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Don't look now.... (1 Viewer)

Dayne=majority of week 3 carries? probably not. We agree here. Where we seem to differ is the opinion that MA will get multiple opportunities to underpreform. Yes underpreform. A post game interview saying he was on a carry count, with Shanny of all people, holds no water with me. He was pulled, IMO (which means nothing), for ineffectivness.

The next couple of weeks will tell
Anderson sure looked ineffective converting that 3rd-and-2.I can see Shanny's thought process. "Well, Anderson just converted third and short, which was our #1 priority from the running game this season... but I suppose he did it in a disappointing fashion. Yeah, he's an underperformer, let's put in Dayne!"

 
Dayne=majority of week 3 carries? probably not. We agree here. Where we seem to differ is the opinion that MA will get multiple opportunities to underpreform. Yes underpreform. A post game interview saying he was on a carry count, with Shanny of all people, holds no water with me. He was pulled, IMO (which means nothing), for ineffectivness. 

The next couple of weeks will tell
Anderson sure looked ineffective converting that 3rd-and-2.I can see Shanny's thought process. "Well, Anderson just converted third and short, which was our #1 priority from the running game this season... but I suppose he did it in a disappointing fashion. Yeah, he's an underperformer, let's put in Dayne!"
Why do you think Anderson came out after converting the 3rd and 2? What was Shanahan thinking, in your opinion?Please do not say "carry count" if you can help it, and please use as many caps as possible. TIA.

 
Dayne=majority of week 3 carries? probably not. We agree here. Where we seem to differ is the opinion that MA will get multiple opportunities to underpreform. Yes underpreform. A post game interview saying he was on a carry count, with Shanny of all people, holds no water with me. He was pulled, IMO (which means nothing), for ineffectivness. 

The next couple of weeks will tell
Anderson sure looked ineffective converting that 3rd-and-2.I can see Shanny's thought process. "Well, Anderson just converted third and short, which was our #1 priority from the running game this season... but I suppose he did it in a disappointing fashion. Yeah, he's an underperformer, let's put in Dayne!"
For the record, are you saying that 15 carries for 49 yards and a 3.3 YPC is preforming to the expectations of Shanny?
 
Dayne=majority of week 3 carries? probably not. We agree here. Where we seem to differ is the opinion that MA will get multiple opportunities to underpreform. Yes underpreform. A post game interview saying he was on a carry count, with Shanny of all people, holds no water with me. He was pulled, IMO (which means nothing), for ineffectivness.

The next couple of weeks will tell
Anderson sure looked ineffective converting that 3rd-and-2.I can see Shanny's thought process. "Well, Anderson just converted third and short, which was our #1 priority from the running game this season... but I suppose he did it in a disappointing fashion. Yeah, he's an underperformer, let's put in Dayne!"
Why do you think Anderson came out after converting the 3rd and 2? What was Shanahan thinking, in your opinion?Please do not say "carry count" if you can help it, and please use as many caps as possible. TIA.
CARRY COUNT.Did I do this right?

Seriously, though... like I said, Shanny has faith in his system. A carry count, even a rough carry count, is the only reason I can think of why Shanahan would pull Anderson after Anderson just had a successful play doing something that Denver RBs have struggled to do recently. Maybe it was a ball protection issue with the flak jacket, too. Maybe Shanny would rather have Anderson+TheJacket on up-the-gut plays, and Droughns+No Jacket on outside running plays. Maybe Anderson's positives of power in traffic outweighed the negatives of the increased risk of fumbling.

I can tell you one thing, it wasn't because they were dissatisfied with Anderson. If they were dissatisfied with Anderson, he wouldn't have gotten that 3rd-and-2. If they weren't dissatisfied BEFORE the 3rd-and-2, they certainly weren't dissatisfied after.

 
Dayne=majority of week 3 carries? probably not. We agree here. Where we seem to differ is the opinion that MA will get multiple opportunities to underpreform. Yes underpreform. A post game interview saying he was on a carry count, with Shanny of all people, holds no water with me. He was pulled, IMO (which means nothing), for ineffectivness. 

The next couple of weeks will tell
Anderson sure looked ineffective converting that 3rd-and-2.I can see Shanny's thought process. "Well, Anderson just converted third and short, which was our #1 priority from the running game this season... but I suppose he did it in a disappointing fashion. Yeah, he's an underperformer, let's put in Dayne!"
Why do you think Anderson came out after converting the 3rd and 2? What was Shanahan thinking, in your opinion?Please do not say "carry count" if you can help it, and please use as many caps as possible. TIA.
CARRY COUNT.Did I do this right?
BTW, this was funny...good job. I hope you aren't taking any of this too seriously. You seem a little intense on this discussion.
 
