I guess seeing this post gave me some hope. Granted I don't agree with all of it. I think he gets a little carried away in this write up. But if even half of it is true then I'm happy with taking him at 19 in a rookie draft.
Jonathan Dwyer is starting to become one of my favorite rookie running backs coming out of the 2010 NFL Draft. He could very well end up being one of the biggest 2010 draft day steals when all is said and done. I know a lot of Rashard Mendenhall owners don't want to hear this -- And believe me, I was one of Mendy's biggest supporters during his rookie campaign -- But things change in the NFL and they change fast. Fantasy owners can either observe and react, or they get left behind. Am I suggesting that Mendy dynasty owners jump ship? No. Don't sell-low, but if you own Mendy right now, I advise that you either entertain selling high, or be sure to draft Jonathan Dwyer in your upcoming rookie draft at almost any cost. Jump on our FFX forums if you need to toss out those scenarios! Ok, so it's confession time... Coming out of college, I had Mendy pegged to be the next top 5-10 fantasy back -- then a shoulder injury struck. Mendy did bounce-back during his sophomore campaign and he started to show signs of brilliance. In 2009, he ended up rushing the ball 242 times for 1,108 yards (4.6) and 7TDs. He also added 25 receptions for 261 yards and a score. That's a fantastic sophomore season! After having such a productive sophomore season, Mendy was looking like a top 10RB lock heading into the early 2010 off-season -- That was until the Steelers struck gold and landed Jonathan Dwyer in the sixth-round of the 2010 NFL Draft. The Georgia Tech product has definitely walked into a back-up role to kick things off, but I see huge opportunity for Dwyer over in Pittsburgh... and there is almost no risk for those looking to invest (redraft or dynasty). Don't get me wrong, I'm not suggesting that Rashard Mendenhall will just hand the starting job over to Dwyer, nor am I suggesting that Mendenhall still can't be a top 10 overall talent himself... Mendy still has a shot at being that guy, but Dwyer is a force and he just complicated Mendy's chances of a permanent starting gig in Pittsburgh. I'm sorry Mendy owners, but it's true. The odds of Mendy dominating just got worse. The thing is, Dwyer is a beast-of-a-runner and was considered a first-round talent for much of the early 2010 NFL off-season. For some reason, Dwyer dropped on every team's draft board. Why? From what I can tell, the drop in draft stock can be attributed mainly to Dwyer testing positive for amphetamines at the NFL scouting combine, but as we have reported numerous times already on FFX, sources suggest that the positive test was the result of a medication that he takes for attention deficit disorder. While there could be some other mysterious medical issue we don't know about -- And believe me we're searching for it -- It appears that the Steelers stole Dwyer away from every other team in the NFL. Dwyer had no business falling to pick 188 in the 2010 NFL Draft. Again, Mendy is going to get his chance to lead that Steelers rushing attack in 2010, but make no mistake... Mendy will be looking over his shoulder the entire season. If he falters at all, or gets banged up early on in 2010, Dwyer might get shoved into the line-up and he may never let go of the starting gig once he gets it. In most cases, stud runners don't lose their job to injury, and they don't lose their job if they start off the year in slow fashion... Well, that won't be the case here. Dwyer, before the mysterious drop in draft value, was about as big a college prospect as Mendy ever was. Dwyer is not your typical back-up and the Steelers won't hesitate to stay with Dwyer if he steps in and succeeds. While Mendy has the size to be a between-the-tackles runner, and that's what Pittsburgh wants most of all, Dwyer might just fit into that role even better than Mendy. Dwyer is 6-1, 235 pounds and scored 27 total touchdowns in his final two college seasons. He also averaged 6.4 yards-per-carry during that span and ran for 1,395 yards in each of those final two campaigns. Dwyer could be the between-the-tackles runner the Steelers have been longing for since the Jerome Bettis days. Mendy can still be that top 15 overall back, but again, Dwyer's presence lessen the odds, that's all. In 2010 redraft leagues, I'm going to let someone else invest in Mendy and I'm going to be that owner that snags Jonathan Dwyer in the middle-to-late rounds... and in dynasty formats, I recommend selling high on Mendy if you still can, or as I said, draft Jonathan Dwyer in your upcoming rookie draft at almost any cost -- Landing Dwyer with Mendy will solve all of your problems if you're a Mendy dynasty owner.