FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[Raider Nation]

to you both. Forgot about the Rooney Rule.

Caldwell should turn it down if he feels like he's the token interview.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

to you both. Forgot about the Rooney Rule.

Caldwell should turn it down if he feels like he's the token interview.

No he shouldn't. It's all about networking.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I think they should hire Jay Gruden but Wisenhunt is a pretty good choice, I think they want someone proven instead of a coordinator type. They are a couple of secondary guys away from being a Super Bowl contender but Schwartz's teams were sloppy, poorly prepared, and listless. This became apparent to me early last season so 2013 wasn't a surprise.

 

[modogg]

Jim Caldwell to interview for the Lions job, per Schefter. What an atrocious hire that would be.

http://thesportsgeeks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/TheManyFacesAndEmotionsOfJimCaldwell.jpg

My gues is Rooney interview so they can go after Wisenhunt after the bengals rape the chargersDD beat me to it

quick random question about the Rooney rule. We all know it is pretty much b.s., and there are different things they should be doing to increase good minority candidates (forcing the colleges to do it, etc.), but with everyone knowing how much of a b.s. rule it is, I was wondering how it applied to a team like the Vikings. They just fired a minority coach in Frazier, so do they get as much as pressure to interview minority applicants since they just had a minority coach?

I know this is not the place for this, but i need something to distract from the train wreck which is becoming my bets on this TAMU game

 

[Raider Nation]

to you both. Forgot about the Rooney Rule.

Caldwell should turn it down if he feels like he's the token interview.

No he shouldn't. It's all about networking.

For a young upcoming coach, yes. Everyone in the league knows who Jim Caldwell is.

 

[swirvenirvin]

A&M stil gonna coverl

 

[swirvenirvin]

A&M stil gonna coverl

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm going to interview for a job in a few weeks that I'm sure I won't get. However, if I do really well it's likely going to help me find something I like more.

 

[modogg]

A&M stil gonna coverl

if they do.... and a little bit of so it isn't a complete blood bath

 

[Raider Nation]

A&M stil gonna coverl

if they do.... and a little bit of so it isn't a complete blood bath

The 1 point is gonna kill us. Two more TDs and they are up 11. Gonna take a late turnover.

 

[Raider Nation]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

 

[modogg]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

without a doubt, because... i pounded TAMU -3.5 -140 during the last intermission . I made money on the 3 games earlier, Islanders, and likely the Flyers, and it will all go poof soon

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So theoretically, FSU -3 in teasers, if you like FSU, is an ok bet?

 

[Romofan]

So theoretically, FSU -3 in teasers, if you like FSU, is an ok bet?

That's a gimme

 

[ChainsawU]

FSU held Duke to 7 points.

 

[Romofan]

This game is Tecmo Bowl insane

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So what do we know about the UGa QB starting tomorrow? 60 game total and Georgia -8.5 makes me wonder what I might be missing other than Nebraska being somewhat ####ty.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Holy ####!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Over 41.5 seems like the right bet

Ugh

 

[lumpy19]

Time to bet duke

 

[Merton Hanks]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

without a doubt, because... i pounded TAMU -3.5 -140 during the last intermission . I made money on the 3 games earlier, Islanders, and likely the Flyers, and it will all go poof soon

Mo, in the years that I've been lurking, I've come to one definite conclusion. You really need to stop live betting. Live betting isn't for everyone, hell, it isn't for most people. One of the most dangerous things that we can do in life is make a decision based purely on sheer emotion. More mistakes are made in personal relationships, in the workplace, in wagering, etc. when we don't take the time to rationally look/think things through and be able to make decision based on facts or data. Live betting is the polar opposite of this scenario. It is a spur of the moment, flow of the game type thing where you get sucked in time and time again. I realize there are guys that are exceptionally strong from a numbers perspective or guys that can skillfully create +ev middle opportunities and such, but with all due respect (please don't be offended), you aren't one of them. I just hate to see good guys get burned time and time again by -ev situations that Vegas was built from. You are good at MMA. You almost always make money on the UFC cads, then piss it all away and then some on subpar bets. Good luck buddy.

 

[modogg]

FSU held Duke to 7 points.

Is this why the under was such a popular bet going into this one? I don't know crap about CFB, but I am guessing what we are seeing here is not anything that anybody would have predicted?

 

[Pumpnick]

got in duke +260

 

[lumpy19]

got in duke +260

Got 375

Go duke!!

