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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

In 11 home games since Christmas, the Celtics are 9-2 to the under, average 93 points, and have only scored more than 98 points three times. In 26 home games this year the Celtics have eclipsed 98 points 10 times.

 
This will be the most points the Mavs have laid on the road this season, but they are 6-1 SU and ATS (avg line -2.4) as the road favorite. Rick Carlisle is 3-2 SU at Boston as the Mavs head coach, and today will be the first time they are actually favored to win the game. Normally don't parlay, but I like the Thunder with their Sunday home record this season.

action junkie parlay:

Thunder ML/Mavs ML 120/100

 
Raider Nation said:
nugs, the Thunder should absolutely bum-rape the Knicks, no?
Click to expand...
Sorry was at the park and forgot to respond earlier. If I had to make a play it'd be lay the points. I expect smith/Melo to engage in hero ball which - unless they hit everything - will kill ny. Saw has the right idea..or hope ny starts hot and bet okc live.

 
Things are officially upside down in degen land.

On Feb 3'd I was lucky enough to be contacted by Kurt for a withdrawal. I also put in withdrawals at sportsbook and Bovada.

The AM of Feb 5th, sportsbook wired the $$ into my account already.

I got my Check from Bovada via DHL yesterday AM.

I missed Kurts US Mail envelope yesterday afternoon.

I dont mean that as a slight to Kurt at all....he has a long on time pay in cash history. It's just amazing what was taking 8 weeks plus on the offshore sites is now less then a week again. It's like 2001 all over again.

 
Just posting this from my buddy. I'm going to play for .5u. He's been on a down streak this week, but overall the numbers are up. Proceed with caution.

Memphis -3.5

Philadelphia/LA Clippers UNDER 220.5

New Orleans/Brooklyn OVER 194

 
The Ref said:
Things are officially upside down in degen land.

On Feb 3'd I was lucky enough to be contacted by Kurt for a withdrawal. I also put in withdrawals at sportsbook and Bovada.

The AM of Feb 5th, sportsbook wired the $$ into my account already.

I got my Check from Bovada via DHL yesterday AM.

I missed Kurts US Mail envelope yesterday afternoon.

I dont mean that as a slight to Kurt at all....he has a long on time pay in cash history. It's just amazing what was taking 8 weeks plus on the offshore sites is now less then a week again. It's like 2001 all over again.
Click to expand...
Dam I've had a wire withdrawal pending since from sb since 1/21

 
LAS VEGAS – The Seahawks surprisingly dominated the Broncos 43-8 in the Super Bowl last Sunday. Denver went off as a 2.5-point favorite after Seattle opened as a 2-point favorite at the LVH, a smaller favorite at most other Las Vegas NV sports books, & pick ’em at most offshore books. More than 70 % of the point-spread wagers came in on the Broncos during the fortnight of betting after the conference championship games, & some books went to –3 on Denver on Super Bowl Sunday to assist balance their books. I watched the game in the Lafite Ballroom at the Wynn Las Vegas, & it was clear in that the majority of the crowd was on the favorite. Even with the Seahawks leading 29-0 early in the third quarter, the loudest cheers were whenever the Broncos received a 1st down, as those backing the chalk were holding out hope in that Peyton Manning had a miracle comeback in him. But by the time Manning received the Broncos in to the end zone on the final play of the third quarter & the subsequent two-point conversion cut the Seahawks’ lead to 36-8, the only boisterous cheers were from those tracking their prop bets (Demaryius Thomas was +125 to score a touchdown, the two-point conversion paid +400, & Manning was alive for his over/under of two touchdown passes).

