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Dynasty RBs for 2007 (1 Viewer)

Now is the time to buy LenDale White.

I also like Norwood's prospects, but he's only worth trading for if you can get him at a reasonable price.

 
Fear & Loathing said:
EdwardCat said:
Fear & Loathing said:
13) D'Angelo Williams - He seems to be quickly slipping into the role J.J. Arrington took last year.

14) Musa Smith - Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis.
J.J. Arrington :confused: What is it about DeAngelo Williams that reminds you of Arrington? Is it the 5+ yards per carry, the fact that he's more talented than the RB starting in front of him, or the probability that he's taking carries away from Foster the rest of the season now that he's healthy?If Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis, wouldn't they have given him a contract that wasn't in essence a 1-year deal?

I don't see Chris Perry starting anytime in the next couple of years.
Williams only had one game to date where he was a threat to Foster's carries. Saying he's like Arrington might be overstating it. The point is that everyone expected Williams to claim the job in the first few weeks. He hasn't come close yet. He isn't living up to expectations much like Arrington last year.They are dedicated because they keep him in there even with the crappy YPC average. They have a better RB in Mike Anderson and possibly Musa Smith yet contend Jamal Lewis is their best option.
It was hard to claim the job from Foster from the IR. If not for the ankle sprain, he'd probably have a major portion of those carries already. If the Panthers want to make the playoffs, they'll turn to DeAngelo Williams to generate a rushing attack.Mike Anderson is a better RB than Lewis? Hyperbole?
Williams was never on IR. If he was, he wouldn't be eligible to return this season.I like Jacobs followed by Maroney. Addai is going to be pretty good too I think.

 
Good destinations for RBs in the draft:

Green Bay - No doubts here. Peterson?

NY Jets - CuMar, Barlow, Houston, Leon? Unlikely. But may not take RB in the first.

Houston - definitely need a real RB to pair with DD if he returns. Irons?

NY Giants - The Tiki replacement. Lynch?

Miami - big back type if Ricky doesn't come back. Michael Bush?

Denver - was looking at Maroney this year. Wouldn't ever count them out.

Cleveland - perhaps interested after the first round?

Tennessee - Brown and Henry expected to be gone. White starts, but they need depth.

 
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I think Morency is a great guy to buy low right now. He has shown flashes when he's been on the field. Green is getting up there. If Green Bay doesn't take a RB in the draft, I think it's safe to assume they're grooming Morency to fill Green's shoes. His recent injury likely decreases his current value even more. You can probably get him for a case of Natty Light right now. Most of the other guys being mentioned will likely have a pretty hefty price tag.

 
my top 5 at this point to be a #1 featured RB in 20071. maroney- 2. turner- 3. addai- 4. Jones-drew- 5. M. Smith
Heh. In my 2nd year dynasty (8 teams) I own:- LT2- Willie Parker- Julius Jones- Maroney- Michael Turner- Joseph Addaias well as:- McNabb / Hassleback- Steve Smith / L. Coles / TJ House- Antonio Gates- Baltimore DI'm stacked for the future!
 
Williams was never on IR. If he was, he wouldn't be eligible to return this season.I like Jacobs followed by Maroney. Addai is going to be pretty good too I think.
How about "out with an injury"? Is that better?You have Jacobs #1 out of all the guys on this list?
 
Good destinations for RBs in the draft:

Green Bay - No doubts here. Peterson? Agreed - look for them to try to take Peterson or another impact RB

NY Jets - CuMar, Barlow, Houston, Leon? Unlikely. But may not take RB in the first. I doubt they go RB in the 1st with other needs. If Leon continues to play well, I can see him remaining the primary guy with a power guy (Barlow, Houston or someone else) to complement him.

Houston - definitely need a real RB to pair with DD if he returns. Irons? Don't rule out Lundy yet - and like the Jets, the team may have bigger needs (OL) for their 1st rounder.

