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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)

John Bender said:
Fade the Public Alert...

Maryland opened up at -7.5 vs Uconn

In spite of 81% of the money coming in on Maryland, it's now down to as little as -6 at some bets.

Some big money on Uconn somewhere...might be wise to tail
I am all about fading the public for the most part..... but there aint no way in hell i'm siding with UCONN. That team sucks eggs.

 
The second A&M hit 8.5 I put in in a tease with Wisconsin.

Feels like not even 10 minutes later everyone in here LOVES Zona St and the A&M line is already up to 9.5.

 
Way to go Jimmy. Didn't think he was going to do it when he dropped one. Unbelievable round. So tight with the irons and so good with the short stick.

 
Two more baseball pitcher props tonight. 1/2 unit each.

Under Holland 5.5 K's. Hasnt got to 6 in his last 4 starts incl two weeks ago when he faced the A's and had 1K.

Under Wainwright 7 K's. he didnt get to 8 in 12 of his last 18 starts. Cubs Suck. They need the W. So it's not exactly a free $ situation.

 
The Story of My Life... part 86,442:

I'm driving home from work and I'm hungry as hell. Haven't eaten all day. I am craving a meatball sub from Subway, which is right near my house. Subway sucks in general, but their meatballs are surprisingly unshitty. Beating me into the entrance by a few seconds are two mothers and their EIGHT combined little kids, ages roughly between 5 and 12.

There are no other customers in the joint. You'd think they would do the polite thing and allow me to go first.

Nope.

I stand in line for somewhere between 15 and 20 minutes as each kid orders, changes his/her mind, orders again, adds every veggie option there is, then they ask the girl to remove some of them.... heat it up, NO WAIT... don't heat it up! You get the picture.

It's finally my turn. "I'll take a large meatball and provolone on white please."

"I'm sorry... we're all out of meatballs."

:hot:

I stormed outside, let out a primal scream and threw my hat on the ground.

AND ONE OF THE SNOT-NOSED KIDS GOT A MEATBALL SUB!!! Evidently, the last meatball sub.

Had to go across the street to Burger King to eat some garbage which I've already crapped out.

 
Ok after giving you guys the Hawaii cover against USC last week... This week take Wazzu ML and for them to cover for a bit of a hedge if feeling frisky
tap
usc is favored by 14 against bc.for the love of all that is holy take bc and the points.

we are going to storm the field if the usc offense can score 2 tds.
Please don't underestimate how terrible BC is. They beat a hideous Wake team.

 
NFL SHARPS REPORT ... WEEK 2

SAN DIEGO AT PHILADELPHIA:

Interesting reaction here to Philadelphia’s impressive performance vs. Washington this past Monday Night. The first numbers up gave the Eagles respect for that result…with Philly laying -7.5 on the opener. Early money came in on the favorite, lifting the line in paces up to as high as Philadelphia -9. Sharps preferring the underdog then came in at that price, which has driven the line all the way back down to the Eagles by 7.5 as we go to press. Awkward spot for oddsmakers. The game is in the sharp teaser window from -7.5 up to -8.5 (where Wise Guys like to move favorites down past the 7 and the 3 for use in two-team teasers). If sportsbooks post a solid seven, then the favorite will get hit hard. A solid nine shows the underdog getting hit hard. In terms of volume, sharps will like Philadelphia at -1.5, -2, or -2.5 in two-team teasers, but San Diego +9 for straight bets.

CLEVELAND AT BALTIMORE:

The first numbers up showed Baltimore by six. That was bet up (we hear because of respect for the extra preparation time after a Thursday Night game). We’re now seeing a tug-of-war with Baltimore -6.5 getting support, but Cleveland at +7 getting hit if the line moves up to the key number. The percentages are that tight when a game hits a key number like three or seven. Sharps who prefer the host Ravens either got in at -6, or are happy at -6.5. Sharps who like the dog will gladly take the full seven.

