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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

2-1 yesterday. Big card today..

NBA

Wade(Mia) over 25 pts

Knicks +2.5

Toronto +9.5

GS -10

NCAAB

Rider -12

Creighton +1

Wichita St -8

NHL

Columbus

Blackhawks

 
Here is what I got from sportsbetting for the Saturday NFL games

Addai +13.5 rushing vs. Tomlinson

Adrian Arrington U3.5 completions MAX

Mike Williams +9.5 yards vs. Lance Moore

Brees U29.5 completions

Alot of good lines out there on props this weekend...can't wait to see GR's card

 
TheWick said:
Here is what I got from sportsbetting for the Saturday NFL games

Addai +13.5 rushing vs. Tomlinson

Adrian Arrington U3.5 completions MAX

Mike Williams +9.5 yards vs. Lance Moore

Brees U29.5 completions

Alot of good lines out there on props this weekend...can't wait to see GR's card
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Wow, an Adrian Arrington line? Epic!
 
Romulan said:
Help a fellow FFA thread guy with his rookie of the year guy - Mike Williams

Please vote here http://www.nfl.com/partner?partnerType=rookies

With all due respect when it comes to offense no way does Bradford deserve it, He helped his team get better but still finish with a terrible record while the Bucs finished 10-6 mostly thanks to Freeman having Williams week in week out.

Williams deserves it he was drafted in the 4th round no one expected him to do anything.

P.S. help me win my 20 to 1 odds :confused:

http://www.nfl.com/partner?partnerType=rookies
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sure, but it should go to Suh
 
MarshallPlan said:
:fishing: I'm the best!!In all honesty, we'll see. I have started paying people for picks (GR and Jeff), paying for a forum, etc. Maybe I am being too greedy (trying to make too much) or too lazy - instead of shopping totally actually do some capping.
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Shopping and math > capping
 
Dexter Manley said:
I'm not sure if anyone here has a local that uses bookiemarket.com. One of my locals uses it. I have rarely noticed them being slower to adjust their lines than the mainstream offshore books I compare them to (which is usually pinnacle).I don't know if this is a default to the site or my guy is just careless, but all teasers are -110 regardless of the actual juice on the line.For example, Green Bay is +3 -125 right now and the Jets are +2.5 -110. When I do a 2 team teaser with these teams, I only have to wager $110 to win $100 for example, as it doesn't factor in the extra juice on the straight up Green Bay wager. I realize normal Wong teasers aren't as profitable using +3 instead of the standard +1.5 to +2.5 range. But in this particular case, wouldn't this be about the same profitability (in theory), since I'm getting a significant discount on the juice for Green Bay? (-110 instead of -125.)
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Teasers are like that everywhere. A bunch of us have been teasing +3 -125/-130 for years. Very similar to +2.5 - just get an extra 1/2 pt (9) and dont lay anything extra.
 
Its almost at the point now that so long at the 2h total is less then 40 then I'm gong to take the over for two units.

 
I hear you experianced handycappers talk about a formula for teasers. Do one of you have a link to the discusson or can you post the highlights?

 
Unreal.

Bo Levi Mitchell led three consecutive late touchdown drives, the finale coming with 2:47 left, leading Eastern Washington a 20-19 victory over Delaware and its first FCS championship.

The Eagles (13-2) trailed 19-0 and had gained only 92 yards midway through the third quarter
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:unsure:
 
Raider Nation said:
Unreal.

Bo Levi Mitchell led three consecutive late touchdown drives, the finale coming with 2:47 left, leading Eastern Washington a 20-19 victory over Delaware and its first FCS championship.

The Eagles (13-2) trailed 19-0 and had gained only 92 yards midway through the third quarter
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:unsure:
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When you can't put up good numbers in a June Jones O, you suck.
 
