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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

Huge buyback on the Seahawks after all the early Rams action. Some nice middles out there.
I actually got 5.5 in that game...miracle, I feel dirty. Dirty as a Wisconsin coverer (still reeling).Good to see you posting again, thoughts tonight? I have an under 7 wins Seattle pending so the side is not what I'm doing, although I did hedge some. Regardless, I like the under. 42 1/2 now...all those hungover chasers hoping for points.
5.5 is tremendous since this game opened at Seattle -1 and since Hassleback IS active , you made out well here. I would have played under also (had u43 cued up) but the game started. Hadn't looked at it prior.GL tonight with that big under 7 riding.
I had 5.5 with Denver, not Seattle (no way). I meant to quote your Tebow covers post, oops.Yeah, I could use STL but I hedged for 10 units, hoping for a push or even a middle.I'm on delay so I JUST NOW saw that first TD. Sucks for me with the under. What a BS holding call, shoulda only gave up 3.
 
I made the lines. KC -2Phil -4Indy -3 -110NO -7 over eitherShocked Kc is a home dog. They get no respect. What has Baltimore done to warrant being a road fav in KC?
the Raven's have beaten 3 playoffs teams and lost by a FG to the Pats.Chiefs haven't beaten any playoff teams, and only played 1 on their schedule.Lost to the Chargers 31-0, lost by 20 to the Broncos, lost to the Raiders TWICE, including today while playing their starters all game.Getting luck to beat the Bills (Bills missed a FG to win the game).Sorry, not buying the Chiefs at all. Raven's haven played a schedule far superior.
 
nothing sweeter than winning a 2h college bball over because of DOUBLE OT :confused:

winning that way is better than the pain of losing an under to an OT

 
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I made the lines. KC -2Phil -4Indy -3 -110NO -7 over eitherShocked Kc is a home dog. They get no respect. What has Baltimore done to warrant being a road fav in KC?
the Raven's have beaten 3 playoffs teams and lost by a FG to the Pats.Chiefs haven't beaten any playoff teams, and only played 1 on their schedule.Lost to the Chargers 31-0, lost by 20 to the Broncos, lost to the Raiders TWICE, including today while playing their starters all game.Getting luck to beat the Bills (Bills missed a FG to win the game).Sorry, not buying the Chiefs at all. Raven's haven played a schedule far superior.
I guess. I just don't buy the Ravens being a road fav anywhere in the playoffs. I like teams like the Chiefs. Run the football, smart qb, and a coach who takes risks. Are the Chargers really better then the Chiefs?
 
SIA is the only book I know that offers this but it's worth a post. I like a lot of the games to have "yes" 3 unanswered scores. Week 17, if a team goes down what fight will they have to try to comeback? Yes on Buffalo, Miami, minn, Oak, Dallas, Jax, SD.
6-1 on these and the correlated parlays had 1 loss, 1 push and all wins. Pretty good day on a relatively light Sunday.
 
nothing sweeter than winning a 2h college bball over because of DOUBLE OT :popcorn:

winning that way is better than the pain of losing an under to an OT
God I love that stuff.Caught up on this football game, which should be 3-3, and thinking about halftime lines. Nothing stands out.

So what are we all doing on this late CBB game? Arizona at Oregon State +8. Although I think I have an idea...

Decided to hit the bottle to take the edge off tonight...and it feels GOOOOOOD. :thumbdown:

 
Raider - who in the heck wouldn't want teaser action in the playoffs? Like lumpy said, how many possible teasers can they put together to beat the books? Teasing totals is terribly bad and there is 4 games to tease.

 
Not really a shocker but I like all the dogs next weekend.

Chiefs against Balt - automatic home dog play. We get a 7-1 home team and points. In!

Jets at Indy - Indy one dimensional. I don't buy their run game the last few weeks. Jets matchup very well with their big talented offensive line. Pound, pound, pound. I will take a fg.

GB at Philly - Philly does not want GB. Who would want them? GB most dangerous 6 seed we have ever seen. Their run game is improving and their defense is absolutely tremendous. Just ask Cutler and Brady. I'm not sure this game is close if Rodgers is on.

