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[Dynasty] 2014 Draft Prospects (1 Viewer)

2014 NFL Draft: Modest talent pool at RB, TE

By Frank Cooney | NFLDraftScout.com

After being spoiled by a surprising surge of talent for several years, teams are looking at a modest crop of tight ends available in the 2014 NFL Draft.

According to ratings by NFLDraftScout.com, there is only one first-round prospect for the second consecutive year -- North Carolina's talented Eric Ebron being the class of the '14 crop.

The 2014 running back class also continues a negative trend with none expected to be taken in the first round for the second straight year. Auburn's prolific Tre Mason figures to be the first runner taken, probably in the middle of the second round.

The rather obvious nose-dive of former Alabama star runner Trent Richardson, the No. 3 overall selection in the 2012 draft, may reflect a change in appetite or offensive style rather than a downturn in available talent.

Richardson was traded by the Cleveland Browns to the Indianapolis Colts last year for a single first-round draft pick.

That does show a stark shift in value, talent or style in a league that once treasured running backs. The New Orleans Saints -- well, headstrong coach Mike Ditka -- swapped all draft picks in 1999 to move up to No. 5 overall and take Texas' Heisman Trophy-winning running back Ricky Williams. NFL history also marks huge, multi-player, franchise-altering trades involving Ollie Matson and Herschel Walker, another Heisman winner.

In seeking cause and effect for this shift away from runners -- or at least some interesting banter -- it should be pointed out that college football produced only two running backs as Heisman Trophy winners this century -- USC's Reggie Bush in 2005 and Alabama's Mark Ingram in 2009.

Football is a quarterback's world and the other positions have become mere support staff.

At tight end, that quarterback-supporting position revitalized in recent years by prolific stars with the New England Patriots, Saints, San Francisco 49ers and others, the focus is on big, strong mobile athletes who can catch. Blocking is optional.

Ebron, a former defensive end, reflects that focus but is a long way from deserving the over-reaching comparisons to 49ers tight end Vernon Davis, who measures about the same as Ebron's 6-4, 250.

Davis, the No. 6 overall pick in 2006, ran 40 yards in 4.38 seconds, soared 42 inches in the vertical jump and benched 225 pounds 33 times and scares opponents.

Ebron's results pale at 4.56 seconds, 32 inches and 24 reps while his inconsistencies scare his own team. He does have exceptional athletic skills however, but to avoid disappointment scouts must keep their expectations in check, their descriptions realistic and just be patient.

There should be a glut of talented tight ends headed to the NFL in the next few years.

Here is a closer look at the tight ends and running backs projected to be selected in the NFL draft among the top 100 as rated by NFLDrafScout.com.

Pos. Rank/Overall Rank/Player/Position/School/Height/Weight/40 time/Proj. Round

TIGHT ENDS

1/11. *Eric Ebron, North Carolina, 6-4, 250, 4.60, 1
A former prep and early college defensive end, Ebron has the ability to create size/speed mismatches as a receiver. He needs to bulks up to be more effective and aggressive in his overall game. He is talented but unpolished even after setting school tight end single-season records last year for receptions (62), receiving yards (973) as well as career receptions (112) and career receiving yards (1,805).

Frankly: Ebron has some underdeveloped high-level skills and if he puts them together he should become a weapon in some NFL teams passing game, but only as a receiver because his blocking ability is limited.

2/38. *Jace Amaro, Texas Tech, 6-5, 265, 4.74, 1-2
Amaro set the NCAA record for single-season total receiving yards and yards per game by a tight end (1,352/104 per). A big, fluid athlete, Amaro lined up mostly in the slot and used his thick body to gain position in coverage and used his large, soft hands to attack the ball in the air. He is a balanced route-runner and dangerous after the catch, even if defenders get both hands on him.

Frankly: If you are looking for somebody to create a size/speed mismatch in that inside slot, as he did in college, Amaro's your man. But if you are looking for a tight end who can help with in-line blocking he is the wrong candidate.

3/51. *Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Washington, 6-6, 262, 4.75, 2
AS-J is a massive target and goes after the ball with excellent body control that reflects his time spent as a basketball player for the Huskies. Although not as physically dominant as his size suggests, especially as blocker, he becomes an imposing runner with ball in his hand. Convicted of DUI after single car accident last March, was suspended one game and dedicated time talking to groups about drinking and driving. He finished last season as the Mackey Award winner as top college tight end.

Frankly: AS-J is a wild child who has been difficult to handle on and off the field. If he matures and focuses on a more consistent effort, AS-J could be as productive as any tight end in this draft.

4/62. *Troy Niklas, Notre Dame, 6-7, 270, 4.86, 2
Niklas began as an edge defensive player at Notre Dame and has only two years of experience at tight end. But his upside was obvious after emerging as a surprise star following the departure of Tyler Eifert (first round, Bengals, 2013). Niklas will become the seventh member of the NFL's Matthews family to be drafted. After cousin Jake Matthews (OT, Texas A&M) is taken in the first round, Niklas will be the fifth Matthews relative in NFL history to be selected in the first two rounds.

Frankly: Considering shared genetics with uncle (Hall of Fame OT) Bruce and 2014 draft classmate and cousin Jake Matthews (Texas A&M OT), it's no surprise that Niklas has excellent blocking skills. He could become the best blocking tight end in the NFL. He is a deceptively good receiver, but is still a work in progress.

RUNNING BACKS

1/45. *Tre Mason, Auburn, 5-09, 207, 4.50, 2
Runs bigger than he measures, using quick feet and a one-cut-and-go approach. Lacks OMG speed, but is fast enough to be all-the-way threat on most plays. Mason leaves Auburn after rushing for more than a 1,000 yards each of the past two seasons, including his 1,816 yards in 2013, a mark that broke Jackson's record of 1,786 yards set in 1983 and earned him SEC Player of the Year honors. His father, Vincent, was a member of the hip-hop group De La Soul.

Frankly: After watching diminishing returns in the NFL from a few recent star runners out of the SEC, it is difficult to get excited about the latest prospect. Mason has already taken a beating and could use more bulk to help hold up as a pro, but he does seem to have instincts, decent speed and the necessary toughness to be an NFL starter.

2/54. Carlos Hyde, Ohio State, 6-0, 230, 4.66, 2
North-south runner blasted for 1,527 yards last year, the first running back for an Urban Meyer-coached team to rush 1,000 yards in a season. More impressive, he did it despite missing first three games on suspension for an altercation with a woman in a Columbus nightclub last summer. "I go out every game with the mindset that I have to make up for those three games," Hyde said in October. "That suspension ... really hurt."

Frankly: Reliable in terms of ball security and consistent chunks per carry, but lacks both elusiveness and good-bye speed. So he must take this seriously, including avoiding weight problems that plagued him early in college, or his pro career will go pffft.

3/58.*Bishop Sankey, Washington, 5-10, 209, 4.49, 2
Sankey's total seems better than the sum of his parts. He shows an impressive jump-cut and rarely takes flush hits. Durable player who never missed a game and was voted team captain as a junior. Despite inconsistent offensive line and quarterback play in 2013, Sankey broke Corey Dillon's single-season school rushing record with 1,870 yards and scored 20 touchdowns in 13 games.

Frankly: Hard-working son of an Air Force sergeant is a respected team leader who has the physicality and mentality to be a starter in the NFL.

4/65. *Jeremy Hill, LSU, 6-1,233,4.66,2-3
Hill is a big, slashing runner with good initial quickness, a decent second level burst then only average top speed. He rushed for 1,401 yards last year, second-most in school history as his 6.9 yards per carry set an SEC record. In 2012 he became the first true freshmen to lead LSU in rushing since Justin Vincent did it in 2003. Off-field issues include two arrests, one on sexual assault charges that he pled out to a misdemeanor and the other after a bar fight in August of last year.

