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Dynasty RB Values (1 Viewer)

Bronx Bomber

Footballguy
To piggy back on the WR thread

What value/ ranking do you give these RBs in PPR

Peterson

Charles

McFadden

Lynch

CJ1K

Matthews

Murray

Is it still Peterson 1 regardless of the injury?

 
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I'd rank them:

1)CJ1K

2)Matthews

3)McFadden

4)Charles

5)Peterson

6)Lynch

7)Murray

Guys with major injuries get a big bump down in dynasty leagues, so McFadden (LisFranc) and Charles/Peterson (ACL) have big red flags.

 
Darren Mcfadden

Ryan Mathews

Chris Johnson

Jamaal Charles

DeMarco Murray

Adrian Peterson

Marshawn Lynch

- Darren McFadden is the most talented player that didn't recently destroy his knee on this list (I still hurt for Adrian Peterson!). The injury issues are real, but also overblown and not a reason to discount his immense talent relative to the other players listed

- Ryan Mathews is also an ultra talented player who is being, in my opinion, incorrectly devalued over injury concerns and the fact that he is not the goal line back. He doesn't have a long enough track record to indicate if minor injuries truly affect him more than others (as McFadden has shown to be the case with him) and Mike Tolbert is a very good bet to leave this season. This leaves an already productive Ryan Mathews in line for goal line work. Feels very similar to Ray Rice in 2010 -vs- Ray Rice in 2011, at least where the goal line touches are concerned

- Call me slow to react, but I'm unwilling to give up on Chris Johnson. 1 season doesn't cause me to completely erase the 3 years prior when many were calling him the best running back in football. His 2011 season causes me enough concern to rank him solidly below McFadden and Mathews, but I also have plenty of belief that he bounces back to top shelf form. Truthfully, I believe his spot on this list is interchangable with Jamaal Charles and DeMarco Murray and I think those 3 players could go in any order without much complain from me

- Jamaal Charles is a player whose game is, in large part, based on speed and quickness. ACL injury recovery has come a long way in the last decade or so, but I still am skeptical about what it does to a player who requires quick burst and speed to be effective. I still believe in Charles talent enough to value him plenty, but now greatly prefer McFadden and Mathews to him and somewhat prefer Chris Johnson (which was not the case prior to injury)

- DeMarco Murray is a wild card. His current value is such that it is either going to make a team great because they will acquire him for less than top 3-5 RB price and he absolutely has the potential to produce that kind of production or it will break a team because he is still expensive enough that he will cost a lot and could end up in a strict timeshare. I personally have high enough hopes that I place him here, solidly behind McFadden and Mathews but right in the mix with Charles and Johnson. I believe he will produce top shelf production and will become an elite fantasy force, but am hedging my bets due to a potential timeshare

- Adrian Peterson would have been #1 on this list by a mile as of week 15 of 2011. However, the knee injury was pretty bad and significantly alters his value. This type of injury completely changed the trajectory of Willis McGahee's career (although Peterson's is admittedly not as bad). I value all of the players above him considerably more, especially when you take into account Peterson's age. I still think he will be productive, but not as productive as the other players and not for as long

- Marshawn Lynch doesn't belong here. I see his 2011 season as more of a fluke and have no expectation he repeats it. I GREATLY value every other player above him, including Peterson

