KarmaPolice
Footballguy
Hell yeah! FD has 25cent gpps.
Of those, I Palmer scares me most. I would gravitate to the guys at home.I think Rivers and Palmer are the best QBs for cash with Winston 3rd if I have extra cash
my cash
palmer hunt gordon evans nelson hogan fleener walsh chargers
Came to my senses and put in Rivers instead and used extra $$ for Balt D.KarmaPolice said:Of those, I Palmer scares me most. I would gravitate to the guys at home.
Of course I thought jamming in Bell and DJ was the play last week.
It's because they were on MNF. Usually most of the players in that game don't have their salaries move much, and the Chargers were probably low bc they were playing in Denver. Hell , I think some of the TB players salaries went down on one of the sites bc they didn't play over the weekend. I don't know if its because their algorithm thinks they posted a dud or something?Came to my senses and put in Rivers instead and used extra $$ for Balt D.
And why is the LAC passing game so cheap- is Mia that easy to run on? I think a Rivers+Allen+Gates stack would be a solid and cost efficient start to a gpp.
I get it in theory, but I do wonder how successful this really is. I assume after X number of players from the same game you are capping your upside. I would assume you want each non-qb position to have 2td upside on FD, and that's not very realistic with 7 dudes from one game.Stack the dud game that turns into a 42-35 shootout and you probably win.
Actually, both sites put out the next week's pricing before the Sunday night game, so players involved in the two primetime games Sunday and Monday will not see a salary change unless the sites think the defenses they are playing will alter the pricing.It's because they were on MNF. Usually most of the players in that game don't have their salaries move much, and the Chargers were probably low bc they were playing in Denver. Hell , I think some of the TB players salaries went down on one of the sites bc they didn't play over the weekend. I don't know if its because their algorithm thinks they posted a dud or something?
Eta: I really like Rivers + Williams too.
I actually have a couple one off GPPs where I'm going to throw Kamara in because I feel like my GPPs are too chalky. I still am not willing to trust Gillislee.All this talk about mad Brady and Cooks revenge, are we passing over a low % tourney play in Gillislee? Maybe same thing with Kamara?
I was playing with the idea of doing a gpp with 2 rbs from that game, 2 pass catchers from gb/atl, then a stack from a different game like Oak or Pitts.
I've struggled with this one as well. I'm trying to get a similar team risk/reward team from my skill players and then use a lot of intriguing defenses (Sea, Ari, Oak, Balt, KC, Chargers)I can't decide between Hogan+Ravens or Thielen+Seahawks.
Better believe I'm rocking Kamara. Those Pat LBs were really, really slow last week. I can see Brees targeting Kamara 6+ times easy.I actually have a couple one off GPPs where I'm going to throw Kamara in because I feel like my GPPs are too chalky. I still am not willing to trust Gillislee.
I didn't realize how damn cheap he was when I posted above either.Better believe I'm rocking Kamara. Those Pat LBs were really, really slow last week. I can see Brees targeting Kamara 6+ times easy.
I like them. Here was my first idea after I used Gilleslee+Kamara:Here's my best 2 GPP lineups for Kamara. There were a lot of good lineups to be had with the Kamara swing for the fence play.
1. Brady/Kamara/Gordon/Evans/Cooks/Hogan/Ertz/Forbath/Raiders <----Brady super stack and paying up for Raiders Defense. Melvin Gordon/Mike Evans are the studs I paid up for. Also thought about switching to Julio instead of Evans and Arizona instead of the Raiders.
2. Brady/Kamara/Zeke/Cooks/Hogan/Fitz/Kelce/Walsh/Seahwaks <----Brady super stack again. Paying up for Zeke, Kelce, and the Seahawks defense and dropped from Evans to Fitz.
There was stat somewhere about his games after a dud game, and it was on the level of Brady after a 0 td game.mrip541 said:Is no one worried that Julio got 5 targets last week? 8800 For 5 targets is not a winning strategy.
