There's nothing weird. A lot of times when something traumatic happens to an athlete, they come back stronger than they were. I mean heck, look at Lance Armstrong. He came back from cancer and won all kinds of Tour de Frances. It is very possible with lots of dedication and hard work.The interesting thing to me about possible cheating allegations is that no one really came out and cast suspicion on AP, because the general consensus was that he was "superhuman", a physical freak etc. The same sentiment is prevalent in discussions about RG3. Now it seems like everyone is way "ahead of schedule" with seripous injuries, whether it's Scott Chandler or Kobe Bryant in the NBA recovering from an achilles injury that should be devastaing for an athlete of his age (but again, he's a great athlete, the ultimate competitor etc so we don't ask any questions). Has medical science with these injuries improved that much in 2 years to the point where these are no longer really significant injuries? Does being a physical freak really factor into anything if even average (by pro standards) athletes are month ahead of schedule? Are we just turning a blind eye to HGH use in recovery? There's something weird going on here.
Decent Bill Simmons article on the topic of PEDs in sports:The interesting thing to me about possible cheating allegations is that no one really came out and cast suspicion on AP, because the general consensus was that he was "superhuman", a physical freak etc. The same sentiment is prevalent in discussions about RG3. Now it seems like everyone is way "ahead of schedule" with seripous injuries, whether it's Scott Chandler or Kobe Bryant in the NBA recovering from an achilles injury that should be devastaing for an athlete of his age (but again, he's a great athlete, the ultimate competitor etc so we don't ask any questions). Has medical science with these injuries improved that much in 2 years to the point where these are no longer really significant injuries? Does being a physical freak really factor into anything if even average (by pro standards) athletes are month ahead of schedule? Are we just turning a blind eye to HGH use in recovery? There's something weird going on here.
Beating a life threatening disease and coming back stronger is a lot different then beating a knee injury or any non life threatening injury and coming back stronger.kutta said:There's nothing weird. A lot of times when something traumatic happens to an athlete, they come back stronger than they were. I mean heck, look at Lance Armstrong. He came back from cancer and won all kinds of Tour de Frances. It is very possible with lots of dedication and hard work.RushHour said:The interesting thing to me about possible cheating allegations is that no one really came out and cast suspicion on AP, because the general consensus was that he was "superhuman", a physical freak etc. The same sentiment is prevalent in discussions about RG3. Now it seems like everyone is way "ahead of schedule" with seripous injuries, whether it's Scott Chandler or Kobe Bryant in the NBA recovering from an achilles injury that should be devastaing for an athlete of his age (but again, he's a great athlete, the ultimate competitor etc so we don't ask any questions). Has medical science with these injuries improved that much in 2 years to the point where these are no longer really significant injuries? Does being a physical freak really factor into anything if even average (by pro standards) athletes are month ahead of schedule? Are we just turning a blind eye to HGH use in recovery? There's something weird going on here.
Doug Martin ranked second in the NFL in rushing yards after contact in 2012, behind only Adrian Peterson.
The gap between Peterson and Martin was large -- AP had 1,109 yards after contact to Muscle Hamster's 683 -- but Martin outperformed more well-known backs like Arian Foster, Marshawn Lynch, Frank Gore, Steven Jackson, Jamaal Charles, Ray Rice, and Chris Johnson in this area. It's more confirmation that Martin is the real deal. He's locked in as Rotoworld's No. 2 fantasy back for 2013.
Source: ESPN.com
It's impossible to say with any clarity at all if he cheated.RushHour said:The interesting thing to me about possible cheating allegations is that no one really came out and cast suspicion on AP, because the general consensus was that he was "superhuman", a physical freak etc. The same sentiment is prevalent in discussions about RG3. Now it seems like everyone is way "ahead of schedule" with seripous injuries, whether it's Scott Chandler or Kobe Bryant in the NBA recovering from an achilles injury that should be devastaing for an athlete of his age (but again, he's a great athlete, the ultimate competitor etc so we don't ask any questions). Has medical science with these injuries improved that much in 2 years to the point where these are no longer really significant injuries? Does being a physical freak really factor into anything if even average (by pro standards) athletes are month ahead of schedule? Are we just turning a blind eye to HGH use in recovery? There's something weird going on here.
