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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Had a nice bet on u13 -140 at 5dimes, then bought some back at o10.5 after seeing this. That was a very fortunate middle, nice work fellas
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Mile-High B2B:
This season the NBA scheduled 12 games for opposing teams to play in Denver in the second game of a B2B. The Griz have a B2B game in Denver tomorrow night. They play in Portland tonight. Teams this season playing in game one of a B2B with Denver on deck are 6-3 SU and 3-6 ATS so far. The Griz were in this same spot on Jan 2 when they beat the Suns 99-91 in Phoenix as five-point underdogs. So far teams have gone 2-7 SU and 5-4 ATS in Denver in the second game of those B2Bs. Denver was playing on one day of rest in each of those games, but tomorrow night they will have had two days off.
For tonight:
The Grizzlies O/U is 3-9 on the road their L12 against the Western conference, with the three overs coming at Denver, OKC, and Golden State, who all scored at least 100 points. In the nine games that went under the total, the Grizzlies held their opponents to 87 ±3. The O/U between these two teams is 2-7 since 2011 (1-4 in Portland). The Griz have won the L3 SU and ATS in Portland. Since 2011 the Grizzlies have held Portland to an average of 89.7 ±8.3 points per game (89.6 ±10.3 in Portland). They are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS against Portland L5 overall. Portland hasn't beaten them since Jan 4 2013. And since 2011 Portland is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS at home after being away for five or more games (avg line -4.7).
This season the NBA scheduled 12 games for opposing teams to play in Denver in the second game of a B2B. The Griz have a B2B game in Denver tomorrow night. They play in Portland tonight. Teams this season playing in game one of a B2B with Denver on deck are 6-3 SU and 3-6 ATS so far. The Griz were in this same spot on Jan 2 when they beat the Suns 99-91 in Phoenix as five-point underdogs. So far teams have gone 2-7 SU and 5-4 ATS in Denver in the second game of those B2Bs. Denver was playing on one day of rest in each of those games, but tomorrow night they will have had two days off.
For tonight:
The Grizzlies O/U is 3-9 on the road their L12 against the Western conference, with the three overs coming at Denver, OKC, and Golden State, who all scored at least 100 points. In the nine games that went under the total, the Grizzlies held their opponents to 87 ±3. The O/U between these two teams is 2-7 since 2011 (1-4 in Portland). The Griz have won the L3 SU and ATS in Portland. Since 2011 the Grizzlies have held Portland to an average of 89.7 ±8.3 points per game (89.6 ±10.3 in Portland). They are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS against Portland L5 overall. Portland hasn't beaten them since Jan 4 2013. And since 2011 Portland is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS at home after being away for five or more games (avg line -4.7).
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I can't imagine the game plan is to get into a halfcourt slugfest with Sparty. Guess we'll find out shortly.Why are the Huskies gonna get up and down? They were are pretty slow team all year. They're fairly efficient but they play a slow pace and I think they'll want to slow it down against Sparty. Not sure if they can, but they've got to TRY to make it a 1/2 court game.I really don't get that UCONN/MSU total. Sparty has been involved in a lot of high-scoring games. They aren't strictly a plodding team. If you want to run, they'll run with you. If you want to grind in the halfcourt, they're comfortable with that too. The Huskies are gonna get up and down for sure. Unless the shooting is just awful, this should be a strong play.I'm on these
nittanylion
Footballguy
#7 U. Conn. vs #4 Michigan St. East Regional New York City I've lost my share of $ vs this Huskies team. IIRC, the Kemba Walker year, the same thing probably happened. Pretty simple really. I'm persistant/stubborn/stupid, and have enough available $ to believe my opinion about teams like this year's Huskies and Wildcats will prove true and pay out. In U. Conn.'s case, I can't deny they are a great defensive Team. It's also undeniable that their interior game stinks, and for them to win against equal or better competition, they have to be exceptional in one of the lowest percentage phases of the game: 3-point shooting. Teams like Louisville give them trouble, to the point where it's very unlikely they can win against such teams. Sparty is the closest thing the Louisville the Huskies will face in this Tourney, and as simply as 'what comes up, must come down' the formula they are using in this unlikely run is not sustainable, and as soon as the perimeter goes cold, they will fall, and fall badly. Not only is Michigan State's starting 5 and bench superior, they are equal to/as good as everything the Huskies are good at, but good at everything U. Conn. is bad at. Cinderella, the ride is over. You deserve credit for a good run.