Frankly: Hill is almost as good as he thinks he is, but can help a power running offense if he decides to work at his trade and understand how to contribute as a team member.

5/87. Andre Williams, Boston College, 5-11, 230, 4.56, 3
Williams emerged as a senior when he led the nation in rushing yards with 2,177, the 16th player in FBS history to hit the 2k mark. However, he was more of a strong, reliable opportunist than a dazzling stylist as he maximized huge openings behind great blocking.

Frankly: Well-built, focused, powerful runner with instincts and toughness to keep the chains moving or run out the clock, but a mystery as a receiver after catching only 10 passes in four years of college.

6/88. *Terrance West, Towson, 5-9, 225, 4.54, 3
West covered a lot of rough road to overcome his tough home neighborhood in Baltimore. That included missing a couple of years of football, including one when he sold shoes. Walked on at Towson and last season led team to an FCS national championship game against North Dakota State. West pounded the ball relentlessly between the tackles to lead all FCS players with 2,519 yards rushing and 41 touchdowns last season. Has a son, Brendan.

Frankly: Give him a chance and West will give you his best and hopefully he has enough tread left to crank out a few more miles after carrying 780 times the last three years.

--Frank Cooney, founder and publisher of The Sports Xchange and NFLDraftScout.com, covered the NFL and the draft since the 1960s and is a selector for the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
 
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Will rookie running backs do it again?

By Larry Hartstein | CBSSports.com

While rookie wideouts often get overdrafted in Fantasy leagues, rookie running backs can deliver great value. Eddie Lacy finished as the No. 6 Fantasy back last year, Le'Veon Bell placed 14th, Giovani Bernard 16th, Zac Stacy 18th and Andre Ellington 24th in standard leagues.

Rookies filled five of the top 24 spots.

So who'll come through this year? Early drafters on myfantasyleague.com are taking seven rookies among the top 50 RBs.

The situations they land in will help establish their Fantasy value. Here's a look at those seven rookies and where Fantasy owners are drafting them:

Carlos Hyde, Ohio State, 26th RB: The 6-foot, 230-pounder is a powerful north-south runner who averaged 7.3 yards per carry while becoming Urban Meyer's first 1,000-yard rusher. If he lands in Tennessee, he could make Shonn Greene an afterthought. Hyde recently met with the Falcons.

Ka'Deem Carey, Arizona, 31st RB: The 5-9, 207-pound workhorse piled up 349 carries despite being suspended for the 2013 opener and not starting the second game. He rushed for 3,814 yards and 42 touchdowns over his last two seasons, excelling after contact. Steven Jackson's value would take a hit if the Falcons draft Carey. Tennessee is another possibility.

Tre Mason, Auburn, 38th RB: The 5-8, 207-pounder ripped Missouri for 304 yards and four touchdowns in last year's SEC Championship Game. He has been linked to Baltimore and Oakland. Mason would provide insurance for Ray Rice, who's coming off a career-worst year and has pending legal issues. However, news just broke that Mason might need a procedure on his wrist.

Bishop Sankey, Washington, 42nd RB: The 5-9, 209-pounder opened eyes at the Combine and has soft hands. The Pac-12's leading rusher caught 28 passes for 304 yards (10.9 ave.) and one touchdown last season. He could complement the Giants' Rashad Jennings if David Wilson doesn't return from his neck injury. Atlanta and Baltimore also make sense.

Lache Seastrunk, Baylor, 43rd RB: The explosive 5-9, 201-pounder averaged 7.4 and 7.7 yards per carry in his two seasons and scored five touchdowns of at least 68 yards. He could be a steal for the Falcons in Round 4 or 5.

Jeremy Hill, LSU, 47th RB: The 6-1, 233-pounder averaged 6.2 yards per carry over two college seasons and barreled hs way to 1,401 yards and 16 touchdowns last year. The Falcons hosted him for a visit and could target him as early as Round 2.

Charles Sims, West Virginia, 50th RB taken: The versatile 6-foot, 214-pounder won Big 12 Newcomer of the Year after averaging 5.3 yards per carry with 11 touchdowns and tying for the team lead with 45 catches. He recently met with the Redskins.
 
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Austin Seferian-Jenkins among re-checked prospects

By Chase Goodbread

College Football 24/7 writer

Medical re-checks for a few NFL draft prospects who attended the NFL Scouting Combine in February are underway in Indianapolis, and some pretty big names are among those being looked at.

Washington tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Georgia quarterback Aaron Murray, LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger, Notre Dame defensive lineman Stephon Tuitt and Indiana wide receiver Cody Latimer are among those who are getting a second look from doctors, according to NFL Media insider Ian Rapoport. Another prospect who went back for a medical check was Auburn running back Tre Mason. According to Rapoport, NFL teams were informed that Mason will require a surgical procedure on his wrist.

"During the Combine, we ID players who either had an existing injury or had some injury or surgery after the season. It's either something we knew about or something that came our when our physicians examined them during the Combine medical exam," said National Scouting President Jeff Foster. "We tell our athletes, you'll be requested to come back. The idea behind it is, take 5-6 weeks to rehab or if you need, get surgery, then come back and we'll take a look."

While players at the combine in February are checked medically from head to toe, those who return only have their specific area of concern re-examined. Murray and Mettenberger are getting their knees looked at after recovering from torn ACLs, while Seferian-Jenkins, Tuitt and Latimer are having foot injuries re-checked.

Follow Chase Goodbread on Twitter @ChaseGoodbread
 
Rotoworld:

Florida State RB Devonta Freeman "runs like his hair is on fire," writes ESPN's Todd McShay.
"He keeps his pads low and legs driving at the end of runs and is almost always falling forward," McShay wrote. "He's tough, too, as shown by his willingness to throw himself around as a blocker in both the passing and running games. He does a great job of protecting the football as well, with a career fumble percentage of just 0.9." We won't argue. Freeman remains Rotoworld's top-rated running back due to his no-nonsense, competitive running style, experience as a pass protector, and skills as a receiver. He fits best in a zone blocking scheme, but we think he could play in any NFL offense.

Source: ESPN Insider
ESPN's Todd McShay still believes LSU WR Jarvis Landry is worth a Day 2 pick.
The analyst notes that Jones is undersized and runs a poor 40-yard dash, but won't be dissuaded from him as a prospect. Why? "Because he is one of the best pure football players in this class," McShay wrote. "First off, his ball skills are second to none in the 2014 class of receivers -- and if you don't trust my eyes on that, there are plenty of numbers that back that assertion up. Landry has excellent focus and natural hand-eye coordination, and very good body control to adjust. Landry does an excellent job of competing for balls in traffic and has the strong hands to secure passes. He makes tough catches over his head look easy. He's also the toughest receiver in the 2014 class, with no fear of going over the middle, and a physical, competitive and effective blocker." McShay concludes: "I love the way this guy plays the game." Landry might drop into Day 3, and we're in agreement that he'd be a steal.

Source: ESPN Insider
The Browns hosted South Carolina QB Connor Shaw for a pre-draft visit on Friday.
Cleveland capped off a frenzied two weeks of QB evaluations by bringing in Shaw was and Eastern Illinois QB Jimmy Garoppolo on Friday. In all, the Browns brought in a dozen quarterbacks, including Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater, Central Florida's Blake Bortles, Texas A&M's Johnny Manziel, Fresno State's Derek Carr, Georgia's Aaron Murray and Pitt's Tom Savage. Shaw (6-foot, 209 pounds) seems like a longshot to be drafted by the team unless they decide to select two QBs. Shaw posted a 24-1 TD-INT ratio as a senior. Wrote NFL.com's Nolan Nawrocki: "Workaholic, gym rat. Extremely determined. Vocal presence. Smart and instinctive -- is the son of a coach and understands football concepts. Plays through pain. Has a 27-5 career starting record, has rallied his team to victory off the bench and carries a calm, confident, poised field presence. Mentally and physically tough."

