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Favre the #1 QB this week ? (1 Viewer)

Mmen of Steel

Footballguy
Is it true? Better than Brees, Rothlisberger or Romo?

I know these things can get adjusted at the last minute,

but does anyone else think this is a little off?

 
Brees, Big Ben and Rom aren't playing the last ranked pass D in the NFL. Minny also can stuff the run, so Favre will have another game like he did @ KC.

 
Wasn't Rivers in the top 10 last week going against this same Minnesota defense? What did he finish with?
Are you seriuosly comparing Rivers to Favre? Brett already carved up the Minny defense (344/2TDs) once this year at the Metrodome.
 
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I think Brett Favre is the perfect storm this week. It's not just that Green Bay's passing matchup is a good one (although it is- Green Bay is #2 in the league in passing, and Minnesota is #32)... but it's also that Green Bay's rushing matchup is so unbelievably putrid (Green Bay is 32nd in the league in rushing, and Minnesota is 2nd, giving up 2.83 yards per attempt :lmao: ). If Green Bay wants to win this week, Brett Favre will *HAVE* to pass. I would be more surprised if Favre had fewer than 40 attempts than I would be if he had 50+.

If you buy into Football Outsiders, then Minnesota is 20th in the league against the pass and 2nd against the run... but that's a little misleading. They might just be 2nd against the run, but that's because Baltimore is also historically great. Minnesota's rushing defense is -32.2%. Since 2000, the only other teams that had less than -30% DVOA against the run were Baltimore this year, Minnesota last year, and the 2000 Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans (two of the greatest defenses in NFL history). Suffice it to say that Minnesota's rushing defense is very, very, very, very ridiculously good. Mindblowingly good. Once-in-a-decade good.

Roethlisberger is a very interesting comparison, in my opinion. He's facing a far more putrid pass defense than Favre, and he's been scoring very comparably to Favre so far this season... but Cleveland's run defense is almost as bad as its pass defense. I think it's very likely that Roethlisberger scores significantly more fantasy points per attempt, but Favre still outscores him through sheer number of attempts. I'm even putting my money where my mouth is here- I have both Roeth and Favre in one league, and after debating it back and forth with myself for a couple of hours, I've slotted Favre as the starter. Hopefully it doesn't come back to bite me, but I'm happy with the decision that I've made based on the information that is available.

 
I think Brett Favre is the perfect storm this week. It's not just that Green Bay's passing matchup is a good one (although it is- Green Bay is #2 in the league in passing, and Minnesota is #32)... but it's also that Green Bay's rushing matchup is so unbelievably putrid (Green Bay is 32nd in the league in rushing, and Minnesota is 2nd, giving up 2.83 yards per attempt :lmao: ). If Green Bay wants to win this week, Brett Favre will *HAVE* to pass. I would be more surprised if Favre had fewer than 40 attempts than I would be if he had 50+.If you buy into Football Outsiders, then Minnesota is 20th in the league against the pass and 2nd against the run... but that's a little misleading. They might just be 2nd against the run, but that's because Baltimore is also historically great. Minnesota's rushing defense is -32.2%. Since 2000, the only other teams that had less than -30% DVOA against the run were Baltimore this year, Minnesota last year, and the 2000 Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans (two of the greatest defenses in NFL history). Suffice it to say that Minnesota's rushing defense is very, very, very, very ridiculously good. Mindblowingly good. Once-in-a-decade good.Roethlisberger is a very interesting comparison, in my opinion. He's facing a far more putrid pass defense than Favre, and he's been scoring very comparably to Favre so far this season... but Cleveland's run defense is almost as bad as its pass defense. I think it's very likely that Roethlisberger scores significantly more fantasy points per attempt, but Favre still outscores him through sheer number of attempts. I'm even putting my money where my mouth is here- I have both Roeth and Favre in one league, and after debating it back and forth with myself for a couple of hours, I've slotted Favre as the starter. Hopefully it doesn't come back to bite me, but I'm happy with the decision that I've made based on the information that is available.
:lmao: If I had Favre I would be starting him. GB will be lucky to get 50 yds rushing this week. Favre will be throwing early and often. He has picked apart this D before and he will do it again. Minn will be running the ball against a good D so AP won't pop off as many 65 yd TDs as against SD. That will take time off the clock reducing Favre's opportunities. Regardless, Favre does not like Minn and loves to crush them. I'll be watching nervously hoping for one of Favre's meltdowns.
 