 

[regularguy]

got in duke +260

Played +375 at SB

 

[Pumpnick]

a&m should let them score

 

[modogg]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

without a doubt, because... i pounded TAMU -3.5 -140 during the last intermission . I made money on the 3 games earlier, Islanders, and likely the Flyers, and it will all go poof soon

Mo, in the years that I've been lurking, I've come to one definite conclusion. You really need to stop live betting. Live betting isn't for everyone, hell, it isn't for most people. One of the most dangerous things that we can do in life is make a decision based purely on sheer emotion. More mistakes are made in personal relationships, in the workplace, in wagering, etc. when we don't take the time to rationally look/think things through and be able to make decision based on facts or data. Live betting is the polar opposite of this scenario. It is a spur of the moment, flow of the game type thing where you get sucked in time and time again. I realize there are guys that are exceptionally strong from a numbers perspective or guys that can skillfully create +ev middle opportunities and such, but with all due respect (please don't be offended), you aren't one of them. I just hate to see good guys get burned time and time again by -ev situations that Vegas was built from. You are good at MMA. You almost always make money on the UFC cads, then piss it all away and then some on subpar bets. Good luck buddy.

Couldn't have said it any better. I think the big thing is I definitely lean toward the idea of an "emotional gambler", especially when I get big swings in the account balances. Funny thing is, if i take a 2 day break i can come back and play these all smart at least for awhile. My first sign should have been when i lost a good chunk of money on that Eagles games, and that is when i should have taken a mandatory 1-day vacation.

But thanks for the input, and luckily my posts on some of these make it sound worse then it ends up. This one will be a hell of a cluster-####, and without a doubt could have easily been avoided if i didn't live bet.

Funniest part about it is i had to buy a new computer about 4-5 years ago, and i was going back and forth on whether to get a desktop or laptop. I decided on a laptop, and I am sure that decision has cost me easily a few grand. if i didn't have this stupid thing sitting in front of me and the TV i would probably be much less inclined to get as frantic with my gambling

 

[ChainsawU]

So what do we know about the UGa QB starting tomorrow? 60 game total and Georgia -8.5 makes me wonder what I might be missing other than Nebraska being somewhat ####ty.

how about the other 4 games - what is it with you and early games, you must be one of those guys who wakes up early

 

[got_nugs]

3 digits! Live couldnt keep up! Surely this will lead to me playing the over all year long chasing this sort of game.

Happy New Year, degens

 

[ChainsawU]

9 is a much better number in NCAA than it is in NFL

 

[Raider Nation]

Jim Norton's One Night Stand is on HBO Comedy. He's the best.

He seems like he'd be up my alley, but I never find myself really into him.

Fo rills??? He is phenomenal. I uploaded two short clips from the show last night. Tell me this isn't hilarious.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxJqkicjSNA&feature=youtu.be

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wH69ucz0gFI&feature=youtu.be

Nobody liked these? I must have a twisted sense of humor.

 

[ChainsawU]

Pointwise Georgia v Nebby

[SIZE=8.5pt]Does this matchup ring a bell? Well, it should, as just last year, & on this samedate, these 2 bowl fixtures met in the Capital One Bowl. And in that meeting,the Bulldogs of Georgia (-9½) broke our hearts, by turning a 31-23 deficit with7:30 left in the 3rd, into a 45-31 win over the Cornhuskers of Nebraska. Note that 35 of those 45 Georgia pts came on 29-yd, 75-yd, 49-yd, 24-yd, & 87-yd TD passes from Murray (he threw for 427 yds). That is simply mind-boggling, especially in light of the fact that the 'Huskers entered with the nation's 2ndbest passing "D". Aaron, however, won't suit up for this rematch, as he went[/SIZE]

[SIZE=8.5pt]out with a torn ACL vs Kentucky, after having thrown for 4 TDs. He owns the SEC record for TD passes, & the importance of his absence simply cannot be overstated. But his replacement, Mason, did lead the 'Dawgs to a comeback win over GaTech in its regular-season finale (trailed 20-0). RB Gurley is again among the elites (2,288 yds, 27 TDs last 2 yrs). But that Georgia "D" is truly lacking, allowing 30+ pts in 10 of its last 13 games. Can the 'Huskers take full advantage? Well, they haven't topped 28 pts in their last 6 games, with their earlier 37, 56, 39, & 44 pt productions coming against teams which rank 111th, 120th, 105th, & 114th in scoring "D". No Martinez, under center, with RB Abdullah (>100 RYs in 8 straight gms) seemingly UN's only constant (1,567 yds, 6.2 ypr). However, the 'Huskers have won just 1 game over bowl squads, a 17-13 effort at Michigan, which was fresh off a 29-6 blasting from arch-rival MichiganSt. Neither is proficient in TO column, but just 1 head coach is under fire, namely Pelini (0-3 SU & ATS last 3 bowl games). Another SEC bowl call.[/SIZE]