It was clear from the line movement & from talking with bookmakers around town in that the sports books needed the Seahawks to win, so it was pretty clear after the game in that the sports books were going to celebrate a profit for the 22nd time in the 24 years of time in that the state has compiled betting results specifically on the Super Bowl. The other question on the industry’s collective mind was if the books would top last year’s record $98.9 million handle. Well, it only took until Monday afternoon to know those answers, as the Gaming Control Board let go its figures, showing in that the total handle was a whopping $119.4 million, & the overall win by the sports books was a record $19.7 million, besting the $15.4 million the books won in 2005 on the Patriots’ 24-21 win over the Eagles, in which New England failed to cover the 7-point spread (Note: The books frequently do very well in those cases since they don’t have to pay out the majority of bets on the favorite covering while moreover not paying plus-money on the dog winning outright). The handle total came as a shocker to a lot of people, but, in retrospect, it really shouldn’t have. In talking with several bookmakers & seeing others quoted in the media, most asserted their handle was 20 % ahead of last year. The Broncos & Seahawks were the No. 1 seeds in their conferences & seen as the two best teams all year, so the marquee matchup generated high betting interest, especially when you add in Manning’s popularity & the ever-increasing prop bets in that drew lots of attention. Still, when bookmakers were asked to guess at the total handle, they mostly fell in the range of $103 million to $105 million. I guess they thought the 20 % increase was just for their own properties & not necessarily statewide, yet in that turned out to be the case. The books did lose some bets along the way, the most notable being the safety in that came on the Broncos’ 1st play from scrimmage, when Manning was trying to alter the play at the line of scrimmage & the ball was snapped over his head & covered in the end zone by Knowshon Moreno, with Cliff Avril of the Seahawks credited for the safety. Betting on a safety to occur is in consideration a sucker bet at 50-1, yet it has now happened in three straight Super Bowls, & the suckers have cleaned up. It’s even worse for the books when it happens as the 1st score of the game (which it moreover did in the Giants-Patirots game two years of time ago), as some people take a shot. The 1st score being a Seahawks safety paid between 50-1 & 60-1 at several Vegas books. But all in all, the books did fine on most of the props (especially with Manning & most of his teammates staying under their projected totals) in addition to the point-spread bets & the over/under, which had mostly attracted under money due to the game being held outdoors in cold weather. The total went over on the Seahawks’ final score.

Now it’s time to look to next year. Before Sunday’s game, the Broncos were the 9-2 favorite to win next year’s title, yet after the game, the LVH made the Seahawks & Broncos the 5-1 co-favorites, with the 49ers at 6-1. In the days following the game, the Seahawks had been bet to slight favoritism at most books, with the 49ers the 2nd choice & the Broncos dropping to third. Let the offseason (which gets shorter & shorter every year, with Week 1 lines coming out in April, when the schedule is released, & over/under win totals shortly thereafter) begin.

 
Just finishing up work, gonna play Lakers +3.5 and under 193 for 1/2 unit each for action. I'll look at the 6pm games and post in a bit.

 
got_nugs said:
Raider Nation said:
nugs, the Thunder should absolutely bum-rape the Knicks, no?
Click to expand...
Sorry was at the park and forgot to respond earlier. If I had to make a play it'd be lay the points. I expect smith/Melo to engage in hero ball which - unless they hit everything - will kill ny. Saw has the right idea..or hope ny starts hot and bet okc live.
Click to expand...
I think the line I saw this morning was 9-10ish, I got in live at 9.5...hopefully you trusted your gut and played this one. Nice call!

 
The Ref said:
LAS VEGAS – The Seahawks surprisingly dominated the Broncos 43-8 in the Super Bowl last Sunday. Denver went off as a 2.5-point favorite after Seattle opened as a 2-point favorite at the LVH, a smaller favorite at most other Las Vegas NV sports books, & pick ’em at most offshore books. More than 70 % of the point-spread wagers came in on the Broncos during the fortnight of betting after the conference championship games, & some books went to –3 on Denver on Super Bowl Sunday to assist balance their books. I watched the game in the Lafite Ballroom at the Wynn Las Vegas, & it was clear in that the majority of the crowd was on the favorite. Even with the Seahawks leading 29-0 early in the third quarter, the loudest cheers were whenever the Broncos received a 1st down, as those backing the chalk were holding out hope in that Peyton Manning had a miracle comeback in him. But by the time Manning received the Broncos in to the end zone on the final play of the third quarter & the subsequent two-point conversion cut the Seahawks’ lead to 36-8, the only boisterous cheers were from those tracking their prop bets (Demaryius Thomas was +125 to score a touchdown, the two-point conversion paid +400, & Manning was alive for his over/under of two touchdown passes).