NFC west vs Saints - okay I will wait for the number to come out. I love the Saints and their recent form but lean home dog in the playoffs.

 
I made the lines.

KC -2

Phil -4

Indy -3 -110

NO -7 over either

Shocked Kc is a home dog. They get no respect. What has Baltimore done to warrant being a road fav in KC?
the Raven's have beaten 3 playoffs teams and lost by a FG to the Pats.

Chiefs haven't beaten any playoff teams, and only played 1 on their schedule.

Lost to the Chargers 31-0, lost by 20 to the Broncos, lost to the Raiders TWICE, including today while playing their starters all game.

Getting luck to beat the Bills (Bills missed a FG to win the game).

Sorry, not buying the Chiefs at all. Raven's haven played a schedule far superior.
I guess. I just don't buy the Ravens being a road fav anywhere in the playoffs. I like teams like the Chiefs. Run the football, smart qb, and a coach who takes risks. Are the Chargers really better then the Chiefs?
It's not 1970, running the football in the playoffs doesn't mean what it used to. People bring up this argument every year and it just isn't the case anymore. With all the rules favoring the offense, insanely sticky gloves for the players(helping receivers catch the ball in crappy weather)......just not a good argument.I do like that their coach has balls and calls the game like it's a video game.

Great story that they're in the playoffs but balt is a tough matchup for them.

 
Raider - who in the heck wouldn't want teaser action in the playoffs?
I wouldn't be crazy about taking teasers if I was booking. Keep in mind, teaser options with most old-school bookies include only 2-teams, 6.5 points or 3-teams, 9 points for the same vig. They are in effect protecting you from yourself, which of course isn't their intention. What I mean is, it's very easy to put in a 6-teamer online without thinking about how stupid it is to do that. With a local, I stick to 2-teamers. And in the playoffs, I believe I will win more 2-teamers than I lose since the talent on both teams is *relatively* equal. Games are more likely to be played in the range they are lined. More than in the regular season. That would be my guess anyway. And it's almost always sides. I try to avoid teasing totals, even in the NFL.
 
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Huge buyback on the Seahawks after all the early Rams action. Some nice middles out there.
I actually got 5.5 in that game...miracle, I feel dirty. Dirty as a Wisconsin coverer (still reeling).Good to see you posting again, thoughts tonight? I have an under 7 wins Seattle pending so the side is not what I'm doing, although I did hedge some. Regardless, I like the under. 42 1/2 now...all those hungover chasers hoping for points.
5.5 is tremendous since this game opened at Seattle -1 and since Hassleback IS active , you made out well here. I would have played under also (had u43 cued up) but the game started. Hadn't looked at it prior.GL tonight with that big under 7 riding.
I had 5.5 with Denver, not Seattle (no way). I meant to quote your Tebow covers post, oops.Yeah, I could use STL but I hedged for 10 units, hoping for a push or even a middle.I'm on delay so I JUST NOW saw that first TD. Sucks for me with the under. What a BS holding call, shoulda only gave up 3.
Oh, nice - great cover and certainly fair considering the TCU beat for you yesterday. I was afraid they were going to go for 2 there under the guise that, should they get the ball back on the onsides and score a td, they would be up 3.
 
Eagles -3 (+115) now. I totally misread this game.

In my mind's eye, I can see Rodgers making crucial mistakes in big spots as he's done in the past. I think over players in this game may be disappointed.

 
I'm pretty shocked that we're still not seeing totals on all lined CBB games. This is how you know books took a bath in something. They got murdered on CBB totals last season, this season CRIS took their ball and went home, totals only on TV games. Since most offshores copy CRIS' lines most offshores aren't posting totals. It really sucks.

tribe you have any input on this? are we not going to see totals on all lined games til the tourney? Conference season is here.

 
I'm pretty shocked that we're still not seeing totals on all lined CBB games. This is how you know books took a bath in something. They got murdered on CBB totals last season, this season CRIS took their ball and went home, totals only on TV games. Since most offshores copy CRIS' lines most offshores aren't posting totals. It really sucks.tribe you have any input on this? are we not going to see totals on all lined games til the tourney? Conference season is here.
My question for Jeff would be, how is he selling any picks at all? Aren't CBB totals his bread & butter?
 