[SIZE=8.5pt]PROPHECY: GEORGIA 33 - Nebraska 20[/SIZE]

 

[Merton Hanks]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

without a doubt, because... i pounded TAMU -3.5 -140 during the last intermission . I made money on the 3 games earlier, Islanders, and likely the Flyers, and it will all go poof soon

Mo, in the years that I've been lurking, I've come to one definite conclusion. You really need to stop live betting. Live betting isn't for everyone, hell, it isn't for most people. One of the most dangerous things that we can do in life is make a decision based purely on sheer emotion. More mistakes are made in personal relationships, in the workplace, in wagering, etc. when we don't take the time to rationally look/think things through and be able to make decision based on facts or data. Live betting is the polar opposite of this scenario. It is a spur of the moment, flow of the game type thing where you get sucked in time and time again. I realize there are guys that are exceptionally strong from a numbers perspective or guys that can skillfully create +ev middle opportunities and such, but with all due respect (please don't be offended), you aren't one of them. I just hate to see good guys get burned time and time again by -ev situations that Vegas was built from. You are good at MMA. You almost always make money on the UFC cads, then piss it all away and then some on subpar bets. Good luck buddy.

Couldn't have said it any better. I think the big thing is I definitely lean toward the idea of an "emotional gambler", especially when I get big swings in the account balances. Funny thing is, if i take a 2 day break i can come back and play these all smart at least for awhile. My first sign should have been when i lost a good chunk of money on that Eagles games, and that is when i should have taken a mandatory 1-day vacation.

But thanks for the input, and luckily my posts on some of these make it sound worse then it ends up. This one will be a hell of a cluster-####, and without a doubt could have easily been avoided if i didn't live bet.

Funniest part about it is i had to buy a new computer about 4-5 years ago, and i was going back and forth on whether to get a desktop or laptop. I decided on a laptop, and I am sure that decision has cost me easily a few grand. if i didn't have this stupid thing sitting in front of me and the TV i would probably be much less inclined to get as frantic with my gambling

Thanks for accepting the feedback. I've been around the block many, many times, I just want to humbly share my opinion.. I can honestly say the most important characteristic/quality/tool in this whole thing is discipline. I have become a very successful gambler, one that used to be quite unsuccessful. There is a key difference from my unsuccessful days to my successful days, and that is simply discipline. Money management is one key. Also, relating it to this present situation, I have the discipline to stick to what I'm good at and stay away from the -ev areas. I'm good at analyzing numbers and data, finding what I believe is an edge and getting my money in +ev spots. I am not good at live betting, my money is -ev, therefore, I do not partake in it. Sound money management and +ev spots will take you a long way. I assure you I have much, much more action than the regular guy, so I still get that "action high" that it seems that you go for, but I'm just doing it in better (+ev) spots.

In your case, we all know that you are talented in UFC. You are untalented in live betting. The day to day tailing and homer plays, meh, up and down. So why not get some money management going where you set a standard unit amount. Play UFC for 2 units for a standard play. Play your tailing and homer plays for .5 (or so) units, and eliminate live betting, just stop. On a unit basis, you are getting your money in (typically for you) +ev situations, 4x (2u vs .5u) that of your ho-hum plays. Live betting is just a drain to your bankroll, cold turkey. Sorry, I'm not really a soapbox guy, it's actually very unlike me, but I really think I see a good opportunity here for a good guy. Good luck.

 

[ChainsawU]