Source: Cleveland Plain-Dealer
Eastern Illinois QB Jimmy Garoppolo visited the Browns on Friday.
Garoppolo has been preparing for the draft by working out with former Browns quarterback Ty Detmer. "He worked with me for about three days, and he just broke down the game for me," Garoppolo said. "He taught me things that I really had no clue about until he explained it. Then you're like, ‘Oh, why didn't I think about that a long time ago?' Just how the fronts and the linebackers tie into the coverages, how different offensive formations dictate coverages." The Browns are assured of coming out of at least Day 2 with a new QB, and Garoppolo could intrigue if they elect to bypass a signal-caller with both first-round picks. "He’s got some fire," 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh told Yahoo Sports. "[He] goes out and beats San Diego State, really had Northern Illinois on the ropes. I enjoyed following him through the year. Wanted to see him in person. It all checked out really well."

Source: Cleveland Plain-Dealer
Draft insider Tony Pauline reports that Mississippi State QB Tyler Russell "put on a passing clinic" in a private workout for the Patriots, Packers and Chiefs on Thursday.
"His deep passes were on the money and Russell was also accurate with short and intermediate throws," Pauline wrote. Because Russell's senior season was ruined by a concussion and a torn labrum, he may not be drafted. However, the 6-foot-4, 221-pounder has intriguing tools and is a decent developmental option due to his size and arm strength. Pauline adds that running back LaDarius Perkins was a "beneficiary" of the workout because he "really impressed scouts with his pass catching skills."

Source: TFY Draft Insider
The Rams will have a private work out with Georgia QB Aaron Murray next week, according to St. Louis Post-Dispatch's Jim Thomas.
With Sam Bradford locked in as the starter and veteran Shaun Hill slated as the backup, Murray would make a lot of sense for the Rams if he falls in the right drafting spot for them. Murray is coming off of injury, so the Rams brass could see the Bulldogs prospect as a developmental project they could bring along slowly. It's possible that Murray could be drafted anywhere from the second round to the fourth round. If it's true that the Rams interest in Murray is strong as the rumors say it is, Murray could come off the board on day two of the draft.

Source: Jim Thomas on Twitter
 
Greg Cosell prefers Khalil Mack over Jadeveon Clowney

By Dan Hanzus

Around the League Writer

There might not be a better athlete in the 2014 draft class than Jadeveon Clowney. That doesn't mean he's the best fit as the No. 1 overall pick.

That's the opinion of NFL Films senior producer Greg Cosell, who has concluded that Buffalo linebacker Khalil Mack is the top prospect in this year's class.

"I think Mack is a better prospect as we speak today," Cosell said on Friday's edition of the "Around The League Podcast." "And he'd be a great fit in a pure 3-4 because I think his best position in a base defense is an outside linebacker in a two-point stance.

"When I watch Khalil Mack I see a really strong, explosive, multi-dimensional player who's a very good pass rusher who showed the ability to rush the quarterback in multiple ways, from speed to power and bending the edge, which are two important qualities for a pass rusher."

Cosell believes Clowney is a special, but raw, talent.

"If you're going to draft Clowney with the first pick in the draft, then you're basically saying he's going to be a dominant pass rusher because you don't draft defensive ends to stop the run with the first pick in the draft," he said. "So essentially you're saying he's going to be a great pass rusher.

"At this point in time he's much more of an athlete than a pass rusher and a football player. And you're counting on that great athleticism to translate through coaching into becoming a great, great football player and pass rusher."

Some other takeaways from our chat with Cosell, a man who knows his stuff:

» Cosell is a big fan of North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron, whom he sees as a high first-round pick. He pointed to a 71-yard touchdown Ebron had last year against Miami as an example of the playmaker's special abilities.

"That's what everybody wants in today's NFL," he said. "They want a tight end that's essentially a wide receiver in the way he can be deployed, because not only does it create matchups for him but it also dictates matchups for all your other receivers.

"So he fits that profile and the added element is that he can score from pretty much anywhere on the field, which you can't really say about most tight ends with very few exceptions."

» University of Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater represents something of a conundrum for NFL teams. Cosell explained why:

"(You can say) he is really advanced in many of the subtle nuances of playing quarterback. And then there's the other part where you can easily say, 'What is Bridgewater?' Bridgewater is shorter than ideal. Smaller than desirable, a highly efficient quarterback with no outstanding physical traits. And that description would be very true as well. So where do you draft that guy?"

» Cosell believes the size and speed possessed by Clemson wide receiver Sammy Watkins makes him a potential superstar at the next level. Cosell puts Watkins ahead of Texas A&M's Mike Evans as a prospect.

"I made the point that Watkins is the best wide receiver since the A.J. Green, Julio Jones class of 2011," he said. "I've talked to people in the league who say he's the best receiver to come out since Calvin Johnson."

You can listen to Around The League's entire interview with Greg Cosell by clicking right here. Go on, you deserve it.

The "Around The League Podcast" NFL Schedule Extravaganza will change the way you look at everything.
 
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Rotoworld:

Florida State RB Devonta Freeman "runs like his hair is on fire," writes ESPN's Todd McShay.
"He keeps his pads low and legs driving at the end of runs and is almost always falling forward," McShay wrote. "He's tough, too, as shown by his willingness to throw himself around as a blocker in both the passing and running games. He does a great job of protecting the football as well, with a career fumble percentage of just 0.9." We won't argue. Freeman remains Rotoworld's top-rated running back due to his no-nonsense, competitive running style, experience as a pass protector, and skills as a receiver. He fits best in a zone blocking scheme, but we think he could play in any NFL offense.

Source: ESPN Insider
Nice to hear, didn't think any media person/site was ranking Freeman that high, but I can't really argue against them. Guy has a very NFL friendly game, just a real safe bet to be a productive NFL player for the next several years imo. Really underrated by most.

 
2014 NFL Draft: Loston, Smallwood steals in 2nd or 3rd rounds

Pat Kirwan

There have been objections to moving the draft back, but waiting till May 8 gave injured players like Aaron Murray, Zach Mettenberger and Cody Latimer a chance to demonstrate they were healthy enough to be drafted higher.

The extra two weeks also gives me a chance to form a better opinion on players' values, like the following five players I see as non-first round talent but can help a team early.

LSU safety Craig Loston: I watched tape of Loston vs. Mississippi liked what I saw. He plays like a strong safety but has the coverage skills to be a half-field safety in Cover 2 and he understands route combinations. He has good closing skills from deep and passes teammates to get to the ball. He is a solid open-field tackler and had a game-saver in this game. He can line up on a slot receiver and it appears he gets his teammates lined up. There should a small run on safeties in the second round and it wouldn't surprise me to see him in that range or in the third round at the latest. Teams asking their safeties to be interchangeable will like Loston.

Connecticut LB Yarwin Smallwood: Watching Smallwood on tape vs. Maryland and Rutgers, he made his presence known in those games. He can play Tampa 2 coverage as MLB because of his ability to get deep drops. He has a very solid ability to get through traffic and get to the ball. He sees things quickly and is capable of sideline-to-sideline flow and strike. He regularly passes teammates on his way to the ball. Yarwin plays with passion and he has the athletic ability to recover when he's out of position. He slips blocks with little effort and looks like a solid second- or third-round pick.