I'm pretty shocked that we're still not seeing totals on all lined CBB games. This is how you know books took a bath in something. They got murdered on CBB totals last season, this season CRIS took their ball and went home, totals only on TV games. Since most offshores copy CRIS' lines most offshores aren't posting totals. It really sucks.tribe you have any input on this? are we not going to see totals on all lined games til the tourney? Conference season is here.
My question for Jeff would be, how is he selling any picks at all? Aren't CBB totals his bread & butter?
pinny, 5dimes, greek have totals for every game. Some other books copy those but most of the offshore world copies CRIS(like sportsbook.com)
 
The Seahawks are 29th in Sagarin rating. This is unreal.

I really think this is a good year to bet the NFC side in futures. Green Bay looks to have some value if you throw out Seattle they are looking at being at worst a 3 point dog in any game left.

Someone talk me out of GB NFC. Quickly.

 
The Seahawks are 29th in Sagarin rating. This is unreal. I really think this is a good year to bet the NFC side in futures. Green Bay looks to have some value if you throw out Seattle they are looking at being at worst a 3 point dog in any game left. Someone talk me out of GB NFC. Quickly.
Not going to talk you out of GB because I like them too, but just parlay moneylines all the way through. No value in betting them 6:1 to win the nfc. If you make them +125, +135, +130 that's over 11:1. Even if we make them a 2.5 pt road fav in the nfc title game (-130), that's still 8:1. And this is taking into account Rodgers is very injury prone. Would suck holding a 6:1 ticket with him being out in the divisional round....
 
The Seahawks are 29th in Sagarin rating. This is unreal. I really think this is a good year to bet the NFC side in futures. Green Bay looks to have some value if you throw out Seattle they are looking at being at worst a 3 point dog in any game left. Someone talk me out of GB NFC. Quickly.
Not going to talk you out of GB because I like them too, but just parlay moneylines all the way through. No value in betting them 6:1 to win the nfc. If you make them +125, +135, +130 that's over 11:1. Even if we make them a 2.5 pt road fav in the nfc title game (-130), that's still 8:1. And this is taking into account Rodgers is very injury prone. Would suck holding a 6:1 ticket with him being out in the divisional round....
Ok. That makes sense.If they win this week they play ATL and probably are in the exact same situation line wise as this week. Could be slightly better if vegas wants to shade it out of the teaser window.
 
The Seahawks are 29th in Sagarin rating. This is unreal. I really think this is a good year to bet the NFC side in futures. Green Bay looks to have some value if you throw out Seattle they are looking at being at worst a 3 point dog in any game left. Someone talk me out of GB NFC. Quickly.
Not going to talk you out of GB because I like them too, but just parlay moneylines all the way through. No value in betting them 6:1 to win the nfc. If you make them +125, +135, +130 that's over 11:1. Even if we make them a 2.5 pt road fav in the nfc title game (-130), that's still 8:1. And this is taking into account Rodgers is very injury prone. Would suck holding a 6:1 ticket with him being out in the divisional round....
:) He's missed 2 games in 3 years of being the starter due to a concussion. Wouldn't say he's very injury prone - not even a little bit.
 
Everything else aside, it's been pretty much shown that parlaying the moneylines gives the best payout.

You can also cash out early as MP mentioned.

 
The Seahawks are 29th in Sagarin rating. This is unreal. I really think this is a good year to bet the NFC side in futures. Green Bay looks to have some value if you throw out Seattle they are looking at being at worst a 3 point dog in any game left. Someone talk me out of GB NFC. Quickly.
Not going to talk you out of GB because I like them too, but just parlay moneylines all the way through. No value in betting them 6:1 to win the nfc. If you make them +125, +135, +130 that's over 11:1. Even if we make them a 2.5 pt road fav in the nfc title game (-130), that's still 8:1. And this is taking into account Rodgers is very injury prone. Would suck holding a 6:1 ticket with him being out in the divisional round....
:popcorn: He's missed 2 games in 3 years of being the starter due to a concussion. Wouldn't say he's very injury prone - not even a little bit.
He has had 2 concussions THIS year, the last one being just 3 weeks ago. The guy is one hit from being knocked squarely out of the playoffs. Their running game is helped with his running ability and he will be running from time to time. It's not like he's Peyton Manning who barely gets touched and never runs.Very unlikely he gets knocked out with a concussion, but I'd rather be parlaying moneylines just in case then holding my 6:1 nfc ticket. And obviously I'd rather be parlaying because it will make you more money and you can quit whenever.
 
