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[Dynasty] 2022 NFL Draft Class (2 Viewers)

2022 Senior Bowl: News, notes and highlights from Tuesday's practices

2022 Senior Bowl: News, notes and highlights from Wednesday's practices

SENIOR BOWL DAY 2: DL DOMINATES

SENIOR BOWL DAY 2 RECAP

Shrine Bowl:

2022 East-West Shrine Bowl: Players Steelers fans should watch

North Carolina senior RB Ty Chandler named to Shrine Bowl West All Practice Team.

Chandler has been one of the standouts at the Senior Bowl, and he's coming off a fantastic season with UNC. He had 14 total touchdowns on a stellar six yards per carry. He'll be a great weapon as a modern RB that can both run and catch out of the backfield. Jack Coan, Tyquan Thornton and Jelani Woods round out the rest of the offensive winners. 

RELATED: 

Jack Coan

, Tyquan Thornton

, Jelani Woods

SOURCE: Shrine Bowl on Twitter

Feb 3, 2022, 1:49 PM ET

 
Baylor RB Abram Smith was named top RB on the National team during the player-of-the-week awards ceremony today at the Senior Bowl.

Smith (5'11/217) made a lot of noise during the Senior Bowl this week and we've seen his stock rise. He has been able to show off all week how he's multi-dimensional with not just his ability to run in space, but his catching and pass blocking. Quite a few analysts have said he's shown he could come into a team and contribute right away. He was awarded the top RB spot over Cincinnati's Jerome Ford and Missouri's Tyler Baddie. He still has more time to show off and he's headed in the right direction.

SOURCE: Jim Nagy

Feb 4, 2022, 5:01 PM ET

 
San Diego State TE Daniel Bellinger was named the top tight end on the American team during the player-of-the-week awards ceremony at the Senior Bowl this Friday.

Bellinger (6'6/255) checks the boxes for a well-rounded tight end prospect, as he has shown the ability to block, run savvy routes and exhibit dependable hands. He was a consistent contributor for the Aztecs this year, reeling in 31-of-43 targets for 353 yards, a 72 percent catch rate and two touchdowns in addition to securing 3-of-5 contested catch opportunities while not dropping a single pass all season. While not flashy, Bellinger has proven to be a competent inline tight end who can contribute in the passing game and is shaping up as a Day 3 NFL Draft selection. 

SOURCE: Jim Nagy on Twitter

Feb 4, 2022, 6:34 PM ET


PFF analyst Austin Gayle named Nevada TE Cole Turner as a player who disappointed during Senior Bowl practices.

Turner (6'6/240) looked skinny compared to the other tight ends and had defenders stuck to him during both 1-on-1's and team sessions. He is clearly overmatched as a blocker, so if he can't separate in the passing game then Turner isn't going to have much value at the NFL level. The Nevada tight end caught 62-of-93 targets for 677 yards and 10 touchdowns this year, earning a modest 72.6 receiving grade from PFF. Turner is shaping up like a Day 3 dart throw in this year's draft.

Feb 4, 2022, 6:53 PM ET


Utah RB T.J. Pledger was added to the American team's Senior Bowl roster.

Pledger (5'9/192) was able to get one practice in and will now suit up for the Senior Bowl itself this Saturday. The former four-star Oklahoma recruit challenged Micah Bernard and Tavion Thomas for the starting job after transferring to Utah after the 2020 season, serving as the primary backup for Thomas as the season progressed. Pledger finished with 104 carries for 694 yards, 6.7 YPC and six touchdowns while sporting a solid 87.9 rushing grade according to PFF. He will try to land a Day 3 selection as a change of pace, all-purpose back.

SOURCE: Jim Nagy on Twitter

Feb 4, 2022, 7:08 PM ET


Boston College TE Trae Barry was added to the National team's Senior Bowl roster. 

Barry (6'6/244) spent four years at Jacksonville State before transferring to Boston College and replacing Hunter Long in the starting lineup. He got banged up late in the year and missed some games, but Barry caught 21-of-33 targets for 362 yards, 17.2 YPC and four touchdowns in essentially eight games. The rangy tight end was particularly proficient in contested catch situations, pulling in 4-of-6 contested opportunities and flexed out 44 percent of the time while averaging 1.91 yards per route run. Barry is on the Day 3/UDFA fringe and could use a good Senior Bowl showing to boost his profile.