TENNESSE AT HOUSTON:

Stores that opened with this line below Houston -9 saw action come in on the favorite…or simply moved on air with other stores who were concerned about teasers. Houston is a solid team when facing non-contenders, and Houston -2.5 or loser in two-team teasers would be extremely popular with sharps and squares (the public) alike in two-teamers. Some places offshore are as high as Houston -9.5. We’re not seeing sharps come in on the dog Tennessee, which they did do with San Diego in this price range. We’re hearing sharps would come in on the Titans at +10. This is not, right now, a heavily bet game from sharps.

MIAMI AT INDIANAPOLIS:

Looks like a tug-of-war spot with sharps split between Miami +3 and Indianapolis -2.5 because of the percentage power of the key number three. Stores that opened any lower were bet up to this tug-of-war range. So…sharps would be supporting the Colts at -1.5 or -2. If the public bets the home favorite over the weekend, sharps will balance that out with their action at Dolphins +3. We have a few games this Sunday in this particular range. Remember that sharps will be looking to move any underdogs of +2.5 up to +8.5 in teasers. There will be Wise Guys rooting for Indianapolis -2.5 but Miami +8.5 because of the historical percentages.

CAROLINA AT BUFFALO:

Another game on the three…another tug-of-war. Though, this time it’s a road favorite instead of a home favorite. Carolina was bet by sharps at -2.5 or any opener lower than that. Dog money does come in at +3…which is why many stores are charging -120 vigorish on Buffalo bets at +3. Beating the market in this sport is very much a matter of percentages. Sharps try to take advantage of any percentage edge they can find because they know that strategy will pay off over thousands of games and several years as bettors. Those with an opinion make sure they get the best line. Those without an opinion still try to bet the percentages.

ST. LOUIS AT ATLANTA:

Openers varied, but money settled very quickly on a tug-of-war between Atlanta -6.5 and St. Louis +7. A lot of games on key numbers this week. Though, it should be said that oddsmakers did a pretty good job of estimating sharp preferences with their openers.

WASHINGTON AT GREEN BAY:

Here it looks like we have a tug-of-war brewing on the other side of the key numbers. Green Bay -7 (or at any opener below that) was hit by sharps after seeing how poorly the Redskins defended Philadelphia’s offense. That pushed the game into the teaser window. Sharps took Washington +8 if it was offered anywhere, and many are investing at +7.5 as well. Those who had an opinion got their preferred line. Oddsmakers probably don’t want this game in the teaser window Sunday given the public’s tendency to bet Green Bay as a home favorite. It’s already a safe bet this early that a Houston/Green Bay combination would be a very popular teaser choice this Sunday.

DALLAS AT KANSAS CITY:

To the degree you could say oddsmakers missed a game, it would be this one. Most early openers were in the Kansas City -1.5 to -2 range. Sharps hit that hard…pushing the line up into tug-of-war range at the key number. We’re now looking at Kansas City -2.5 and Dallas +3. The Chiefs were a big early position for the quickest acting sharps. We’re hearing that Dallas +8.5 would be a popular teaser choice for sharps if the tug-of-war settles on +2.5 before kickoff.

MINNESOTA AT CHICAGO:

This could at least be considered as a minor miss by oddsmakers. Chicago opened at -5 or -5.5 in many spots…but was bet up to the six right away. Many stores saw a point move that wasn’t directly tied to a critical number of 3 or 7. So, we have real sharp support here for the Bears. Or, maybe better put…real sharp skepticism about the Vikings. You’ll recall sharps weren’t supporting the Vikes against Detroit last week. Given two weeks of this…we have to assume sharps have the Vikings rated lower than oddsmakers do in their ratings.

NEW ORLEANS AT TAMPA BAY:

Support has been growing through the week for the Saints as a road favorite. Though, that’s been more heavy offshore than in Las Vegas. We’re hearing from our sources that sharps like the Saints at -3, but aren’t too keen on Tampa Bay at +3.5 given the negative headlines that continue to come out of that franchise. The public will probably bet Drew Brees. If YOU want to bet Drew Brees, and you’re still seeing -3…you should probably take care of business now. Sources anticipate this line being -3.5 of -4 by kickoff.