North Carolina DE Kareem Martin: People have mixed reviews in the 6-foot-6, 295-pound DE, but after spending a week with him at the Senior Bowl and watching him on tape vs. Cincinnati, it reminded me of what Bill Walsh once told me. "If you see a guy do it on tape even once it's the coach's job to get him to do it all the time." Simply put, you can't teach what Martin has. A tall, well-built athlete with long arms. He lines up at RDE, LDE, DT on passing downs and is athletic enough to play the "spinner" role. He has the quickness to stunt inside, the long arms to keep blockers off him and he can close on a QB coming off a block. I saw a decent spin move to go with his speed and speed to power rushes. There just aren't many athletes like him and it will be hard to pass on him in the second or third round.

Clemson WR Martavis Bryant: With all the attention on teammate Sammy Watkins, Bryant really hasn't received his due. He has long speed and in the Ohio State game, he resembled Watkins on a run after the catch; I even thought it was Watkins until I saw the end zone tape. But the Georgia Tech game showed me Clemson's second receiver should not be ignored. If he's still there in the third round, I would take him.

LSU LB Lamin Barrow: Barrow looks like a decent fit in a 4-3 as a WLB but isn't a complete player. In the Mississippi game, he appeared to have som some formation recognition issues and where to lineup. He did get the opportunity to be the dime MLB but was easily cut as a blitzer by the running back and is more of a zone dropper than man-to-man cover guy. He likes contact but he occasionally throws himself at the ball-carrier instead of making a solid tackle. I would consider him in the fourth round.

Three once-a-decade playersThis week, somebody asked me, "Are there any once in a decade players in this draft?" Many would expected the answer to be Jadeveon Clowney, but he wasn't on my list of potential once-in-a-decade types.

I believe three players (which is a lot) in this draft have a chance, and I emphasize chance, to be once-in-a-decade players.

• Wide receiver Sammy Watkins snatches footballs like Larry Fitzgerald, runs with the ball like a top running back and reminds me of Sterling Sharpe.

• Auburn tackle Greg Robinson has athletic ability like Walter Jones.

• I've waited years to see a one gap penetrator like Pitt's Aaron Donald.
 
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Mayock: Never seen wider variety of NFL opinions on draft's QBsBy Chase Goodbread

College Football 24/7 writer

Making projections about when Texas A&M's Johnny Manziel and other top quarterback prospects will go in the NFL draft is tricky business this year. NFL Media draft analyst Mike Mayock can see why: There is apparently not much consensus among teams' rankings.

"I've never seen a bigger variety of opinions from teams on who the top quarterbacks are -- and there are more potential starting quarterbacks that go deeper in the draft this year," Mayock told freep.com.

Along with the three names that have been circulating as first-round picks for months -- Manziel, UCF's Blake Bortles and Louisville's Teddy Bridgewater -- add Fresno State's Derek Carr into the mix of potential first-round picks. With prospects such as Jimmy Garoppolo, AJ McCarron and Zach Mettenberger making up part of that second tier of quarterbacks, it's no easier to decipher when they are likely to come off the board.

In other words, you might as well be throwing darts at the draft board where quarterbacks are concerned.

Despite a crowd of clubs set to pick in the top 10 and in need of a quarterback, any or all of them could instead choose to invest a later pick in a quarterback. The clubs that don't see much of a gap between the first- and second-tier quarterbacks could almost certainly find good value at the position with an early second-round pick.

"Most teams feel the two top quarterbacks are Johnny Manziel and Blake Bortles," Mayock said. "But there are other guys in that conversation, and I've heard 10 quarterbacks get grades of first, second or third round."

Enough NFL clubs have used later picks to strike quarterback gold -- or acquire a quality starter, at least -- to make other clubs take notice, according to Mayock.

To the chagrin of some in this year's crop, that could be second-round notice.

Follow Chase Goodbread on Twitter @ChaseGoodbread.
 
Browns' Ray Farmer on Johnny Manziel: He's different

By Marc Sessler

Around the League Writer

Ray Farmer sees plenty to like about Johnny Manziel, but the Browns general manager is still wrestling with the notion of drafting the Texas A&M prospect with Cleveland's fourth overall pick in next month's draft.

Praising Manziel as an "exciting, electric" player, Farmer also told reporters on Monday: "He's different."

"He's not the quintessential guy who everybody points to and says, 'This is how you would draw it up; this is the packaging you want,'" said Farmer, per the Akron Beacon Journal. "That speaks to a lot of what Johnny has been his entire life, (which) is different. It's not how you think about playing the position and being effective from the pocket."

Cleveland's front office was seen as obsessed with Manziel when former general manager Michael Lombardi was in charge, but Farmer has been rumored to desire a more prototypical passer.

Still, Farmer, who met with Manziel last week, called the latter a "good young man," telling reporters: "I don't think I have any reservations with who Johnny is."

More from Cleveland's top decision-maker:

1. Farmer gushed over Sammy Watkins, dismissing concerns about the Clemson wide receiver's size -- he's 6-foot-1 -- and calling his potential on-field impact "big, big. Ginormous." Asked if he could see Watkins in a Browns uniform, Farmer waxed poetic, saying: "Saddle him on the other side of Josh Gordon and ... Wow."

Farmer emphasized that adding slot man Andrew Hawkins and veteran Nate Burleson did nothing to lower Cleveland's chances of taking another pass-catcher early in the draft.

2. Farmer gave high marks to Khalil Mack, calling the Buffalo product an "explosive" pass rusher who "can do a little bit of everything" and "looks like the real deal." We guarantee that coach Mike Pettine wouldn't argue with taking a chance on Greg Cosell's favorite defensive prospect at No. 4.

3. One dark-horse option for the Browns? An offensive lineman. Farmer praised Joe Thomas as a consummate All-Pro, but talked about wanting to give every player on the roster someone to compete with, citing offensive tackle prospects Greg Robinson and Jake Matthews as genuine first-round possibilities.

The latest "Around The League Podcast" breaks down the draft with NFL Films' Greg Cosell.
 
Brooks: 2014 NFL Draft doesn't have elite quarterback prospectBy Bryan Fischer

College Football 24/7 writer

The talk leading up to the 2014 NFL Draft has been been a near constant refrain about the available depth, depth and more depth. Some analysts are even calling this year's class one of the best ever when factoring in elite players and the quality of players from top to bottom.

NFL Media analyst Bucky Brooks put the 2014 crop of players under the microscope to take a look at three tiers of possible first-round picks: elite prospects, blue-chip prospects and red-chip prospects. Elite prospects are considered those who eventually rank among the top five players at their respective positions in two to three years. Blue-chippers are prospects regarded as difference makers based solely on their talent. Finally, red-chip prospects should contribute as part-time players initially but finish the season as starters for whatever team ends up drafting them.

Who's considered elite? Well, it's no surprise to see Jadeveon Clowney as the top name in said group. In all, Brooks lists a pair of offensive tackles (Greg Robinson and Jake Matthews), one linebacker (Khalil Mack), one tight end (Eric Ebron), two wideouts (Sammy Watkins and Mike Evans) plus Clowney as the cream of the crop this season. Noticeably absent? A quarterback.

"From a quarterback standpoint, there are a number of headliners -- including Johnny Manziel, Teddy Bridgewater and Blake Bortles -- but scouts are divided on which signal caller is a franchise-caliber player at the position," Brooks wrote. "In fact, there have been plenty of conversations within league circles that the talent within the second tier at the position isn't drastically different from the 'Big Three.'"

That doesn't mean any of those signal-callers aren't considered difference makers in the minds of scouts. All three players are labeled as blue-chippers, with Manziel and Bridgewater both near the top of the list. Manziel has earned high praise over the past few months for his skills, but his height and unorthodox style of play keep him out of the elite prospects group. Bridgewater has been picked apart since his subpar pro day performance but still grades out favorably as a blue chipper based on the resume he put together at Louisville.

The 25 players who fall into Brooks' elite or blue-chip groups are considered locks to go in the first round, and only UCLA guard Xavier Su'a-Filo and Ohio State linebacker Ryan Shazier slip into the 30's in various NFL.com mock drafts.