The Ref said:
Raider Nation said:
http://www.docsports.com/current/wong-teas...gy-teasers.html
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So this week it's Jets Packers. Both are 2.5 dogs at sportsbook.I supose the other part of this is being reasonably sure that a 2.5 dog or 7.5 fav wouldnt move up/down to 3/7 otherwise you are not geting the fill impact of the key numbers.
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Personally, I don't understand why you play a team +2.5 (teased up to +8.5) but that same team is not a play at +3 (teased up to 9).Sure, you aren't technically "crossing 3" in the second scenario, but the difference is lost on me.

 
The Ref said:
Raider Nation said:
Unreal.

Bo Levi Mitchell led three consecutive late touchdown drives, the finale coming with 2:47 left, leading Eastern Washington a 20-19 victory over Delaware and its first FCS championship.

The Eagles (13-2) trailed 19-0 and had gained only 92 yards midway through the third quarter
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:unsure:
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When you can't put up good numbers in a June Jones O, you suck.
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If memory serves, he got hurt then lost his job to Padron. No shame in that.
 
The Ref said:
Wow I just got porked by my brothers in stripes. Where was the penalty on that fumble return?
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PF #22 on the return. I rewound the Tivo to take a look. He started the play creeping up in the box and he was standing over the LT at the snap. He rushed the QB, got stood up by the RB, then the camera panned right to where the throw went. They never showed #22 again for the rest of the play. It's anyone's guess what he did. Tough beat, man.
 
SHARPS REPORT

NEW ORLEANS AT SEATTLE

New Orleans is extremely expensive at -10½ on the road. You just don't see lines like that in the playoffs. Home teams may lay that much. But, ROAD teams? Sharps prefer big dogs in big games (and there have been decades where that killed them in playoffs and Super Bowls way back in the day). They don't want to step in with Seattle until they know what's going on at quarterback, and what the weather is going to be like. I do expect game day money to come in from sharps on Seattle. This is a team they LOVED earlier in the season at the right prices. The public will probably be on New Orleans because they love betting the Saints as favorites. Sharps are hoping they'll see +11 on game day on the team side. The total dropped from 45 to 44 on news of the Saints injury situation at running back.

NY JETS AT INDIANAPOLIS

Clear support for the Jets here, which isn't a surprise because many sharps have been calling Indianapolis a fraud for years. They kept saying that right up through the Super Bowl last year...and could finally say "See, we told you so" after not losing until then. The opener here of Indianapolis -3 has dropped to -2½. It takes a lot of money to move off the field goal...and a lot of support for a dog to KEEP a line at 2.5 once it's moved. We're not seeing a flood of interest on the home team at less than a field goal, though the public will probably step in on the Colts on game day because they love getting Peyton Manning cheap. It's funny, I'm hearing some comprehensive analysis on why the Jets are such a great play here from many different spots. It's the EXACT SAME THING these same guys were saying a year ago before the Colts controlled the Jets fairly easily on the same field. It's true that the Colts have more injuries this year than last. Has the line properly adjusted for that?

BALTIMORE AT KANSAS CITY

The earliest numbers here were Baltimore -1 or -1½. Sharps hit THOSE stores hard at first...so that most places opened the line at Baltimore -3. It's stayed there ever since. Sometimes the early bird gets smacked by the worms. We'll see Sunday whether or not Kansas City deserves more respect than they're getting in the number. They had a great season, but did look very shaky last week vs. Oakland in a game that everyone watched out here in the sportsbooks. Oakland is like a local team in Vegas in terms of fan support. Also note that Baltimore has won on the road in Wildcard weekend each of the last two years in convincing fashion. That has many thinking -3 is a small price to pay to get them. We might see some dog money come in at KC +3½. As of now, I'm just not hearing many people endorsing the Chiefs. The total has dropped from 42 to 41 or 40½. We may see a further drop if weather is going to help the defenses.