How many players have come back from a catastrophic injury in less than a full season and elevated their game to a level that far exceeds their career averages? Peterson averaged 4.8, 4.4, 4.6, and 4.6 YPC in the four seasons prior to his injury. He tore his ACL and MCL, came back in less than 10 months, and shattered his career YPC average and yardage records. 2097 rushing yards at 6.0 YPC is crazy stuff. No one in the league compares when you look at the combination of workload and efficiency.It is just not useful or necessary to accuse a player such as Peterson of doing something while not making the same statements about other players.
I have known u for a long time EBF. This is just pure hate and I wish you would stop. Otherwise litter every post you make with the "possibility" of that player juicing so at least you are being consistent. Saying it only about Peterson to be quite honest pisses me off.
You've made this claim several times now in various threads. I know this board is littered with opinions. speculation etc. but accusing a player of cheating with no proof, trail (or even rumors) is probably not that great a thing to be posting.As far as Peterson goes, I definitely have trouble buying his "miraculous" comeback. It reminds me a lot of when Barry Bonds started juicing and his stats exploded. He had always been a great HoF caliber player, but with certain "enhancements" he became the best hitter the game had ever seen. Peterson's 2012 season has a similar feel to the steroids Bonds era.
Earlier this summer, Buccaneers guard Carl Nicks said that the toe injury that cost him the second half of last season was one that he would have to deal with his whole life.
The implication was that Nicks and the Bucs would have to manage his workload as a result of the injury in order to keep Nicks on the field, but they’ll need to get him back on the field first. Buccaneers coach Greg Schiano announced at his press conference Monday that Nicks is out indefinitely as a result of an blister on his toes that got infected. Nicks is currently being treated by doctors, but the only sense that Schiano offered in terms of a timeframe was that playing in Week One is a realistic possibility.
While it’s not the same injury that kept Nicks out last season, it’s hardly a positive development for a player who already has enough on his plate when it comes to foot injuries.
One of the biggest reasons to expect a better offensive performance for the Bucs this season was that they would have Nicks and Davin Joseph back as their starting guards after both missed major amounts of time last season. Joseph has started ramping up his workload after the torn patellar tendon that sidelined him all last season, but Nicks’ toe issue is one that’s making it hard to count on him for 16 games this season.
I think he's juicing as well and it's kind of silly to say he needs proof before offering that opinion. How does one get proof when NFL players are not even tested? As for rumors, plenty going around to the point AP was specifically asked and of course denied.You've made this claim several times now in various threads. I know this board is littered with opinions. speculation etc. but accusing a player of cheating with no proof, trail (or even rumors) is probably not that great a thing to be posting.As far as Peterson goes, I definitely have trouble buying his "miraculous" comeback. It reminds me a lot of when Barry Bonds started juicing and his stats exploded. He had always been a great HoF caliber player, but with certain "enhancements" he became the best hitter the game had ever seen. Peterson's 2012 season has a similar feel to the steroids Bonds era.
First of all, a career year is a career year and should be higher than normal and he should regress back as well. There was a CJ1K article on grantland talking about how the reason CJ had over 2000 yards was because of long TD runs, he had 7 over 30 yards, including I think 3 over 85. It also mentioned that ADP had 4 30+ yard TD runs (61, 64, 82 and 82). Just by looking at his game log he also had long runs of 51 and 74. Now, I don't like removing carries, but something tells me that 6-414 for 69ypc had a lot more impact on his yards per carry, same as CJs 3 carries for 250+ yards. ADP averaged 4.9 ypc on the other 342 carries, which isn't much above his average.Decent Bill Simmons article on the topic of PEDs in sports:The interesting thing to me about possible cheating allegations is that no one really came out and cast suspicion on AP, because the general consensus was that he was "superhuman", a physical freak etc. The same sentiment is prevalent in discussions about RG3. Now it seems like everyone is way "ahead of schedule" with seripous injuries, whether it's Scott Chandler or Kobe Bryant in the NBA recovering from an achilles injury that should be devastaing for an athlete of his age (but again, he's a great athlete, the ultimate competitor etc so we don't ask any questions). Has medical science with these injuries improved that much in 2 years to the point where these are no longer really significant injuries? Does being a physical freak really factor into anything if even average (by pro standards) athletes are month ahead of schedule? Are we just turning a blind eye to HGH use in recovery? There's something weird going on here.
http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/8904906/daring-ask-ped-question
That's part of what got me thinking about Peterson's season.