goldsheet georgia v nebby

[SIZE=8pt]Georgia 31 - Nebraska 30[/SIZE][SIZE=8pt]—This is very much a “consolation game” for Georgia, which played in the SEC championship the past two years after going 21-3 SU in those regular seasons. With a favorable SEC schedule, the Bulldogs had visions of a slot in the final BCS national championship game dancing in their heads in August. It was not to be. Clemson exposed some holes in the Bulldog defense (38 pts., 467 total yards) in the opener, and Georgia couldn’t correct the problems before sitting at 3-3 at midseason with conference losses to Missouri and Vandy, finally being eliminated from the SEC title chase when Auburn converted a 4[/SIZE][SIZE=4.5pt]th [/SIZE][SIZE=8pt]& 18 freak tipped TD pass with 25 seconds remaining. The Dawgs lost explosive WR/KR Malcolm Mitchell in the opener and QB Aaron Murray (the SEC’s all-time career passing leader) against Kentucky on Nov. 23. Both had season-ending ACL tears. Top RB Todd Gurley missed 3 key games with injuries, including the Missouri and Vandy setbacks, but he’s back in top form. With Murray available this year, the Bulldogs averaged 338 ypg passing. But in the Gator, it will be jr. Hutson Mason making his second career start. Mason has been good (46 of 71 for 648 YP with 4 TDP & 2 ints.), but he’s just not Murray. The rebuilt Georgia[/SIZE]

[SIZE=8pt]defense doesn’t force enough turnovers (only 10 teams generated fewer takeaways than the Dawgs). Nebraska has been through an emotional season, with injuries sidelining 4- year starting QB Taylor Martinez, out for 8 of the last 9 games (and still out). HC Bo Pelini created drama when some "colorful" recordings of his past commentaries were released by Deadspin, putting his job in jeopardy. The Huskers are better set to replace their starting QB than Georgia, with Tommy Armstrong and Ron Kellogg combining to throw for 1722 yards & 10 TDP (albeit with 10 ints.). NU relies on Ameer Abdullah, who rushed for 1568 yds. (6.2 ypc) this season, and 225-lb. Imani Cross (5.5 ypc & 17 rush TDs the last 2 seasons). The Huskers are run-first, but Pelini has gamebreaking wideouts in his arsenal in jr. Kenny Bell and sr. Quincy Enunwa, who combined for 98 catches and 14 scores. The defense is led by jr. S Corey Cooper and soph MLB David Santos, who each had 81 tackles, while 6-6 DE Randy Gregory had 9½ sacks. These two played each other in last season’s Capital One Bowl, and Georgia handled its business in a 45-31 win, with Murray throwing for 427[/SIZE]

[SIZE=8pt]yds. & 5 TDs. With Murray out of the picture, have to be interested in revengeminded Nebraska, which is getting 9 pts., owns more experience at QB, and has the better defense.[/SIZE]

 

[Raider Nation]

Merton is sticking his neck out for us.

 

[ChainsawU]

Andy Dalton is 0-2 SU and ATS with 0 TD and 4 INT in the postseason.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I don't live bet at all, if I did, I would have been done betting ten years ago.

Happy New Year whores!

 

[ChainsawU]

pro tip #5: you just have to do one text to all the girls in your phonebook: "happy new year to an amazing woman"

boom. done.

 

[Raider Nation]

pro tip #5: you just have to do one text to all the girls in your phonebook: "happy new year to an amazing woman"

boom. done.

I did this. My cleaning lady was nonplussed.

 

[modogg]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

without a doubt, because... i pounded TAMU -3.5 -140 during the last intermission . I made money on the 3 games earlier, Islanders, and likely the Flyers, and it will all go poof soon

Mo, in the years that I've been lurking, I've come to one definite conclusion. You really need to stop live betting. Live betting isn't for everyone, hell, it isn't for most people. One of the most dangerous things that we can do in life is make a decision based purely on sheer emotion. More mistakes are made in personal relationships, in the workplace, in wagering, etc. when we don't take the time to rationally look/think things through and be able to make decision based on facts or data. Live betting is the polar opposite of this scenario. It is a spur of the moment, flow of the game type thing where you get sucked in time and time again. I realize there are guys that are exceptionally strong from a numbers perspective or guys that can skillfully create +ev middle opportunities and such, but with all due respect (please don't be offended), you aren't one of them. I just hate to see good guys get burned time and time again by -ev situations that Vegas was built from. You are good at MMA. You almost always make money on the UFC cads, then piss it all away and then some on subpar bets. Good luck buddy.

Couldn't have said it any better. I think the big thing is I definitely lean toward the idea of an "emotional gambler", especially when I get big swings in the account balances. Funny thing is, if i take a 2 day break i can come back and play these all smart at least for awhile. My first sign should have been when i lost a good chunk of money on that Eagles games, and that is when i should have taken a mandatory 1-day vacation.

But thanks for the input, and luckily my posts on some of these make it sound worse then it ends up. This one will be a hell of a cluster-####, and without a doubt could have easily been avoided if i didn't live bet.