Michigan State -5 1u, ML -265 2u
Michigan State -5 1u, ML -265 2u
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Let's go points!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
John Bender
Footballguy
Random question..
Anyone here seen Billy Joel in concert? I want to go to his birthday show at MSG in May (Stern introducing him too). Figured that's THE venue to see him before it's too late. 500 bucks per ticket though. Gotta be worth it?
Anyone here seen Billy Joel in concert? I want to go to his birthday show at MSG in May (Stern introducing him too). Figured that's THE venue to see him before it's too late. 500 bucks per ticket though. Gotta be worth it?
modogg
Footballguy
i gotta think it's worth it. never seen him but have to think you can't go wrong there
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Saw him and Elton John a few years back...probably the best concert I've ever been to...certainly top 5
Saw him and Elton John play about 10 years back. Was a great show. He played by himself at Jazz Fest last year and everyone I know who went said it was great.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Is it too early to root for OT?
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Suck it up. Under backers were all over this one. Now we gotta sweat the damn UCONN +5.5 bet. What a disaster.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
And because of that last 3, there's no way to buy out of the Huskies without risking MSU winning by 6 and losing both bets. Gotta hope something in live betting presents itself.
JaxBill
Footballguy
Rootin for ya in shootoutalright, little live betting for old times sake:
Flyers +762 ML
that bet was to win in regulation only.Rootin for ya in shootoutalright, little live betting for old times sake:
Flyers +762 ML
JaxBill
Footballguy
Saw him in Tampa in January with a no-name Brit pop singer opening for him. Put on a really good show playing a lot of hits. Was disappointed he didn't play "Billy The Kid" but aside from that, We paid around a hundred for nosebleeds in the rafters. Seeing him at MSG >>>>> than seeing him here in FL. When you factor in NY cost of living and birthday show, 500 doesn't surprise me.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Now that UCONN is back in it, do I hit MSU live and get out of the original bet, or ride with UCONN +5.5?
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
UCONN ML was +1000 at the last TV break! 
Need a Michigan win for this to cash. Will probably look for some sort of a hedge during live bettingReally need Florida to win tonightWent with Aggregate seeds int eh final four u12.5 for $500 free bet (-140)max was $366...can't use it for this oneI always prefer to play the free bets on dogs to maximize value so why not play the YES side of this instead? Most future hedging opportunities would likely be at + odds too. Just a thought.if nothing sexy comes out before tomorrow, i'm throwing it on:throwing it out there. Got a $500 free bet if anyone has a super duper prop.
"Will a #1 team win the tournament"
NO -185
Will make it fun for the 3 weeks with a potential hedge oppgreat point
looking for other good options where a hedge might be available
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
depends on how much more Appling plays. Trying to single handily give the game away. What a #### nut he is
Only reason Conn isn't up 8-10 is a few wide open looks. There is nothing at this point that makes me think Conn can't hang for the rest d the game unless Napiers nose is broken.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Thanks fellas. I'll stick.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Oh he had something much better in storeswirvenirvin said:
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
So the thread seems to like UK/MICH over. Any strong feelings on the side?
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
This game was not kind to my balance
John Bender
Footballguy
Rules. So pumped. (not pumped for those on the wrong side here)
derek245583
Footballguy
I took UM ML, but have zero confidence in it.
Ill get the over with everyone for S&G's
See, I can be an equal opportunity bump. Hit the ML for some at +220 (moreso to hedge some of my MSU future). Don't fade Conn at MSG imo.Raider Nation said:Wow, really like UCONN at that number.tjnc09 said:
Tonight was as great as yesterday was terrible. Gonna treat myself to some online blackjack.
Have KY Mich o137.5. should have took it at 136, still don't get why it was higher than KY Michtjnc09 said:
Zero opinion on the side. Cheers to a good game and lots of points.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Now that's the way you draw up an over. Never in doubt. 
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
God bless my 5 year old cheering for the blue team despite the wolverines being our team and dad losing a boatload on that 3
Ouch, sorry lamb.God bless my 5 year old cheering for the blue team despite the wolverines being our team and dad losing a boatload on that 3
