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Again, i think in our 14 team league, he was a WR3. Many leagues are 10 and 12.you wont get him that cheapBowe ==even with Brodie slinging it. If you can get him for WR3 prices or cheaper I think he'll end up as a very nice bargain.
What is your evidence? How many rookies WRs post years like him, Colston, Moss? Aren't they all statistical anomalies?I am not saying Bowe will be the next Clayton necessarily; I am just trying to add some perspective by showing that just because a rookie has a great rookie year does not mean they will necessarily keep improving; they could regress significantly.
I don't want to turn this into a Clayton thread, but the discussion may be good for the discussion about Bowe. Has anyone ever heard a good description from someone about why Clayton declined like he did from his rookie performance? I never have.
He finished 24, so it's not like the guy finished 8 or 4. How far can he really decline from 24 with his ability without getting injured? He came into camp on the later side last year, which to me is why he started off a little slow and he came on making some very athletic plays.There's no scientific fact I can give you that would mean 100 percent sure thing, but just like handicapping a horse race....you go on probability. By looking at this guy, he looks like a candidate for improvement and maybe long term substantial improvement. Because Moss or Clayton did or did not regress has nothing to do with Bowe. Just like Secretariat and Arazi didn't have anything to do with the Green Monkey.
I generally agree with you, but there is something IMHO to the "sophomore slump" that can affect players. If you're prominent your rookie year, opposing teams will scheme more for you the following year causing you to have to adjust. Things often don't come as easily to 2nd year players as they did during their first year. Unlike Secretariat, you have players not just competing with you but actually defending against you, so it's a little different. I definitely agree, though, that to assume that a 2nd year decline is guaranteed is silly, and I happen to believe that Bowe is a supremely talented guy who will have an excellent career. My concern with Bowe is more centered around the relative lack of talent in that lineup overall that might take some focus away from him, especially because of the weak QB position.
Maybe LHUCKS was just a couple years too early on this prediction.
No link but I know that I have read/heard things from multiple sources that after Clayton's rookie season he fell in love with the night life. Drinking, clubbing, staying out instead of taking care of your body and putting in the work tend to expose you pretty quickly when you are competing against other elite athletes.
He's on quite a tear right now. Currently ranked the # 3 WR in Zealots format, behind Roddy & TO