DETROIT AT ARIZONA:

Most places opened at Detroit pick-em or -1. Sharps hit the visiting Lions with enough support to push the line to -1.5 or -2 in places. Sharps are okay with Arizona +7.5 or +8 in the teaser window, and would definitely come in on the home dog at +3 if the public were to drive the team side line any higher.

JACKSONVILLE AT OAKLAND:

The earlier stores to open had Oakland too low. The Raiders were bet at -4.5 or better out of the gate, and still received support at -5 or -5.5. Jacksonville money did start coming in at +6. And, it came in hard enough to push the line back down to 5.5 in most locales as we went to press. Backers of either team got their preferred price. We may see a tug-of-war on game day between the public on Oakland at -5.5 (and Oakland does have a following in Vegas because of geographic proximity) and sharps on Jacksonville +6.

DENVER AT NY GIANTS:

Oddsmakers anticipated market support for Denver off their big Thursday Night win vs. Baltimore. That caused them to overshoot the mark. Denver opened as a 6-point road favorite in many spots. Home dog money on the Giants came it at that number, as well as +5.5 and even +5. Some stores were testing 4.5 as we went to press. The “Manning Bowl” will be heavily bet in Las Vegas because it’s the marquee event of the late afternoon slate. The public is likely to bet Denver and Peyton Manning in the hours before kickoff. Sharps plus New York money will counteract that, creating a very big one-game handle.

SAN FRANCISCO AT SEATTLE:

Too bad this great game is being played so early. These look to be the two best teams in the NFC…and some systems would have them as the two best in the whole NFL. Home field advantage is typically worth three points in the NFL. Naturally, Seattle is -3 in this game as a result. Stores are finding more support for the underdog 49ers at that price, so they’re charging -120 vigorish to take the underdog. Interesting…because some pundits will tell you that Seattle has a larger than average home field advantage. We do believe sharp support for Seattle would come in if the line dropped to -2.5 -120. Will be interesting to see how the public bets this one…and how sportsbooks deal with the number on what’s likely to be an extremely popular betting game in Vegas. Part of the current pricing may be anticipating “local” fan support for the Niners, who have a lot of fans in Nevada.

PITTSBURGH AT CINCINNATI:

Generally speaking, this game opened below Cincinnati -7 and was bet to the key number. That’s a big line adjustment from what had been expected to be -3 or so before the season started. Pittsburgh really did look that bad vs. Tennessee that week! We’re hearing sharps would consider Pittsburgh at +7.5, but aren’t that keen yet on backing them at the seven. They may settle for the underdog +7 before kickoff if the public doesn’t bet the favorite higher. Longtime sharps tend to be skeptical of games that move THIS much from prior expectations in such a short time.

 
Ok after giving you guys the Hawaii cover against USC last week... This week take Wazzu ML and for them to cover for a bit of a hedge if feeling frisky
tap
usc is favored by 14 against bc.for the love of all that is holy take bc and the points.

we are going to storm the field if the usc offense can score 2 tds.
Please don't underestimate how terrible BC is. They beat a hideous Wake team.
usc didnt cover against hawaii. they didnt cover and lost against WASHINGTON ST.
 
Ok after giving you guys the Hawaii cover against USC last week... This week take Wazzu ML and for them to cover for a bit of a hedge if feeling frisky
tap
usc is favored by 14 against bc.for the love of all that is holy take bc and the points.

we are going to storm the field if the usc offense can score 2 tds.
Please don't underestimate how terrible BC is. They beat a hideous Wake team.
usc didnt cover against hawaii. they didnt cover and lost against WASHINGTON ST.
I get it, and I'm not telling you it's a bad pick. Just sayin'.

 
They are not in any hurry to get Bellator started tonight. I see still see Nunes available but I only have him at 180.

