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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

Actually I missed GPJ's post. I see Madrid -1500 but that is a good one.

If you put Madrid in and take Montreal or Colorado out, that's about +200. Also gives us a 1 pm leg.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
So chalk parlay so far:

PItt -450

FSU -380

Montreal -175

Colorado -210

Clippers -550

That's actually +320 but I think we should remove at least one of those hockey games, and maybe sub in one of the below.

Possibles:

Elon -1300

Timberwolves -300 (this is a road game though which I don't like)

UNC Greensboro -320 (Frosty thoughts????)
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I'd stay away from Greensboro, they're way too crappy to trust.

 
Real Madrid -1500

Florida State -380

Montreal Canadiens -180

Colorado Avalanche -210

LA Clippers -550

Pitt Panthers -450

This is +350 and better if you can get Madrid for better than -1500

One of those hockey games seems like it's gonna blow it up though. Habs have not confirmed Carey Price yet which worries me, but I would think that announcement would come soon. Need to search Montreal blogs or something. Rude?

 
Habs are not playing well of late and Florida seems to be on an uptick. Florida is also 2-0 against them this year. I'd leave that one off probably.

 
tjnc09 said:
Riversco said:
tjnc09 said:
Riversco said:
Don't sleep on the Chargers. You can get good odds on them winning the AFC still. They have won 5 of 6. Let me tell you why they are good play:

1. Their only loss in the last 6 weeks was to the Bengals, but the Chargers had 5 starters out that game and the Chargers OL was shuffled because of the injuries. Even then, the Bengals only won by 7. The Chargers are a LOT healthier now than that game.

2. Ignore the game vs the Chiefs backups. The Chargers play to the level of their competition.

3. If the Chargers beat the Bengals, they play at Denver next. They beat Denver in Denver a few weeks ago, in the worst loss for Denver all year. They dominated them. The Broncos are utterly unable to stop the Chargers rushing attack. The Chargers are built to beat the Broncos.

4. If a potential AFC Championship game, the Chargers will draw either the Colts, Chiefs, or Patriots. The Chargers swept the Chiefs and beat the Colts this year. They did not play the Patriots. So two out of the 3 possibilities are matchups the Chargers have already won this year.

5. The Chargers are 5-2 this year vs playoff teams. That's a very strong record. They have beaten the Broncos, Colts, Eagles, and the Chiefs twice. They also beat the Cowboys.
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SD beat Philly with Vick. They wouldn't beat them with Foles. Hali and Houston were out the 2nd half of their first matchup @KC. They couldn't do anything right in the first half.The Bengals were 8-0 at home. Hardly see SD going in there and winning that game.
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This is a healthy Chargers team. The Bengals beat an injured one. If you look at the box score of the first meeting, its just bizarre. The Chargers were pass heavy and barely ran the ball. That is not going to happen this time. The Chargers will be able to run. The Chargers have become a powerful running team.
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But you are ignoring all of the injuries of the teams they beat? Colts weren't the same without Wayne, They never played KC at full strength in either game, Phil didn't have Foles, etc.

Their win against Denver is certainly of quality but it seems like a lot of biased opinion.

Cincinnati is the biggest favorite this week in Vegas. It will be interesting to see where the line moves.
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Definitely wrong here, nice call Rivers.

 
Every BCS title game has been won outright by the underdog, or covered by the favorite. So Auburn +10 makes little sense I suppose.

FSU 10-1-1 is ATS this year, Auburn has won ten straight ATS. Kind of what you'd expect.

 
lumpy19 said:
lets spice up that afternoon

weekley over merrick -125 at RB -130 elsewhere

tee off at 1:50
Click to expand...
lump, what number did you get on FSU tonight? nice call BTW as it sits at -10.5 most places.

I remember last year the Bama line moved from -8 to -10 and we all saw how that turned out

 
Waiting 2 hours for some car repairs. Sitting next door in Dunkin Donuts farting up a f--king storm! Nobody within 20' of me. Will update as needed.

 
modogg said:
ChainsawU said:
ChainsawU said:
1st Half Under 31 100/115

Arkansas State +6½ 100/100

Under 65 103/100
Click to expand...
2nd Half Over 32 102/100

Ball State 2nd Half -3 113/100
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whew, this could turn out well for you bud. good luck. i think i will try the 2 2nd half plays for a little with you
Click to expand...
Sorry brohan I shouldn't have posted those. And for some reason I realize now, whan I did the math in my head on the 2H total I got 42 instead of 52..

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Every BCS title game has been won outright by the underdog, or covered by the favorite. So Auburn +10 makes little sense I suppose.