Here are some other recent monster seasons by a RB. The 4th stat for each player is the differential between his "career year" YPC and his YPC in all prior seasons. So if a player had a career YPC average of 4.0 before his "career year" season and averaged 5.0 in that year, he would be a +1.0.
Jamal Lewis 2003 - 387 carries, 2066 yards, 5.3 YPC (+0.9)
LaDainian Tomlinson 2006 - 348 carries, 1815 yards, 5.2 YPC (+0.9)
Chris Johnson 2009 - 358 carries, 2006 yards, 5.6 YPC, (+.0.7)
Adrian Peterson 2012 - 348 carries, 2097 yards, 6.0 YPC, (+1.2)
Even by typical "career year" standards, Peterson's 2012 was abnormally good. He beat his career average YPC by 1.2, which is greater than any of these other players. He played out of his mind. That could be random variance and/or natural maturity, or it could be one or two of those things in conjunction with PED use. What Bonds did in baseball shows what can happen when you take a player who is already at the very top of the game and you pump him full of the best drugs on the market. Total statistical insanity.
In terms of Peterson's FF outlook, it's worth pointing out that every one of Lewis, Tomlinson, and Johnson experienced a significant drop in YPC the following season. -1.3 for Johnson, -1.0 for Lewis, and -0.5 for Tomlinson. The same thing happened to Arian Foster after his best season and Larry Johnson after both of his 1700+ yard seasons.
If Peterson is using PEDs that those guys didn't have access to/weren't taking then he might be less prone to regression. One of the main stated benefits of PEDs is that they help you recover faster, so it's possible that the typical wear and tear might take less of a toll on players who are using. I don't really know if he's clean or not. I'd guess that he probably isn't, and that might help prolong his career and boost his stats ala Bonds. I'd still bet on his YPC sagging by 0.8-1.6 next season. That would put him on par with the Peterson of 2008-2011, who was still a very good FF RB, but not the slam dunk RB1 that he's being touted as right now.
You always see people go bonkers overdrafting players after they have this type of "career year" season (like 2004 Peyton, 2006 LT, 2007 Moss, and 2009 CJ3). The result is usually mild-to-medium disappointment. Career years are rare by definition and even a great player like Peterson will struggle to sustain the kind of level that he showed in 2012. As I always like to say, "You don't get credit for last year's stats this year." Something to remember when you're on the clock this season.
Honestly, it is a pretty dumb accusation. Sure, it is possible to be right, but the only reason rumors are going around is because of baseball and the fact that we are a twitter society. If EBF decided to actually look at the 2000 yard seasons and the rest of those RB careers, he would see that historically, they are all around 1ypc different than the next best seasons. As I posted above, it tends to be a handful of plays where you break long TD runs that takes really good seasons and elevates them to all time seasons. I pointed out Dickerson and Jim Brown's best season (would have been 2000+ in today's 16 game season) was 2.1 ypc better than his prior season and 1.2 ypc better than his next season. Was Jim Brown juicing? Would you be shocked to know his longest run of his career was in that season? I would bet that every one of these career best seasons is the career best ypc by a good amount (even a half yard above the 2nd best is a big change). Whether it is PED driven, no one knows, but it sure seems like even as far back as 50 years ago, RBs were having all time best seasons in most part due to breaking off more long runs than normal, so saying he is juicing based on a career year is sort of baseless.I think he's juicing as well and it's kind of silly to say he needs proof before offering that opinion. How does one get proof when NFL players are not even tested? As for rumors, plenty going around to the point AP was specifically asked and of course denied.You've made this claim several times now in various threads. I know this board is littered with opinions. speculation etc. but accusing a player of cheating with no proof, trail (or even rumors) is probably not that great a thing to be posting.As far as Peterson goes, I definitely have trouble buying his "miraculous" comeback. It reminds me a lot of when Barry Bonds started juicing and his stats exploded. He had always been a great HoF caliber player, but with certain "enhancements" he became the best hitter the game had ever seen. Peterson's 2012 season has a similar feel to the steroids Bonds era.