Identifying the red-chip players is where things get a bit more interesting and evaluations start to diverge from draft perception. Cornerbacks Bradley Roby, Kyle Fuller and Justin Verrett and quarterback Derek Carr all appear to be likely first-day selections when the draft rolls around but might need some seasoning in the league before developing into starters, according to Brooks. A few surprises in this category include LSU quarterback Zach Mettenberger, who is coming off ACL surgery; Alabama offensive tackle Cyrus Kouandjio; and quarterback AJ McCarron.

While some of those players might end up being picked on the second day of the draft, depending on where each player lands, Brooks sees Fuller, linebacker Kyle Van Noy, McCarron, running back Jeremy Hill and safety Deone Bucannon as possible breakout rookies next season.

It will take a few years before we see who will live up to the hype, but one thing is for sure -- a large number of NFL teams will be quite excited at the caliber of player they get early in this year's draft.

Follow Bryan Fischer on Twitter @BryanDFischer.
 
2014 NFL Draft tiers: Elite prospects, blue chips and red chips

By Bucky Brooks

NFL Media analyst

The 2014 NFL Draft is widely considered one of the most talented collections of prospects in recent memory. Of course, for the sake of perspective, similar things were said about the 2011 and 2012 classes, which yielded Cam Newton, Von Miller, A.J. Green, Patrick Peterson, Julio Jones, Aldon Smith, J.J. Watt, Robert Quinn, Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Luke Kuechly, Dontari Poe, Russell Wilson, Alshon Jeffery and a whole bunch more difference makers.

While it's unlikely the 2014 class will surpass the instant production of those aforementioned classes, there are certainly a number of impact players in this year's draft. This prospect pool is particularly deep at wide receiver, a position that could produce as many as seven first-round picks. The class also features a number of gifted offensive tackles capable of competing for Pro Bowl recognition early in their respective careers.

From a quarterback standpoint, Johnny Manziel, Teddy Bridgewater and Blake Bortles are the headliners, but scouts are divided as to who represents the cream of the crop. In fact, there is plenty of talk within league circles about the second-tier QBs not being drastically different from the "Big Three." Thus, decision makers must weigh the consequences of bypassing a potentially dynamic non-QB in favor of a high-risk/high-reward signal-caller.

This is why a franchise's overall prospect rankings -- as opposed to position-specific lists -- prove crucial. And when it comes to assembling these big-board hierarchies, a general manager must primarily weigh game-tape evaluation far more heavily than pre-draft performances in the NFL Scouting Combine and pro day workouts. This is especially important this year, with NFL teams given an additional two weeks to overanalyze prospects before draft day. Decision makers must keep in mind how their scouts viewed the top prospects in the fall, when they studied the tape and made school visits. This is the purest evaluation of a prospect because it occurs before the influence of workouts, before water-cooler conversation begins to override a prospect's on-field performance.

Astute evaluators separate prospects into elite, blue-chip and red-chip categories shortly after the conclusion of the college football season -- and rarely make adjustments during the pre-draft process. With that in mind, here's my take on the three different tiers of the 2014 draft class:

Elite prospectsThese players should earn Pro Bowl recognition early and rank among the top five players at their respective positions in two to three years.

1) Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
2) Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
3) Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
4) Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
5) Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
6) Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
7) Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina

Blue chipsThese prospects are regarded as difference makers based solely on their talent. They should start as rookies and make immediate contributions to their respective teams.

1) Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
2) Aaron Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
3) Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville
4) Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
5) Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
6) Ha Ha Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
7) Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
8) Calvin Pryor, S, Louisville
9) C.J. Mosley, LB, Alabama
10) Marqise Lee, WR, USC
11) Odell Beckham, WR, LSU
12) Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
13) Ryan Shazier, OLB, Ohio State
14) Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
15) Zack Martin, OL, Notre Dame
16) Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
17) Xavier Su'a-Filo, OG, UCLA
18) Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State

The blue-chip class is established primarily from film study, but also through workouts and one-on-one interviews. Scouts spend countless hours determining if each prospect possesses the requisite critical factors (traits like athleticism, football intelligence, explosiveness and college production) to develop into a difference maker at the NFL level. Of course, evaluators will identify the flaws of every blue-chip prospect on tape, but consistent dominance of top competition suggests that these players will enjoy long-term success in the NFL.

Red-chip players exhibit several blue-chip qualities and characteristics, but lack the consistent profile of their superior counterparts. Whether it's because of sub-standard physical dimensions and athleticism or inconsistent on-field performance, players in the red-chip category are regarded as a clear notch below elite. In the right system, however, they could emerge as Pro Bowlers and impact players. Several of these prospects will hear their names called in the first round, though scouts across the league are divided on pro potential.

Red chipsThese guys should contribute as part-time players initially, increasingly pushing to finish the 2014 season as starters. They should provide timely playmaking in designated roles, as well as key contributions on special teams.

1) Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
2) Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
3) Jeremy Hill, RB, LSU
4) Kyle Van Noy, OLB, BYU
5) Bradley Roby, CB, Ohio State
6) AJ McCarron, QB, Alabama
7) Morgan Moses, OT, Virginia
8) Cyrus Kouandjio, OT, Alabama
9) Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
10) Carlos Hyde, RB, Ohio State
11) Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
12) Dee Ford, DE, Auburn
13) Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State
14) Cody Latimer, WR, Indiana
15) Deone Bucannon, S, Washington State
16) Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
17) Zach Mettenberger, QB, LSU

Some red-chip prospects will be selected in the first round and some won't. As noted above, this is a deep group of incoming players; consequently, certain guys will be under-drafted, primed to outplay their slot in May's proceedings. Here are five red-chippers poised to thrive as NFL rookies:

1) Kyle Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech: The recent success of the Seattle Seahawks' "Legion of Boom" has prompted teams to search for long, rangy athletes in the back end. Checking in at 6-feet, 190 pounds with 4.49 speed, Fuller fits the bill. The aggressive bump-and-run corner mauls receivers at the line of scrimmage, yet displays the athleticism and agility to run with speedsters down the field. Most importantly, Fuller exhibits the instincts and awareness to make plays on the ball at the moment of truth. With the Virginia Tech standout also impressing coaches and scouts with his football intelligence in interviews, Fuller could make his mark as a hybrid defender (cornerback/safety) in a creative defensive scheme.

2) Jeremy Hill, RB, LSU: The devaluation of the running back position on draft day could keep Hill from coming off the board on Day 1, but the LSU product has all of the tools to be a standout feature back in the NFL. As a bruising running back with exceptional vision, balance and body control, Hill routinely slithered through cracks on downhill runs from the Tigers' Power-I formation. Despite routinely facing eight- and nine-man boxes, Hill racked up 1,401 yards (at 6.9 yards a pop) and 16 touchdowns last fall. Thus, Hill is adept picking up gains in a phone booth. With the pro game quietly shifting back to power football in many towns, Hill is the kind of runner capable of posting a handful of 1,000-yard seasons before his career concludes.

3) Kyle Van Noy, OLB, BYU: NFL coaches covet disruptive defenders with versatile skills. That's why I'm convinced Van Noy will be a star in the NFL as a designated playmaker in an aggressive defensive scheme. He possesses the speed and quickness to harass quarterbacks on blitzes, while also flashing the instincts and awareness to make plays on the ball in coverage. Factor in his position flexibility -- Van Noy is capable of playing any linebacker spot in a 3-4 or 4-3 scheme -- and it's easy to envision him making a push for Defensive Rookie of the Year honors in 2014.