Is it true? Better than Brees, Rothlisberger or Romo?I know these things can get adjusted at the last minute,but does anyone else think this is a little off?
No. The ranking doesn't mean anything. Look at the point estimates for you league. In my league the difference is 1.3 pts between 3 of the 4 above players named. Flip a coin if you've got two of them. And Romo is only 1 more point behind so feel free to start him over the other three.Starting any one over the other is not likely to have any effect on your final score. I'd pick the one who YOU think has the best chance to out score his projection.
 
I think Brett Favre is the perfect storm this week. It's not just that Green Bay's passing matchup is a good one (although it is- Green Bay is #2 in the league in passing, and Minnesota is #32)... but it's also that Green Bay's rushing matchup is so unbelievably putrid (Green Bay is 32nd in the league in rushing, and Minnesota is 2nd, giving up 2.83 yards per attempt :thumbup: ). If Green Bay wants to win this week, Brett Favre will *HAVE* to pass. I would be more surprised if Favre had fewer than 40 attempts than I would be if he had 50+.If you buy into Football Outsiders, then Minnesota is 20th in the league against the pass and 2nd against the run... but that's a little misleading. They might just be 2nd against the run, but that's because Baltimore is also historically great. Minnesota's rushing defense is -32.2%. Since 2000, the only other teams that had less than -30% DVOA against the run were Baltimore this year, Minnesota last year, and the 2000 Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans (two of the greatest defenses in NFL history). Suffice it to say that Minnesota's rushing defense is very, very, very, very ridiculously good. Mindblowingly good. Once-in-a-decade good.Roethlisberger is a very interesting comparison, in my opinion. He's facing a far more putrid pass defense than Favre, and he's been scoring very comparably to Favre so far this season... but Cleveland's run defense is almost as bad as its pass defense. I think it's very likely that Roethlisberger scores significantly more fantasy points per attempt, but Favre still outscores him through sheer number of attempts. I'm even putting my money where my mouth is here- I have both Roeth and Favre in one league, and after debating it back and forth with myself for a couple of hours, I've slotted Favre as the starter. Hopefully it doesn't come back to bite me, but I'm happy with the decision that I've made based on the information that is available.
I have Favre as my starter in one league but in the other league I also have Roth and Favre. I went with Roth because I also have FWP. Thinking that unless Poops get the TD I will score no matter how the Steelers do it. I think they hang about 38 on the Browns so I will take it no matter how it happens. I can root for them both this way. In reality I think they both score 20-25 points this week anyway.
 
Anybody worried about the weather for Sunday in Green Bay? I think it's suppose to be 40% chance of rain, with 15 mph winds. You think this may effect Favre's numbers. I too have both Big Ben and Favre, and am leaning towards Favre, with the exception of the weather. I have a half-marathon in the morning, so I have to make the decision tonight.

 
Anybody worried about the weather for Sunday in Green Bay? I think it's suppose to be 40% chance of rain, with 15 mph winds. You think this may effect Favre's numbers. I too have both Big Ben and Favre, and am leaning towards Favre, with the exception of the weather. I have a half-marathon in the morning, so I have to make the decision tonight.
:lmao: The weather will be just fine in Green Bay tomorrow. I think Favre has played well in worse conditions.http://www.weather.com/weather/wxdetail/US...pnav_undeclared

 
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Anybody worried about the weather for Sunday in Green Bay? I think it's suppose to be 40% chance of rain, with 15 mph winds. You think this may effect Favre's numbers. I too have both Big Ben and Favre, and am leaning towards Favre, with the exception of the weather. I have a half-marathon in the morning, so I have to make the decision tonight.
I'm doing an ultra-triathlon and plan to be back in plenty of time.Suck it up and run fast you homo. (not that there's anything wrong with that).
 
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Anybody worried about the weather for Sunday in Green Bay? I think it's suppose to be 40% chance of rain, with 15 mph winds. You think this may effect Favre's numbers. I too have both Big Ben and Favre, and am leaning towards Favre, with the exception of the weather. I have a half-marathon in the morning, so I have to make the decision tonight.
I'm doing an ultra-triathlon and plan to be back in plenty of time.Suck it up and run fast you homo. (not that there's anything wrong with that).
Yeah, it's a little different on the West Coast, when the run starts at 8 a.m., and the game starts at 10 a.m. I figure to make it home at about half time. There is no parking at the starting line, so everyone has to be shuttled in from a parking lot 5 miles away. So, you have to be shuttled back to your car after the race. I'm planning on a run of about 1:45:00. This is my first one.
 