As far as I'm concerned until the NFLPA submits to HGH and other performance enhancing drug tests speculation on who is juicing is fair game.
Was Eric Dickerson and Jim Brown 9 months removed from ACL surgery?Honestly, it is a pretty dumb accusation. Sure, it is possible to be right, but the only reason rumors are going around is because of baseball and the fact that we are a twitter society. If EBF decided to actually look at the 2000 yard seasons and the rest of those RB careers, he would see that historically, they are all around 1ypc different than the next best seasons. As I posted above, it tends to be a handful of plays where you break long TD runs that takes really good seasons and elevates them to all time seasons. I pointed out Dickerson and Jim Brown's best season (would have been 2000+ in today's 16 game season) was 2.1 ypc better than his prior season and 1.2 ypc better than his next season. Was Jim Brown juicing? Would you be shocked to know his longest run of his career was in that season? I would bet that every one of these career best seasons is the career best ypc by a good amount (even a half yard above the 2nd best is a big change). Whether it is PED driven, no one knows, but it sure seems like even as far back as 50 years ago, RBs were having all time best seasons in most part due to breaking off more long runs than normal, so saying he is juicing based on a career year is sort of baseless.I think he's juicing as well and it's kind of silly to say he needs proof before offering that opinion. How does one get proof when NFL players are not even tested? As for rumors, plenty going around to the point AP was specifically asked and of course denied.You've made this claim several times now in various threads. I know this board is littered with opinions. speculation etc. but accusing a player of cheating with no proof, trail (or even rumors) is probably not that great a thing to be posting.As far as Peterson goes, I definitely have trouble buying his "miraculous" comeback. It reminds me a lot of when Barry Bonds started juicing and his stats exploded. He had always been a great HoF caliber player, but with certain "enhancements" he became the best hitter the game had ever seen. Peterson's 2012 season has a similar feel to the steroids Bonds era.
As far as I'm concerned until the NFLPA submits to HGH and other performance enhancing drug tests speculation on who is juicing is fair game.
LOL, keep trying. If Jim Brown and Eric Dickerson had ACL surgery, their careers would have most likely been over. RG3 is coming back from ACL surgery in the same timeframe. I don't think Welker missed a single game. Charles was back the next season. Demaryius Thomas came back well from an achilles injury that not that long ago was considered a career ender. Michael Crabtree has been discussed about possibly coming back this year from an achilles injury. Do you think Willis McGahee has a career if he was injured 10 years prior? Marcus Latimore anyone? Medical science is way beyond where it was. All those injuries above to Jim Brown or Dickerson and they never play another down.Was Eric Dickerson and Jim Brown 9 months removed from ACL surgery?Honestly, it is a pretty dumb accusation. Sure, it is possible to be right, but the only reason rumors are going around is because of baseball and the fact that we are a twitter society. If EBF decided to actually look at the 2000 yard seasons and the rest of those RB careers, he would see that historically, they are all around 1ypc different than the next best seasons. As I posted above, it tends to be a handful of plays where you break long TD runs that takes really good seasons and elevates them to all time seasons. I pointed out Dickerson and Jim Brown's best season (would have been 2000+ in today's 16 game season) was 2.1 ypc better than his prior season and 1.2 ypc better than his next season. Was Jim Brown juicing? Would you be shocked to know his longest run of his career was in that season? I would bet that every one of these career best seasons is the career best ypc by a good amount (even a half yard above the 2nd best is a big change). Whether it is PED driven, no one knows, but it sure seems like even as far back as 50 years ago, RBs were having all time best seasons in most part due to breaking off more long runs than normal, so saying he is juicing based on a career year is sort of baseless.I think he's juicing as well and it's kind of silly to say he needs proof before offering that opinion. How does one get proof when NFL players are not even tested? As for rumors, plenty going around to the point AP was specifically asked and of course denied.You've made this claim several times now in various threads. I know this board is littered with opinions. speculation etc. but accusing a player of cheating with no proof, trail (or even rumors) is probably not that great a thing to be posting.As far as Peterson goes, I definitely have trouble buying his "miraculous" comeback. It reminds me a lot of when Barry Bonds started juicing and his stats exploded. He had always been a great HoF caliber player, but with certain "enhancements" he became the best hitter the game had ever seen. Peterson's 2012 season has a similar feel to the steroids Bonds era.