 
Darren McfaddenRyan MathewsChris JohnsonJamaal CharlesDeMarco MurrayAdrian PetersonMarshawn Lynch- Darren McFadden is the most talented player that didn't recently destroy his knee on this list (I still hurt for Adrian Peterson!). The injury issues are real, but also overblown and not a reason to discount his immense talent relative to the other players listed- Ryan Mathews is also an ultra talented player who is being, in my opinion, incorrectly devalued over injury concerns and the fact that he is not the goal line back. He doesn't have a long enough track record to indicate if minor injuries truly affect him more than others (as McFadden has shown to be the case with him) and Mike Tolbert is a very good bet to leave this season. This leaves an already productive Ryan Mathews in line for goal line work. Feels very similar to Ray Rice in 2010 -vs- Ray Rice in 2011, at least where the goal line touches are concerned- Call me slow to react, but I'm unwilling to give up on Chris Johnson. 1 season doesn't cause me to completely erase the 3 years prior when many were calling him the best running back in football. His 2011 season causes me enough concern to rank him solidly below McFadden and Mathews, but I also have plenty of belief that he bounces back to top shelf form. Truthfully, I believe his spot on this list is interchangable with Jamaal Charles and DeMarco Murray and I think those 3 players could go in any order without much complain from me- Jamaal Charles is a player whose game is, in large part, based on speed and quickness. ACL injury recovery has come a long way in the last decade or so, but I still am skeptical about what it does to a player who requires quick burst and speed to be effective. I still believe in Charles talent enough to value him plenty, but now greatly prefer McFadden and Mathews to him and somewhat prefer Chris Johnson (which was not the case prior to injury)- DeMarco Murray is a wild card. His current value is such that it is either going to make a team great because they will acquire him for less than top 3-5 RB price and he absolutely has the potential to produce that kind of production or it will break a team because he is still expensive enough that he will cost a lot and could end up in a strict timeshare. I personally have high enough hopes that I place him here, solidly behind McFadden and Mathews but right in the mix with Charles and Johnson. I believe he will produce top shelf production and will become an elite fantasy force, but am hedging my bets due to a potential timeshare- Adrian Peterson would have been #1 on this list by a mile as of week 15 of 2011. However, the knee injury was pretty bad and significantly alters his value. This type of injury completely changed the trajectory of Willis McGahee's career (although Peterson's is admittedly not as bad). I value all of the players above him considerably more, especially when you take into account Peterson's age. I still think he will be productive, but not as productive as the other players and not for as long- Marshawn Lynch doesn't belong here. I see his 2011 season as more of a fluke and have no expectation he repeats it. I GREATLY value every other player above him, including Peterson
Herm, your ranking gives a lot of weight to injury concerns. But yet you rank DMac #1? Do you really think Liz franc is no big deal? I think it is more serious than an ACL because ACL surgery has really improved, but Liz Franc seems to be a RB killer.
 
Darren McfaddenRyan MathewsChris JohnsonJamaal CharlesDeMarco MurrayAdrian PetersonMarshawn Lynch- Darren McFadden is the most talented player that didn't recently destroy his knee on this list (I still hurt for Adrian Peterson!). The injury issues are real, but also overblown and not a reason to discount his immense talent relative to the other players listed- Ryan Mathews is also an ultra talented player who is being, in my opinion, incorrectly devalued over injury concerns and the fact that he is not the goal line back. He doesn't have a long enough track record to indicate if minor injuries truly affect him more than others (as McFadden has shown to be the case with him) and Mike Tolbert is a very good bet to leave this season. This leaves an already productive Ryan Mathews in line for goal line work. Feels very similar to Ray Rice in 2010 -vs- Ray Rice in 2011, at least where the goal line touches are concerned- Call me slow to react, but I'm unwilling to give up on Chris Johnson. 1 season doesn't cause me to completely erase the 3 years prior when many were calling him the best running back in football. His 2011 season causes me enough concern to rank him solidly below McFadden and Mathews, but I also have plenty of belief that he bounces back to top shelf form. Truthfully, I believe his spot on this list is interchangable with Jamaal Charles and DeMarco Murray and I think those 3 players could go in any order without much complain from me- Jamaal Charles is a player whose game is, in large part, based on speed and quickness. ACL injury recovery has come a long way in the last decade or so, but I still am skeptical about what it does to a player who requires quick burst and speed to be effective. I still believe in Charles talent enough to value him plenty, but now greatly prefer McFadden and Mathews to him and somewhat prefer Chris Johnson (which was not the case prior to injury)- DeMarco Murray is a wild card. His current value is such that it is either going to make a team great because they will acquire him for less than top 3-5 RB price and he absolutely has the potential to produce that kind of production or it will break a team because he is still expensive enough that he will cost a lot and could end up in a strict timeshare. I personally have high enough hopes that I place him here, solidly behind McFadden and Mathews but right in the mix with Charles and Johnson. I believe he will produce top shelf production and will become an elite fantasy force, but am hedging my bets due to a potential timeshare- Adrian Peterson would have been #1 on this list by a mile as of week 15 of 2011. However, the knee injury was pretty bad and significantly alters his value. This type of injury completely changed the trajectory of Willis McGahee's career (although Peterson's is admittedly not as bad). I value all of the players above him considerably more, especially when you take into account Peterson's age. I still think he will be productive, but not as productive as the other players and not for as long- Marshawn Lynch doesn't belong here. I see his 2011 season as more of a fluke and have no expectation he repeats it. I GREATLY value every other player above him, including Peterson
Herm, your ranking gives a lot of weight to injury concerns. But yet you rank DMac #1? Do you really think Liz franc is no big deal? I think it is more serious than an ACL because ACL surgery has really improved, but Liz Franc seems to be a RB killer.
all lis franc injuries arent the same
 
what do you guys think of ryan williams? wells showed me just enough to make me think a rb can put up good numbers on that offense but not enough to make me think he will be the 2nd rb behind williams next year assuming health

will williams be at 100% going in to next year?

