazy.
FreeBaGeL
Footballguy
My guide is showing SD vs. Minnesota at 10est.
that would be the game
massraider
Footballguy
Michael Fox Fan
Footballguy
Please provide the detailed statistical analysis proving that players who can't stay healthy in college also will not stay healthy in the pros. TIA.
jurb26
Footballguy
Why should anyone need to? Is 4 years in a row not a trend to you?
ScottyFargo
Footballguy
Because without the scientific method we'd all still be cavemen.His style is definitely physical. That does put him at more risk than say, someone who doesn't play football at all. The average RB? I don't think he gets more or less injured than the average running back. I am going to look that up.
Kitrick Taylor
Footballguy
Since 2004, ADP's freshman year, and Kevin Jones' rookie year, ADP has missed 9 games. KJ has missed 11.
I am not saying the talent is in any way similar, just that the games missed is very close.
I am not saying the talent is in any way similar, just that the games missed is very close.
trader jake
Footballguy
With Tarvaris Jackson chucking the ball for the Vikings? Um, yeah AD's injury risk is higher than "your average back".
Defenses will put that extra man in the box, coordinators will gameplan every week to shut him down, and his history/style of running suggests that he's more prone to taking hits than most of the other starting running backs. Then again, he could play 14 games and still end up as the #1 FF RB.
Defenses will put that extra man in the box, coordinators will gameplan every week to shut him down, and his history/style of running suggests that he's more prone to taking hits than most of the other starting running backs. Then again, he could play 14 games and still end up as the #1 FF RB.
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Phlash
Footballguy
Definitely. A lot of starting RBs get nicked up, but unlike ADP a few of them have at least finished a season. However, its not like it will be an impossible tag to shed, I mean, Fragile Fred used to be nicked up all the time but he's strung together a few 16 game seasons, so there is some hope there.
Michael Fox Fan
Footballguy
Do you really not understand?
Donnybrook
Footballguy
I want to ask the people voting yes this question. How often does the average RB get hurt? I keep thinking that you are holding ADP to some LT2 type standard or some other player who is not your typical RB.
I would hazard to guess that on average most RBs miss at least a couple games a season due to injury. ADP seems pretty average in this regard.
I would hazard to guess that on average most RBs miss at least a couple games a season due to injury. ADP seems pretty average in this regard.
Sabertooth
Footballguy
LT2 cost me two consecutive championships a few years back. It isn't like the guy has been invincible himself.Donnybrook said:
he's missed 1 regular season game during his entire career. That's as close to invincible as it getsHowever, this season might be different.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
Has he been playing FF for longer than that? If you have, then I shouldn't have to prove myself... how about he toss us some injury prone College RBs that have had stellar Injury Free NFL Careers.jurb26 said:
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Michael Fox Fan
Footballguy
You're the one tossing out random assertions as if they were gospel. Back it up with analysis buddy boy.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
I'll just leave this alone... Lets just say I'm giving out friendly advise... if the player is injury prone in college, he will be injury prone in the PROs. Believe it if u want.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
Very True.. Running Backs are at a higher risk than other players on the field... and its not usually if they miss a couple of games during a season around half of the season they play. When I answered yes, I'm expecting him to always miss a couple a games a yr... maybe he'll have one yr of those Westbrook 2007 magic yrs where he makes all 16 games... but that would be a rare one.Donnybrook said:
Jackie Treehorn
Footballguy
I voted yes as well. The history scares me, even given that the injuries seemed 'fluky' and weren't so called prone injuries, they were still injuries and he still missed time. He has an upright and violent running style, and he plays on turf. He also has more potential than any other back in the league at this point.
trader jake
Footballguy
Would you say Adrian Peterson has a below average injury risk?
Jason Wood
Zoo York
I've read a lot of arguments about injury risk and how past history is no indication of future performance. But I can't help but worry about RBs, in particular. The take such a cumulative pounding that I don't see how there isn't some kind of compounding effect of each successive injury. Perhaps Peterson has just had bad luck, but that doesn't mean he's not that much more beaten up now than other backs his age. Does that mean he's more likely to get hurt in the future? I don't know if there's a statistical way to quantify that either way; but it concerns me. I'm less concerned about this notion about his running style. How many HOF-caliber NFL backs didn't invite contact? Honestly, that's par for the course of being a great runner.
LHUCKS
Footballguy
Is there anything behind body type? Compact runners like CuMar, LT and Emmit seem to last longer. There are not a lot of backs with Peterson's frame running for ten years, or even running at all for that matter. I'm not saying he's going to get injured, but the argument that his fantasy value should be altered due to a perceived injury risk is one worth addressing IMHO.
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Jason Wood
Zoo York
LHUCKS...I think body type plays a role, sure. But as you know it's awfully hard to put any weight behind that assertion because, to my knowledge, we've not had any published studies that look to isolate body type in relation to the other factors that impact an NFL running back. As to your assertion that his body type hasn't had much success...I'm not sure I buy into that, though.He's 6'2", 217 pounds...*** Dickerson was 6'3", 220*** Marcus Allen was 6'2", 210*** O.J. Simpson was 6'2", 212I'd say those guys did alright for themselves. And looking back at pictures from their playing days, they looked similar to Peterson. Their height made it seem like they had skinny legs; but the reality is they just had longer torsos, their legs were still powerful and compact.LHUCKS said:
suchislife
Footballguy
So just out of curiosity, how far down do you bump him based on his injury risk? Do you put SJackson ahead of him? Addai? Westbrook or Portis? Of those that I mentioned, which ones are not injury prone? Every one of them has missed significant playing time in their career. I guess my point is that injuries come with the position. IMO, Peterson's potential far outweighs the injury risk.LHUCKS said:
LHUCKS
Footballguy
Oh, I definitely agree there are exceptions to the rule...I'm just wondering if you handicap these "unique" body types in terms of taking into account a perceived increased risk of injury.