Funniest part about it is i had to buy a new computer about 4-5 years ago, and i was going back and forth on whether to get a desktop or laptop. I decided on a laptop, and I am sure that decision has cost me easily a few grand. if i didn't have this stupid thing sitting in front of me and the TV i would probably be much less inclined to get as frantic with my gambling

Thanks for accepting the feedback. I've been around the block many, many times, I just want to humbly share my opinion.. I can honestly say the most important characteristic/quality/tool in this whole thing is discipline. I have become a very successful gambler, one that used to be quite unsuccessful. There is a key difference from my unsuccessful days to my successful days, and that is simply discipline. Money management is one key. Also, relating it to this present situation, I have the discipline to stick to what I'm good at and stay away from the -ev areas. I'm good at analyzing numbers and data, finding what I believe is an edge and getting my money in +ev spots. I am not good at live betting, my money is -ev, therefore, I do not partake in it. Sound money management and +ev spots will take you a long way. I assure you I have much, much more action than the regular guy, so I still get that "action high" that it seems that you go for, but I'm just doing it in better (+ev) spots.

In your case, we all know that you are talented in UFC. You are untalented in live betting. The day to day tailing and homer plays, meh, up and down. So why not get some money management going where you set a standard unit amount. Play UFC for 2 units for a standard play. Play your tailing and homer plays for .5 (or so) units, and eliminate live betting, just stop. On a unit basis, you are getting your money in (typically for you) +ev situations, 4x (2u vs .5u) that of your ho-hum plays. Live betting is just a drain to your bankroll, cold turkey. Sorry, I'm not really a soapbox guy, it's actually very unlike me, but I really think I see a good opportunity here for a good guy. Good luck.

No, I'm always open for hearing feedback. The only problem is the key word you used in discipline. I have a good idea of units i play, and do play the MMA one's more. I also play Frosty's a little more then other tails over the last month. The only problem is that discipline goes right out the door when i am betting on emotion. Add in the fact that the juice in live betting usually gets pretty heavy, and without a doubt it is a good call to not even attempt if i am not coming in disciplined. I have had a little success with live betting, and I am sure every time that I have it is where i have gone into the game with a plan, and played lines that i already had in mind to play based on middling opportunities, etc.

The one thing i have learned, in my particular case, is the value in taking a break from time to time. I have been riding a chase coaster for 5 days or so, and needless to say it hasn't panned out so great. if i would have taken a day off, say like Monday, even if it was a winning night it would have been better for me because i wouldn't have come in to making plays with this emotional chase.

But yeah, i always like hearing the feedback too. It is one of those things where i do know how to gamble smarter and more efficient, but getting this kind of feedback helps to bring it into better perspective and give me the clarity to see that yeah, I could have easily saved a grand or so over the last 4-5 days if i avoided live betting.

Anyway, i'm not drowning acct. balance wise so at least it isn't one of "these" kind of talks. Just want to say that to not bring anybody down or bring a bummer to the thread.

Enjoy the New Year fellas!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

pro tip #5: you just have to do one text to all the girls in your phonebook: "happy new year to an amazing woman"

boom. done.

What about the fat ones? Do you mention BB-Q sauce or something?

 

[ChainsawU]

they're all fat

 

[Raider Nation]

The only problem is the key word you used in discipline.

Bang.

Without money management and discipline, it's a losing battle and there's nothing you can do about it. I don't gamble anywhere NEAR the amounts I used to, because I don't have the personality for it. I don't believe that discipline can be learned -- it's either in you, or it isn't.

I used to send a grand to a sportsbook, then I'd find the first OVER that I liked, and then put the entire grand on it. Money management? Never heard of it. And even if I won, I'd just give it back in 2 or 3 more bets, anyway. Betting in that fashion on credit with a bookie is destructive. I think I bought Kurt a new house. I try to keep it to very small bets now, just to have a rooting interest. It's going pretty well. It helps that I'm saving for a new condo next year. Having a goal helps me to behave.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Nebraska +8.5

UNLV +6.5

LSU/Iowa U49 1.5u

Michigan State +4.5 1.5u

Central Florida +16.5

The Michigan State game is an unfortunate pre-play given the Bullough injury but I still like them to keep it close. UCF lost by three to So Carolina and beat Louisville, I think they hang also. Might add NU/UGa under, thinking. Fade accordingly.

 

[ChainsawU]

pro tip #5: you just have to do one text to all the girls in your phonebook: "happy new year to an amazing woman"

boom. done.

What about the fat ones? Do you mention BB-Q sauce or something?

