Ryan Poles is playing 3 dimensional chest with these desperate GMs. Commanders should suck heavily even with Calib Williams under center. Bears getting the Commanders 1st in 2025 is IMO equivalent to getting the Panthers 1st in to 2024. He should be able to parley that in another top pick and 1st rounder in 2026.Before I begin, this week's Justin Fields trade is as follows:
Falcons get: Justin Fields, 2025 sixth-round pick
Bears get: No. 74 overall (third-round pick), 2025 third-round pick that becomes a second-round pick if Fields plays 75% of the snaps and becomes a first-round pick if the Falcons make the playoffs in 2025
But here are the details in the headliner trade in this mock:
Commanders get: No. 1 overall, No. 122 overall (fourth round), and a 2025 fourth-round pick
Bears get: No. 2 overall, No. 43 overall (second-round pick), No. 79 overall (third-round pick), 2025 first-round pick, 2026 third-round pick
David J. Gautieri
There are 3 WR’s in this draft class who ran 22+ MPH (on-field) & declared-early for the NFL Draft.
⁃ Marvin Harrison Jr.
⁃ Xavier Worthy
⁃ Troy Franklin
Worthy & Franklin are the guys you want at the 1/2 turn.
David J. Gautieri
Xavier Worthy v Adonai Mitchell
Career-high PFF Receiving Grade
Worthy – 80.3
Mitchell – 74.1
70.0+ PFF Receiving Grade Seasons
Worthy – 3/3
Mitchell – 1/3
Career-high Receiving Yards
Worthy – 1,014
Mitchell – 845
Career-high Targets
Worthy – 119
Mitchell – 86
YPRR (Single-season High)
Worthy – 2.61
Mitchell – 1.72
YPRR (Career)
Worthy – 2.21
Mitchell – 1.68
YAC/reception (Career)
Worthy – 7.3
Mitchell – 3.0
Career broken tackles
Worthy – 31
Mitchell – 9
Seems like an easy decision to me.
Thanks!https://www.fantasypros.com/2024/02/top-dynasty-rookie-wide-receivers-2024-fantasy-football/
Comps and dominator rating
Scott Barrett
Career Contested Target Rate [Screens Removed]
+ @dpbrugler's top-40 WRs
Keon Coleman (29.5%)
Marvin Harrison Jr. (26.8%)
Malik Nabers (22.6%)
Brian Thomas (21.6%)
Adonai Mitchell (20.0%)
Rome Odunze (19.1%)
Troy Franklin (18.5%)
Ladd McConkey (16.1%)
@32BeatWriters
Brugler's Top 100
--QB--
1. Caleb Williams, USC
4. Drake Maye, UNC
8. Jayden Daniels, LSU
24. JJ McCarthy, Mich.
37. Bo Nix, Oregon
57. Michael Penix, Wash.
88. Spencer Rattler, S. Car.
100. Michael Pratt, Tulane
--WR--
2. Marvin Harrison, OSU
3. Malik Nabers, LSU
7. Rome Odunze, Wash.
14. Brian Thomas, LSU
28. Keon Coleman, FSU
34. Ladd McConkey, UGA
35. Adonai Mitchell, Texas
40. Troy Franklin, Oregon
45. Roman Wilson, Mich.
46. Xavier Worthy, Texas
49. Malachi Corley, WKU
54. Ja’Lynn Polk, Wash.
64. Devontez Walker, UNC
65. Jalen McMillan, Wash.
78. Ricky Pearsall, Florida
80. Xavier Legette, S. Car.
97. Brenden Rice, USC
--RB--
70. Jonathan Brooks, Texas
73. Blake Corum, Mich.
75. Braelon Allen, Wisc.
81. Bucky Irving, Oregon
87. Audric Estime, ND
89. Jayden Wright, Tenn
92. Trey Benson, FSU
--TE--
5. Brock Bowers, UGA
50. Ja'Tavion Sanders, Texas
76. Theo Johnson, PSU
94. Cade Stover, OSU
Lance Zierlein
I like to match up data points with tape study of that data to get context. One of the data points that I consider very important is comp % out of scrambles.
According to PFF (comp% when scrambling):
Caleb 41.8%
Maye 36.8%
Daniels 46.7%
Nix 58.6%
Penix 23.3%
McCarthy 71.4%
Austin Abbott
Genuinely think there will be 6 WR’s drafted in round 1 yet I ended up with 8.
Here’s my thoughts on the WR’s:
No chance the Cardinals/Chargers pass up on these blue chip talents. MHJ + Nabers are elite prospects.
NYG desperately needs a WR, Odunze would be a DAWG there.
Jags low key need a WR, especially if Ridley walks, which I’m highly anticipating. Brian Thomas Jr. to the moon.