NY Giants - The Tiki replacement. Lynch? IMO, Jacobs gets the job, with a complementary speed/change of pace guy.

Miami - big back type if Ricky doesn't come back. Michael Bush? They already have this big back named Ronnie Brown.

Denver - was looking at Maroney this year. Wouldn't ever count them out. Agreed - your guess is as bad as mine what happens here.

Cleveland - perhaps interested after the first round? I think they could grab a back early. Turner would probably be a good fit for the offense, but probably too expensive.

Tennessee - Brown and Henry expected to be gone. White starts, but they need depth. Agreed
Just some thoughts - you had some good points in there.
 
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I am trying to figure out the best backup running back options in respect to dynasty options. Here is a list of RBs in order of how I think they'll contribute. Please feel free to rearrange and comment.

4) Maurice Jones-Drew - Taylor doesn't look to be retiring as of yet. If he does, I see Jones-Drew at No. 2. He's the most talented back behind Maroney in my eyes.
Here's the thing with Jones-Drew, this season Greg Jones was the heir apparent. Granted, he wrecked his knee, but he brings yet another dynamic to the backfield. As a Jags :homer: I fully expect next season to be an RBBC with Taylor and Jones-Drew, and in 2008 Taylor retires, but Jones-Drew shares time with Greg Jones.
 
I think Morency is a great guy to buy low right now. He has shown flashes when he's been on the field. Green is getting up there. If Green Bay doesn't take a RB in the draft, I think it's safe to assume they're grooming Morency to fill Green's shoes. His recent injury likely decreases his current value even more. You can probably get him for a case of Natty Light right now. Most of the other guys being mentioned will likely have a pretty hefty price tag.
:goodposting: any readers of buy low sell high know I agree wholeheartedly.
 
Good destinations for RBs in the draft:Green Bay - No doubts here. Peterson?NY Jets - CuMar, Barlow, Houston, Leon? Unlikely. But may not take RB in the first.Houston - definitely need a real RB to pair with DD if he returns. Irons?NY Giants - The Tiki replacement. Lynch?Miami - big back type if Ricky doesn't come back. Michael Bush?Denver - was looking at Maroney this year. Wouldn't ever count them out.Cleveland - perhaps interested after the first round?Tennessee - Brown and Henry expected to be gone. White starts, but they need depth.
GB - depends on how much they like Morency, and whether Favre comes back for yet another year. If he does, I would expect another one year deal for Ahman Green. NYJ - Leon is solid, but maybe not feature back material. This team needs help all over the defense. I would be surprised to see them take an RB in the first, but a first day RB is not out of the question. HOU - Kubiak has the Denver RB bug - like the Jets, they have needs all over the defense. I would be surprised to see them take an RB early, but Adrian Peterson would be tempting, and Kenny Irons would be a perfect pick in the early second.NYG - all they need is a Norwood/MJD type to play the same role Chris Perry does in Cincy, although it would be hard to pass on a guy like Lynch if he's there when their first is on the board.MIA - All Ronnie, all the timeDEN - They tried to trade for Ryan Moats and Thomas Jones in the offseason - they'll do something to address the RB corps, Im just not sure what. Mike Hart may be a good fit if he comes out this year.CLE - Droughns is signed to a reasonable deal, and Harrison has potential as an RBBC member with him. Like NYJ, and HOU, this team has bigger needs.TEN - Will Henry be willing to restructure? White should get an audition as the chain mover next year, but Chris Brown is as good as gone.I would add to the list:BAL - Jlew is signed to what is effectively a one year deal and Musa Smith will be a UFA.SEA - Alexander is going to be 30 at the start of next year. It's never too early to start grooming his successor. no first round pick though.PHI - This team's achilles heel on O is the lack of a clock-controlling running game that can wear down a D and make McNabb that much more lethal. They could really use a pounder.
 