SOURCE: Jim Nagy on Twitter

Feb 4, 2022, 7:59 PM ET

 
I think the term "raw" is overused, but IF there ever was someone to attach it to it is Willis.  Even in SF I would let someone else take the risk and choose one of the highly touted WRs in this draft.  Like I said earlier, I don't play SF, so my knowledge on drafting in them is limited, but I could see someone taking Willis over Bell or Olave and I would rather have either over Willis.  My guess is that Burks, Wilson, and perhaps London would all go before Willis in SF, but I could be wrong.  I don't see myself liking that format because of the value that is placed on mediocre QBs over better players at other positions.  You have to give up your first born for a good QB in SF.
Agree with this 100%.  My league has voted to move this direction next year, with me being the one opposing vote.  Not sure how to position my squad to compensate, with an unlikely 1.10 pick team.  (10 team league)  

 
I think the term "raw" is overused, but IF there ever was someone to attach it to it is Willis.  Even in SF I would let someone else take the risk and choose one of the highly touted WRs in this draft. 
He's had more playing time in college then Trey Lance whose value I would assume in SF would be fairly high now.

I don't play SF but 100% sure if I did I'd be taking him over every WR in this draft. As is the case with most athletic QB's, they are virtually can't miss for fantasy so long as they are playing.

 
I heard both Doubs and Ridder haven’t looked good.  Ridder struggles with accuracy and Doubs just struggled.

 
I like the "Shades of" sections...

TREYLON BURKS - SHADES OF: DEEBO SAMUEL WITH A POWER UP MUSHROOM

GARRETT WILSON - SHADES OF: ODELL BECKHAM JR. ON RED BULL

DRAKE LONDON - SHADES OF: SLIM MIKE EVANS, DENNIS RODMAN

KENNY PICKETT - SHADES OF: TONY ROMO

JAMESON WILLIAMS - SHADES OF: JERRY JEUDY ON 1.5X SPEED

CHRIS OLAVE - SHADES OF: STEFON DIGGS

BREECE HALL - SHADES OF: ANTONIO GIBSON

JAHAN DOTSON - SHADES OF: DIONTAE JOHNSON WITH STICKUM GLOVES

DESMOND RIDDER - SHADES OF: DANIEL JONES, BUT IN A GOOD WAY

MALIK WILLIS - SHADES OF: JALEN HURTS WITH TURBO BOOSTERS

MATT CORRAL - SHADES OF: MINI MARCUS MARIOTA

TREY MCBRIDE - SHADES OF: DALLAS GOEDERT

 
^^^^^^^  and so the offseason over-inflation of rookie draft pick value begins.

I already cashed out my shades of Stefon Diggs and Diontae Johnson with stick'em gloves for an old, broken down CMC.

 
ESPN's Todd McShay reported that Oregon junior EDGE Kayvon Thibodeaux could fall out of the top five in April's draft.

The Senior Bowl is a place where the media starts to really gather information on both prospects and we learn for the first time what NFL teams are thinking in regards to the offseason. The biggest revelation from this past week is that Thibodeaux (6'5/250) could drop out of the top five come April. Sources told McShay that he "doesn't play with the same fire" as other top prospects and his "floor is lower than what you want from a top-five pick." The consensus also seems to be that Thibodeaux has a sky-high ceiling, but these concerns speak to a larger narrative that this draft class isn't nearly as set at the top as it has been previously.

SOURCE: ESPN

Feb 8, 2022, 12:25 AM ET


PFF's Seth Galina has Mississippi State redshirt sophomore OT Charles Cross going first overall in his latest mock draft.

There have been a myriad of names topping mock drafts so far this cycle, but until now, Cross (6'5/310) hadn't been one of them. Galina writes that he believes that Cross is "as technical and refined as any player in the draft." He drastically improved year over year, improving his PFF grade from 64.4 in 2020 to 86.7 this past season. Cross is the most savvy pass protector in the class and will compete for analyst's top tackle spot in the 2022 cycle.

SOURCE: PFF

Feb 8, 2022, 12:10 AM ET


NFL Network's Daniel Jeremaih believes that Minnesota redshirt junior EDGE Boye Mafe is a first-round talent.