As far as I'm concerned until the NFLPA submits to HGH and other performance enhancing drug tests speculation on who is juicing is fair game.
Only thing dumb is your post.
I don't think it's a certainty. Only a possibility.EBF is trying to say his career year had to be juicing and I disagree. His career year is due to 6 long runs, period. Did he juice to get back from the injury? Maybe he did, but there sure seems to be a lot more examples every year with these miraculous recoveries with hard work and training due to big advances in medical science and due to a billion dollar business that puts a lot more resources into getting its best players healthy ASAP.
Within the realm of possibility is <> your quote of:I don't think it's a certainty. Only a possibility.EBF is trying to say his career year had to be juicing and I disagree. His career year is due to 6 long runs, period. Did he juice to get back from the injury? Maybe he did, but there sure seems to be a lot more examples every year with these miraculous recoveries with hard work and training due to big advances in medical science and due to a billion dollar business that puts a lot more resources into getting its best players healthy ASAP.
When a player tears his ACL and MCL in late December and comes back in 9 months playing way better than he ever has before, I think some suspicions are warranted. Players cheat in other sports like cycling and track. Why wouldn't they also cheat in football? McGwire, Sosa, Bonds, and countless others cheated in baseball. Why is football above that? The stakes are just as high. There are millions of dollars at stake. A little chemical enhancement could be the difference between superstardom and anonymity. With that being the case, I'm sure there are many players around the league skirting the rules. Especially when you consider that the NFL's HGH testing policy is basically nonexistent. They're leaving the door wide open for exploitation.
I don't know if Peterson cheated, but it's well within the realm of possibility.
If Peterson went from looking like a tiny guy to looking like a monster then it would remind me of Bonds. I collected tons of baseball cards and the striking difference between Bonds coming into the league and HR hitting Bonds was ridiculous. Everyone knew he was juicing. ADP came into the league as a freak of nature with size and speed (217lbs running a 4.4 with a 38.5 inch vertical). He had the size speed/leaping ability that had you drooling. ADP was the guy you would expect to have the 2000 yard season. I can understand that the recovery seems miraculous, but within the past couple years, it really doesn't seem all that miraculous anymore. Just look at Charles, Welker and RG3 as examples.As far as Peterson goes, I definitely have trouble buying his "miraculous" comeback. It reminds me a lot of when Barry Bonds started juicing and his stats exploded.
I am definitely disappointed to see that Carl Nicks is out indefinitely. :(I think Martin is going to have a good year, but we have to remember that he is without his top two offensive linemen right now. Just like last year. I was really looking forward to seeing him run behind the healthy line this year, but I don't know if we will see it.
Worst season for injuries I can remember, and we aren't even halfway through. Those who drafted great depth will be rewarded.Yes, it is
I actually think you CAN learn something from this.Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
Pretty much.Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
Uh...what?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
Richardson
Chris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
My boy, Forte, is still rolling though.Pretty much.Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
I couldn't believe the "value" I got on Chris Johnson this summer. Thought I stole him in (I think it was) the 4th round of a 12-teamer. But you watch him now, and it's comical. Outside of a couple of dump passes that he took for TD in the past few weeks, he looks nothing like the guy who made his owners giddy for a few years. It's like someone else put his uniform on.
When they hit the wall, it goes downhill fast.
Indeed. You can thank Trestman for that. Forte finally has a coach who utilizes his skill set to perfection.My boy, Forte, is still rolling though.Pretty much.Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
I couldn't believe the "value" I got on Chris Johnson this summer. Thought I stole him in (I think it was) the 4th round of a 12-teamer. But you watch him now, and it's comical. Outside of a couple of dump passes that he took for TD in the past few weeks, he looks nothing like the guy who made his owners giddy for a few years. It's like someone else put his uniform on.