4) AJ McCarron, QB, Alabama: Due to the conservative nature of the Alabama's offensive scheme, there is a lack of appreciation for McCarron's game, but astute NFL coaches see a proven winner with superb management skills. McCarron has a keen understanding of situational football, while also displaying the ability to drive the offense on the strength of his right arm. A quick look at his performances in Alabama's biggest games (the 2012 and '13 BCS National Championship Games, plus last season's contests against Texas A&M and Auburn) suggests that he is more than capable of getting it done as a pro passer. If placed on a team with a solid supporting cast on the perimeter, McCarron will continue to do what he has always done as a starter: win.

5) Deone Bucannon, S, Washington State: It's not a coincidence that elite defenses routinely feature standout safeties in the middle of the field. Teams need ballhawks and enforcers to discourage quarterbacks from throwing between the hashes, while also serving as designated hit men against the run. Bucannon shined in that role as a collegian, amassing 384 tackles and 15 interceptions as a four-year starter. Given an opportunity as a designated playmaker in the back end, Bucannon might not only be a major contributor to an NFL defense, but he could quickly become a Pro Bowl-caliber force.

Follow Bucky Brooks on Twitter @BuckyBrooks.
 
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Wow, Bucky has 7 elites in this draft? That's an awful lot. Personally I've got 3. The consensus seems to view 4 as elite. I think he's stretching a good bit with that. Otherwise, not bad rankings. Some I'd disagree with but that's the nature of this thing.

 
Wow, Bucky has 7 elites in this draft? That's an awful lot. Personally I've got 3. The consensus seems to view 4 as elite. I think he's stretching a good bit with that. Otherwise, not bad rankings. Some I'd disagree with but that's the nature of this thing.
I'm between 4 - 6 ....

Clowney, Mack, Robinsin, Watkins usually. And then Evans & Aaron Donald some days.

 
Wow, Bucky has 7 elites in this draft? That's an awful lot. Personally I've got 3. The consensus seems to view 4 as elite. I think he's stretching a good bit with that. Otherwise, not bad rankings. Some I'd disagree with but that's the nature of this thing.
I'm between 4 - 6 ....

Clowney, Mack, Robinsin, Watkins usually. And then Evans & Aaron Donald some days.
I've got Clowney, Robinson and Mack as elite. Watkins out and he's the typical 4th that I'm missing. I just don't think he's at an AJG or Fitz level.
 
My beef with that show (apart from all the pseudoscience) is that they try to pump up every player who appears.

 
My beef with that show (apart from all the pseudoscience) is that they try to pump up every player who appears.
That's disappointing if true. I've only seen a handful of those throughout the years. Do they do one on every player at the combine?

 
Rotoworld:

Georgia QB Aaron Murray finished with the fourth-highest QBR amongst FBS QBs last year despite losing his top three receivers to graduation in 2012, reports ESPN.
This stat speaks to Murray's consistency as much as anything else. Despite the fact that he lacks stature, elite arm strength, and tore his ACL in November, the Bulldogs' star is looking like a Day 2 pick. It makes sense, as he has Drew Brees upside if everything breaks right, but will be a quality backup and teammate for many years at the very worst.

Source: ESPN Insider
 
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2014 NFL Draft: Amazing array of pro-ready talent at wide receiver

By Frank Cooney | NFLDraftScout.com

Numbers are only a hint of the depth of talent at a position that is often believed to be full of great prospects. But this time, in the 2014 NFL Draft class, the wide receiver talent is off the charts. Honest.

According to projections by NFLDraftScout.com, and just about everybody else paying attention, there could be as many as seven wide receivers taken in the first round of the draft on May 8, led by Clemson's slick Sammy Watkins.

By the end of Round 2, 13 wide receivers could be called; after three rounds, 18 could be named; through four rounds, 22 and, well, depending on whose list you look at, more than 50 wide receivers are considered to have enough ability to be drafted. Maybe more.

After Slick Sammy, the parade of top wide receivers includes Texas A&M's brutish Mike Evans, LSU's nifty Odell Beckham Jr., Oregon State's Sonic Boom, Brandin Cooks, and USC's talented Marqise Lee, who is almost lost in the first-round shuffle after his name was once on the Heisman Watch list.

This group is so talented that a player with the fastest verifiable 40-yard time in Indianapolis combine history is almost a footnote, doing his best to hang on to a spot in the overall top 100.

That would be Dri Archer of Kent State, rated No. 99 overall. The 5-foot-8, 173-pound running back/wide receiver/returner was timed in 4.16 seconds in 40 yards by one of the official handheld clocks at the Indianapolis combine in February.

His announced time was 4.26 seconds, which reflects his fastest so-called electronic time. That time is created when the clock is started by hand on the player's first motion and stopped when the player crosses an electronic beam.

Electronic times of that sort were first used at the combine in 2000 and the best-of list is topped by East Carolina running back Chris Johnson at 4.24 seconds in 2008. He had that same time electronically and by handheld.

But in a world of comparing apples-to-apples as best we can, Archer's time is the best ever recorded at an Indianapolis combine, period. The timing method -- started and stopped by hand -- is the same one that dates back forever, including 1986 when Auburn's Bo Jackson was timed in 4.21 seconds by Tom Braatz, the former general manager of the Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers.

Before Archer's 4.16 this year, the fastest time at Indianapolis was 4.21 seconds by LSU wide receiver Trindon Holliday (2008) and Texas wide receiver Marquise Goodwin (2010). Clemson wide receiver Jacoby Ford had a 4.22-second hand held time in 2010.

Here is a closer look at the wide receivers projected to be selected among the top 100 as rated by NFLDrafScout.com, including the fastest man in Indianapolis combine history hanging on at No. 99:

Rank (Overall/Position)/Player/School/Height/Weight/40 time/Proj. Round

1/4. *Sammy Watkins, Clemson, 6-1, 211, 4.43, 1

Watkins keeps his elite speed under total control to deceive defenders with a startling ability to shift gears and direction faster than a NASCAR driver faced with an 11-car pileup. That makes him dangerous after the catch -- which he accomplishes with the precision hands of a surgeon -- and as a returner. As a true freshman in 2011, he caught 82 passes for 1,219 yards and 12 scores and added more than 1,000 yards rushing and returning. After a 2012 impacted by a two-game suspension (marijuana possession), Watkins exploded again in 2013, catching 101 passes for 1,464 yards and 12 touchdowns and closed out his prolific Clemson career with a dominating 16-catch performance in the Tigers' dramatic victory over Ohio State in the Orange Bowl.

Frankly: His dazzling display of foot and handwork makes Watkins a big play waiting to happen. Still, he can improve overall game by working on route running that wasn't a priority in his gimmicky college offense and by increasing strength to fend off NFL jams.

2/9. *Mike Evans, Texas A&M, 6-5, 231, 4.53, 1

Huge target with great hands and the physicality and attitude to take on the toughest and mouthiest of cornerbacks. Like his college battery-mate, quarterback Johnny Manziel, Evans has not convinced everybody his talent and production can be sustained at the next level. His big body, long-striding style and strong hands worked well in college, but he must learn to create more separation in the NFL, where his size won't give him as much of an advantage and his route running will need to be more precise.

Frankly: Basketball was his first love and that explains excellent hands and ability to go get the ball in a crowd. Based on his rugged football style, Evans must have fouled out of a lot of basketball games, but NFL defenders and officials won't let him arm bar and push off.

3/15. *Odell Beckham Jr., LSU, 5-11, 198, 4.43, 1

Great genetics are obvious for Beckham, whose father was a star running back at LSU and mother, the former Heather Van Norman, was a six-time All-American Track and national champion sprinter for the for the Lady Tigers. Little wonder that Beckham is smooth afoot and an explosive return man. Although game scouts thought he lacked elite speed, his best time in 40 yards at combine was 4.40, which is plenty fast. Less than average in height, but has vertical jump of 38.5 inches. Last season he caught 59 passes for 1,152 yards and eight touchdowns and returned punts.