FSU 10-1-1 is ATS this year, Auburn has won ten straight ATS. Kind of what you'd expect.
Click to expand...
Thinking about teaser scenarios for this game. Trying to envision where FSU wins by 16 or 17(7pt. tease) or more, and i just don't see it. The Tigers have some pretty good players too that want to win a game just as much as their opponent. Sort of conflicted between the -4 or +16. The over seems square but will probably end up right.

 
tjnc09 said:
lumpy19 said:
lets spice up that afternoon

weekley over merrick -125 at RB -130 elsewhere

tee off at 1:50
Click to expand...
lump, what number did you get on FSU tonight? nice call BTW as it sits at -10.5 most places.

I remember last year the Bama line moved from -8 to -10 and we all saw how that turned out
Click to expand...
My largest bet is FSU ML -260

Next largest bet was a teaser with AZ-1(they beat BC) and FSU -1.5

FSU -7.5 -110

FSU TT o39 -120

and finally o66 for peanuts

I wish I had put them in more teasers but I was being greedy and waiting for FSU -7.5 when most places were at 8/8.5

The move to 10.5 seems a little ridiculous and I'm guessing this closes back at 8.5/9

 
I found a great play on the board tonight. Philly 76ers +7 and ML

Philly is quietly one of the hottest teams in the NBA riding a 4 game win streak fresh off a road win in Denver, one of the hardest places to win in the NBA. and now they are 7 point dogs at HOME vs the T-Wolves who are an awful 6-11 record on the road...

Books were sleeping focusing on the BCS Championship. Sixers +7 and sprinkle some on that moneyline +250

 
Scruff Mcgruff said:
I found a great play on the board tonight. Philly 76ers +7 and ML

Philly is quietly one of the hottest teams in the NBA riding a 4 game win streak fresh off a road win in Denver, one of the hardest places to win in the NBA. and now they are 7 point dogs at HOME vs the T-Wolves who are an awful 6-11 record on the road...

Books were sleeping focusing on the BCS Championship. Sixers +7 and sprinkle some on that moneyline +250
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Line opened at +6 and went to +7, I'd be wary here.

 
7 team parlay +484, 1 down 6 to go

Real Madrid -2.5 -170, played straight earlier at -150

Elon ML -1139

FL Panthers +1.5 -195

PIT Panthers ML -445

Avalanch ML -195

FL State ML -372

LA Clippers ML -467

 
upto 10.5 - wishing I had more at 8.5

also sitting on FSU to finish a teaser and over 66 for loose change

GLTA
AB

added: 4 team/4 sport Chalk Parlay of Pitt Panthers, FSU, Colorado Avalanche and LA Clippers

 
lumpy19 said:
Will game go into overtime

No -2000

MP
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these were probably the worst we ever saw in these threads. I remember the no 2 pt. conversion for like -2500 or whatever and thinking they were the silliest bets i have ever seen. of course i am not a high roller, so maybe in another world they make sense, but they always seemed so absurd

 
modogg said:
lumpy19 said:
Will game go into overtime

No -2000

MP
Click to expand...
these were probably the worst we ever saw in these threads. I remember the no 2 pt. conversion for like -2500 or whatever and thinking they were the silliest bets i have ever seen. of course i am not a high roller, so maybe in another world they make sense, but they always seemed so absurd
Click to expand...
They are good bets...just been on a crazy safety run in super bowls lately

 
lumpy19 said:
modogg said:
lumpy19 said:
Will game go into overtime

No -2000

MP
Click to expand...
these were probably the worst we ever saw in these threads. I remember the no 2 pt. conversion for like -2500 or whatever and thinking they were the silliest bets i have ever seen. of course i am not a high roller, so maybe in another world they make sense, but they always seemed so absurd
Click to expand...
They are good bets...just been on a crazy safety run in super bowls lately
Click to expand...
Eh, the breakeven % of a -2500 bet is 96%, right? Assuming nothing's ever a stone cold lock, the most you can be above break-even is not more than 4%? Standing in front of steamrollers to pick up nickels, IMO.

Go with this instead:

Hawks to make more 3's than the Nets (-1.5) (Sportsbook)

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Eh, the breakeven % of a -2500 bet is 96%, right? Assuming nothing's ever a stone cold lock, the most you can be above break-even is not more than 4%? Standing in front of steamrollers to pick up nickels, IMO.

Go with this instead:

Hawks to make more 3's than the Nets (-1.5) (Sportsbook)
Click to expand...
I only see these options:

Hawks -195

Hawks -.5 (-165)

juicy

 
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