Is this a cash L/U or GPP?What do you think about this lineup:
Smith/Kelce - An under the radar stack
Lynch/Quizz - Both at home against sub-par defenses
Jones/Nelson/Hogan - All three in high-scoring aerial contests
Walsh - Getting a piece of the SEA/SF mismatch
Tampa Bay - At home against a depleted offense and stacking with Quizz
IMO the % on QBs never gets really out of hand. What is it tops - 15% or so? I would guess guys like Ty Mont, Julio, Cooks, etc.. would be a higher ownership rate, so wouldn't they be the ones to fade if you are trying to avoid ownership?I'm going to fade Brady in all my GPP action. He's going to be off the charts owned IMO.
I worry a bit about Palmer, but I still like it for a gpp. I look at super stacks when they are cheap like this, so if one doesn't hit it doesn't kill you quite so much. ie IMO this is better than something like Ben-Bell-AB since you'd need such massive games from all to make it worth it.Arizona super stack stupid or just crazy enough?
Palmer - Lynch/Elliott - Fitz/JJ Nelson/Adams - Gronk - Walsh - Oak
I just see lots of options @ QB this week, all of whom I think will be less owned. Brady probably has a big week, don't get me wrong. But it seems like there are several guys who are primed for big weeks.IMO the % on QBs never gets really out of hand. What is it tops - 15% or so? I would guess guys like Ty Mont, Julio, Cooks, etc.. would be a higher ownership rate, so wouldn't they be the ones to fade if you are trying to avoid ownership?
I think it's all about the construction - if you are using Brady/TyMont/Julio/Cooks in a gpp LU, that is perfectly fine - you could get creative in other spots. Get a low owned Def, Rb2, or WR3.
Definitely cheap...allows for a few studs at other positions. I figure fairly low ownership and without DJ they will throw early and often against a weak D. Love the Lynch/Oak combo this week. I think they will feed the beast in an easy win.I worry a bit about Palmer, but I still like it for a gpp. I look at super stacks when they are cheap like this, so if one doesn't hit it doesn't kill you quite so much. ie IMO this is better than something like Ben-Bell-AB since you'd need such massive games from all to make it worth it.
Not arguing there. AND if that is the case, then it might come down to other positions.I just see lots of options @ QB this week, all of whom I think will be less owned. Brady probably has a big week, don't get me wrong. But it seems like there are several guys who are primed for big weeks.
Let's say you wanted to pick 2 or 3 of your 12 25cent entries and enter those in the $7 millionaire contest. What criteria would you use to choose the "best" 2 or 3?Decision made. Instead of my 3 $4 gpps, I did 12 25cent ones and a $1. When I do that I tend to try too many things/stacks, so I forced myself to stick to a limited # of QBs and used my sheets of Ds that were bad at the end of last year and started that way this year for the most part. My cash QB will be Brady, so I will just use him in the $1 entry. Looks like my gpp Qbs will be Ryan, Carr, Cousins, and Ben. I think the the last 3 will be fairly low owned compared to Brady/Rodgers/Ryan/Brees/Wilson/Rivers, so don't need to get too odd with those and will splatter in options from the core high priced games. With Ryan I will probably do stuff like Gillislee/J.Rodgers/Kamara at Rb.
I like it - Pryor & Clay are definitely 'more-boom-than-bust' potential.Here is my current gpp where I chose to fade the 2 highly targeted O/U games: (just doing one of 13 completely fading those games)
Wilson - Lynch/Gordon - Baldwin/Evans/Pryor - Clay - Dawson - Chargers
Now that is a fantastic question.Let's say you wanted to pick 2 or 3 of your 12 25cent entries and enter those in the $7 millionaire contest. What criteria would you use to choose the "best" 2 or 3?