Frankly: Beckham should step in and star quickly. Rare wide receiver combination of outstanding natural ability and great attitude, natural elusiveness and still willing to get physical.

4/20. *Brandin Cooks, Oregon State, 5-10, 189, 4.33, 1

Cooks was the Biletnikoff Award winner as best wide receiver in college after leading the FBS with 1,730 yards on 128 catches last year, following a 2012 season with 1,151 yards on only 67 catches. Known as Stockton, California's Sonic Boom, Cooks was an explosive sprinter and football player since high school. Lacks ideal size, but is a tough character who never missed a game at any level.

Frankly: In the approximate words of a former wide receiver, just get him the damn ball. Then watch the show as Cooks is fast, shifty, elusive, entertaining and productive.

5/27. *Marqise Lee, Southern Cal, 6-0, 192, 4.52, 1-2

As a freshman phenom in 2011, Lee put his amazing athletic skills on display and looked the part of a top three pick destined for future Heisman discussions. He is an elite athlete who could do it all, and maybe still can. But with less complementary talent and myriad physical maladies, his last two years were less spectacular. Still, this is a tough kid from a tougher background filled with gangs, killings (brother was murdered) and family challenges (father is deaf). He never complained, just used his skills as a ticket out. And now it is time to get the ticket punched.

Frankly: The image of Lee toying with defenders in 2011 is hard to forget. If he can play back to that level, Lee will be a steal anywhere beyond the middle of the first round.

6/36. *Allen Robinson, Penn State, 6-3, 220, 4.60, 1-2

Fluid athlete for his size with room to get stronger. Deceptive acceleration with sharp cuts to be a dangerous catch-and-go pass catcher. Physical ball-carrier with balance and body strength to shake off defenders and pick up chunks of yards after contact. Has shown return ability. Reset his own school mark in 2012 with 97 catches for 1,432 yards. His combined 174 receptions and 2,445 receiving yards the past two years both rank No. 3 in Big Ten history for consecutive seasons.

Frankly: If there is such a thing as a blue-collar receiver, Robinson is that guy. He knows the whole pro-style pass route tree from experience in Penn State's offense and although he lacks the speed most teams want, he is a big man with enough explosion to go 39 inches in the vertical jump.

7/40. *Donte Moncrief, Mississippi, 6-2, 221, 4.40, 1-2

Moncrief is a big man with the footwork of a little guy, enabling him to maneuver his large body into a position where he can make the catch against quicker, faster defensive backs. His 156 catches, 2,371 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns are all third-best all-time in the Ole Miss record book.

Frankly: Ready, willing and able to surprise cornerbacks with excellent route running that makes him more dangerous more often than receivers who rely mainly on speed. He will also do damage as a blocker in the running game.

8/43. Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt, 6-3, 212, 4.46, 2

Cousin of the legendary Jerry Rice, Matthews is a better football player than he is an athlete. He led the SEC with a gaudy 19.0 yards-per-catch average last season with above average speed that is more deceptive than sudden. His size allows offense scheme favorable matchups. Career totals: SEC's all-time leader with 262 receptions and 3,759 receiving yards.

Frankly: For what it's worth, Matthews is bigger and faster than cousin Jerry Rice, which helps eliminate the shock value of him catching 201 passes over the last two seasons. Now, if he can manage to hang around the NFL for 19 years perhaps the family comparisons will continue.

9/45. *Cody Latimer, Indiana, 6-3, 215, 4.44, 2

Tough, physical specimen who reflects skills learned in his first love, basketball. He has great hands, a natural ability to get body position on defenders and that 39-inch vertical leap helps him win a lot of jump balls. His stock has soared since he recovered from left foot surgery and ran 40 yards early in April somewhere between 4.38 and 4.44 seconds for scouts who previously considered him little more than a possession receiver.

Frankly: His 72 catches for 1,096 yards last year, mostly while battling a bad left foot, were usually on short tosses, which helped label him as a West Coast offense prospect. But his size, speed, strength and hands should do well in any system. .

10/53. *Martavis Bryant, Clemson, 6-4, 211, 4.42, 2

Introducing the other Clemson receiver (with a nod to teammate Sammy Watkins, the No. 1 ranked receiver in this draft). Bryant actually introduced himself dramatically as a sophomore when he averaged a gaudy 30.5 yards on 10 catches. The average would have been more, but he ran out of field and scored four touchdowns. Last season he caught 42 passes for 828 yards (19.7 per) and in his finale against Ohio State in the Orange Bowl, two of his catches went for touchdowns.

Frankly: Not the surest hands, but this long-limbed speedster can take the top off a defense and find the end zone either on a long sprint or as a big target in the red zone. Psst, Martavis, those throat-slashing gestures that caused trouble last September are illegal in the NFL, too.

11/58. *Kelvin Benjamin, Florida State, 6-5, 240, 4.61, 2

A monster receiver who will command extra defenders despite the fact that he is crude and unpolished. Benjamin has average quickness, but shows a natural ability to get separation. He doesn't consistently use his hands and allows too many balls to get to his body and drops more passes than he should. Showed immaturity and bad habits as a freshman and although work ethic has improved he has a ways to go.

Frankly: Never mind he has a lot to learn, Benjamin is a size, speed, strength mismatch for any single defender. So even until he learns how to be a true No. 1 receiver, put him out there and he will torture defenses even as a work in progress.

12/67. *Davante Adams, Fresno State, 6-1, 212, 4.56, 2-3

Adams had extraordinary stats against ordinary talent as the favorite target of highly rated quarterback prospect Derek Carr in Fresno State's spread offense. Adams caught 233 passes for more than 3,000 yards the last two years, including leading the nation with 131 grabs in 2013. Well-built, aggressive, natural hands catcher who makes himself a larger target with that leaping ability that allowed him to soar 39.5 inches in the vertical jump.

Frankly: Adams is a 21-year old third-year sophomore who shows his smarts by leaving college the same year as his prolific quarterback. Regardless of competition level, he didn't drop the ball in college and it's hard to believe he will start doing so as a pro.

13/76. *Bruce Ellington, South Carolina, 5-9, 197, 4.45, 2-3

Ellington was a basketball-football starter in college who graduated in December and is forgoing his senior year to play for pay in the NFL. He plays with the sudden athleticism expected of a basketball point guard and gets football defenders in a bad position quickly both as a receiver and a returner. Closed out his college football career in dramatic style with six catches for 140 yards and two touchdowns and a nine-yard TD pass to Connor Shaw in a 34-24 Capital One Bowl win over Wisconsin.

Frankly: Short in height, but not in talent. Ellington is a natural athlete who excelled as a high school quarterback (state championship), college point guard, receiver and returner. Use him as a returner and slot receiver and he should excel while focusing on only one sport.

14/90. *Paul Richardson, Colorado, 6-0, 175, 4.40, 3

Extraordinarily quick, fluid, finesse athlete who is fun to watch if you are not a cornerback in single coverage. Richardson showed his ability to run hard and get open often again in 2013 after missing 2012 following a torn ACL in the spring. Last year he caught 83 passes for 1,343 yards and 10 touchdowns receiving. Father, Paul, was a wide receiver at UCLA and with several NFL teams.

Frankly: Richardson was exceptionally productive despite a lack of complementary talent on his team, getting first downs on 51 of his 83 catches and averaging 47 yards on his 10 touchdown plays last year. Yes, 47 yards, damn near half the field.

15/96. Jared Abbrederis, Wisconsin, 6-1, 195, 4.50, 3

Slick receiver who has a knack for finding even small windows in a zone defense and if the window closes he is shows tenacity to go get the ball. Lacks speed that will invite any sort of special coverage, but will give fits to faster, more athletic defenders tasked with trying to cover him without help. Former high school quarterback who made team as a walk-on and coaches had to find a way to use his athleticism and competitiveness. Married, devout Christian with one son.