When they hit the wall, it goes downhill fast.
I'm talking FANTASY stats. Real life, yeah those stats look good, but look at the trend:Uh...what?1,460+ yards from scrimmage 5 years in a row isn't doing much? What have you been smoking?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
RichardsonChris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
Glad I saw that one... And Murray. Injury aside I've been cashing in on receptions this seasonIndeed. You can thank Trestman for that. Forte finally has a coach who utilizes his skill set to perfection.My boy, Forte, is still rolling though.Pretty much.Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
I couldn't believe the "value" I got on Chris Johnson this summer. Thought I stole him in (I think it was) the 4th round of a 12-teamer. But you watch him now, and it's comical. Outside of a couple of dump passes that he took for TD in the past few weeks, he looks nothing like the guy who made his owners giddy for a few years. It's like someone else put his uniform on.
When they hit the wall, it goes downhill fast.
Yeah, they take a beating, but I think the really good ones can be relied on for 4-5 years of very good numbers.Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
I'm talking fantasy stats too.I'm talking FANTASY stats. Real life, yeah those stats look good, but look at the trend:Uh...what?1,460+ yards from scrimmage 5 years in a row isn't doing much? What have you been smoking?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
RichardsonChris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
2008d (rookie year): 4 games over 100. Correct me if I'm wrong but he was sharing the load with Len-Whale that year.
2009: (his big year) : 12 games over 100 yards rushing, the others two were over 80.
2010: 8 games over 100 yards rushing. The other games failed to crack 70. Not real great for what many thought could be the #1 RB
2011: 4 games over 100 yards rushing. Again, the other games failed to crack 70
2012: 5 games over 100 yards rushing, cracked over 70 only 3 others
2013: 0 games over 100 yards rushing.
The guy is the Chad Johnson of RBs. Scores points barely enough for starting most weeks, but every so often he goes crazy with 120+ yards and a score or two so you have to start him. Boom or bust.
Sorry, but I would rather have someone more consistent as my RB 1. After his second full season with TN people were bonkers over him.
I'm not saying he's a bust, but he leaves a LOT to be desired most of the weeks he plays. The trend is not friendly: went from 12 to 8 to 4.5 games over 100. Yards. He has 9 games left. That means half of his remaining games need to be 100 plus to maintain his last two years. Think that's going to happen?
MJD didn't have more than 2-3 years if I'm not mistaken... Again, I'm talking off the top of my head here. But I get your point.Yeah, they take a beating, but I think the really good ones can be relied on for 4-5 years of very good numbers.Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
Rice, MJD, Forte, Johnson, Lynch, McCoy, Peterson, Bush, Gore, and Jackson have been around for a while now and have been pretty useful for much of that time.
I think Martin is in the same ballpark as most of those guys from a talent perspective and since he's only 24 I expect at least 3-4 more good seasons.
Johnson is RB14 in my standard non-PPR league. He has been a solid RB2 with only 2 stinkers vs the Jets and Seahawks which was expected.I'm talking fantasy stats too.Rushing yards and receiving yards count for fantasyI'm talking FANTASY stats. Real life, yeah those stats look good, but look at the trend:Uh...what?1,460+ yards from scrimmage 5 years in a row isn't doing much? What have you been smoking?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
RichardsonChris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
2008d (rookie year): 4 games over 100. Correct me if I'm wrong but he was sharing the load with Len-Whale that year.
2009: (his big year) : 12 games over 100 yards rushing, the others two were over 80.
2010: 8 games over 100 yards rushing. The other games failed to crack 70. Not real great for what many thought could be the #1 RB
2011: 4 games over 100 yards rushing. Again, the other games failed to crack 70
2012: 5 games over 100 yards rushing, cracked over 70 only 3 others
2013: 0 games over 100 yards rushing.
The guy is the Chad Johnson of RBs. Scores points barely enough for starting most weeks, but every so often he goes crazy with 120+ yards and a score or two so you have to start him. Boom or bust.