After a fantastic week in Mobile, the love for Mafe (6'4/265) hasn't slowed down. Jeremiah reviewed his film the day after the Senior Bowl game and proclaimed that the "splash plays" in the game weren't a fluke and that he's a first-round talent. In the game on Saturday, Mafe was a menace with three tackles and two sacks. A member of Bruce Feldman's Freaks List, Mafe has a confirmed 40.5" vertical jump and has been rumored to have jumped even higher this past year. In a deep edge class, Mafe could be a big riser throughout the process.

SOURCE: Daniel Jeremiah

Feb 7, 2022, 10:57 PM ET


PFF's Seth Galina has LSU junior CB Derek Stingley Jr as his top prospect in the 2022 NFL Draft.

With cornerback rankings are all over the place across the NFL Draft landscape right now with Stingley Jr (6'1/195) being ranked up there along with Sauce Gardner and Andrew Booth Jr, seeing him as the top overall prospect is a decent surprise. His freshman season in 2019 earned him consensus All-American honors, accumulating 38 tackles and six interceptions. If he were to have gone in the 2020 NFL Draft, he would have had some serious consideration for the top five. After that season, he has left some to be desired. Stingley has missed serious time due to various injuries, playing in just ten games since that tremendous freshman season and he made just 36 tackles and had zero interceptions. The talent is still there with Stingley Jr, but the questions about him are large in stature.

SOURCE: PFF Draft

Feb 7, 2022, 10:34 PM ET


Northern Iowa senior OT Trevor Penning was PFF's highest grade run blocker in 2021.

Possessing a run-blocking grade of 99.9, Penning (6'7/321) displayed it on the field. During this past week at the Senior Bowl, Penning was violent in practice, throwing and mauling defenders all over the field in team drills. His aggressiveness did get under his teammate's skin as the week progressed, and it got to the officials this past year as well. Penning led the nation in penalties for an offensive lineman with 16 in 2021. As he transitions to the NFL level, he will have to clean some of that up. Penning projects as a fringe first-round player currently.

SOURCE: PFF Draft

Feb 7, 2022, 8:12 PM ET


Pro Football Focus ranks Baylor DB Jalen Pitre as he highest graded red zone defensive back in the 2022 NFL Draft Class. 

Pitre (6'0/197) floated between safety and slot corner, adding a physical presence to HC Dave Aranda's run defense at Baylor. He logged 481 snaps in the slot, drawing a 68.9 overall coverage grade to go with an 85.2 red zone coverage grade which ranks tops among 2022 corners. The hybrid DB terrorized opposing wide receivers and offenses during Senior Bowl practice and had a few strong tackles in the game itself. Pitre is the 57th ranked player of the 2022 NFL Draft on Pro Football Focus' 2022 NFL Draft Big Board, but his stock could be rising if the recent news out of the Senior Bowl practices are any indicator.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Feb 8, 2022, 12:44 PM ET


Florida State DL Jermaine Johnson received multiple "Practice Player-of-Week" votes at last week's Senior Bowl.

Johnson (6'5/260) was an absolute force of nature on the edge, steamrolling whichever unfortunate offensive lineman that was put in his path at the Senior Bowl practices. So impressive was his performance that in The Draft Network's recent mock draft, Johnson was selected 10th overall by the New York Jets, a prodigious rise from him pre-Senior Bowl selection range of late first-to-second round. Last year the Seminoles pass rusher created 46 pressures and 25 hurries in 415 pass rush snaps to go with 70 tackles, 12.0 sacks and two forced fumbles. The former Georgia recruit played part-time before breaking out to play 61 snaps per game this season as a tone-setting edge defender at FSU. Pro Football Focus' Draft Guide had Johnson ranked as the 42nd overall player on their big board prior to Mobile, expect that ranking to rise across the industry when boards get updated. 

SOURCE: Jim Nagy on Twitter

Feb 8, 2022, 1:45 PM ET

 
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Updated Position Rankings (Dynasty PPR) after the East-West Shrine Bowl and Senior Bowl games:

QUARTERBACKS
QB1    (Tier 1)    Kenny Pickett    6-3    220    Pittsburgh (Round 1)
QB2    (Tier 1)    Malik Willis    6-1    215    Liberty ⇑ (Round 1)
QB3    (Tier 1)    Matt Corral    6-0    200    Ole Miss (Round 1)
QB4    (Tier 1)    Sam Howell    6-0    220    North Carolina (Round 1)
QB5    (Tier 1)    Carson Strong    6-4    215    Nevada (Round 2)
QB6    (Tier 1)    Desmond Ridder    6-4    215    Cincinnati ⇑ (Round 2)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TIER BREAK ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
QB7    (Tier 2)    Bailey Zappe    6-1    220    Western Kentucky (Round 4)
QB8    (Tier 2)    Kaleb Eleby    6-1    210    Western Michigan (Round 6)
QB9    (Tier 2)    Brock Purdy    6-1    220    Iowa State (UDFA)
QB10    (Tier 2)    Aqeel Glass    6-5    215    Alabama A&M (UDFA)
QB11    (Tier 2)    EJ Perry        6-2    210    Brown ⇑ (UDFA)
QB12    (Tier 2)    Jack Coan        6-3    221    Notre Dame ⇑ (UDFA)
QB13    (Tier 3)    Eric Barriere    6-1    210    Eastern Washington (UDFA)
QB14    (Tier 3)    Skylar Thompson     6-2    219    Kansas State (UDFA)
QB15    (Tier 3)    Cole Kelley    6-7    250    Southeastern Louisiana (UDFA)

RUNNING BACKS
RB1    (Tier 1)    Breece Hall    6-1    215    Iowa State (Round 2)
RB2    (Tier 1)    Kenneth Walker III    5-10    210    Michigan State (Round 2)
RB3    (Tier 1)    Isaiah Spiller    6-1    225    Texas A&M (Round 2)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TIER BREAK ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RB4    (Tier 2)    Kyren Williams    5-9    195    Notre Dame (Round 3)
RB5    (Tier 2)    Tyler Allgeier    5-11    220    BYU (Round 3)
RB6    (Tier 2)    Rachaad White    6-2    210    Arizona State ⇑ (Round 4)
RB7    (Tier 2)    Jerome Ford    5-11    210    Cincinnati (Round 4)
RB8    (Tier 2)    Dameon Pierce    5-10    215    Florida ⇑ (Round 4)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TIER BREAK ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RB9    (Tier 3)    James Cook    5-11    190    Georgia (Round 3)
RB10    (Tier 3)    Abram Smith    5-11    221    Baylor ⇑ (Round 5)
RB11    (Tier 3)    Brian Robinson Jr.    6-1    225    Alabama (Round 3)
RB12    (Tier 3)    Zamir White    5-11    215    Georgia (Round 4)
RB13    (Tier 4)    Jerrion Ealy    5-8    190    Ole Miss (Round 5)
RB14    (Tier 4)    Hassan Haskins    6-1    220    Michigan (Round 4)
RB15    (Tier 4)    Ty Chandler    6-0    210    North Carolina ⇑ (UDFA)
RB16    (Tier 4)    Tyler Badie    5-8    198    Missouri ⇑ (Round 4)
RB17    (Tier 4)    Kevin Harris    5-10    225    South Carolina (Round 7)
RB18    (Tier 4)    ZaQuandre White    6-2    205    South Carolina (Round 7)
RB19    (Tier 5)    Zonovan Knight    5-11    210    North Carolina State (Round 6)
RB20    (Tier 5)    Max Borghi    5-9    195    Washington State (UDFA)
RB21    (Tier 5)    Pierre Strong Jr.    5-11    202    South Dakota State ⇑ (Round 4)
RB22    (Tier 5)    D’Vonte Price    6-1    198    Florida International ⇑ (Round 5)
RB23    (Tier 5)    Keaontay Ingram    5-11    225    USC ⇑ (UDFA)
RB24    (Tier 5)    Sincere McCormick    5-9    200    UTSA (Round 7)
RB25    (Tier 5)    CJ Verdell    5-8    211    Oregon (Round 7)
RB26    (Tier 5)    TJ Pledger    5-9    196    Utah (UDFA)
RB27    (Tier 5)    Tyler Goodson    5-10    198    Iowa (Round 6)