GB - depends on how much they like Morency, and whether Favre comes back for yet another year. If he does, I would expect another one year deal for Ahman Green. NYJ - Leon is solid, but maybe not feature back material. This team needs help all over the defense. I would be surprised to see them take an RB in the first, but a first day RB is not out of the question. HOU - Kubiak has the Denver RB bug - like the Jets, they have needs all over the defense. I would be surprised to see them take an RB early, but Adrian Peterson would be tempting, and Kenny Irons would be a perfect pick in the early second.NYG - all they need is a Norwood/MJD type to play the same role Chris Perry does in Cincy, although it would be hard to pass on a guy like Lynch if he's there when their first is on the board.MIA - All Ronnie, all the timeDEN - They tried to trade for Ryan Moats and Thomas Jones in the offseason - they'll do something to address the RB corps, Im just not sure what. Mike Hart may be a good fit if he comes out this year.CLE - Droughns is signed to a reasonable deal, and Harrison has potential as an RBBC member with him. Like NYJ, and HOU, this team has bigger needs.TEN - Will Henry be willing to restructure? White should get an audition as the chain mover next year, but Chris Brown is as good as gone.I would add to the list:BAL - Jlew is signed to what is effectively a one year deal and Musa Smith will be a UFA.SEA - Alexander is going to be 30 at the start of next year. It's never too early to start grooming his successor. no first round pick though.PHI - This team's achilles heel on O is the lack of a clock-controlling running game that can wear down a D and make McNabb that much more lethal. They could really use a pounder.
I agree with a lot of what you've said here. Here are some of my additional comments:TEN - Henry restructures but they draft a later rounder or pick up a cheap FA for depth. Henry is just one puff away from a year long suspension. Chris Brown is indeed gone, but someone will give him a chance to compete for a starting job.PHI - I expect them to take a good long look at Michael Bush as he seems to really fit that pounder mold and will likely slip in the draft relative to other RB's because of his size and injury.HOU - They'll likely bring in some sort of lower tier free-agent or cast-off RB to compete for time. They'll draft a RB I just don't think it will be a high round RB, something in the 3rd round or 4th seems much more likely. A lot will rest on how well Lundy picks up the game the rest of the season as well.Others not mentioned:JAX - If Taylor is gone, Mo-Jo and Greg Jones split carries but I also see them picking up another late round guy. It seems JAX drafts a RB every year.OAK - my dark horse. Yes they have lots of needs, but Jordan isn't a spring chicken (29 next year) and so far he hasn't been the model of health or effectiveness. Possibly a 2nd rounder or later for depth ( I believe Fargas is a FA at the end of this season.)
 
my top 5 at this point to be a #1 featured RB in 20071. maroney- 2. turner- 3. addai- 4. Jones-drew- 5. M. Smith
Heh. In my 2nd year dynasty (8 teams) I own:- LT2- Willie Parker- Julius Jones- Maroney- Michael Turner- Joseph Addaias well as:- McNabb / Hassleback- Steve Smith / L. Coles / TJ House- Antonio Gates- Baltimore DI'm stacked for the future!
Much thanks for letting us all know.
 
DEN - They tried to trade for Ryan Moats and Thomas Jones in the offseason - they'll do something to address the RB corps, Im just not sure what. Mike Hart may be a good fit if he comes out this year.
I could not agree more with this. Mike Hart is the IDEAL Denver-style running back that everybody else in the league passes up on. He is a quicker cutter who hits the pile hard and moves it. NEVER FUMBLES. Solid blocker, smart, has heart. I believe Hart would thrive as a Bronco.
 
OAK - my dark horse. Yes they have lots of needs, but Jordan isn't a spring chicken (29 next year) and so far he hasn't been the model of health or effectiveness. Possibly a 2nd rounder or later for depth ( I believe Fargas is a FA at the end of this season.)
I don't think it's a dark horse at all. Al was not happy with Jordan's production last year despite the 1K yard season, and you have to figure the owner isn't any happier with him now (despite the OL struggles).It obviously depends on who is coaching next year, but I think at best Jordan has to battle it out next year for the starting role, and at worst he's replaced.
 