Especially with Palmer having 2 less options with Brown and Gresham out.So my home bounceback for dalton didn't come to fruition, but I'll keep pontificating. I think the Arizona/Indy game is a total trap for Arizona. Their oline is banged up, struggled to move the ball after Dj went out, didn't look great on defense, and palmer floated some awful balls out there. Brown hurt, fitz got banged up a little. On the road, vs a bad Indy team that might look better (slightly) at home. I won't be running to put in Doyle and Hilton but I'll likely avoid the cards as well. Their defense may be the ones to step up for this game if they want to win.
They ran it like 49% of the time last week even though they were losing.So the Pats are without Danny A too, and basically just have 2 wrs. NO D sucks all around, so what are the odds they go 2 TE and run it a ton?
In part this was because of poor output from receivers excluding Amendola's 100 and Cooks' 88.....less than anticipated production from Hogan, Gronk and the others.They ran it like 49% of the time last week even though they were losing.
We have similar budgets. I only play GPPs because its more fun for me. I only play Sunday slates on Fanduel. I dislike DK interface.Now that is a fantastic question.
Ah, the headache of trying to figure out the Pats.In part this was because of poor output from receivers excluding Amendola's 100 and Cooks' 88.....less than anticipated production from Hogan, Gronk and the others.
If one of Hogan or Gronk does not go off, the Pats have serious problems going forward.
There are two competing going around this week about Gronk: (a) he was covered by the single best player in the league built for covering Gronk, or (b) there is something "wrong" with Gronk. I haven't bought in to (b) yet but this week will be telling.
Hogan is interesting in that I don't really know why he did so well last year unless its because he was the beneficiary of defenses focusing on other weapons. I'm a little concerned that without Edelman on the field his production will be systematically lower this year based on the premise that he really isn't as good as his 2016 numbers suggest. Having said that, pundits are calling for him to have a good game....we'll see.
These concerns are not preventing me from having a variety of $1 stacks including various combinations of Gronk, Cooks, Hogan and White with Brady.
I think red zone performance allows you to keep Gillislee with heavy exposure every week. I expect him to easily achieve 800/10 this year, perhaps better....he's pretty much insulated from game script in that way unless NE is playing an uber defense (which KC is, basically, and you saw how Gillislee did there). The narrative that NE will miss Blount is...to me....completely false. Gillislee is a faster, younger version of Blount.
I am just talking out loud here, but are you spreading yourself thin by going with so many players in your pool? Just curious b/c I was trying to do the opposite this week. I am sure there are different takes on strategy, and there is probably a sweet spot that people suggest if you are mass entering 200 LUs, 20 LUs like us, or just a couple.We have similar budgets. I only play GPPs because its more fun for me. I only play Sunday slates on Fanduel. I dislike DK interface.
This week I have 16 $1 entries in Sunday Drive and 4 of them are also entered in $7 Sunday Million. Oh and a free entry in $10k second chance.
Of 21 possible QBs, only 11 QBs considered 3 each for Ben, Palmer and Carr and 4 for Brady. Single entries for Rodgers, Ryan, Brees, Cutler, Winston, Rivers, Wilson, Simien (!).
Of 42 possible RBs, only 19 RBs considered 6 lynch, 4 montgomery, 3 each Ajai, Hunt, Bell, Gillislee, Cohen. 2 each Ellington, Carson, Elliot, Rodgers, Fournette.
Etc
Million Entries (probably poorly constructed stacks but I like to swing for the fence)
Ben Roethlisberger Tarik Cohen Marshawn Lynch Antonio Brown Martavis Bryant Brandin Cooks Hunter Henry Ryan Succop Seattle Seahawks
Carson Palmer Marshawn Lynch Ty Montgomery Larry Fitzgerald Antonio Brown Chris Hogan Delanie Walker Mason Crosby Seattle Seahawks
Derek Carr Leonard Fournette Jay Ajayi Amari Cooper Michael Crabtree Keenan Allen Zach Miller Cairo Santos Baltimore Ravens
Tom Brady Chris Carson Kareem Hunt Stefon Diggs Brandin Cooks Julio Jones Austin Hooper Blair Walsh Los Angeles Rams