I know the Texans don’t need to go WR but I thought the value was just way too good and they want even MORE firepower on offense for Stroud, so Troy Franklin in Houston would be sick.
Buffalo cannot leave the draft without a WR, I think Keon Coleman and Stefon Diggs would be electric together. Gabe Davis (not that it matters much) is likely gone.
Ravens only have one valuable WR in Zay Flowers, yes, they absolutely need to build around Lamar even more. Worthy’s speed + Lamar’s speed + Keaton Mitchell’s speed.. could they be even faster than Miami?
Lastly, the Chiefs, who need help at the WR position more than anyone. Why not 6’4 Adonai Mitchell? Would love to see it.
Marvin Elequin
Xavier Worthy | Rome Odunze
Odunze is currently the consensus rookie WR3 based on ADP
However, Worthy has the edge in experience-adjusted production, averaging more Receiving Yards per Team Pass Attempt each career year
Worthy should be in the WR3 conversation as well
Nick Penticoff
How does Troy Franklin stack up to them in these metrics?
Marvin Elequin
Year 1: 0.67
Year 2: 2.06
Year 3: 2.93
Really like his profile as well!
Shane Barrett
What about Troy Franklin?
Marvin Elequin
Love his profile as well. Got him, Odunze, and Worthy essentially in the same tier.
Matt Miller
There shouldn't be a running back drafted in the first round this year. Maybe not in the top 50 picks, even. But this is a talented RB class with good value in late Round 2 and Round 3
* Jonathon Brooks, Texas
* Audric Estime, Notre Dame
* Braelon Allen, Wisconsin
* Blake Corum, Michigan
* Trey Benson, FSU
* Bucky Irving, Oregon
* Jaylen Wright, Tenn.
Marshawn LloydMatt Miller
There shouldn't be a running back drafted in the first round this year. Maybe not in the top 50 picks, even. But this is a talented RB class with good value in late Round 2 and Round 3
* Jonathon Brooks, Texas
* Audric Estime, Notre Dame
* Braelon Allen, Wisconsin
* Blake Corum, Michigan
* Trey Benson, FSU
* Bucky Irving, Oregon
* Jaylen Wright, Tenn.
Another writer just writing another ridiculous article for clicks
The 2024 NFL Draft wide receiver class is one of the deepest talent groups we have this draft season. Whether teams need an outside “X” receiver on the line of scrimmage, a moving flanker or a slot stud, they can find one.
Here, we highlight the strengths and weaknesses of the top 10 wide receivers, per the PFF big board, in the 2024 NFL Draft.
MARVIN HARRISON JR., OHIO STATE
Strengths
Harrison displays an understanding of how to win at the position like few college players do. He is well beyond his years in his releases, his route tree and his IQ to set up and manipulate defenders to maximize throwing windows. For a player as tall as he is (6-foot-4), his footwork, change of direction and long speed are excellent. He has reliable hands and good hand-eye coordination to make tough contested catches.
Weaknesses
Harrison had room to improve his after-the-catch ability following 2022, and he did as much in 2023. He averaged 4.2 yards after the catch per reception in 2022, before boosting that figure to 6.4 yards this past season. Continuing to show he can be a good YAC threat will nearly perfectly round out his profile.
MALIK NABERS, LSU
Strengths
Nabers was a football and baseball player in high school, and he also was a sprinter on the track team. This is evidence of his natural athletic ability on the football field. The way he accelerates while changing direction gives him a very high ceiling as a separation specialist. His feet are lightning-quick when he is getting off press at the line of scrimmage. He can run any route in the book with success.
Weaknesses
While the speed elements of Nabers' game will make an impact in the NFL, he could stand to get stronger, both in getting off press and at the catch point.
ROME ODUNZE, WASHINGTON
Strengths
Odunze checks the size boxes for height, weight and arm length to play all three receiver positions, and he does the same from an athletic standpoint. His route running is very smooth for a player of his size (6-foot-3, 215 pounds), and his acceleration is equally impressive. He became a more reliable catcher through contact in 2023 and is comfortable and confident hauling in passes away from his body.
Weaknesses
Odunze is a little slower to flip his hips on comeback routes, but it's nothing glaring when taking into account his size. He also doesn’t have a lot of yards after the catch, but that is likely more due to ball placement/routes than a lack of playmaking ability.
BRIAN THOMAS JR., LSU
Strengths
Thomas has smooth, long strides with good top speed to consistently threaten vertically. His technique and footwork were much improved on his releases in 2023, which has increased his effectiveness in winning routes early. On top of the speed element, he is a willing and competitive blocker.
Weaknesses
Thomas does not have much experience versus press, and that can show against some of the more seasoned press defenders. His catch percentage was lower than preferred over the past three years (though 2023 was his best). While he is a good athlete, he isn’t a “make you miss” type of ball carrier after the catch right now.