Edit: got in on both

 
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The Story of My Life... part 86,442:

I'm driving home from work and I'm hungry as hell. Haven't eaten all day. I am craving a meatball sub from Subway, which is right near my house. Subway sucks in general, but their meatballs are surprisingly unshitty. Beating me into the entrance by a few seconds are two mothers and their EIGHT combined little kids, ages roughly between 5 and 12.

There are no other customers in the joint. You'd think they would do the polite thing and allow me to go first.

Nope.

I stand in line for somewhere between 15 and 20 minutes as each kid orders, changes his/her mind, orders again, adds every veggie option there is, then they ask the girl to remove some of them.... heat it up, NO WAIT... don't heat it up! You get the picture.

It's finally my turn. "I'll take a large meatball and provolone on white please."

"I'm sorry... we're all out of meatballs."

:hot:

I stormed outside, let out a primal scream and threw my hat on the ground.

AND ONE OF THE SNOT-NOSED KIDS GOT A MEATBALL SUB!!! Evidently, the last meatball sub.

Had to go across the street to Burger King to eat some garbage which I've already crapped out.
I went food shopping after work today. I see an extremely slovenly, dress up in sweatpants couple food shopping. The man, stomach girth bursting through his size medium tank top says, holding up a box of ice cream bars, "What's this Heath flavor, hun?" It took everything in me not to turn and say, "Nothing you need, fatty."

Sorry about the meatballs, bro. Being courteous and getting burned for it = story of my life, as well. :kicksrock:

ETA: Sharps report :excited:

 
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Gonna try posting my bets this week for the heck of it...

2x Bowling Green/Indiana UNDER

1x Tulsa +24.5

Illinois +10

Alabama -8

USC -14

Cal +15

Probably Lions and Saints NFL

 
Ok after giving you guys the Hawaii cover against USC last week... This week take Wazzu ML and for them to cover for a bit of a hedge if feeling frisky
tap
usc is favored by 14 against bc.for the love of all that is holy take bc and the points.

we are going to storm the field if the usc offense can score 2 tds.
Please don't underestimate how terrible BC is. They beat a hideous Wake team.
usc didnt cover against hawaii. they didnt cover and lost against WASHINGTON ST.
Yeah but Wazzu hung in on the road vs auburn and then beat USC.

BC blows. I'm not taking USC... But BC officially blows.

 
Some fun ones from Bovada

WEEK 2 SPECIALS - David Wilson - Will he fumble Week 2 vs Denver?
Must play Week 2 for action.
11:00p​
Yes
+250
No
-400

WEEK 2 SPECIALS - Green Bay Packers - Will anyone Rush for 100 Yards or more in a game in the 2013 Regular Season?
11:00p​
Yes
-1000
No
+550

WEEK 2 SPECIALS - Will the loser of the Raiders vs Jaguars have the #1 Pick in the 2014 NFL draft?
If pick is traded wager is no action.
11:00p​
Yes
-130
No
-110

WEEK 2 SPECIALS - How many unsportsmanlike penalties will there be in the 49ers vs Seahawks game Week 2?
11:00p​
Over

(+110)o​
(-150)u
Under

WEEK 2 SPECIALS - How many offensive plays will the Eagles run Week 2 vs San Diego?
11:00p​
Over
80½
(-115)o​
(-115)u
Under

WEEK 2 SPECIALS - Will the Eagles run 100 or more offensive plays in a single game in the 2013 Regular Season? (Regulation time only)
11:00p​
Yes
-150
No
+110

 
Guererro had some sweet takedowns. And headkicks. That one takedown where Dez landed square on his ### from three feet up looked pretty painful. I've done that before on accident and it's no fun.

 
David Wilson - Will he fumble Week 2 vs Denver?

How many unsportsmanlike penalties will there be in the 49ers vs Seahawks game Week 2?

:lol: Good ####..