 
So with all the question marks around this grouping do you just avoid them all and go with one of the stud WRs and hope to get a decent RB later?

 
if charles' recovery is quick and easy (welker style) and he's completely healthy to start the season, i think he has a chance to explode next season.

remember haley, the charles kryponite, has left KC... maybe romeo gives this kid a chance to be somebody!! :football:

i'd be targetting him if his owner's are fretting over the injury.

 
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God that's a sad list of elite RB's. You know you've been playing FF too long when ya long for the "good 'ol days" of Shaun Alexander, Eddie George, Priest, Emmett, Rudi Johnson. RB's you could just set your watch by.

 
[all lis franc injuries arent the same
So how does one feel good or bad as to the extent of McFadden's lis franc injury?
Someone mentioned above that they are not all the same (degree) and that is true. Overall, however, this injury scrares me more than an ACL because an ACl is almost routine rehab and has come a long way. The Lisfranc, however, can destroy an athlete and from my recollection, seems to be an injury where the player takes almost a second season to really recover (if they do). DMAC hasn't been the poster child of health or timely recovery either so its compounded (to me) in that it is him that has the injury. I would be less concerned if it were ADP with this injury. If you review the injury, most journals will actually specifically mention that this injury is of heightened concern for athletes vs. "normal" people due to how they sometimes can destroy flexibility/range of motion permanently. I don't think anyone buying Ryan Williams should be buying him as an early 2012 guy. I think his injury is the type that makes him a good candidate to bu on the PUP or really not used heavily early in the season. His injury and LeShoure's are the types that could render the players to a state where they are never as good as they were before.
 
[all lis franc injuries arent the same
So how does one feel good or bad as to the extent of McFadden's lis franc injury?
Someone mentioned above that they are not all the same (degree) and that is true. Overall, however, this injury scrares me more than an ACL because an ACl is almost routine rehab and has come a long way. The Lisfranc, however, can destroy an athlete and from my recollection, seems to be an injury where the player takes almost a second season to really recover (if they do). DMAC hasn't been the poster child of health or timely recovery either so its compounded (to me) in that it is him that has the injury. I would be less concerned if it were ADP with this injury. If you review the injury, most journals will actually specifically mention that this injury is of heightened concern for athletes vs. "normal" people due to how they sometimes can destroy flexibility/range of motion permanently. I don't think anyone buying Ryan Williams should be buying him as an early 2012 guy. I think his injury is the type that makes him a good candidate to bu on the PUP or really not used heavily early in the season. His injury and LeShoure's are the types that could render the players to a state where they are never as good as they were before.
:goodposting: It's called the "dreaded" LisFranc injury for a reason.
 