It is always the skinny girls that eat the best though - real talk. Pisses me off when I throw down a meal and they don't eat. Get full and get drunk. If I had a marathon planned we wouldn't be eating. But when you come over and I have a pack of your favorite cookies and cheetos get excited about it, that is enthusiasm. And enthusiasm gets you in like Flint in my book.

 

[gmbacm]

Ehhh, nevermind. TAMU's D is a joke.

without a doubt, because... i pounded TAMU -3.5 -140 during the last intermission . I made money on the 3 games earlier, Islanders, and likely the Flyers, and it will all go poof soon

Mo, in the years that I've been lurking, I've come to one definite conclusion. You really need to stop live betting. Live betting isn't for everyone, hell, it isn't for most people. One of the most dangerous things that we can do in life is make a decision based purely on sheer emotion. More mistakes are made in personal relationships, in the workplace, in wagering, etc. when we don't take the time to rationally look/think things through and be able to make decision based on facts or data. Live betting is the polar opposite of this scenario. It is a spur of the moment, flow of the game type thing where you get sucked in time and time again. I realize there are guys that are exceptionally strong from a numbers perspective or guys that can skillfully create +ev middle opportunities and such, but with all due respect (please don't be offended), you aren't one of them. I just hate to see good guys get burned time and time again by -ev situations that Vegas was built from. You are good at MMA. You almost always make money on the UFC cads, then piss it all away and then some on subpar bets. Good luck buddy.

Couldn't have said it any better. I think the big thing is I definitely lean toward the idea of an "emotional gambler", especially when I get big swings in the account balances. Funny thing is, if i take a 2 day break i can come back and play these all smart at least for awhile. My first sign should have been when i lost a good chunk of money on that Eagles games, and that is when i should have taken a mandatory 1-day vacation.

But thanks for the input, and luckily my posts on some of these make it sound worse then it ends up. This one will be a hell of a cluster-####, and without a doubt could have easily been avoided if i didn't live bet.

Funniest part about it is i had to buy a new computer about 4-5 years ago, and i was going back and forth on whether to get a desktop or laptop. I decided on a laptop, and I am sure that decision has cost me easily a few grand. if i didn't have this stupid thing sitting in front of me and the TV i would probably be much less inclined to get as frantic with my gambling

Thanks for accepting the feedback. I've been around the block many, many times, I just want to humbly share my opinion.. I can honestly say the most important characteristic/quality/tool in this whole thing is discipline. I have become a very successful gambler, one that used to be quite unsuccessful. There is a key difference from my unsuccessful days to my successful days, and that is simply discipline. Money management is one key. Also, relating it to this present situation, I have the discipline to stick to what I'm good at and stay away from the -ev areas. I'm good at analyzing numbers and data, finding what I believe is an edge and getting my money in +ev spots. I am not good at live betting, my money is -ev, therefore, I do not partake in it. Sound money management and +ev spots will take you a long way. I assure you I have much, much more action than the regular guy, so I still get that "action high" that it seems that you go for, but I'm just doing it in better (+ev) spots.

In your case, we all know that you are talented in UFC. You are untalented in live betting. The day to day tailing and homer plays, meh, up and down. So why not get some money management going where you set a standard unit amount. Play UFC for 2 units for a standard play. Play your tailing and homer plays for .5 (or so) units, and eliminate live betting, just stop. On a unit basis, you are getting your money in (typically for you) +ev situations, 4x (2u vs .5u) that of your ho-hum plays. Live betting is just a drain to your bankroll, cold turkey. Sorry, I'm not really a soapbox guy, it's actually very unlike me, but I really think I see a good opportunity here for a good guy. Good luck.

Great advice, and advice I need to heed myself. Just looking over my records for 2013 and my return on live bets was -22.03%.

 

[Raider Nation]

I have a $50 Amazon gift certificate. Any interesting ideas?

 

[ChainsawU]

Find an increment that you can live with that allows you to smartly purchase throughout the year.

 

[gmbacm]

Was looking over my 2013 records and this jumped out. I only managed to tail modog on a handful of UFC bets as I dont really pay attention to the sport, but clearly I need to pay more attention to those posts.

modog ROI on 2013 MMA tails: 138.6%

 

[ChainsawU]

Real talk, one Saturday night last summer I cleared 2k tailing Mo in the UFC - in one night. I was done for the night and he convinced me to stay up and bet the big dog in the main event and it cashed too. I should look that up. Mo knows who it was.