 
My offshore offers 5% juice on NFL and College football straight bets, if you place your bets between 6PM Friday and 6 AM Saturday, which translates to 10% juice on 2-Team, 6-point teasers, and a whole bunch of other discounted parlay/teaser options stemming from the reduced straight juice...

Currently offering Packers -7.5 and Cardinals +1.5 - Wong #'s on two of my favorite NFL Sides!

...because I like it so much, and because I'm getting a deal, I played the following for a boatload at -120: 6.5 pt Teaser: Packers -1 / Cardinals +8.

Thinking very strongly about using these 2 legs as a platform for some 3-Teamers as well...

 
Guererro had some sweet takedowns. And headkicks. That one takedown where Dez landed square on his ### from three feet up looked pretty painful. I've done that before on accident and it's no fun.
Yeah, he is a legit fighter. I don't know what happened with Nunes, but man did he get blasted and that one was quick. Oh well, 1-1 is better then 0-2

 
The Story of My Life... part 86,442:

I'm driving home from work and I'm hungry as hell. Haven't eaten all day. I am craving a meatball sub from Subway, which is right near my house. Subway sucks in general, but their meatballs are surprisingly unshitty. Beating me into the entrance by a few seconds are two mothers and their EIGHT combined little kids, ages roughly between 5 and 12.

There are no other customers in the joint. You'd think they would do the polite thing and allow me to go first.

Nope.

I stand in line for somewhere between 15 and 20 minutes as each kid orders, changes his/her mind, orders again, adds every veggie option there is, then they ask the girl to remove some of them.... heat it up, NO WAIT... don't heat it up! You get the picture.

It's finally my turn. "I'll take a large meatball and provolone on white please."

"I'm sorry... we're all out of meatballs."

:hot:

I stormed outside, let out a primal scream and threw my hat on the ground.

AND ONE OF THE SNOT-NOSED KIDS GOT A MEATBALL SUB!!! Evidently, the last meatball sub.

Had to go across the street to Burger King to eat some garbage which I've already crapped out.
Jesus Christ.....

 
My offshore offers 5% juice on NFL and College football straight bets, if you place your bets between 6PM Friday and 6 AM Saturday, which translates to 10% juice on 2-Team, 6-point teasers, and a whole bunch of other discounted parlay/teaser options stemming from the reduced straight juice...

Currently offering Packers -7.5 and Cardinals +1.5 - Wong #'s on two of my favorite NFL Sides!

...because I like it so much, and because I'm getting a deal, I played the following for a boatload at -120: 6.5 pt Teaser: Packers -1 / Cardinals +8.

Thinking very strongly about using these 2 legs as a platform for some 3-Teamers as well...
Which site is this? My local is soft generally on lines, but I like options.

 
My offshore offers 5% juice on NFL and College football straight bets, if you place your bets between 6PM Friday and 6 AM Saturday, which translates to 10% juice on 2-Team, 6-point teasers, and a whole bunch of other discounted parlay/teaser options stemming from the reduced straight juice...

Currently offering Packers -7.5 and Cardinals +1.5 - Wong #'s on two of my favorite NFL Sides!

...because I like it so much, and because I'm getting a deal, I played the following for a boatload at -120: 6.5 pt Teaser: Packers -1 / Cardinals +8.

Thinking very strongly about using these 2 legs as a platform for some 3-Teamers as well...
Which site is this? My local is soft generally on lines, but I like options.
First Fidelity - www.wager7.eu

The big flaw with them is they offer very little in the way of props, but for normal betting, they get the job done.

 
Only half units this weekend - Saving for some good prop action.

Vols +28.5

Vols U 73.5

A&M +14.5/Wis +10.5

Vandy +14.5

Fla St -33.5

The Vile -14

ULM +3.5

 
College card today, all small plays. Saving up for tomorrow.

UCLA +3

Washington -10.5

Penn State -4.5

Auburn -6.5

Ohio U +7.5

Northwestern -28

...if I'm ahead at the end of the day, I'll throw some at Wisconsin +4...

 

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