Sorry, but I would rather have someone more consistent as my RB 1. After his second full season with TN people were bonkers over him.
I'm not saying he's a bust, but he leaves a LOT to be desired most of the weeks he plays. The trend is not friendly: went from 12 to 8 to 4.5 games over 100. Yards. He has 9 games left. That means half of his remaining games need to be 100 plus to maintain his last two years. Think that's going to happen?
1,460+ YFS in real life is 1,460 YFS in fantasy.
And there is a huge difference between not living up to a 2,000 yard rushing season, or not living up to #1 overall RB expectation, and "not doing much"
Talk to any Chris Johnson owner and they'll say they struggle with the question on of they should drop him... That's not a rb1.I'm talking fantasy stats too.Rushing yards and receiving yards count for fantasyI'm talking FANTASY stats. Real life, yeah those stats look good, but look at the trend:Uh...what?1,460+ yards from scrimmage 5 years in a row isn't doing much? What have you been smoking?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
RichardsonChris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
2008d (rookie year): 4 games over 100. Correct me if I'm wrong but he was sharing the load with Len-Whale that year.
2009: (his big year) : 12 games over 100 yards rushing, the others two were over 80.
2010: 8 games over 100 yards rushing. The other games failed to crack 70. Not real great for what many thought could be the #1 RB
2011: 4 games over 100 yards rushing. Again, the other games failed to crack 70
2012: 5 games over 100 yards rushing, cracked over 70 only 3 others
2013: 0 games over 100 yards rushing.
The guy is the Chad Johnson of RBs. Scores points barely enough for starting most weeks, but every so often he goes crazy with 120+ yards and a score or two so you have to start him. Boom or bust.
Sorry, but I would rather have someone more consistent as my RB 1. After his second full season with TN people were bonkers over him.
I'm not saying he's a bust, but he leaves a LOT to be desired most of the weeks he plays. The trend is not friendly: went from 12 to 8 to 4.5 games over 100. Yards. He has 9 games left. That means half of his remaining games need to be 100 plus to maintain his last two years. Think that's going to happen?
1,460+ YFS in real life is 1,460 YFS in fantasy.
And there is a huge difference between not living up to a 2,000 yard rushing season, or not living up to #1 overall RB expectation, and "not doing much"
18 in my PPR league, but we have some favorable return stat points, so there are a few no names on that list that many others probably haven't heard of.Johnson is RB14 in my standard non-PPR league. He has been a solid RB2 with only 2 stinkers vs the Jets and Seahawks which was expected.I'm talking fantasy stats too.Rushing yards and receiving yards count for fantasyI'm talking FANTASY stats. Real life, yeah those stats look good, but look at the trend:Uh...what?1,460+ yards from scrimmage 5 years in a row isn't doing much? What have you been smoking?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
RichardsonChris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
2008d (rookie year): 4 games over 100. Correct me if I'm wrong but he was sharing the load with Len-Whale that year.
2009: (his big year) : 12 games over 100 yards rushing, the others two were over 80.
2010: 8 games over 100 yards rushing. The other games failed to crack 70. Not real great for what many thought could be the #1 RB
2011: 4 games over 100 yards rushing. Again, the other games failed to crack 70
2012: 5 games over 100 yards rushing, cracked over 70 only 3 others
2013: 0 games over 100 yards rushing.
The guy is the Chad Johnson of RBs. Scores points barely enough for starting most weeks, but every so often he goes crazy with 120+ yards and a score or two so you have to start him. Boom or bust.
Sorry, but I would rather have someone more consistent as my RB 1. After his second full season with TN people were bonkers over him.
I'm not saying he's a bust, but he leaves a LOT to be desired most of the weeks he plays. The trend is not friendly: went from 12 to 8 to 4.5 games over 100. Yards. He has 9 games left. That means half of his remaining games need to be 100 plus to maintain his last two years. Think that's going to happen?
1,460+ YFS in real life is 1,460 YFS in fantasy.
And there is a huge difference between not living up to a 2,000 yard rushing season, or not living up to #1 overall RB expectation, and "not doing much"
You could do a lot worse.