It was clear from the line movement & from talking with bookmakers around town in that the sports books needed the Seahawks to win, so it was pretty clear after the game in that the sports books were going to celebrate a profit for the 22nd time in the 24 years of time in that the state has compiled betting results specifically on the Super Bowl. The other question on the industry’s collective mind was if the books would top last year’s record $98.9 million handle. Well, it only took until Monday afternoon to know those answers, as the Gaming Control Board let go its figures, showing in that the total handle was a whopping $119.4 million, & the overall win by the sports books was a record $19.7 million, besting the $15.4 million the books won in 2005 on the Patriots’ 24-21 win over the Eagles, in which New England failed to cover the 7-point spread (Note: The books frequently do very well in those cases since they don’t have to pay out the majority of bets on the favorite covering while moreover not paying plus-money on the dog winning outright). The handle total came as a shocker to a lot of people, but, in retrospect, it really shouldn’t have. In talking with several bookmakers & seeing others quoted in the media, most asserted their handle was 20 % ahead of last year. The Broncos & Seahawks were the No. 1 seeds in their conferences & seen as the two best teams all year, so the marquee matchup generated high betting interest, especially when you add in Manning’s popularity & the ever-increasing prop bets in that drew lots of attention. Still, when bookmakers were asked to guess at the total handle, they mostly fell in the range of $103 million to $105 million. I guess they thought the 20 % increase was just for their own properties & not necessarily statewide, yet in that turned out to be the case. The books did lose some bets along the way, the most notable being the safety in that came on the Broncos’ 1st play from scrimmage, when Manning was trying to alter the play at the line of scrimmage & the ball was snapped over his head & covered in the end zone by Knowshon Moreno, with Cliff Avril of the Seahawks credited for the safety. Betting on a safety to occur is in consideration a sucker bet at 50-1, yet it has now happened in three straight Super Bowls, & the suckers have cleaned up. It’s even worse for the books when it happens as the 1st score of the game (which it moreover did in the Giants-Patirots game two years of time ago), as some people take a shot. The 1st score being a Seahawks safety paid between 50-1 & 60-1 at several Vegas books. But all in all, the books did fine on most of the props (especially with Manning & most of his teammates staying under their projected totals) in addition to the point-spread bets & the over/under, which had mostly attracted under money due to the game being held outdoors in cold weather. The total went over on the Seahawks’ final score.

Now it’s time to look to next year. Before Sunday’s game, the Broncos were the 9-2 favorite to win next year’s title, yet after the game, the LVH made the Seahawks & Broncos the 5-1 co-favorites, with the 49ers at 6-1. In the days following the game, the Seahawks had been bet to slight favoritism at most books, with the 49ers the 2nd choice & the Broncos dropping to third. Let the offseason (which gets shorter & shorter every year, with Week 1 lines coming out in April, when the schedule is released, & over/under win totals shortly thereafter) begin.
Click to expand...
Good info here.

 
got_nugs said:
got_nugs said:
Raider Nation said:
nugs, the Thunder should absolutely bum-rape the Knicks, no?
Click to expand...
Sorry was at the park and forgot to respond earlier. If I had to make a play it'd be lay the points. I expect smith/Melo to engage in hero ball which - unless they hit everything - will kill ny. Saw has the right idea..or hope ny starts hot and bet okc live.
Click to expand...
I think the line I saw this morning was 9-10ish, I got in live at 9.5...hopefully you trusted your gut and played this one. Nice call!
Click to expand...
Nah, you let me down man. :kicksrock:

 
Raider Nation said:
got_nugs said:
got_nugs said:
Raider Nation said:
nugs, the Thunder should absolutely bum-rape the Knicks, no?
Click to expand...
Sorry was at the park and forgot to respond earlier. If I had to make a play it'd be lay the points. I expect smith/Melo to engage in hero ball which - unless they hit everything - will kill ny. Saw has the right idea..or hope ny starts hot and bet okc live.
Click to expand...
I think the line I saw this morning was 9-10ish, I got in live at 9.5...hopefully you trusted your gut and played this one. Nice call!
Click to expand...
Nah, you let me down man. :kicksrock:
Click to expand...
$2.99/month i'll give you my phone number to text for plays. 40% of the time they'll hit 100% of the time.

 
swirvenirvin said:
So maruc Smart pulled a Ron Artest and pushed some guy in the stands.. Brilliant!
Click to expand...
i had to drive to my pop's house to fix a sewage pipe today (HOORAY!), and heard all about this. I love most of the reaction to this. Some 60+ year old man is heckling an 18-yerar old kid, and everybody hates on this 18-year old kid because he doesn't let this old man run his mouth the whole time. Kid should have ko'd the old dude and walked away. What old man talks #### to some kid like that? just silly

 
For the late plays i'm going to go:

New Orleans/Brooklyn under 195

Memphis/Cleveland under 183

Indiana/Orlando over 190.5

also added a Mavs/Pacers/Wiz ML parlay just cause I wanna root with Saw.

 
More horses

Race 12 at Gulfstream

#3 Revolutionary - taking a chance on him to beat reigning 3 year old champ Will Take Charge (1st race off layoff and he's 4-5 so no value there)

If you want a bomb try the 9 bourbon courage

 
Bovada has a lot of Olympic hockey props up.

I took a shot on Carey Price at 30/1 to be tourney MVP. I think he's clearly going to be the #1 for Canada and they are a gold medal favorite.

Since I also have a futures bet on Sweden for gold, I put a little bit on Lundqvist (12/1) and Zetterberg (15/1) also.

Just looking back to the past two Olympic tournaments, it was the losing goalie in the gold medal game that won MVP.

2006 - Antero Niitymaki (Finland, lost to Sweden)

2010 - Ryan Miller (USA, lost to Canada)

So, I'm thinking goalies might be a bit undervalued in their odds.

Varlamov (25/1) and Bobrovsky (35/1) might be worth a shot too if you think Russia gets to the final.

Quick (25/1) has the better price than Miller (15/1) since Quick seems to be the favorite to start more games.

Rask (18/1) will probably be #1 for Finland if you think they get it done.

 
ChainsawU said:
In 11 home games since Christmas, the Celtics are 9-2 to the under, average 93 points, and have only scored more than 98 points three times. In 26 home games this year the Celtics have eclipsed 98 points 10 times.
Click to expand...
It had dropped to 97 but was bet back up to the 98 that I saw this morn. Boston 25th NBA at 95.1 ppg. The junk is kicking in again.

Celtics Under 98 110/100

 
Dan Lambskin said:
More horses

Race 12 at Gulfstream

#3 Revolutionary - taking a chance on him to beat reigning 3 year old champ Will Take Charge (1st race off layoff and he's 4-5 so no value there)

If you want a bomb try the 9 bourbon courage
Click to expand...
Not even close today (WTC ran 2nd and my bomb came in 4th)

 
Raider Nation said:
got_nugs said:
For the late plays i'm going to go:

New Orleans/Brooklyn under 195

Memphis/Cleveland under 183

Indiana/Orlando over 190.5

also added a Mavs/Pacers/Wiz ML parlay just cause I wanna root with Saw.
Click to expand...
Tailing the 3 unders. :hifive:
Click to expand...
:lol: you might be on to something here. I flipped over to the Indy/Magic game, and from the 3:15ish mark in we only get 1 David West free throw until Lance hits that late 3. Just sitting on the ball for 20 seconds then turnover, rinse, repeat for 3 damn minutes. Not going to watch any more of that one, lmk how it ends up.

 
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