This strikes me as more likely.
So losing fumbles when a team is down 14-3 is much more acceptable than when a team is driving for the winning score?
No, losing fumbles is not acceptable, period.edit for terrible spelling and grammar here.

 
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No, losing fumbles are unacceptable period.
Okay, so we can pretty much toss out the "flak jacket fumble" theory. I actually find the "CARRY COUNT" argument laughable. This is the NFL, and not Pop Warner FB, right?That leads me to thinking that the offense was in a huge rut, wasn't moving meaningfully all day after the first drive, and Shanahan was looking for a spark with a RB whom he thought was very capable.Not to make a parallel comparison, because the actors involved are very different, but this reminds me a lot of the Gary/Portis situation in '02, where Shanahan didn't know if he could trust Portis going into the regular season so he fell back on his less talented but more reliable back - kind of a comfort level decision - until the new guy proved he could handle the load.
 
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no but a fumble in the closing moments of the 4th are more detrimental than in the 2nd quarter
Why is that exactly? If a team is giving away the football down 14-3, there's a strong possibility that the chance for 4th quarter heroics will never exist. That makes as much sense as saying that a week 2 game isn't as meaningful as a week 14 game.
 
No, losing fumbles are unacceptable period.
Okay, so we can pretty much toss out the "flak jacket fumble" theory. I actually find the "CARYY COUNT" argument laughable. This is the NFL, and not Pop Warner FB, right?That leads me to thinking that the offense was in a huge rut, wasn't moving meaningfully all day after the first drive, and Shanahan was looking for a spark with a RB whom he thought was very capable.
This is clearly another possibility. I'm sure you know I was just suggesting that "flak jacket fumble" theory was more likely than "carry count" theory, btw.

 
This is clearly another possibility. I'm sure you know I was just suggesting that "flak jacket fumble" theory was more likely than "carry count" theory, btw.
Yeah, I know. The "flak jacket fumble" actually has some credibility.
 
I see this as an opportunity for Dayne. He will not take over next week, but at least Shanahan knows he has a guy who can take the rock and covert.. IF Marine Mike were to struggle, Dayne is the guy who will step in...Dayne has looked good in his opportunity and the reports from training camp were all glowing. He has a good pedigree and Shanahan would be silly if he did not take another opportunity to see what he has in Dayne.I'm sure if we revisit this in 3 weeks, it'll all be much more clear.

 
I seriously think there is something wrong with me. I actually enjoy reading the Ron Dayne threads. ALL of them.

 
Apologies in advance, for I will certainly get the specifics wrong, but IIRC Denver has a nearly perfect record recently of having their leading rusher for the season *not* be the opening-day starter.

1999: TD got hurt > Olandis Gary went nuts

2000: Gary got hurt > Mike Anderson came out of nowhere

2001: TD started > Anderson finished

2002: Gary was ineffective > Portis blew up

2004: Q slipped > Droughns kicked tail

Only in 2003 was Portis the proverbial Man from start to finish.

Now injuries triggered some of these switches, no doubt. But there's plenty of history there to tell us Shanahan has no qualms about going with the #2 guy early in the year, and riding him to some whopping numbers.

Anyone who refuses to believe that Ron Dayne could (could) be the next guy to follow in this mold simply refuses to look at the situation, and the history, objectively.

 
BTW, this was funny...good job. I hope you aren't taking any of this too seriously. You seem a little intense on this discussion.
What makes me seem intense, exactly?Sorry, I mean WHAT, EXACTLY, MAKES ME SEEM INTENSE?!?!!!!?!!!1!!1!!!1!one! ;)

Sorry if I'm going on and on on the same point, but I feel very strongly on the issue. Ron Dayne will not start over a healthy Mike Anderson this season. Ron Dayne will not be involved in an RBBC with a healthy Mike Anderson this season. To me, suggesting that he would is as silly as suggesting that Mike Anderson would have been the #1 over a healthy Clinton Portis two years ago.

Yes, Quentin Griffin lost the Denver job last year due to poor performance. Quentin Griffin was never really suited for the Denver job. Mike Anderson is not only suited, he is BETTER suited than any other back on Denver's roster. Every other RB who has lost the job so far has done so because they got injured, such as Terrell Davis, or because there was another RB who was BETTER SUITED for the job behind them on the depth chart, such as Quentin Griffin and Olandis Gary. Notice I'm not listing Mike Anderson here. I don't think he lost the rushing job so much as he got moved over to FB because Denver needed someone reliable and he was the best suited guy on the roster (and there were other quality RBs to replace him with).

Mike Shanahan's philosophy is to get his best players on the field. Right now, that's Mike Anderson- as evidenced by Anderson getting 15 carries yesterday. When Anderson couldn't go anymore (whether it's because they were counting carries or Anderson himself said that he couldn't take it anymore or because they just reached an executive decision that he couldn't take it anymore, who knows), only then did they turn to Ron Dayne.

