Second, playoff record doesn't supercede regular season record. If you do not make the Superbowl, you are still slotted in terms of regular season record. If you make the SB, you're drafting 31st or 32nd. In other words, if a 10-6 team beats a 12-4 team in divisionals and then loses in the conference championship, that 10-6 team still drafts before the 12-4 team, despite the fact that they made it further in the playoffs. Notice how New England drafted 21st and Jacksonville drafted 28th last year, despite the fact that New England BEAT Jacksonville in the playoffs.
I figured the way the Super Bowl winner was handled was the way that everyone was handled, but oddly enough I'd never actually checked that.
Three things.
First, Denver's going to have a much easier time of putting up a good record than Washington is... and even if they don't, they still got a 3rd and a 4th at the absolute worst.
Third off, I'm not saying that Washington made a horrible deal. I'm saying that they gave up more than they had to to get Lelie. I suspect Denver would have been satisfied with the third and the fourth straight up (Denver tried to ship Lelie to Houston for a 4th during the draft this year), and Denver *CERTAINLY* would have been satisfied with a pair of thirds. Instead of making those offers, though, Washington wound up making an offer that could very easily give Denver value equivalent to one or more second rounders. So yeah, even if Washington goes to the superbowl, I'll still regard this as a coup for Denver and a reach for the Skins, just like if Samkon Gado winds up being the best RB in the entire NFL this year, he'd still be a reach in the 1st round because you could still get him so much cheaper.
Agreed on the first point - Washington's division is murderous, and I'm not impressed with any other team besides possibly San Diego this year in the AFC West. I'm not sure I agree with the second. If a 3rd and a 4th (note, in two different drafts) was all that it was going to take, then you're assuming absolute stupidity on the part of the 'Skins that they just gave away the other options. The price of players changes as circumstances change, so Houston's (alleged) deal for Lelie on draft day matters not; for example, that trade was straight up and Houston also didn't at the time have any question marks at that WR position that Lelie was to occupy the way that the 'Skins do with the RB position that Duckett is to occupy.
While they're certainly aggressive in targeting young, veteran players they want with draft picks which may or may not pan out, I've never heard them called stupid before. Denver worked a good deal, and I think the 'Skins also got good value for what they gave up. The ways for the 'Skins to get killed on this deal would be for them to fall flat on their faces this year (which Duckett's acquisition helps to prevent) or to fail to resign Duckett after his contract is up following the season.