TROY FRANKLIN, OREGON
Strengths
Franklin consistently threatens vertically through long, smooth strides. At the snap, he has a loaded stance with no false steps, which allows him to get up to top speed quickly. He is a consistent hands catcher who extends his long arms for the catch rather than letting the ball into his body, and his excellent footwork shows up in releases and his ability to make players miss after the catch.
Weaknesses
Franklin's route tree is limited, consisting almost only of vertical routes (though likely not due to lack of ability). General strength (slender build) can be a concern, at times, but it does not affect his willingness to go up strong for catches or get his nose into blocks.
LADD MCCONKEY, GEORGIA
Strengths
In addition to bringing NFL-level quickness and acceleration out of his stance and out of his breaks, McConkey has plus long speed and outside receiver experience and ability. That speed also makes him an impactful after-the-catch receiver for the quick game. A lack of overall size affects his efficacy, but he is a very willing blocker with good fundamentals.
Weaknesses
Size is seemingly McConkey's only weakness. It limits his catch radius for jump balls and affects his overall strength at the catch point and when blocking.
TEZ WALKER, NORTH CAROLINA
Strengths
Walker displays active hands on the line of scrimmage and uses both his hands and feet to effectively get off press. He is a very impressive athlete who has NFL-level explosiveness and top speed.
Weaknesses
Walker's routes in 2023 were not as crisp or polished version. He also struggled to haul passes in. We have seen flashes of some impressive catches, but especially at the Senior Bowl, his catch percentage was much lower than it needed to be.
AD MITCHELL, TEXAS
Strengths
Mitchel is a fast, fluid route runner for a player of his size (6-foot-4). He has impressive footwork for a big man, leading to quick releases off the line. He displays an effective shoulder dip when running by defenders into his routes and understands the nuance of how to get open, especially deep. This makes him a tough red-zone matchup.
Weaknesses
Mitchell's release speed is fast, but he could clean up some false steps/wasted steps and be even more effective. He could do a better job of attacking the ball in the air at his size.
KEON COLEMAN, FLORIDA STATE
Strengths
Coleman is an impressive athlete at his size; he is very explosive and strong. In 2022 and 2023, he had some of the most impressive contested catches you'll see. When going up against press coverage, he flashes active, strong hands. His athletic ability translates to yards after the catch, as we see in his punt return work.
Weaknesses
Though he is an explosive linear athlete, Coleman doesn’t showcase that same level of athleticness in his lateral agility. In a similar light, his lack of separation is an issue. Contested catches are his strength, but every catch seems to be contested.
XAVIER WORTHY, TEXAS
Strengths
Worthy has functional NFL speed and is not just a straight-line sprinter. He can vary his speeds to still be an efficient route runner while operating quickly. This makes him an elite vertical threat. He also has good deep tracking ability and can adjust when ball placement goes awry.
Weaknesses
Overall strength is a consistent concern in Worthy's game, including catch reliability. Worthy struggles to get off coverage using physicality. He can get locked up against a good press cornerback who gets their hands on him early. He needs to be better at using his hands to fight off defenders when he attempts to pass them vertically.
Trevor Sikkema (PFF) article on the strengths & weaknesses of the Top Ten WRs:
The 2024 NFL Draft wide receiver class is one of the deepest talent groups we have this draft season. Whether teams need an outside “X” receiver on the line of scrimmage, a moving flanker or a slot stud, they can find one.
Here, we highlight the strengths and weaknesses of the top 10 wide receivers, per the PFF big board, in the 2024 NFL Draft.
MARVIN HARRISON JR., OHIO STATE
Strengths
Harrison displays an understanding of how to win at the position like few college players do. He is well beyond his years in his releases, his route tree and his IQ to set up and manipulate defenders to maximize throwing windows. For a player as tall as he is (6-foot-4), his footwork, change of direction and long speed are excellent. He has reliable hands and good hand-eye coordination to make tough contested catches.
Weaknesses
Harrison had room to improve his after-the-catch ability following 2022, and he did as much in 2023. He averaged 4.2 yards after the catch per reception in 2022, before boosting that figure to 6.4 yards this past season. Continuing to show he can be a good YAC threat will nearly perfectly round out his profile.
MALIK NABERS, LSU
Strengths
Nabers was a football and baseball player in high school, and he also was a sprinter on the track team. This is evidence of his natural athletic ability on the football field. The way he accelerates while changing direction gives him a very high ceiling as a separation specialist. His feet are lightning-quick when he is getting off press at the line of scrimmage. He can run any route in the book with success.
Weaknesses
While the speed elements of Nabers' game will make an impact in the NFL, he could stand to get stronger, both in getting off press and at the catch point.