OAK - my dark horse. Yes they have lots of needs, but Jordan isn't a spring chicken (29 next year) and so far he hasn't been the model of health or effectiveness. Possibly a 2nd rounder or later for depth ( I believe Fargas is a FA at the end of this season.)
I don't think it's a dark horse at all. Al was not happy with Jordan's production last year despite the 1K yard season, and you have to figure the owner isn't any happier with him now (despite the OL struggles).It obviously depends on who is coaching next year, but I think at best Jordan has to battle it out next year for the starting role, and at worst he's replaced.
I was thinking more along the lines that people are thinking Oakland will go QB or O'line in the draft. They'll be in a position to draft possibly Quinn or Peterson (I doubt the the top O'lineman Joe Thomas will drop past the first few picks considering a lot of the teams that will be picking early) and I think they would snap up Peterson in a second if given the opportunity.
 
OAK - my dark horse. Yes they have lots of needs, but Jordan isn't a spring chicken (29 next year) and so far he hasn't been the model of health or effectiveness. Possibly a 2nd rounder or later for depth ( I believe Fargas is a FA at the end of this season.)
I don't think it's a dark horse at all. Al was not happy with Jordan's production last year despite the 1K yard season, and you have to figure the owner isn't any happier with him now (despite the OL struggles).It obviously depends on who is coaching next year, but I think at best Jordan has to battle it out next year for the starting role, and at worst he's replaced.
I was thinking more along the lines that people are thinking Oakland will go QB or O'line in the draft. They'll be in a position to draft possibly Quinn or Peterson (I doubt the the top O'lineman Joe Thomas will drop past the first few picks considering a lot of the teams that will be picking early) and I think they would snap up Peterson in a second if given the opportunity.
Agreed - if Peterson is there for them, I'd say Jordan is out of a job.
 
DEN - They tried to trade for Ryan Moats and Thomas Jones in the offseason - they'll do something to address the RB corps, Im just not sure what. Mike Hart may be a good fit if he comes out this year.
I could not agree more with this. Mike Hart is the IDEAL Denver-style running back that everybody else in the league passes up on. He is a quicker cutter who hits the pile hard and moves it. NEVER FUMBLES. Solid blocker, smart, has heart. I believe Hart would thrive as a Bronco.
until last week.Ok now we have to quiet down in case he's their 3rd round pick next year so we can steal him in rookie drafts. ;)

 
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I dealt Turner while his value is very high. Not because I do not think he is a nice RB, but who knows where this guy will end up?

If he goes to a team that has a horrid OL he will be toast. Total speculation with a back-up who is behind the best in LT2.

If you have a strong squad and can sit on him, great. Otherwise he imo is a sell high for a productive veteran and draft picks.

Just my 2 cents on him.

Going into 2007 it is obvious that Maroney and Maurice Drew-Jones look to be total stud RB's.

 
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Is Peterson a lock to be the #1 overall pick in rookie drafts no matter where he goes?
I don't think so - still a lot to determined. And if AP's stock drops after the combines, for all we know he could be stuck in a bad situation.
 
Is Peterson a lock to be the #1 overall pick in rookie drafts no matter where he goes?
I don't think so - still a lot to determined. And if AP's stock drops after the combines, for all we know he could be stuck in a bad situation.
interesting... I see AP's stock falling as positive in FF....lets say the steeler take him.. or Philly, or jax...maybe even INDY???if he falls to th emid tier teams, you may see better things.. often OL makes a team... see AZ....
 
Fear & Loathing said:
EdwardCat said:
Fear & Loathing said:
13) D'Angelo Williams - He seems to be quickly slipping into the role J.J. Arrington took last year.