Well, not to rain on anyone's parade, but I just traded for Favre and I am the biggest injury jinx ever.....sorry, Brett...

(A Johnson, A Boldin, S Jax, L Jordan, former K Warner, A Green, and H Ward owner) :moneybag:

 
Is it true? Better than Brees, Rothlisberger or Romo?I know these things can get adjusted at the last minute,but does anyone else think this is a little off?
That's the beauty of projections. They can be whatever you want them to be as long as you have a reason to back them up. In this case, Favre chucks the ball a lot and the Vikes pass D is putrid. Plus, the Pack will have to keep up with AD's 297 yds rushing and 4 TD performance today.
 
Well, not to rain on anyone's parade, but I just traded for Favre and I am the biggest injury jinx ever.....sorry, Brett...(A Johnson, A Boldin, S Jax, L Jordan, former K Warner, A Green, and H Ward owner) :thumbup:
Given your MASH unit, would you mind trying to trade Favre for Bulger (my opponent's QB this week)?Until I read this post, I'd been starting Favre with confidence due to the good chance that GB won't be able to run the ball effectively against Minnesota. If Favre gets hurt early (and puts up a zero points stinker of a week, like M. Schaub, who I started in week 7 due to bye week problems) I'm blaming you. Seriously, though, I have to think Favre is a better option this week than most QBs because it would seem likely he'll be passing a lot, as noted by other posters.
 
I think Brett Favre is the perfect storm this week. It's not just that Green Bay's passing matchup is a good one (although it is- Green Bay is #2 in the league in passing, and Minnesota is #32)... but it's also that Green Bay's rushing matchup is so unbelievably putrid (Green Bay is 32nd in the league in rushing, and Minnesota is 2nd, giving up 2.83 yards per attempt :) ). If Green Bay wants to win this week, Brett Favre will *HAVE* to pass. I would be more surprised if Favre had fewer than 40 attempts than I would be if he had 50+.If you buy into Football Outsiders, then Minnesota is 20th in the league against the pass and 2nd against the run... but that's a little misleading. They might just be 2nd against the run, but that's because Baltimore is also historically great. Minnesota's rushing defense is -32.2%. Since 2000, the only other teams that had less than -30% DVOA against the run were Baltimore this year, Minnesota last year, and the 2000 Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans (two of the greatest defenses in NFL history). Suffice it to say that Minnesota's rushing defense is very, very, very, very ridiculously good. Mindblowingly good. Once-in-a-decade good.Roethlisberger is a very interesting comparison, in my opinion. He's facing a far more putrid pass defense than Favre, and he's been scoring very comparably to Favre so far this season... but Cleveland's run defense is almost as bad as its pass defense. I think it's very likely that Roethlisberger scores significantly more fantasy points per attempt, but Favre still outscores him through sheer number of attempts. I'm even putting my money where my mouth is here- I have both Roeth and Favre in one league, and after debating it back and forth with myself for a couple of hours, I've slotted Favre as the starter. Hopefully it doesn't come back to bite me, but I'm happy with the decision that I've made based on the information that is available.
I'm in the same boat with Ben and Favre this week and have been stewing this decision all week. I have Ben starting right now, but am strongly considering Favre. I think Ben has higher upside because Pit-Clev has a chance to be a shootout, whereas Min-GB doesn't have that potential for shootout. Favre is the safer pick, however, since he's likely to pass close to 50 times, regardless of outcome. The debate seems to be, do I take Favre's almost certainty to have more yards and hope he gets at least 2-3 TD's OR do I go with Ben's likelihood for 3-4 TD's and hope the game dictates the need for him to throw enough for good yardage (300 yards?). I'm tending to think I'll play the safer Favre because I need the win this week. This is a good decision to have to make though, really.
 
Anybody worried about the weather for Sunday in Green Bay? I think it's suppose to be 40% chance of rain, with 15 mph winds. You think this may effect Favre's numbers. I too have both Big Ben and Favre, and am leaning towards Favre, with the exception of the weather. I have a half-marathon in the morning, so I have to make the decision tonight.
That's like a spring day in GB. 15 MPH winds? 50 and a breeze at gametime.
 
I am staying with Roth over Favre because I start Favre in another league. I really don't think they will be very far apart on fantasy points by the end of the game. My guess is that they both score between 20 and 25 points each. I will gladly take either.

 
Wound up being a pretty moot point, as both Roeth and Favre went off this week. 351/3 for Favre, 278/2 for Roeth with another 49/1 rushing. Favre did get his 46 pass attempts, though.

 

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