First Tier
1. LeSean McCoy, RB, Pittsburgh
2. Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech
3. Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia
4. Shonn Greene, RB, Iowa
5. Percy Harvin, WR, Florida
6. Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri
7. Darrius Heyward-Bey, WR, Maryland
8. Chris Wells, RB, Ohio State
Second Tier
9. Donald Brown, RB, UConn
10. Hakeem Nicks, WR, North Carolina
11. Kenny Britt, WR, Rutgers
12. Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia
13. Mark Sanchez, QB, USC
Third Tier
14. Jarett Dillard, WR, Rice
15. Kory Sheets, RB, Purdue
16. Brandon Tate, WR, North Carolina
17. Andre Brown, RB, NC State
18. Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State
19. Cedric Peerman, RB, Virginia
20. Kenny McKinley, WR, South Carolina
21. Mohamed Massaquoi, WR, Georgia
22. Brian Robiskie, WR, Ohio State
23. Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State
24. Deon Butler, WR, Penn State
Great writeup.I'm starting to cool on McCoy, but he is still a potential RB1 in a PPR league given his versatility and ability to make people miss in the open field. I think his strength is a bit underrated, but I would like to see him prove it by maintaining his balance after big contact. At worst, this guy is Flex Jones, making him a solid 1st Round pick in any dynasty draft, but not a surefire #1 overall.
Crabtree is a natural talent and he will be #1 on my board unless he goes to Oakland and McCoy goes to Cleveland (or maybe 'Zona).
Moreno might have had an unspectacular performance at the combine, but I think he's a surefire RB2 in Year 1 if he goes to the right team. His toughness and natural shiftiness will get him playing time right away, and if he develops into a more patient runner, he should have at least a few years as a top 10 fantasy back.
Greene, I don't see as a bellcow back, at least not right away. His maturity has been questioned by scouts, and I'm not sure he will be drafted high enough to warrant him being given a shot to start in year 1. Sure the average NFL run is 4 yards, but coordinators are looking for a guy that can break the big one in a starting back. Greene is a punishing runner with great balance, but he does not offer the versatility (pass catching) to be a fantasy stud in a PPR league. Sure he could vulture alot of TDs on the right team, but I don't think he's as safe a pick as you suggest given the question marks.
Harvin also has alot of question marks as a pure WR prospect. Either he got really bad advice at the combine, or he's really not a natural hands catcher at all. To not run the pass-catching drills in my mind does not say alot. Nobody has very high expectations of him killing those drills, so why not at least compete to show you can maybe prove some people wrong. His strength is underrated by some, but as a receiver he lacks experience. And that will keep him from becoming a top 10-20 WR in PPR leagues, at least until he gains some valuable experience (like, 3 full seasons worth IMO). His raw speed and quickness warrant being picked high in any dynasty draft, but I see alot of risk there.
Maclin is a guy who should absolutely be ranked higher than Harvin (at least). He has the experience, speed, hands, and quicks you look for in a wideout. The only question in my mind is weather he has the mindset to put it all together and work hard on his route running. If he does that, there is nothing keeping him from being the next Torry Holt. God forbid his hyperextension is a sign of things to come... knock on wood.
DHB has Moss' size and deep speed, which is a downright scary thought. He strikes me as a hard worker and the only thing I can question at this point is his natural hands (couldn't possibly be as strong as Moss), and ability to make sharp cuts. He doesn't have a whole lot of experience thanks to his horrible QBs in college, but he has the raw talent to be a top 10 fantasy WR on any NFL team. I'll take him over Harvin in any draft.
Wells definitely belongs in the "first tier" of anyone's rankings. We all have the same questions- desire, toughness, etc. Only question is weather he can prove doubters wrong and mature mentally before his superb talent starts to fade. If he can put it together, he will have a few RB1 seasons ahead of him. Count me as a doubter also, but I would pick him within the 5-9 range in any draft.
Donald Brown definitely has the natural vision and running ability that a star RB possesses. Mayock questions his pateience, but I didn't see that as the biggest knock on him. I agree with EBF in that he doesn't have the elite explosiveness of a star back. Which makes sense because he reminds me of more of an older guy like Curis Martin. With a little coaching, this guy has the attitude and overall skillset to be given a chance as an everydown back, but it probably won't happen right away unless he is put in an ideal situation. Funny, I can see him taking the same path as another dominating Big East back of recent memory.
Nicks, Britt are solidly in most peoples' 2nd tier of WRs and rightfully so. Britt has an impressive 2nd gear, but I wonder what he can do in short/intermediate routes. Nicks is definitely more polished and has underrated athleticism when compared side-by-side with a guy like Britt in person. Both have the potential to be a 1b-type guy in the NFL, like Boldin. I can see them moving ahead of just about any RB depending on what teams the RBs go to.
I agree with EBF, in that it's tough to say how a QB will play out given that alot depends on situation and coaching. Neither of these guys should be starting from Day 1 in the NFL, but if they are properly groomed, they have the tools to become top 15 fantasy QBs along the lines of Phillip Rivers.
I see your Dillard goggles haven't faded. His unique skillset will help, but it won't turn him into a threat to become a #1 fantasy WR. I think you've convinced half the FBGs now that he's a surefire top 15 pick, but given the fact that he almost certainly won't be drafted on Day 1 will probably knock him down a few slots. He might
possibly be a value pick if he gets past 2 rounds of a typical dynasty draft. But I don't think you expect too much out of these third tier guys anyhow.
As for the rest of 'em, Tate is an interesting case. I would've loved to see him at the combine, but I can't rank him in my top 20 given the injury questions and lack of experience. He would be a good player to trade for in year 3 of his NFL career I think. I'm just not that impressed with Sheets Sure he was impressive in college, but what Big Ten back isn't? He is no better of a prospect than Rashad Jennings, James Davis, and Javon Ringer to name a few. All teh xeperts talk up Goodson, but why not Peerman? At least the guy has a head on his shoulders and is willing to work hard to earn an opportunity. Nice to see him on the list, even though he probably will never be a 20-carry-a-game guy. Massaquoi was supremely dissapointing at the combine and there's no way he should be ranked ahead of Robiskie. All the Robiskie haters won't get him left out of the first day of the draft if I had to guess. At this point I like Buter ALOT more than Jordan Norwood and even more than Derrick Williams. Although I don't predict great statistical success for any of these guys.