swirvenirvin
Footballguy
NOOOOOOOOOOOOI need four TDs from him this week.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Need a 150 2Td game from either Gio or Lacy
modogg
Footballguy
Lol. If there is one consistent I have seen in my years of gambling it is this. I know for me, as soon as I up my bets on a good thing it comes crashing down. Amazingly enough I drop my unit value and they hit again. It really is a strange thing.NIU Kicker said:There it is folks.... It was a good run frosty.Dan Lambskin said:Frostillicus said:
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Notre Dame -7.5
Wisconsin -17
New Mexico State +14.5
Wisconsin -17
New Mexico State +14.5
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Every...single...time.Lol. If there is one consistent I have seen in my years of gambling it is this. I know for me, as soon as I up my bets on a good thing it comes crashing down. Amazingly enough I drop my unit value and they hit again. It really is a strange thing.NIU Kicker said:There it is folks.... It was a good run frosty.Dan Lambskin said:Frostillicus said:
If I really, really feel confident about something, I'll go 2U on it. That's not often. 1U for all plays is just like playing blackjack for me. Never win big bucks, but never go busto big either.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
I'll usually bet the minimum if I just want to get some action or 2x if I feel fairly good about it but I'll go 4x or 8x if I really love itEvery...single...time.Lol. If there is one consistent I have seen in my years of gambling it is this. I know for me, as soon as I up my bets on a good thing it comes crashing down. Amazingly enough I drop my unit value and they hit again. It really is a strange thing.NIU Kicker said:There it is folks.... It was a good run frosty.Dan Lambskin said:Frostillicus said:
If I really, really feel confident about something, I'll go 2U on it. That's not often. 1U for all plays is just like playing blackjack for me. Never win big bucks, but never go busto big either.
Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't. Either way I'm not betting enough to go broke
John Bender
Footballguy
Thanks Frosty 
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Check this out, since last year, when the Warriors are playing their first home game after playing three straight games on the road: 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS (avg line -5.4) averaging 108.1 ppg against an opponent average of 102.0 ppg. That is the exact spread and total tonight.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
in on the Frosty 3 pack!
jamil
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
***PSA***
Seahags are currently -7 -105 at 5D.
Seahags are currently -7 -105 at 5D.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Looks like I'm getting Bovada's sharp lines now. I try to bet Chargers +10.5 before I log in, it says -110. I log in, it goes to -115.
got_nugs
Footballguy
gmbacm
Footballguy
got_nugs
Footballguy
so glad we discussed this tonight. just polished off 20 pizza rolls, 1/2 a cheese steak and drinking some ####ty foreign beer now at least in peace. i'm worried now for January though, back to green peppers, celery, and carrots for lunchYou have me beat, of course you qualify!I'm telling you chubs, put up 500 that you'll lose 10 percent of your body fat in 4-6 months and I bet it happens.I'm like 5'10" 260lbs...do I qualify for team
If you're a big boy and want in, pm me, I'll organize the contest..
potential prop bets are welcomed in this thread. we can do over/under pounds lost, how long people stay on the diet, etc. hell there is always some downtime after the SB, maybe we can get Kurt to put some lines up on RB
I love you degensI can't wait to watch this.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I like the Chargers tomorrow.show them and take the broncos -105.
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Booked this on Tuesday as soon as I saw it, along with Chiefs -4 -110.
All aboard while there's still room!
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
####### Lambskin <_<
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
I saw that coming from 10 miles away.... you knew at least the first one had no shot. The Gam-Bol Gods dont like that stuff. Its like hitting the chips with the dice in a craps game.
modogg
Footballguy
the next one might be on me, i hit up Wisconsin 2nd half -5....maybe I should double up on New Mexico St
got_nugs
Footballguy
I do believe that dog will cash.the next one might be on me, i hit up Wisconsin 2nd half -5....maybe I should double up on New Mexico St
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
So last year my autoplays for the bowl games went 5-2. This year I have come up with three sides that I will be playing at 2u each. Basically I ran all the games through a formula with several variables I used to predict the side. Once I figured the side I went back and looked at the Vegas line. Once I did that I figured out the mean number and then the variance to come up with a point total standard deviation. From there I found anything behind 3.5 points either way was an outlier, and bet those accordingly.
Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY
Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY
Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY
These three games are all borderline but I would consider these strong leans, not autoplays. If any of them move in my favor I would not hesitate to play them, but for one reason or the other, I am holding putting money out on them for now.
Arizona -7.5 v BC
Oregon -12.5 v Texas
Rice +7 v Miss State
Waiting on the totals. I do know that unlike past years I won't be placing any bets before the first game start except what I have identified as autoplays. I can lose a bunch of money on bowl games by betting 2nd half totals but if these autoplays work for a 2nd year, I will start spending more time and putting more money on the games I have identified as strong plays.
Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY
Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY
Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY
These three games are all borderline but I would consider these strong leans, not autoplays. If any of them move in my favor I would not hesitate to play them, but for one reason or the other, I am holding putting money out on them for now.