WIDE RECEIVERS
WR1    (Tier 1)    Treylon Burks    6-3    225    Arkansas (Round 1)
WR2    (Tier 1)    Garrett Wilson    6-0    188    Ohio State (Round 1)
WR3    (Tier 1)    Drake London    6-5    210    USC (Round 1)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TIER BREAK ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
WR4    (Tier 2)    Jameson Williams    6-2    189    Alabama (Round 1)
WR5    (Tier 2)    George Pickens    6-3    200    Georgia (Round 2)
WR6    (Tier 2)    Chris Olave    6-1    188    Ohio State (Round 1)
WR7    (Tier 2)    David Bell    6-2    205    Purdue (Round 2)
WR8    (Tier 2)    Jahan Dotson    5-11    184    Penn State (Round 1)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TIER BREAK ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
WR9    (Tier 3)    Wan’Dale Robinson    5-8    185    Kentucky (Round 3)
WR10    (Tier 3)    Romeo Doubs    6-2    200    Nevada (Round 3)
WR11    (Tier 3)    John Metchie III    6-0    195    Alabama (Round 3)
WR12    (Tier 3)    Jalen Tolbert    6-1    190    South Alabama (Round 2)
WR13    (Tier 3)    Christian Watson    6-5    208    North Dakota State ⇑ (Round 4)
WR14    (Tier 3)    Justyn Ross    6-4    205    Clemson (Round 3) (Pending Medicals)
WR15    (Tier 3)    Alec Pierce    6-3    213    Cincinnati (Round 3)
WR16    (Tier 3)    Kyle Phillips    5-10    186    UCLA ⇑ (Round 7)
WR17    (Tier 3)    Skyy Moore    5-10    195    Western Michigan (Round 4)
WR18    (Tier 3)    Khalil Shakir    6-0    190    Boise State ⇑ (Round 3)
WR19    (Tier 4)    Erik Ezukanma    6-3    220    Texas Tech (Round 4)
WR20    (Tier 4)    Emeka Emezie    6-2    212    North Carolina State (Round 5)
WR21    (Tier 4)    Charleston Rambo    6-1    185    Miami ⇑ (UDFA)
WR22    (Tier 4)    Calvin Austin III    5-7    173    Memphis ⇑ (Round 4)
WR23    (Tier 4)    Dontario Drummond    6-0    215    Ole Miss (Round 7)
WR24    (Tier 4)    Ty Fryfogle    6-1    205    Indiana (Round 6)
WR25    (Tier 4)    Jaivon Heiligh    6-2    200    Coastal Carolina (Round 5)
WR26    (Tier 4)    Dareke Young    6-3    220    Lenoir-Rhyne (UDFA)
WR27    (Tier 4)    Kevin Austin, Jr.    6-2    215    Notre Dame (UDFA)

TIGHT ENDS
TE1    (Tier 1)    Trey McBride    6-4    260    Colorado State (Round 2)
TE2    (Tier 1)    Jalen Wydermyer    6-5    255    Texas A&M (Round 2)
TE3    (Tier 1)    Isaiah Likely    6-4    240    Coastal Carolina (Round 3)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ TIER BREAK ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
TE4    (Tier 2)    Jeremy Ruckert    6-5    250    Ohio State ⇑ (Round 3)
TE5    (Tier 2)    Jelani Woods    6-7    275    Virginia ⇑ (Round 5)
TE6    (Tier 2)    Cade Otton    6-5    250    Washington (Round 3)
TE7    (Tier 2)    Derrick Deese, Jr.    6-4    235    San José State (Round 5)
TE8    (Tier 3)    Lucas Krull    6-6    260    Pittsburgh (Round 6)
TE9    (Tier 3)    Jake Ferguson    6-5    244    Wisconsin ⇑ (Round 4)
TE10    (Tier 3)    Cole Turner    6-6    240    Nevada (Round 4)
TE11    (Tier 3)    Charlie Kolar    6-6    256    Iowa State (Round 3)
TE12    (Tier 3)    Greg Dulcich    6-3    245    UCLA ⇑ (Round 4)
TE13    (Tier 3)    Austin Allen    6-9    255    Nebraska (Round 7)
TE14    (Tier 3)    Chigoziem Okonkwo    6-2    245    Maryland (UDFA)
TE15    (Tier 3)    Teagan Quitoriano    6-6    259    Oregon State ⇑ (UDFA)
TE16    (Tier 3)    James Mitchell    6-3    255    Virginia Tech (Round 6)

 
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Chargers Scouting Report: Memphis WR Calvin Austin III

Report: Colts showing 'legitimate interest' in Calvin Austin III

Bills have had ‘great talks’ with Calvin Austin III, the speedy WR who has dominated Senior Bowl practices

Lions WR coach says Calvin Austin is ‘one of the smartest’ WRs at the Senior Bowl

Browns have shown interest in small but speedy Memphis wideout Calvin Austin III at the Senior Bowl

A PROSPECT LIKE CALVIN AUSTIN III IS JUST WHAT THIS TITANS OFFENSE IS MISSING

Memphis WR Calvin Austin was named the top wide receiver on the National team during the player-of-the-week awards ceremony at the Senior Bowl this Friday.

