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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
got_nugs
Footballguy
Warsteinner
Footballguy
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Sooooooo close. 1 for 6 on the pp didn't help.
So stupid. F'n Budaj.
Warsteinner
Footballguy
Tell Becca I said hello.
got_nugs
Footballguy
FSU/SMU appear to be winners...any reason to hedge this last Cal ML leg? About a 3 to 1 bet.
Also I hit a 6 to 1 NBA against the spread parlay and added a round robin of 2s of the same 3 bets tonight. Sorry I didnt post it but i'm dancing just the same, great hit for me. (OKC-11.5,Phx-3,Port+6.5)
c'mon Cobb!
Also I hit a 6 to 1 NBA against the spread parlay and added a round robin of 2s of the same 3 bets tonight. Sorry I didnt post it but i'm dancing just the same, great hit for me. (OKC-11.5,Phx-3,Port+6.5)
c'mon Cobb!
Penguin
Footballguy
Anyone ever see "Money Talks" on CNBC, it's a reality TV show about Tout/Scamdicapper Steve Stevens, good for some yucks.
Last week he had a client with a 50k bankroll. Had they guy bet 10 dimes on the first game and lost. Doubled up on the 2nd game and lost. Guy was now down 33k and he had him go to the bank and withdraw more so he could bet 6 dimes on the 3rd game. He won the 3rd game so he ended up +27k - the 50% fee he had to pay Stevens, so +13.5 in all.
Stevens was bragging about how he could go 1-2 and still make the guy money, "Suck it percentages!" What a tool
Last week he had a client with a 50k bankroll. Had they guy bet 10 dimes on the first game and lost. Doubled up on the 2nd game and lost. Guy was now down 33k and he had him go to the bank and withdraw more so he could bet 6 dimes on the 3rd game. He won the 3rd game so he ended up +27k - the 50% fee he had to pay Stevens, so +13.5 in all.
Stevens was bragging about how he could go 1-2 and still make the guy money, "Suck it percentages!" What a tool
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
That scumbag makes my skin crawl.
got_nugs
Footballguy
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
It's on right now.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I'd love to run a Mack truck square into that boiler room.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Assuming this refers to Cobbs I'm not watching but what exactly is he doing out there? 3 shot attempts so far when he averages 12 and I know he can occasionally have a slow night he hasn't taken less than 6 since December 2nd and he hasn't even been to the line despite averaging 6 attempts per game. Every time I check I assume he's gone into facilitator role or is in foul trouble, but with five assists and 1 foul that isn't anything out of the norm.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Clippers couldn't pull their starters in the fourth, that's almost like a win for MIL.Raider Nation said:
got_nugs
Footballguy
He's facilihating my bet is what he's doing. That and trying to be cliff paul with the assist. On every possession.
got_nugs
Footballguy
Wait. You weren't on cal? I based an entire parlay on your opinion, one that cashed, gracias.
Or do you like a good nut crunch?
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Congats on the parlay, Brosevelt. I counted one kick to the nuts that landed square, a broken nose, and another kick that didn't land. But that one kick was nuts. In my little writeup on Cal yesterday I meant to say that our bro Sagarin made the line ARK -1 instead of ARK +1. That was the whole deal - the fact that he made ARK the favorite yet it opened at Cal -3.5. So maybe that is something to look forward to, Bro-de-lay He-Who.
Did you know that the Knicks are making their trip out west today. They are 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS on the road against the Pacific Division since 2011. But they have been strong as the road favorite 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS this year. They are also in game one of a B2B tonight.
Did you know that the Knicks are making their trip out west today. They are 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS on the road against the Pacific Division since 2011. But they have been strong as the road favorite 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS this year. They are also in game one of a B2B tonight.
ArbyMelt
Footballguy
I used this place last year, I can vouch for them, though I think they sell something called Tranax (same stuff, different manufacturer i think).
Weird reading the forum today. I've had anxiety over the years, and having the Xanax around just in case, helps immensely. I also suffer from GERD which is probably driven by anxiety. I cut out wheat (which limits carbs), and I've had good success, no GERD episodes since (I usually had 1 every few months - feels like a heart attack, as acid gets stuck in my esophagus, panic attack ensues). Good luck guys fighting this stuff, but I highly recommend JCM.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
They haven't beat the Pacers at Indiana in the regular season since Feb 4, 2012 (0-4 SU and ATS there L4 reg season games against an average line of -0.9). Overall, including the playoffs and the regular season, they are 4-7 SU and ATS at Indiana (avg line -1.7) since Feb 4, 2012.
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Baylor +3.5
Michigan -2
Florida -4.5
SDSU +6.5
Michigan -2
Florida -4.5
SDSU +6.5
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Since Feb 25, 2011, the Knicks are 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS when they lay seven or more on the road. You have to go back to 2001 before you can find a game they laid that many points on the road before then. This is the amount of points they gave the Bucks and Sixers on the road this season, and they went 1-2 SU and 0-2 ATS, winning both games by an average margin of one point.
lumpy19
Footballguy
FYI betonline/sportsbetting has these now. Bonus for those of us betting overs, they have a 150 game requirement. If Pedroia gets hurt and only plays 70 games, REFUND.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Action Junkie confirmation bias: The Lakers are 7-3 SU and ATS in 2014 against teams like the Knicks who are 12 or more games under .500. Since the trade, the Lakers are 3-2 SU and ATS at home against teams with losing records. The Knicks are 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS in game one of a B2B this season. You have Gasol out, which is a good thing. He missed the whole 2H when they beat the Magic on Sunday anyway.