14) Musa Smith - Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis.
J.J. Arrington :confused: What is it about DeAngelo Williams that reminds you of Arrington? Is it the 5+ yards per carry, the fact that he's more talented than the RB starting in front of him, or the probability that he's taking carries away from Foster the rest of the season now that he's healthy?If Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis, wouldn't they have given him a contract that wasn't in essence a 1-year deal?

I don't see Chris Perry starting anytime in the next couple of years.
Williams only had one game to date where he was a threat to Foster's carries. Saying he's like Arrington might be overstating it. The point is that everyone expected Williams to claim the job in the first few weeks. He hasn't come close yet. He isn't living up to expectations much like Arrington last year.They are dedicated because they keep him in there even with the crappy YPC average. They have a better RB in Mike Anderson and possibly Musa Smith yet contend Jamal Lewis is their best option.
It was hard to claim the job from Foster from the IR. If not for the ankle sprain, he'd probably have a major portion of those carries already. If the Panthers want to make the playoffs, they'll turn to DeAngelo Williams to generate a rushing attack.Mike Anderson is a better RB than Lewis? Hyperbole?
No hyperbole what-so-ever. Just my opinion. Your thoughts on Williams are conjecture as are mine.
Code:
+----------+-------------+--------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSH   YD   |  RECYD | TD |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  1  nyg  |	8	 5  |	22  |  0 ||  3  sea  |	5	 9  |	 4  |  0 ||  4  sfo  |	7	13  |	 0  |  0 ||  5  car  |	4	14  |	12  |  0 ||  7  ten  |	5	30  |	 7  |  0 ||  8  dal  |	4	 5  |	 8  |  0 ||  9  sea  |	5	40  |	22  |  0 || 10  det  |	8	24  |	 4  |  1 || 11  stl  |   11	45  |	23  |  1 || 12  jax  |	6	39  |	 4  |  0 || 13  sfo  |   18	59  |	16  |  0 || 14  was  |	9	26  |	 6  |  0 || 15  hou  |	7	11  |	 4  |  0 || 16  phi  |   10	23  |	 0  |  0 || 17  ind  |	5	27  |	 7  |  0 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  TOTAL   |  112   370  |   139  |  2 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+
Arrington never topped 60 yards rushing and never over 15 in his first 4 games with nobody in front of him. He ended the season with a whopping 3.3 ypc.
Code:
+----------+-------------+--------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSH   YD   |  RECYD | TD |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  1  atl  |	0	 0  |	 8  |  0 ||  2  min  |   13	74  |	24  |  1 ||  3  tam  |	4	-1  |	 0  |  0 ||  4  nor  |	8	62  |	 9  |  0 ||  5  cle  |	1	 4  |	 0  |  0 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  TOTAL   |   26   139  |	41  |  1 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+
In his first four games he already had two games greater than any JJ had in an entire season (and JJ took 18 carries to get to that 59 yd "breakout" game). What exactly is comparable about these two at all? One stayed healthy all year and never showed anything while the other was hurt in their 5th game after showing flashes of ability and averaging a full 2 ypc more than JJ. The only similarity I can see is that both were top 5 rookie picks in dynasty drafts and that's all I can come up with. The difference there being that DW was still a top pick despite landing where there was a starter while JJ would have been no earlier than a 2nd rounder had he landed in a similar situation. He wasn't ranked ahead of guys like Barber, Morency, Moats, Gore before the draft. DW was seen as a very talented franchise type runner while I don't recall anyone predicting the same for JJ. His draft position was all about opportunity and people thought he had adequate talent to take advantage of it (which he seems to have shown otherwise). What exactly are you looking at between these two that is similar?
 
Men-in-Cleats said:
EdwardCat said:
Fear & Loathing said:
EdwardCat said:
Fear & Loathing said:
13) D'Angelo Williams - He seems to be quickly slipping into the role J.J. Arrington took last year.

