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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

One early CBB game I like, I played:South Carolina -3 1/2 at home against Vandy. I have a hard time seeing Vandy bounce back after the way they lost at home in overtime last game out to Ole Miss.116-114-5 -7.5 units

 
went with these futures. bunch of longshots :unsure:calgary to win west +5000sharks to win cup +2500caps to win east +1250edmonton to win cup +3500avs to win cup +8060

 
'The Ref said:
'TheGooRoo said:
NHL props are up, no SOG :mellow:
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Lets hope that's just a temporary thing...
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FWIW, I played "player props" in soccer pretty heavily last year. When this season opened, they were gone.They never came back. :mellow:Same for game props, same for 2nd half lines later this year. :mellow:I think they employ a "take our ball and go home" approach when they're not winning. Easier than being sharper, I suppose.
 
'Billy Bats said:
Another reason I like Atlanta. Remember SF beats NE then the following week goes to Seattle with a loud stadium against a real good home team and got smoked. Granted it was an emotional game but It's hard to do and I don't know if Kaep can do it (yet) two weeks in a row, in the playoffs. I think he's real good and he may stick it to me, but I have to take the good home team, in a loud stadium with the more seasoned QB in the playoffs getting points.
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I put a unit on ATL ML +170. I like that bet alot. I may hit it again.
 
'nittanylion said:
Well, evened the Razorbacks Hoops record at 1-1 after the home rout vs Vandy on Saturday, and got my 1u back. Not betting tonight's home game vs Auburn, but if I were, I'd bet on Auburn covering as a +12 dog. Hogs are a beast at home, but after watching the loss to A&M, I'm leery of laying that many points vs a team with a quality big or bigs, and Auburn's Rob Chubb is the kind of player that looks like can give Arkansas fits until further notice. I fairly certain the Hogs win outright, but giving 11 in this spot looks to be a bit of a reach.I am putting 1u on Missouri, however, vs Georgia, laying 13. KCP is a HORSE, but Missou has far and away more horses, and they're playing a weak sister in front of their home crowd coming off an embarrassing road loss @ Ole Miss. Nothing like putting a whipping on a bottom feeder in front of your natives to get everything back on track.Good Luck!
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OK, so the Auburn lean and the Missouri bet both came through. Hopefully something to build on. However, the SEC remains clear as mud to just about every source I try and tap for insight. Two or three Teams with a shot at the Sweet 16, and then a lot of "pieces-parts" - incomplete Teams with plenty of question marks. I don't like anything enough to play right now, but I'm going to record my thoughts here just to see how things work out at the end of the day.My thoughts on today's games:1:45 PM Vandy @ South Carolina: On Tuesday, Vandy took a 3-point lead over Ole Miss with 3.2 to play, only to see Ole Miss tie the game on a buzzer-beater 3 and then roll them in OT. Losses like that can send a young, inexperienced team reeling, but Vandy already went through something similar in a 2-point loss to Kentucky a week ago, and IMO, Vandy is maturing at a rapid rate and can play over their heads. Gamecocks are at home, -3.5. They are a turnover machine, they have few players and limited offense. They shouldn't be favored over any major conference team right now, home or away. These are both pretty bad teams, firmly in the SEC cellar. Vandy's game is largely built around perimeter shooting, and at least they've proved they can play with the big boys, even though they haven't found a way to win. Cocks are not a 'big boy', but they are at home. Tough. Vandy's roster is deeper and better from top to bottom, but they are on the road. I'd bank on Vandy's toughness and 3's over South Carolina's sloppy ball handling, but I can't play it. Sorry about the long write-up for only a lean. Lean Vandy +3.5 Update: Line has moved to +4. Still can't play it, but now it's tempting.1:45 PM Arkansas @ Ole Miss: Took a few OT, but Hogs pulled it out vs Auburn, who's personnel presented a tough matchup for this Team. Doesn't get any easier vs Murphy Holloway and Ole Miss. I think Ole Miss is for real. They are a very balanced Team, and very much belong in the SEC upper-tier. Until further notice, Arkansas is still playing this Jekyll and Hyde game of home vs road. I'd be inclined to bet against them as a road favorite 100% of the time until they prove me wrong, but that isn't the issue here as they are a 9.5 road dog. This has moved down from 10.5. So, can they cover? I was tempted at 10.5, but under 10 makes this a no play for me, because there's no way to predict which Hogs team will show up. Arkansas can be a scoring machine, but their scoring D is average at best, so for them to cover, they have to stay close in a road shootout, and the road is very hard on them. Too unpredictable to play. Lean: Ole Miss. Update: Line has moved to -9. Not going to be swayed.2:00 PM Missouri @ Florida: Florida is cream of the conference. Missou is not far behind, but more than a step. Florida is banged up, and Missou is without Bowers, which leaves them with little inside presence, but given Florida's multiple injuries, I don't think this gives Florida a double-figures edge, even at home. If both were at full strength, Florida probably wins by a small margin. All the injuries lend too much unpredictability to the outcome. No play. Lean: Mizzou +13.4:00 PM Miss. St. @ Tennessee: Two struggling lower-tier SEC Teams. Tennessee has no business being favored by double figures over anyone remotely even with them. Between a crap roster and injuries, State can barely get enough guys on the floor to practice. Tennessee is home, and has the best player on the court in Jarnell Stokes, but a double-figure win is asking a lot. Again, too much unpredictability to lay money on it. Lean: State +11.5.More to follow...
 