ROME ODUNZE, WASHINGTON
Strengths
Odunze checks the size boxes for height, weight and arm length to play all three receiver positions, and he does the same from an athletic standpoint. His route running is very smooth for a player of his size (6-foot-3, 215 pounds), and his acceleration is equally impressive. He became a more reliable catcher through contact in 2023 and is comfortable and confident hauling in passes away from his body.
Weaknesses
Odunze is a little slower to flip his hips on comeback routes, but it's nothing glaring when taking into account his size. He also doesn’t have a lot of yards after the catch, but that is likely more due to ball placement/routes than a lack of playmaking ability.
BRIAN THOMAS JR., LSU
Strengths
Thomas has smooth, long strides with good top speed to consistently threaten vertically. His technique and footwork were much improved on his releases in 2023, which has increased his effectiveness in winning routes early. On top of the speed element, he is a willing and competitive blocker.
Weaknesses
Thomas does not have much experience versus press, and that can show against some of the more seasoned press defenders. His catch percentage was lower than preferred over the past three years (though 2023 was his best). While he is a good athlete, he isn’t a “make you miss” type of ball carrier after the catch right now.
TROY FRANKLIN, OREGON
Strengths
Franklin consistently threatens vertically through long, smooth strides. At the snap, he has a loaded stance with no false steps, which allows him to get up to top speed quickly. He is a consistent hands catcher who extends his long arms for the catch rather than letting the ball into his body, and his excellent footwork shows up in releases and his ability to make players miss after the catch.
Weaknesses
Franklin's route tree is limited, consisting almost only of vertical routes (though likely not due to lack of ability). General strength (slender build) can be a concern, at times, but it does not affect his willingness to go up strong for catches or get his nose into blocks.
LADD MCCONKEY, GEORGIA
Strengths
In addition to bringing NFL-level quickness and acceleration out of his stance and out of his breaks, McConkey has plus long speed and outside receiver experience and ability. That speed also makes him an impactful after-the-catch receiver for the quick game. A lack of overall size affects his efficacy, but he is a very willing blocker with good fundamentals.
Weaknesses
Size is seemingly McConkey's only weakness. It limits his catch radius for jump balls and affects his overall strength at the catch point and when blocking.
TEZ WALKER, NORTH CAROLINA
Strengths
Walker displays active hands on the line of scrimmage and uses both his hands and feet to effectively get off press. He is a very impressive athlete who has NFL-level explosiveness and top speed.
Weaknesses
Walker's routes in 2023 were not as crisp or polished version. He also struggled to haul passes in. We have seen flashes of some impressive catches, but especially at the Senior Bowl, his catch percentage was much lower than it needed to be.
AD MITCHELL, TEXAS
Strengths
Mitchel is a fast, fluid route runner for a player of his size (6-foot-4). He has impressive footwork for a big man, leading to quick releases off the line. He displays an effective shoulder dip when running by defenders into his routes and understands the nuance of how to get open, especially deep. This makes him a tough red-zone matchup.
Weaknesses
Mitchell's release speed is fast, but he could clean up some false steps/wasted steps and be even more effective. He could do a better job of attacking the ball in the air at his size.
KEON COLEMAN, FLORIDA STATE
Strengths
Coleman is an impressive athlete at his size; he is very explosive and strong. In 2022 and 2023, he had some of the most impressive contested catches you'll see. When going up against press coverage, he flashes active, strong hands. His athletic ability translates to yards after the catch, as we see in his punt return work.
Weaknesses
Though he is an explosive linear athlete, Coleman doesn’t showcase that same level of athleticness in his lateral agility. In a similar light, his lack of separation is an issue. Contested catches are his strength, but every catch seems to be contested.
XAVIER WORTHY, TEXAS
Strengths
Worthy has functional NFL speed and is not just a straight-line sprinter. He can vary his speeds to still be an efficient route runner while operating quickly. This makes him an elite vertical threat. He also has good deep tracking ability and can adjust when ball placement goes awry.
Weaknesses
Overall strength is a consistent concern in Worthy's game, including catch reliability. Worthy struggles to get off coverage using physicality. He can get locked up against a good press cornerback who gets their hands on him early. He needs to be better at using his hands to fight off defenders when he attempts to pass them vertically.
David J. Gautieri
Rome Odunze has NEVER topped 3.00+ YPRR in 4 collegiate seasons.
Malik Nabers topped 3.50+ YPRR in just 3 years.
Rome Odunze has NEVER posted a 90.0+ PFF Receiving Grade in 4 collegiate seasons.
Malik Nabers posted a 90.0+ PFF Receiving Grade in just 3 years.
Rome Odunze has NEVER broken more than 15 tackles in 4 collegiate seasons.
Malik Nabers has broken more than 15 tackles TWICE in 3 years.
These WR’s are NOT in the same tier.