Darren McfaddenRyan MathewsChris JohnsonJamaal CharlesDeMarco MurrayAdrian PetersonMarshawn Lynch- Darren McFadden is the most talented player that didn't recently destroy his knee on this list (I still hurt for Adrian Peterson!). The injury issues are real, but also overblown and not a reason to discount his immense talent relative to the other players listed- Ryan Mathews is also an ultra talented player who is being, in my opinion, incorrectly devalued over injury concerns and the fact that he is not the goal line back. He doesn't have a long enough track record to indicate if minor injuries truly affect him more than others (as McFadden has shown to be the case with him) and Mike Tolbert is a very good bet to leave this season. This leaves an already productive Ryan Mathews in line for goal line work. Feels very similar to Ray Rice in 2010 -vs- Ray Rice in 2011, at least where the goal line touches are concerned- Call me slow to react, but I'm unwilling to give up on Chris Johnson. 1 season doesn't cause me to completely erase the 3 years prior when many were calling him the best running back in football. His 2011 season causes me enough concern to rank him solidly below McFadden and Mathews, but I also have plenty of belief that he bounces back to top shelf form. Truthfully, I believe his spot on this list is interchangable with Jamaal Charles and DeMarco Murray and I think those 3 players could go in any order without much complain from me- Jamaal Charles is a player whose game is, in large part, based on speed and quickness. ACL injury recovery has come a long way in the last decade or so, but I still am skeptical about what it does to a player who requires quick burst and speed to be effective. I still believe in Charles talent enough to value him plenty, but now greatly prefer McFadden and Mathews to him and somewhat prefer Chris Johnson (which was not the case prior to injury)- DeMarco Murray is a wild card. His current value is such that it is either going to make a team great because they will acquire him for less than top 3-5 RB price and he absolutely has the potential to produce that kind of production or it will break a team because he is still expensive enough that he will cost a lot and could end up in a strict timeshare. I personally have high enough hopes that I place him here, solidly behind McFadden and Mathews but right in the mix with Charles and Johnson. I believe he will produce top shelf production and will become an elite fantasy force, but am hedging my bets due to a potential timeshare- Adrian Peterson would have been #1 on this list by a mile as of week 15 of 2011. However, the knee injury was pretty bad and significantly alters his value. This type of injury completely changed the trajectory of Willis McGahee's career (although Peterson's is admittedly not as bad). I value all of the players above him considerably more, especially when you take into account Peterson's age. I still think he will be productive, but not as productive as the other players and not for as long- Marshawn Lynch doesn't belong here. I see his 2011 season as more of a fluke and have no expectation he repeats it. I GREATLY value every other player above him, including Peterson
Herm, your ranking gives a lot of weight to injury concerns. But yet you rank DMac #1? Do you really think Liz franc is no big deal? I think it is more serious than an ACL because ACL surgery has really improved, but Liz Franc seems to be a RB killer.
My rankings really only give weight to injuries that have the ability to alter the trajectory of a players career. While a lis franc injury is more than just a run of the mill ankle sprain, it's not the type of injury that can sap a players skill set over a long period of time since it was not a break (as far as I understand it). Jamaal Charles and Adrian Peterson, on the other hand, both suffered injuries that have the potential to alter the way they are forced to approach the game. There is absolutely a very real possibility that both of them bounce back in huge ways and play as if the injuries never happened. However, there is also a good possibility neither player is ever the same as they were before (I again reference Willis McGahee, who essentially had to completely alter his playing style to account for the loss of skill set from his destroyed knee. Now, I do acknowledge that his injury was worse than Peterson's or Charles', but it's at least in the same ballpark, whereas Darren McFadden's is nothing like it. For another example, I give you Edgerrin James, who was never the same player after his ACL tear and went from a speedy, home run threat to more of a patient, rugged back. He was still a very good player, but never quite the same electric talent that he was before the injury).80-90% of Charles or Peterson is still a damn good and productive player, but it wouldn't compare to 100% of McFadden or Mathews. As of week 1 of the 2012 season, McFadden and Mathews will walk in with no injury concerns and will be at 100% effectiveness (barring bad luck in the preseason). The same can not be said of Peterson and Charles, as both will enter week 1 with question marks surrounding just how effective they will be. This is enough for me to devalue them compared to McFadden and Mathews.
 
[all lis franc injuries arent the same
So how does one feel good or bad as to the extent of McFadden's lis franc injury?
Someone mentioned above that they are not all the same (degree) and that is true. Overall, however, this injury scrares me more than an ACL because an ACl is almost routine rehab and has come a long way. The Lisfranc, however, can destroy an athlete and from my recollection, seems to be an injury where the player takes almost a second season to really recover (if they do). DMAC hasn't been the poster child of health or timely recovery either so its compounded (to me) in that it is him that has the injury. I would be less concerned if it were ADP with this injury. If you review the injury, most journals will actually specifically mention that this injury is of heightened concern for athletes vs. "normal" people due to how they sometimes can destroy flexibility/range of motion permanently. I don't think anyone buying Ryan Williams should be buying him as an early 2012 guy. I think his injury is the type that makes him a good candidate to bu on the PUP or really not used heavily early in the season. His injury and LeShoure's are the types that could render the players to a state where they are never as good as they were before.
:goodposting: It's called the "dreaded" LisFranc injury for a reason.
I very well could be completely wrong, but I thought I have heard over time that there are 2 varieties- one significantly worse than the other. I was under the impression that McFadden was dealing with was the less significant variety.
 