Again, the critical thing to remember is they actually USED Anderson on a very critical third-and-short on the game-winning drive. And he converted. It's not like they took him out after that conversion because they had doubts about him, or they would have used Dayne for that conversion, too. It's not like they took him out because they were disappointed in him, because he converted the down. The only explanation that makes any sense to me at all for taking Anderson out there is a carry count, whether an official count of the number of carries he's had, or just someone looking at him and saying "I think he's had enough for today".

Again, if Shanahan put Dayne in to spark the offense, why was Anderson in on the 3rd-and-2 on the game-winning drive? That's the one thing that everyone who is saying Shanny went with Dayne because he trusted Dayne more isn't accounting for. If Shanahan trusted Dayne more at the time, then why did Anderson run the 3rd-and-2?

The ONLY satisfactory reason I can think of why Anderson would have been pulled AFTER converting 3rd-and-short is that the coaching staff decided he'd had enough punishment for the day.

Again, sorry if I'm harping on the same thing over and over, but I feel very strongly on this issue. I could easily just let it slide and ignore it, but I feel strongly enough that I'm going above and beyond, going out on a limb and risking potential embarassment. I'm putting my reputation on the line right here, because I feel like I can save some footballguys from making a grave error. It would be very easy for me to just smile and nod and say "you may be right" to the people who are speculating that Shanny trusts Dayne more, but I strongly believe that that's not the case. This is Mike Anderson's job in Denver, and I could certainly be mistaken, but I don't see any way that it ceases to be Mike Anderson's job in Denver, short of an injury that prevents him from suiting up.

 
This thread needs to be on the first pageI'm swiping up Dayne now - Anderson doesn't put up good numbers next week its Ronnie Rayne timeNever underestimate Shanny's ego - he'd love to make Dayne into a feature back and stick it to the league."See I can take anyone and make them a 1000 yard rusher"

 
I'm putting my reputation on the line right here, because I feel like I can save some footballguys from making a grave error.
I appreciate your conviction, but what grave error do you think we're going to make? I don't believe anyone is saying we should cut (or even trade) Anderson. I think the only potential mistake is in NOT picking up Dayne. Even if there's only a slight chance of him becoming the #1 back, why not add him to the roster as insurance?Do you think it's a grave error for owners to sit Anderson on the bench until he has a productive game? That's probably what I'll do.

I have both Anderson and Dayne in both of my leagues and am just waiting/hoping for either one to emerge as a good RB3. :tumbleweed:

 
I appreciate your conviction, but what grave error do you think we're going to make? I don't believe anyone is saying we should cut (or even trade) Anderson.
I've seen several people advocate just that strategy. One person cut Mike Anderson instead of Ricky Williams.Also, picking up Dayne off of waivers in most leagues is one thing (smart move :thumbup: ), but trading for Dayne is quite another, as is grabbing Dayne in a league with a limited number of transactions. If you're going to trade for Dayne, don't overestimate his value. I see him as very comparable to a Derrick Blaylock at the moment. If your league has a limited number of transactions, I'd sit back and wait a couple of weeks before making a move and potentially wasting a transaction, unless you're really hurting and you don't think he'll last.

Also, the main point I'm making isn't that people are overvaluing Dayne (although many are), it's that they're UNDERvaluing Anderson. They're recommending going for Dayne, when I think Anderson is the really smart play, since his perceived value is at the lowest it'll be for the season, imo.

 
This thread needs to be on the first page

I'm swiping up Dayne now - Anderson doesn't put up good numbers next week its Ronnie Rayne time

Never underestimate Shanny's ego - he'd love to make Dayne into a feature back and stick it to the league.

"See I can take anyone and make them a 1000 yard rusher"
I'm curious where everyone gets this idea that Shanahan has this huge ego to stoke. Could someone please give me an example of Shanahan doing something, ANYTHING, simply to please his ego?If Shanny's Ego is such a big deal, why did he cut Maurice Clarett and call drafting him a mistake? The safer move would have been to stash Clarett on the practice squad and cut him in a year or so. He certainly would get far less criticism for it, and his ego wouldn't suffer such a blow. But he didn't do that, now did he? Because he's not concerned with stroking his ego, he's concerned with doing what gives his football team the best chance of winning.

 
I'm curious where everyone gets this idea that Shanahan has this huge ego to stoke. Could someone please give me an example of Shanahan doing something, ANYTHING, simply to please his ego?
Dumping Deltha O'NealDrafting Clarett in rd 3Cutting Mauck & keeping BVP as Plummer's backup (and only other) QB on the rosterDrafting Willie Middlebrooks & then wasting a roster spot on him for -what - 4 years?Not re-signing Bert BerrySigning Jerry Rice and wasting time & a roster spot on him.Not admitting that he has been a huge failure as a GMI could think of a ton more given time.
 