Frankly: Anybody out there remember Bobby Chandler (USC, Buffalo, Oakland)? He was a former high school quarterback who was 1970 Rose Bowl MVP as a wide receiver, then used his zone-busting skills to lead the NFL in receptions from 1975-77 with 176. He was a great guy who left us too soon, of cancer in 1995. Watching Abbrederis, I thought of Chandler.

16/99. Dri Archer, Kent State, 5-08, 173, 4.26, 3

Archer is instant danger who can get to the end zone as fast as anybody who has ever played the game. Anybody. Really. He has the fastest time ever clocked in 40 yards at an Indianapolis combine -- 4.16 seconds, although his announced time was 4.26 seconds. He was used in college as a running back, wide receiver and as a returner who scored four touchdowns on kickoffs and would have scored more but teams kicked away from him. An injury marred senior season (ankle)lends credence to concerns about his slight frame and durability.

Frankly: Yes, Archer is small and probably fragile. But he's bigger and faster than Trindon Holliday (5-5, 170, Broncos in 2013) and you can't hurt what you can't catch. OK, go ahead and say it -- right now Al Davis is trying to communicate with son Mark to draft this kid.

--Frank Cooney, founder and publisher of The Sports Xchange and NFLDraftScout.com, has covered the NFL and the draft since the 1960s and is a selector for the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
 
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Rotoworld:

According to NFL.com's Gil Brandt, "some teams" have Eastern Illinois QB Jimmy Garoppolo rated ahead of Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater on their draft boards.
Brandt believes there's a "possibility" Garoppolo is selected before Bridgewater, which would send the draftnik community into a tailspin. Brandt acknowledges a team doing so, "might be (making a) mistake." Garoppolo generated a lot of buzz early in the draft process, but lacks a powerful arm and struggles when pressured. Bridgewater is noticeably comfortable when faced with chaos.

Source: Gil Brandt on Twitter
Eric Galko ‏@OptimumScouting

Not many college QB have audible autonomy + basically "full control" of offense. Two that did: EIU's Jimmy Garoppolo, Cornell's Jeff Mathews
 
Updated my top 12 rookies in my sig. Rest of the top 24 will be updated before the draft.

Overall, I see this as a very flat class. It's almost like you could flip #3-13 on anyone's board and make a pretty good argument either way. That's certainly the case with my rankings. The descriptions and analysis are more important than the numbers alone. It's all about knowing what you're getting and deciding what that's worth to you. I think I have a pretty good handle on who these guys are, but that doesn't necessarily translate into knowing what their FF value will be. That's going to hinge pretty heavily on their NFL situation and the scoring system of any given FF league.

 
Updated my top 12 rookies in my sig. Rest of the top 24 will be updated before the draft.

Overall, I see this as a very flat class. It's almost like you could flip #3-13 on anyone's board and make a pretty good argument either way. That's certainly the case with my rankings. The descriptions and analysis are more important than the numbers alone. It's all about knowing what you're getting and deciding what that's worth to you. I think I have a pretty good handle on who these guys are, but that doesn't necessarily translate into knowing what their FF value will be. That's going to hinge pretty heavily on their NFL situation and the scoring system of any given FF league.
Thanks EBF, always look forward to your rankings

 
Updated my top 12 rookies in my sig. Rest of the top 24 will be updated before the draft.

Overall, I see this as a very flat class. It's almost like you could flip #3-13 on anyone's board and make a pretty good argument either way. That's certainly the case with my rankings. The descriptions and analysis are more important than the numbers alone. It's all about knowing what you're getting and deciding what that's worth to you. I think I have a pretty good handle on who these guys are, but that doesn't necessarily translate into knowing what their FF value will be. That's going to hinge pretty heavily on their NFL situation and the scoring system of any given FF league.
Pretty big change in your outlook on ASJ. You bumped him up above some very talented prospects (hell - you ranked him higher than I did and I am absolutely sold on him as a future star - have been for some time).I do think you need to stop holding out that he is not explosive and not a fast twitch athlete. He played basketball and has a 37 inch vertical leap....

Props to you for reassessing...

You forgot his Washington teammate though...

 
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I had ASJ as TE2 and 19th overall in my first edition. It's not THAT big of a jump.

Definitely questioned whether or not he really belongs above the likes of Cooks, Moncrief, and Adams here in this latest list. It is close. I think in terms of FF value there's a chance that those guys can be better. Maybe even by a lot if they really hit. As an NFL prospect, I think ASJ is the better bet.

Always tough to weigh the value of one position against the other. I thought about splitting up the rankings by position for that reason.

Also have some uncertainty about putting Mason/Hyde so high for similar reasons. Just part of the challenge.

 
I had ASJ as TE2 and 19th overall in my first edition. It's not THAT big of a jump.

Definitely questioned whether or not he really belongs above the likes of Cooks, Moncrief, and Adams here in this latest list. It is close. I think in terms of FF value there's a chance that those guys can be better. Maybe even by a lot if they really hit. As an NFL prospect, I think ASJ is the better bet.

Always tough to weigh the value of one position against the other. I thought about splitting up the rankings by position for that reason.

Also have some uncertainty about putting Mason/Hyde so high for similar reasons. Just part of the challenge.
Your right. It is a tough call. I am absolutely sold on him being a top 5 TE for years to come (I think he is a way better prospect than Eifert- by the way : ). I still had a tough time putting him above some of the other guys.... It was a very close call though.... I could see him as high as 10....
 
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Do you have a tiered listing of all the skill position players for this year's draft? PPR and non-PPR? I think it's that which will really generate some discussion.
I just took a first pass at the QBs. This will change as we get actual HTs/WTs for them during the all-star season and combine (is Bridgewater really < 200 pounds?!), but based only on collegiate performance and estimated measurables...

Johnny Manziel

Blake Bortles

Derek Carr

Jordan Lynch

Jimmy Garoppolo

Tajh Boyd

Teddy Bridgewater
I mentioned already that I ditched Lynch (shortly after the original post) and Boyd got dropped after the combine when he was a 4.7 guy instead of a 4.5 guy.

But otherwise this holds up pretty damn well I'd say.

ETA: guys who didn't declare have been removed as well.

 
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Thanks EBF! I have trouble with Mason in light of the recent surgery news... normally, I wouldn't want to spend such a high pick on basically a "devy" player

 
Just to note that the descriptions are as important as the number rankings. I don't think there's a huge, huge gap between the guys I rated around #3-6 and a few of the guys who missed the first cut (Adams, Cooks, Moncrief are probably next in line). I think you'll see Watkins/Evans go 1-2 in most drafts. Once you get past those guys, I think it's a weird split between taking undersized guys that the NFL pundits love (Cooks/Beckham/Lee) and taking more prototypical height/weight/speed guys who aren't as highly-rated (Adams, Latimer, Moncrief, Robinson). It's a security vs. upside argument in my opinion, as the latter group probably have more boom/bust potential overall.

Ultimately, my personal goal with all the pre-draft stuff is to figure out who I like and who I'm likely to value relative to what they're expected to cost. It would be nice to nail the 1-24 rankings perfectly, but more realistically it's about getting a sense for these guys so that when they have X rookie ADP in a couple weeks, I know who I like more/less than what they're likely to cost.

 
Thanks EBF! I have trouble with Mason in light of the recent surgery news... normally, I wouldn't want to spend such a high pick on basically a "devy" player
IIRC he'd be back by the preseason/training camp if he has surgery, so not really a factor for me in a dynasty league.

 
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I agree with the bunching of the 2nd tier, which will ultimately be decided by draft and personal preference. I think Hyde will probably contribute sooner than the other RBs, which has perceived value to some...

 

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