1. I am a Chris Johnson owner, I am aware. (not in my main league, RB2 in another league)Talk to any Chris Johnson owner and they'll say they struggle with the question on of they should drop him... That's not a rb1.I'm talking fantasy stats too.Rushing yards and receiving yards count for fantasyI'm talking FANTASY stats. Real life, yeah those stats look good, but look at the trend:Uh...what?1,460+ yards from scrimmage 5 years in a row isn't doing much? What have you been smoking?I actually think you CAN learn something from this.One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
RichardsonChris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL
2008d (rookie year): 4 games over 100. Correct me if I'm wrong but he was sharing the load with Len-Whale that year.
2009: (his big year) : 12 games over 100 yards rushing, the others two were over 80.
2010: 8 games over 100 yards rushing. The other games failed to crack 70. Not real great for what many thought could be the #1 RB
2011: 4 games over 100 yards rushing. Again, the other games failed to crack 70
2012: 5 games over 100 yards rushing, cracked over 70 only 3 others
2013: 0 games over 100 yards rushing.
The guy is the Chad Johnson of RBs. Scores points barely enough for starting most weeks, but every so often he goes crazy with 120+ yards and a score or two so you have to start him. Boom or bust.
Sorry, but I would rather have someone more consistent as my RB 1. After his second full season with TN people were bonkers over him.
I'm not saying he's a bust, but he leaves a LOT to be desired most of the weeks he plays. The trend is not friendly: went from 12 to 8 to 4.5 games over 100. Yards. He has 9 games left. That means half of his remaining games need to be 100 plus to maintain his last two years. Think that's going to happen?
1,460+ YFS in real life is 1,460 YFS in fantasy.
And there is a huge difference between not living up to a 2,000 yard rushing season, or not living up to #1 overall RB expectation, and "not doing much"
Like I said, he's the chad Johnson of running backs. He will always have a sucker that bites.
If you want to split hairs over a few words I said, please be my guest. That's the epitome of why I stay away from these boards so much: you disagree with someone's opinion and they take it as a personal attack, or if you use the words "not doing much" instead of "not living up to rb1 expectations" and someone jumps down your throat.
I don't consider being drafted as a rb1 and performing to expectations only 4-5 games a year doing much. Your opinion may be different, that's great, but I'm not going to break down yor posts word for word and try to find one bad thing you may have mistyped. I've grown up past those days
What? He followed up his rookie season with a Top 5 and a Top 3 finish.I actually think you CAN learn something from this.Condolences to Martin owners, if his season is indeed over. Sucks royally.
Here's why fantasy football is so frustrating, and this is not to play Monday Morning QB... just stating facts. You could have made a fair case in August for Peterson, Martin or Charles to go 1.01. Even before Martin got hurt Sunday, these RBs had more points than him on the season in a PPR:
Charles
Forte
Lynch
McCoy
Moreno
Bush
F. Jackson
Peterson
Foster
Gore
Woodhead
Murray
Bernard
Bell
Sproles
C. Johnson
J. Rodgers
Morris
Mathews
Rice
P. Thomas
Like... WTF! So what have we learned here? RBs are now a dime a dozen? Wait on them like never before? Don't trust a guy with only one season under his belt? Don't trust anyone who plays for Greg Schiano? I dunno. It's a never-ending puzzle, this hobby of ours.
One thing I have been relatively big on is avoiding sophomore QBs. This season I broke that by going with Luck and it's worked out great (7-0)
I think the same can be said for *most* RBs
Foster... Great rookie year but what has he done since
Martin
Ridley
Richardson
Chris Johnson (not much after his second season)
Maybe I'm wrong but I know I'll probably avoid sophomore RBs from now on (can mark Lacy off my board next year), but at the very least we can learn what we already knew: RB has a very short life span. I think I read somewhere that the average RB has a 3 year life span in the nfl. Of course there are those that beat the odds: Emmit smith, Marshall Faulk, LT, AP, I'm sure I've missed others. But MOST RBs have a year or two and that's it.
Maybe that's the lesson to take from this. RBs are one of the biggest turn over positions in the NFL