Dumping Deltha O'Neal
He admitted that his first round pick at CB was an utter failure. I don't see how this classifies as an ego stroke.
Drafting Clarett in rd 3
Parcells said he would have taken him in the fourth, so this is just like reaching a bit on a player in fantasy because you like him and know he won't fall to your next pick.The ego stroke move would be NOT admitting that it was a mistake afterwards.

Cutting Mauck & keeping BVP as Plummer's backup (and only other) QB on the roster
I know you're the founding member of the Matt Mauck fan club, but how is keeping one 7th round QB over another 7th round QB an ego stroke? And how is only keeping 2 QBs on the roster an ego stroke? Shanahan has gone that 2-QB-only route for 3 straight seasons now, and you aren't calling the other two times he did it an ego stroke. To me, it just looks like a gamble (get an extra roster spot, but sacrifice depth at QB). I make similar gambles in fantasy football. For instance, in a Yahoo league, I have 6 backup RBs and 0 backup QBs. That's not me stroking me ego, that's just me deciding the best distribution of my roster spaces.
Drafting Willie Middlebrooks & then wasting a roster spot on him for -what - 4 years?
So... wait, holding on to Middlebrooks was an ego stroke, but letting go of O'Neal was also an ego stroke? From the sound of it, Shanahan making bad decisions in the draft is an ego stroke. He reaches on Clarett, ego stroke. He drafts O'Neal and dumps him, ego stroke. He drafts Middlebrooks and keeps him, ego stroke.
Not re-signing Bert Berry
Why would he resign Bert Berry when he had Reggie Hayward on the roster and ready to shine for 1/5th the cost?
Signing Jerry Rice and wasting time & a roster spot on him.
This one... possibly. I look at it as getting some veteran depth to a receiving corps that, before last season, had a combined six receptions outside of its two main guys. And it didn't work out, and Rice moved on. And he picked up David Terrell. Is that an ego stroke, too?
Not admitting that he has been a huge failure as a GM
Has he been a huge failure as a GM? Denver has more players that it drafted prior to 2001 still on its roster than any other team in the league, so it looks like he's had more long-term successes in the draft than any other GM in the league (and he's been able to manage the cap to keep them around, unlike the Ravens and Titans). He's had ridiculous success drafting RBs and LBs. He's had no success with CBs and little success with QBs or DEs. His free agency record is spotted, producing such busts as Daryl Gardner as well as such steals as Eddie McCaffrey, Rod Smith, Lenny Walls, Kelly Herndon, Marco Coleman, Donnie Spragan, and Reuben Droughns. Has he been the best GM in the league? Absolutely not. I would contend that he's been in the top 50%, though, which is a far cry from "huge failure".Besides, he's not even the GM. Ted Sundquist has been the GM since 2001. And, coincidentally, Denver's GM record was REMARKABLY better prior to 2001 than it has been since 2001. Prior to 2001 when he was the GM, he landed Trevor Pryce, Al Wilson, Terrell Davis, Mike Anderson, Rod Smith, Ed McCaffrey, etc. etc. etc., with Dale Carter being his only notable whiff. Most of the memorable Denver failures have come since Sundquist took over... so are you so sure it's Shanny that's the problem?

I could think of a ton more given time.
I'll give you the time. For now, it just looks like every move that didn't work out you are automatically labeling as an ego stroke. Well, Bellichick drafted 7 consecutive players in the 2001 draft that are no longer in the NFL. Was that an ego stroke? He picked up David Terrell and then released him (and took a bigger cap hit than Denver did when it released Clarett), was that an ego stroke?Again, if Shanahan were they type to stroke his ego, why would he try to switch O'Neal to WR? Why would he cut Clarett and call the selection a mistake? How do those two moves stroke his ego in any way?

Some people called picking up Ron Dayne a stroke to Shanny's ego. 2 weeks into the season, it's looking like a brilliant move, and people are arguing whether he'll be the next starting RB in Denver. Just goes to show what people know.

 
Again it was only a matter time before the Great Dayne got his chance. This Monday we could really be getting an solid look at what he can do for a good chunk of the game.Quoting Shanny-"Everybody's going to get a chance to play some," Broncos coach Mike Shanahan said. "I can't tell you exactly what our plan is. We have to decide it ourselves." He doesn't want to say it just yet but he's gameplanning with the Great one for a good chunk of PT. The ground game seemed to come alive with him in there and the line looked like the line of old. GO GREAT ONE! :boxing:

 

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