You couldn't be more spot on. He is made of paper mache, won't be in the league very long.
They used to say that about Stafford. Think he played 13 games his first two years? “Dude’s made of glass.” That was 128 consecutive starts ago.
If Keke had injuries in college, or had a continuous history of hamstring injuries, I’d support your stance. But he never missed a game in college and had one hamstring pull last year that he later pulled again (super common sequence with that particular injury.)
Fuller, on the other hand, has had injuries every year in the pros. Thigh strain, re-injured hammy, knee strain, shoulder fracture, rib fracture, another knee strain, another hammy, torn ACL - in three years!
Why I like Coutee to break out in 2019:
17.2 PPG in his healthy games in 2018
7.2 rec 76 yrds 0.4 TDs
best games: 1st game as a pro 15 targets 11-109, and WC playoff 14 Ts 11-110-1
For all games, Keke had a target share of 22.7% (19th), and his RZ target share was 17.9%.
Hopkins is a target hog (27% market share), they don’t utilize TEs, and Fuller mostly runs 9 routes (until he gets hurt.) Even accounting for Duke there’s still a ton of targets available.
He’s not an incredible athlete but he has an above average SPARQ-x (108.6), above average agility, great football speed - he posted the second highest target separation per route among all WRs. He had the fourth highest reception percentage from the slot.
Early breakout age (19), dominated his junior year, still only 22. PFF on his 2017:
Among 103 receivers to see at least 75 targets in 2017, Coutee ranked first in yards after the catch per reception (9.0), third in WR rating (139.7), and sixth in yards per target (11.7). That yards-per-target ranking looks all the more impressive when considering he ranked 19th-lowest (of 103 receivers) in average depth of target (8.5 yards). By depth-adjusted yards per target, he finished his collegiate career as the single most efficient Power-5 wide receiver we had ever recorded. He was excellent in 2016 as well, earning a grade of 88.1, which, up until last season, was the highest grade we’ve ever seen from a wide receiver before the age of 20.
This is not a guy to write off because of a fluke ankle sprain. Everything about him is screaming value.
89-963-4