Could someone talk me out of New Orleans -10.5 over Seattle?

I haven't made a bet all year, but I think the Saints will crush the Seahawks.

 
Could someone talk me out of New Orleans -10.5 over Seattle?I haven't made a bet all year, but I think the Saints will crush the Seahawks.
I was hoping someone could talk me out of betting Seattle +10.5, maybe we should call each otherGetting 10.5 points at home in the playoffs :lol: NO up by 17 and seattle scores a meaningless TD with less than a minute to play.
 
The Seahawks are 29th in Sagarin rating. This is unreal.

I really think this is a good year to bet the NFC side in futures. Green Bay looks to have some value if you throw out Seattle they are looking at being at worst a 3 point dog in any game left.

Someone talk me out of GB NFC. Quickly.
Not going to talk you out of GB because I like them too, but just parlay moneylines all the way through. No value in betting them 6:1 to win the nfc. If you make them +125, +135, +130 that's over 11:1.

Even if we make them a 2.5 pt road fav in the nfc title game (-130), that's still 8:1.

And this is taking into account Rodgers is very injury prone. Would suck holding a 6:1 ticket with him being out in the divisional round....
Dumb question here, but parlay the MLs with who? Can you give me an example for this week?
 
Tiger - I think he means just play them ML each week and roll the profits and original bet over to next week's bet.

 
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CBB:

2u: UPenn +23.5

1.5u: Loyala MD -13.5

1u: NE +7.5

St Johns +2

Delaware +13

Florida -11

Manhattan +17.5

Fairfield -19

NBA:

1u: Bobcats +8.5

TWolves +7.5

If you have a sportsbook acct, most of the lines are a half point better.

YTD: 49-35 58.3% +17.45u

 
CBB:2u: UPenn +23.51.5u: Loyala MD -13.51u: NE +7.5 St Johns +2 Delaware +13 Florida -11 Manhattan +17.5 Fairfield -19NBA:1u: Bobcats +8.5 TWolves +7.5If you have a sportsbook acct, most of the lines are a half point better.YTD: 49-35 58.3% +17.45u
You seem to do well on College Hoops, what do you feel most strong about tonight?
 
While this is not the same Blackhawk team from last yr, they (last yrs team)never had more than a three game losing streak(happened twice). They find themselves tied for last in the division right now (43pts), and out of the playoffs if they started today. Player in the paper almost making it sound like a must win. Don't know if thats going to put added pressure on them or not, but i'm taking my chances. +120.

Stanford train up to -4. I'm in on ML and-2.5 and -3. On bets I made after the line moved, I bought the point. I think they win big though.

 
Canada vs US should be a tight one tonight. Putting a bit on each team to win by 1 goal at +450

 
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My brain has been wrong a lot in this college football posteseason so I'm going with my guy and taking the three and a hook tonight. Stanford is a better team, but the layoff and Va Tech wanting to prove they were a contender all season will play into this. Also the fact that tomorrow Harbaugh is gone could negatively impact the Cardinal.

If Va Tech wins tonight I'm going Oregon in the NCG, gut says they win that. :unsure:

 
Year 2011 has sucked....

NBA

Mia over 189

Minnesota +8.5

Houston +7

NCAAB

NW over 142

FSU -14

Rhode Island +11

 
CBB:2u: UPenn +23.51.5u: Loyala MD -13.51u: NE +7.5 St Johns +2 Delaware +13 Florida -11 Manhattan +17.5 Fairfield -19NBA:1u: Bobcats +8.5 TWolves +7.5If you have a sportsbook acct, most of the lines are a half point better.YTD: 49-35 58.3% +17.45u
You seem to do well on College Hoops, what do you feel most strong about tonight?
UPenn, hence the 2u.
Didn't even pay attention to that. I was excited as you posted a ton. You did well this past weekend.
 

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