Arizona -7.5 v BC
Oregon -12.5 v Texas
Rice +7 v Miss State
Waiting on the totals. I do know that unlike past years I won't be placing any bets before the first game start except what I have identified as autoplays. I can lose a bunch of money on bowl games by betting 2nd half totals but if these autoplays work for a 2nd year, I will start spending more time and putting more money on the games I have identified as strong plays.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
So last year my autoplays for the bowl games went 5-2. This year I have come up with three sides that I will be playing at 2u each. Basically I ran all the games through a formula with several variables I used to predict the side. Once I figured the side I went back and looked at the Vegas line. Once I did that I figured out the mean number and then the variance to come up with a point total standard deviation. From there I found anything behind 3.5 points either way was an outlier, and bet those accordingly.
Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY
Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY
Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY
These three games are all borderline but I would consider these strong leans, not autoplays. If any of them move in my favor I would not hesitate to play them, but for one reason or the other, I am holding putting money out on them for now.
Arizona -7.5 v BC
Oregon -12.5 v Texas
Rice +7 v Miss State
Waiting on the totals. I do know that unlike past years I won't be placing any bets before the first game start except what I have identified as autoplays. I can lose a bunch of money on bowl games by betting 2nd half totals but if these autoplays work for a 2nd year, I will start spending more time and putting more money on the games I have identified as strong plays.
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So last year my autoplays for the bowl games went 5-2. This year I have come up with three sides that I will be playing at 2u each. Basically I ran all the games through a formula with several variables I used to predict the side. Once I figured the side I went back and looked at the Vegas line. Once I did that I figured out the mean number and then the variance to come up with a point total standard deviation. From there I found anything behind 3.5 points either way was an outlier, and bet those accordingly.
Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY
Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY
Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY
These three games are all borderline but I would consider these strong leans, not autoplays. If any of them move in my favor I would not hesitate to play them, but for one reason or the other, I am holding putting money out on them for now.
Arizona -7.5 v BC
Oregon -12.5 v Texas
Rice +7 v Miss State
Waiting on the totals. I do know that unlike past years I won't be placing any bets before the first game start except what I have identified as autoplays. I can lose a bunch of money on bowl games by betting 2nd half totals but if these autoplays work for a 2nd year, I will start spending more time and putting more money on the games I have identified as strong plays.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
####
Frostillicus
Footballguy
####
John Bender
Footballguy
Awesome Imo.So last year my autoplays for the bowl games went 5-2. This year I have come up with three sides that I will be playing at 2u each. Basically I ran all the games through a formula with several variables I used to predict the side. Once I figured the side I went back and looked at the Vegas line. Once I did that I figured out the mean number and then the variance to come up with a point total standard deviation. From there I found anything behind 3.5 points either way was an outlier, and bet those accordingly.
Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY
Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY
Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY
These three games are all borderline but I would consider these strong leans, not autoplays. If any of them move in my favor I would not hesitate to play them, but for one reason or the other, I am holding putting money out on them for now.
Arizona -7.5 v BC
Oregon -12.5 v Texas
Rice +7 v Miss State
Waiting on the totals. I do know that unlike past years I won't be placing any bets before the first game start except what I have identified as autoplays. I can lose a bunch of money on bowl games by betting 2nd half totals but if these autoplays work for a 2nd year, I will start spending more time and putting more money on the games I have identified as strong plays.
Thanks Dr. D
NIU Kicker
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
First losing day since December 2 brohans. I wonder who we can blame for this.
modogg
Footballguy
We'll get 'em tomorrow
modogg
Footballguy
I'm feeling bad for Dan, but it is pretty nuts how the correlation between raising unit levels and having a losing night consistently occurs. 
facook
Footballguy
.So last year my autoplays for the bowl games went 5-2. This year I have come up with three sides that I will be playing at 2u each. Basically I ran all the games through a formula with several variables I used to predict the side. Once I figured the side I went back and looked at the Vegas line. Once I did that I figured out the mean number and then the variance to come up with a point total standard deviation. From there I found anything behind 3.5 points either way was an outlier, and bet those accordingly.
Georgia Tech +3 v Ole MIss AUTOPLAY
Cincinnati +3 v UNC AUTOPLAY
Michigan State +4.5 v Stanford AUTOPLAY
These three games are all borderline but I would consider these strong leans, not autoplays. If any of them move in my favor I would not hesitate to play them, but for one reason or the other, I am holding putting money out on them for now.
Arizona -7.5 v BC
Oregon -12.5 v Texas
Rice +7 v Miss State
Waiting on the totals. I do know that unlike past years I won't be placing any bets before the first game start except what I have identified as autoplays. I can lose a bunch of money on bowl games by betting 2nd half totals but if these autoplays work for a 2nd year, I will start spending more time and putting more money on the games I have identified as strong plays.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Last time I left town - real talk - I got my #3 girl to stay here overnight. She told her mom she was spending the night with her best friend that night. I had to be home early on Sunday so I could take her home in time for church. The year before that I went to Dallas and saw Tom Green and Norm Macdonald at the Roxy theatre downtown Dallas and had my #2 girl stay at my house and feed my dog. Cab drivers were on strike in Dallas that weekend.
modogg
Footballguy
modogg
Footballguy
I goofed up and took Warriors ov 56 in the 2nd too, but luckily a little more for the 2nd half.
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