The Jerk
Footballguy
BGP loves to put out his efficiency ratings and use them to predict the winners of playoff games. He loves to trot out stats describing that when one team has "better" efficiency ratings on both offense and defense they are 21-2 since some random year.
However, in the past 13 months there have been 4 championship games and 2 Super Bowls. In every one of these games, one team had better ratings on both offense and defense.
Those teams have gone 2-4.
We all know BGP refuses to count last year's 21-10 win by the Steelers over the "more efficient" Seahawks due to a national conspiracy by the NFL from the league office to the officiating crew. Will the Colts win tonight be similarly dismissed due to the presence of rain?
The big question is how many other games have been arbitrarily dismissed by BGP in order to maintain the illusion of accuracy in his beloved system?
The past two Super Bowls have shown that the significant superiority of the AFC renders these efficiency ratings essentially meaningless. The degree of difficulty the AFC champion faces in comparison to the NFC champion should be factored into the equation somehow.
Whatever the reason, 2-4 is 2-4 (even if Brian says it is 2-3 (SB XL) or 2-2, etc. Those games were predicted, they were played, and the system missed them. It's really as simple as that.
However, in the past 13 months there have been 4 championship games and 2 Super Bowls. In every one of these games, one team had better ratings on both offense and defense.
Those teams have gone 2-4.
We all know BGP refuses to count last year's 21-10 win by the Steelers over the "more efficient" Seahawks due to a national conspiracy by the NFL from the league office to the officiating crew. Will the Colts win tonight be similarly dismissed due to the presence of rain?
The big question is how many other games have been arbitrarily dismissed by BGP in order to maintain the illusion of accuracy in his beloved system?
The past two Super Bowls have shown that the significant superiority of the AFC renders these efficiency ratings essentially meaningless. The degree of difficulty the AFC champion faces in comparison to the NFC champion should be factored into the equation somehow.
Whatever the reason, 2-4 is 2-4 (even if Brian says it is 2-3 (SB XL) or 2-2, etc. Those games were predicted, they were played, and the system missed them. It's really as simple as that.