The Lakers are 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS L10. But the average combined record of their opponents in those games was 42-28 (.603). They actually beat the Blazers on the road ten games ago, lost to the Pelicans in the subsequent B2B, got spanked versus the Clips the next game, and then lost to the Nugs in the B2B 260-point game in Denver. Since then it's been two games each versus the Spurs and the Thunder, one of which the Lakers actually won, then a loss to the Wizards and a SU win versus the Magic.
The Lakers have had it rough lately against teams over .500, but screw the Knicks, their thirteen road wins, and their seven points. Their little run is over.
Lakers 100/275
Lakers +7½ 214/200
The Lakers are 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS L10. But the average combined record of their opponents in those games was 42-28 (.603). They actually beat the Blazers on the road ten games ago, lost to the Pelicans in the subsequent B2B, got spanked versus the Clips the next game, and then lost to the Nugs in the B2B 260-point game in Denver. Since then it's been two games each versus the Spurs and the Thunder, one of which the Lakers actually won, then a loss to the Wizards and a SU win versus the Magic.
The Lakers have had it rough lately against teams over .500, but screw the Knicks, their thirteen road wins, and their seven points. Their little run is over.
Lakers 100/275
Lakers +7½ 214/200
mquinnjr
Footballguy
PSA: When searching the DirecTV online listings, this is for the show "Money Talks" on CNBC, and definitely NOT on Playboy TV. No wonder it didn't record because the purchase wasn't authorized
that helps
Current stats:
Stamkos: 21 goals in 27 games (.78/game)
Malkin: 23 goals in 60 games (.38/game)
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John Bender
Footballguy
Here's the first episode of Money Talks
http://www.cnbc.com/live-tv/money-talks/full-episode/bookie-killer/200016963841
http://www.cnbc.com/live-tv/money-talks/full-episode/bookie-killer/200016963841
got_nugs
Footballguy
Fantastic lean man, that difference is staggering.
I know I'm staggered anyway.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Westbrook and Wade aren't going to be playing b2b's for the rest of the season.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
His analysis of the Cardinals/Doyers game is spot-on.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
But he seems so sharp.
Even if he could hit at 70%, him taking 40-50% of winning bets is barely going to leave you with anything. Don't these "clients" own businesses?
UPDATE:
4-3 now in team point totals (still +3u or so), but the Flames and Rangers bets still have a shot to improve those numbers.
Flames have 67 points and 10 games remaining so they need fewer than 8 points out of a possible 20. They have a pretty tough remaining schedule, but have been playing well of late.
Rangers have 84 points and 9 games remaining so they need 14 points. Basically hoping for a 7-2 or 6-1-2 finish. Their schedule looks pretty easy and they are fighting for the playoffs. (7-3 in their last 10 has helped).
Looks like 7-1 is likely in player point totals, but that Koivu/Kesler one might be tight.
Kesler returned pretty quickly from his injury. In terms of PPG, Koivu at .78 and Kesler at .59 so even if both are healthy, hopefully Koivu can hold on. Couver being eliminated from the playoffs might help them shut him down at some point while the Wild figure to be playing big games right until the end.
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mquinnjr
Footballguy
Very few people could approach 60%, and that's on sides. I'd gather we see a rough 60/40 split of sides to props posted even in here. Makes me think props are where the money is being made, with sides/totals for fun/recreation. Thus, why many Vegas books aren't in the business of props or don't specialize in them (maybe LVH, a select few others). These guys would be pushing props with that said if their intent was really about making clients money. Any schlub "generally" can float around 50% +/- at a point in time if they have a better than casual knowledge of what they're betting on sides/totals.
Reminds me of...the movie Boiler Room/ Wolf of Wall Street/ etc. . How'd those end? Guys like Stevens pushing "plays" to a sales team, that pumps the plays to the other end of the phone. Sometimes, the conspiracy theorist in me believes these boiler rooms operate in line with the mob, selling the other side of mob plays to hopeless smucks who buy the plays from the touts "thinking" they have a leg up from an expert, and effectively move the public numbers in the mob's favor. Just like the guys at the very top in Boiler Room/ Wolf of Wall Street, those guys being the ones making the real money on sides and totals.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
The Miami/UNC game where they lose and the SEA/ARI game where they win, supposedly the next day after they go and drive cars...those games happened on the same day at the same time.
Miami/UNC: Oct 17: http://espn.go.com/ncf/recap?id=332900153
SEA/ARI: Oct 17 http://espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=331017022
Steve's not the only non-honest operator here.
Miami/UNC: Oct 17: http://espn.go.com/ncf/recap?id=332900153
SEA/ARI: Oct 17 http://espn.go.com/nfl/recap?gameId=331017022
Steve's not the only non-honest operator here.
John Bender
Footballguy
Not only that - they were played at basically the same time. Someone should write to CNBC and ##### about it.