14) Musa Smith - Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis.
J.J. Arrington :confused: What is it about DeAngelo Williams that reminds you of Arrington? Is it the 5+ yards per carry, the fact that he's more talented than the RB starting in front of him, or the probability that he's taking carries away from Foster the rest of the season now that he's healthy?If Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis, wouldn't they have given him a contract that wasn't in essence a 1-year deal?

I don't see Chris Perry starting anytime in the next couple of years.
Williams only had one game to date where he was a threat to Foster's carries. Saying he's like Arrington might be overstating it. The point is that everyone expected Williams to claim the job in the first few weeks. He hasn't come close yet. He isn't living up to expectations much like Arrington last year.They are dedicated because they keep him in there even with the crappy YPC average. They have a better RB in Mike Anderson and possibly Musa Smith yet contend Jamal Lewis is their best option.
It was hard to claim the job from Foster from the IR. If not for the ankle sprain, he'd probably have a major portion of those carries already. If the Panthers want to make the playoffs, they'll turn to DeAngelo Williams to generate a rushing attack.Mike Anderson is a better RB than Lewis? Hyperbole?
No hyperbole what-so-ever. Just my opinion. Your thoughts on Williams are conjecture as are mine.
Code:
+----------+-------------+--------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSH   YD   |  RECYD | TD |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  1  nyg  |	8	 5  |	22  |  0 ||  3  sea  |	5	 9  |	 4  |  0 ||  4  sfo  |	7	13  |	 0  |  0 ||  5  car  |	4	14  |	12  |  0 ||  7  ten  |	5	30  |	 7  |  0 ||  8  dal  |	4	 5  |	 8  |  0 ||  9  sea  |	5	40  |	22  |  0 || 10  det  |	8	24  |	 4  |  1 || 11  stl  |   11	45  |	23  |  1 || 12  jax  |	6	39  |	 4  |  0 || 13  sfo  |   18	59  |	16  |  0 || 14  was  |	9	26  |	 6  |  0 || 15  hou  |	7	11  |	 4  |  0 || 16  phi  |   10	23  |	 0  |  0 || 17  ind  |	5	27  |	 7  |  0 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  TOTAL   |  112   370  |   139  |  2 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+
Arrington never topped 60 yards rushing and never over 15 in his first 4 games with nobody in front of him. He ended the season with a whopping 3.3 ypc.
Code:
+----------+-------------+--------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSH   YD   |  RECYD | TD |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  1  atl  |	0	 0  |	 8  |  0 ||  2  min  |   13	74  |	24  |  1 ||  3  tam  |	4	-1  |	 0  |  0 ||  4  nor  |	8	62  |	 9  |  0 ||  5  cle  |	1	 4  |	 0  |  0 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  TOTAL   |   26   139  |	41  |  1 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+
In his first four games he already had two games greater than any JJ had in an entire season (and JJ took 18 carries to get to that 59 yd "breakout" game). What exactly is comparable about these two at all? One stayed healthy all year and never showed anything while the other was hurt in their 5th game after showing flashes of ability and averaging a full 2 ypc more than JJ. The only similarity I can see is that both were top 5 rookie picks in dynasty drafts and that's all I can come up with. The difference there being that DW was still a top pick despite landing where there was a starter while JJ would have been no earlier than a 2nd rounder had he landed in a similar situation. He wasn't ranked ahead of guys like Barber, Morency, Moats, Gore before the draft. DW was seen as a very talented franchise type runner while I don't recall anyone predicting the same for JJ. His draft position was all about opportunity and people thought he had adequate talent to take advantage of it (which he seems to have shown otherwise). What exactly are you looking at between these two that is similar?
I already made my point.
 
Men-in-Cleats said:
EdwardCat said:
Fear & Loathing said:
EdwardCat said:
Fear & Loathing said:
13) D'Angelo Williams - He seems to be quickly slipping into the role J.J. Arrington took last year.