'Treynwreck3 said:
'Billy Bats said:
Another reason I like Atlanta. Remember SF beats NE then the following week goes to Seattle with a loud stadium against a real good home team and got smoked. Granted it was an emotional game but It's hard to do and I don't know if Kaep can do it (yet) two weeks in a row, in the playoffs. I think he's real good and he may stick it to me, but I have to take the good home team, in a loud stadium with the more seasoned QB in the playoffs getting points.
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I put a unit on ATL ML +170. I like that bet alot. I may hit it again.
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All over this with the Crabtree situation.
 
'gussy said:
One early CBB game I like, I played:South Carolina -3 1/2 at home against Vandy. I have a hard time seeing Vandy bounce back after the way they lost at home in overtime last game out to Ole Miss.116-114-5 -7.5 units
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Added TCU +11 1/2 at home against Iowa St.Bradley -8 1/2E. Michigan -2 1/2Cornell +1IUPUI +10 1/2
 
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6:00 PM Texas A&M @ Alabama: It's so frustrating when circumstances get in the way of a play you just KNOW is going to win. That happened to me Thursday night, when I got sidetracked by life and failed to get a multi-unit play on Florida in, and they absolutely CREAMED A&M. Alabama coming off a lopsided road win over terrible Miss. St. Team that proves as little as A&M's recent win over inconsistent Kentucky. Two lower-tier SEC Teams, albeit much closer to the top of the column than most of the others. Still, the line on this shouldn't be any higher than home-court advantage. Lean: A&M +7.58:00 PM LSU @ Georgia: Finally, a play, but only a 1u play, because we're talking about two very bad Teams. LSU looked great early this season playing a bunch of non-conference patsies. Now that Conference play has begun, they are being exposed. Georgia is no better, but at least they have a bona-fide STUD in Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, they are at home, and while both are 0-3 in Conference, and both have lost to Florida, Georgia has also played Mizzou, and a much tougher non-conference slate. Much tougher. Georgia should be able to win this outright, and -2 is about as close to a straight up margin as you can get. I'll play.Update: Money is pouring in on Arkansas, as line has moved down to 8.5. God, I'd love to see it, but...I WILL NOT BUDGE!!!More to follow...

 
Hey, another potential play!9:00 PM Kentucky @ Auburn: Line just moved from 9.5 to 10 for road and public favorite Kentucky. By the end of the Season, Kentucky is probably going to be a formidable Team, but as of right now, they are still trying to gel, and are in for some growing pains along the way. So much talent on this Kentucky roster, but still swimming in the shallows. Auburn has a veteran core who knows how to play as a Team, and they are at home as a double-digit dog. They can be deadly from 3-point range. The Tigers played a decent non-conference slate, and pushed @ Illinois to the limit on 12/29 in a 2 point loss, followed by a home win vs Florida State, won on the road @ South Carolina (won a road game they were supposed to win), and almost won on the road @ Arkansas (covered). I like the idea of home cooking here. I'd take this right now, but I think there's steam to be caught, and there's a chance to get more points. Still, not a big play, 1u.Good Luck!

 
threw a little on the Salami (O72 goals) tonight just b/c hockey is back.hoping for rusty goalies and weak D throughout!

 
'Treynwreck3 said:
'Billy Bats said:
Another reason I like Atlanta. Remember SF beats NE then the following week goes to Seattle with a loud stadium against a real good home team and got smoked. Granted it was an emotional game but It's hard to do and I don't know if Kaep can do it (yet) two weeks in a row, in the playoffs. I think he's real good and he may stick it to me, but I have to take the good home team, in a loud stadium with the more seasoned QB in the playoffs getting points.
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I put a unit on ATL ML +170. I like that bet alot. I may hit it again.
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I'm getting Atl +4 -105, with a +180 ML. Couldn't pass +180 up. In for 1u, maybe more later.Also getting Patriots -8, and just KNOW it's going to move to -7.5, but when? Lots of self-control staying off 7-pointer: Atl +11/NE-1...
 
'cstu said:
'Treynwreck3 said:
'Billy Bats said:
Another reason I like Atlanta. Remember SF beats NE then the following week goes to Seattle with a loud stadium against a real good home team and got smoked. Granted it was an emotional game but It's hard to do and I don't know if Kaep can do it (yet) two weeks in a row, in the playoffs. I think he's real good and he may stick it to me, but I have to take the good home team, in a loud stadium with the more seasoned QB in the playoffs getting points.
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I put a unit on ATL ML +170. I like that bet alot. I may hit it again.
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All over this with the Crabtree situation.
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FWIW, I understand he traveled with the team and will play. Could be a distraction, and as much as Iike the ATL side, this is just one of many factors why.
 
'Aaron Rudnicki said:
'LOCO said:
'Aaron Rudnicki said:
threw a little on the Salami (O72 goals) tonight just b/c hockey is back.hoping for rusty goalies and weak D throughout!
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What type of bet is this? Want to trail.
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Not sure it's any good but its fun. Over under goals scored by all teams in today's games.
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Well the skaters don't seem to be too sharp either but there are going to be so many penalties today with the new interference rules, I think over Salami is a good play. Might be all week, we'll see.
 
'Raider Nation said:
IMP0RTANT POLE!

What do you like better:

a) Niners/Falcons o43

b) Ravens/Pats o45½

Will answer yours.
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Ravens/pats. Go back and look at what sf has done in terms of putting up points after scoring over 40 this year. I think ne and balt get into the 60s based on the first meeting and the way the bal offense has been rolling.
 
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