So with all the question marks around this grouping do you just avoid them all and go with one of the stud WRs and hope to get a decent RB later?
I actually think the questions surrounding Ryan Mathews makes him the single greatest value play of any running back (and possibly any position period). In my opinion, his talent and skill set, combined with his offense, leave his upside as a top 3 RB. He is carrying significantly lower value than that because of the presence of Tolbert last year and Mathews inability to play through minor injuries. Tolbert is likely gone and leaves Mathews in line for a much bigger 3 down role in 2012 and the injuries are too fluky for me to lower his value to any degree yet.I have some belief that Mathews is in line to see a touchdown spike similar to what Ray Rice saw from 2010 to 2011 and given all of Mathews other skills and obvious ability, this leaves him with significant upside. There is obvious risk that comes with it, but just like anyone that went out and acquired Rice midway through 2010 or immediately after the 2010 season ended got him at a "discount" because of the presence of McGahee. The writing was on the wall then that Rice was set to take over the full feature back duties, just as the writing is on the wall now for Mathews.
 
if charles' recovery is quick and easy (welker style) and he's completely healthy to start the season, i think he has a chance to explode next season. remember haley, the charles kryponite, has left KC... maybe romeo gives this kid a chance to be somebody!! :football:i'd be targetting him if his owner's are fretting over the injury.
This is actually an excellent point and something I even admittedly overlooked when considering these players.
 
[all lis franc injuries arent the same
So how does one feel good or bad as to the extent of McFadden's lis franc injury?
Good, according to a piece last week in Rotoworld:
Coach Hue Jackson said Wednesday that Darren McFadden (foot) could have practiced today had the Raiders made the playoffs.It sounds like McFadden won't need surgery, and that his right foot is no longer displaced. The "Lisfranc" injury appears to be a sprain rather than a fracture. It's good news for DMC's chances of participating in offseason OTAs. He'll still be worth tracking closely and red flagged in 2012 fantasy leagues. Jan 4 - 1:51 PM
http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/4649/darren-mcfadden
 
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To piggy back on the WR threadWhat value/ ranking do you give these RBs in PPRPetersonCharlesMcFaddenLynchCJ1KMatthewsMurrayIs it still Peterson 1 regardless of the injury?
in that group, maybe. Chris Johnson, McFadden and Matthews are possibly above him. Obviously Peterson has some risk, but they all have their own issues.My rankings:C. JohnsonPetersonMatthewsMcFaddenCharlesMurrayLynch (I admit that I just have some bias against Lynch)
 
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To piggy back on the WR threadWhat value/ ranking do you give these RBs in PPRPetersonCharlesMcFaddenLynchCJ1KMatthewsMurrayIs it still Peterson 1 regardless of the injury?
No Peterson is not #1 and I would move him straight up for all the players mentioned above. I would hesitate on Lynch a little but in the end would probably make that deal too. Age, wear and tear plus the time it would take to comeback from injury all would play a role in my decision.
 
To piggy back on the WR threadWhat value/ ranking do you give these RBs in PPRPetersonCharlesMcFaddenLynchCJ1KMatthewsMurrayIs it still Peterson 1 regardless of the injury?
RBs in a PPR league...given this list Mathews - I think we were only scratching the surface with this kid in 2011..he was dominant the final few weeks of the season, a stud RB..Norv is still HC and he loves to use passes to the RB's.McFadden CharlesPetersonCJ(barely)1kMurrayLynchpersonally I'd pick others for the list but it's your thread so I'll stay on topic.
 
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To piggy back on the WR threadWhat value/ ranking do you give these RBs in PPRPetersonCharlesMcFaddenLynchCJ1KMatthewsMurrayIs it still Peterson 1 regardless of the injury?
RBs in a PPR league...given this list Mathews - I think we were only scratching the surface with this kid in 2011..he was dominant the final few weeks of the season, a stud RB..Norv is still HC and he loves to use passes to the RB's.McFadden CharlesPetersonCJ(barely)1kMurrayLynchpersonally I'd pick others for the list but it's your thread so I'll stay on topic.
Go ahead and add guys. I was just curious about the guys who were once elite, could be elite, etc but are currently injured, injury prone, coming off down years, or had an arguably "fluke" season (I've heard this argument about Lynch which is why I put him on). Basically the second tier guys that have warts. I could have probably added Fred Jackson, guys like that, but I wanted to keep it concentrated instead of a whole rankings breakdown.
 

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