14) Musa Smith - Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis.
J.J. Arrington :confused: What is it about DeAngelo Williams that reminds you of Arrington? Is it the 5+ yards per carry, the fact that he's more talented than the RB starting in front of him, or the probability that he's taking carries away from Foster the rest of the season now that he's healthy?If Baltimore is dedicated to Jamal Lewis, wouldn't they have given him a contract that wasn't in essence a 1-year deal?

I don't see Chris Perry starting anytime in the next couple of years.
Williams only had one game to date where he was a threat to Foster's carries. Saying he's like Arrington might be overstating it. The point is that everyone expected Williams to claim the job in the first few weeks. He hasn't come close yet. He isn't living up to expectations much like Arrington last year.They are dedicated because they keep him in there even with the crappy YPC average. They have a better RB in Mike Anderson and possibly Musa Smith yet contend Jamal Lewis is their best option.
It was hard to claim the job from Foster from the IR. If not for the ankle sprain, he'd probably have a major portion of those carries already. If the Panthers want to make the playoffs, they'll turn to DeAngelo Williams to generate a rushing attack.Mike Anderson is a better RB than Lewis? Hyperbole?
No hyperbole what-so-ever. Just my opinion. Your thoughts on Williams are conjecture as are mine.
Code:
+----------+-------------+--------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSH   YD   |  RECYD | TD |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  1  nyg  |	8	 5  |	22  |  0 ||  3  sea  |	5	 9  |	 4  |  0 ||  4  sfo  |	7	13  |	 0  |  0 ||  5  car  |	4	14  |	12  |  0 ||  7  ten  |	5	30  |	 7  |  0 ||  8  dal  |	4	 5  |	 8  |  0 ||  9  sea  |	5	40  |	22  |  0 || 10  det  |	8	24  |	 4  |  1 || 11  stl  |   11	45  |	23  |  1 || 12  jax  |	6	39  |	 4  |  0 || 13  sfo  |   18	59  |	16  |  0 || 14  was  |	9	26  |	 6  |  0 || 15  hou  |	7	11  |	 4  |  0 || 16  phi  |   10	23  |	 0  |  0 || 17  ind  |	5	27  |	 7  |  0 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  TOTAL   |  112   370  |   139  |  2 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+
Arrington never topped 60 yards rushing and never over 15 in his first 4 games with nobody in front of him. He ended the season with a whopping 3.3 ypc.
Code:
+----------+-------------+--------+----+| WK  OPP  |  RSH   YD   |  RECYD | TD |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  1  atl  |	0	 0  |	 8  |  0 ||  2  min  |   13	74  |	24  |  1 ||  3  tam  |	4	-1  |	 0  |  0 ||  4  nor  |	8	62  |	 9  |  0 ||  5  cle  |	1	 4  |	 0  |  0 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+|  TOTAL   |   26   139  |	41  |  1 |+----------+-------------+--------+----+
In his first four games he already had two games greater than any JJ had in an entire season (and JJ took 18 carries to get to that 59 yd "breakout" game). What exactly is comparable about these two at all? One stayed healthy all year and never showed anything while the other was hurt in their 5th game after showing flashes of ability and averaging a full 2 ypc more than JJ. The only similarity I can see is that both were top 5 rookie picks in dynasty drafts and that's all I can come up with. The difference there being that DW was still a top pick despite landing where there was a starter while JJ would have been no earlier than a 2nd rounder had he landed in a similar situation. He wasn't ranked ahead of guys like Barber, Morency, Moats, Gore before the draft. DW was seen as a very talented franchise type runner while I don't recall anyone predicting the same for JJ. His draft position was all about opportunity and people thought he had adequate talent to take advantage of it (which he seems to have shown otherwise). What exactly are you looking at between these two that is similar?
I already made my point.
No you didn't. You pawned it off with the "its both conjecture" but I'd like to hear what, if any, similarities you found between the two. I can't find any and that seems to put yours a little more into the conjecture category. It looks like you saw two high rookie picks that didn't light it up their first year and lumped them together without any deeper analysis of their situations.
 

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