Austin (5'7/162) was a matchup nightmare all week in 1-on-1's, as his short-area twitch allowed him to manipulate defenders easily. Listed at 5-foot-9 throughout college, Austin measured in at just 5'7 but went on to excel on the field despite his diminutive stature. A very productive wideout in college, Austin has posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons while earning a strong 85.2 receiving grade this year according to PFF. His skillset is more advanced than last year's slightly built second-round wide receiver, Tutu Atwell, who has struggled to see the field in LA. Austin should land in the Day 2 range and be more productive than the disappointing Atwell.

SOURCE: Jim Nagy on Twitter

Feb 4, 2022, 5:56 PM ET

 
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Just a personal reaction. I roster Mahomes, Zach Wilson, and Cam Newton in a 1 QB/non-SF league. I hold the 1.09, 2.02, 2.07, and 2.09. Depending on the NFL draft and who selects him (and I fully expect this guy to go at least top 15, if not higher) if Willis falls to me at the latter two picks, I don't see how I can't take him, just for his running points potential alone. He's got too many tools to pass up.

NFL teams are also going to feel this way, I think. He'll be moving up draft boards and fantasy drafts everywhere, if you ask me. I'll be lucky to get him with the 2.07 and 2.09. I don't think that he falls outside of the top ten in the NFL draft and he's likely to go in the 2.01-2.04 range or even higher in 1 QB fantasy drafts. 

 
Just a personal reaction. I roster Mahomes, Zach Wilson, and Cam Newton in a 1 QB/non-SF league. I hold the 1.09, 2.02, 2.07, and 2.09. Depending on the NFL draft and who selects him (and I fully expect this guy to go at least top 15, if not higher) if Willis falls to me at the latter two picks, I don't see how I can't take him, just for his running points potential alone. He's got too many tools to pass up.

NFL teams are also going to feel this way, I think. He'll be moving up draft boards and fantasy drafts everywhere, if you ask me. I'll be lucky to get him with the 2.07 and 2.09. I don't think that he falls outside of the top ten in the NFL draft and he's likely to go in the 2.01-2.04 range or even higher in 1 QB fantasy drafts. 
You may be right.  After the first round, I am probably putting even more of a premium on high-ceiling players, and with his dual-threat ability, Willis' ceiling is the highest of all of the QBs in this class.  All of the running ability in the world won't earn Willis a starting gig, however, if he does not shore up some deficiencies in his passing game.

 
Just a personal reaction. I roster Mahomes, Zach Wilson, and Cam Newton in a 1 QB/non-SF league. I hold the 1.09, 2.02, 2.07, and 2.09. Depending on the NFL draft and who selects him (and I fully expect this guy to go at least top 15, if not higher) if Willis falls to me at the latter two picks, I don't see how I can't take him, just for his running points potential alone. He's got too many tools to pass up.

NFL teams are also going to feel this way, I think. He'll be moving up draft boards and fantasy drafts everywhere, if you ask me. I'll be lucky to get him with the 2.07 and 2.09. I don't think that he falls outside of the top ten in the NFL draft and he's likely to go in the 2.01-2.04 range or even higher in 1 QB fantasy drafts. 
Also in a 1QB / non-SF with Mahomes, but nothing at backup.    I currently have Willis 2.5 and Pickett 2.6 on my early draft board, so I clearly agree with your evaluation.   And since there have been owners in my league more than willing to roster 4 QBs for some bizarre reason, I also am expecting him to go early 2nd in the rookie draft, unless combine hype pushes him even further up.  

There's probably a strong case for me to go Pickett since I have no backup.   However, Willis' upside is an easy choice when you already have Wilson in place.

 
. Depending on the NFL draft and who selects him (and I fully expect this guy to go at least top 15, if not higher) if Willis falls to me at the latter two picks, I don't see how I can't take him, just for his running points potential alone. He's got too many tools to pass up.


In my leagues, which are mainly FFPC and not deep, where he goes in rookie drafts is going to be very tied into how fast people think he can see the field. Possible week one starter or a Mahomes/Lance type year one will sway him.

I view him as essentially can't miss for fantasy purposes so long as he's playing.

 

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