GREEN BAY AT PHILADELPHIA

The line here is hopping between Philly -2½ and Philly -3. Wherever it sits money comes in on the other side. Eagles backers LOVE that they could get their team at less than a field goal. Packer backers LOVE that they can get a full field goal in a game they expect to win straight up. This is going to be the heaviest bet game of the weekend because it's a great matchup in the grand finale. And, we have very strong competing interests. Sportsbooks will pray it doesn't land on three because then they'll have to pay out the Eagles -2½ money while refunding the Green Bay +3 money. Disaster! Many stores are using three with an extra moneyline to avoid that possibility. Nothing yet is happening on the total. This is definitely a site where you want to know the weather before betting an Over/Under.
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6-3 last night.

NFL

Meacham over 39.5 yards rec

Meacham over 2.5 receptions

Vilma over 6.5 tackles

Hawthorne over 6.5 tackles

 
Tough game to call today, due to both Teams having a plethora of issues going in...

...I'm just going to recreationally side with the better Team on the field, and with Kentucky's QB out, that's Pitt, despite the couple of players out on their D. Pitt's Interim Coach is a former Head Coach at SMU, who's been to bowls, so the great record of interim coaches in Bowl Games gets a bit of steam here, for a small bit...

Pitt has moved from 3.5 to 4, and I'm taking it straight - they can/should win this by a TD, or more.

Good Luck, Fellas!

PS - Early NFL Leans: Seahawks and Over Teaser, that's all I've got. Really REALLY like that over on it's own, though...

 
Fyi Colts -2 now at Sportsbook. (-115 of course)

Grabbed a slice

1u each

NO -9.5 (bought the .5)

IND -2

Parlayed NO -10 and IND -2

 
Parlayed Saints -10.5 and Colts -2.5.

Then played some fun stuff:

Saints MOV 22+ +450

Wayne to score the first TD +700 - Doubled if he scores more than one.

 
I took Saints -10 for 2 units.

I also took over total yards on

Meachem 45.5

Henderson 33.5

Moore 47.5

I think Breese +/- 303 is a good number and if thats the case two of the above are going over.

 
Not touching game one with your money. I like the over in the late game a lot. Will be a multi unit play. Teasing NYJ/GB also. I know everyone and their brother likes BAL, but I don't care. They should win by more than 3. Already made a 3 unit play there.

GL fellas.

 
Raider Nation said:
JerseyToughGuys said:
MarshallPlan said:
RedRaiders said:
MarshallPlan said:
I will quit gambling before I lay DD pts on the road in the nfl playoffs. Give me Seattle for game and 1h. 1h for more.
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You're way late to the party. Played +11 -110 earlier in the week.
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Just bet the same thing. +7 -110 1h too.
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where is +7 -110?
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DUH! At his local book.
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I'm wondering if any normal book has it? SB is parked at +6.5 even.Edited oops. had it +7
 
Last edited by a moderator:
In somewhat heavy with Seahawks/Saints O44 (buying 2)...should have taken this when it was free earlier in the week, but was waiting for some other things to develop.

I'm having trouble with the 2nd Game, so I'm probably just going to put a small chunk on the Colts ML to simplify things.

Good Luck!

 
Clorox said:
TheWick said:
Here is what I got from sportsbetting for the Saturday NFL games

Addai +13.5 rushing vs. Tomlinson

Adrian Arrington U3.5 completions MAX

Mike Williams +9.5 yards vs. Lance Moore

Brees U29.5 completions

Alot of good lines out there on props this weekend...can't wait to see GR's card
Click to expand...
Wow, an Adrian Arrington line? Epic!
Click to expand...
I jumped on this one big. What, exactly, does he have to do to qualify this for action? Catch? Target? Just a single play?
 
nittanylion said:
In somewhat heavy with Seahawks/Saints O44 (buying 2)...should have taken this when it was free earlier in the week, but was waiting for some other things to develop.I'm having trouble with the 2nd Game, so I'm probably just going to put a small chunk on the Colts ML to simplify things.Good Luck!
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I'm glad you got a winner here but I want to make sure I understand what you're saying. You played o44 -150?
 
Frostillicus said:
Clorox said:
TheWick said:
Here is what I got from sportsbetting for the Saturday NFL games

Addai +13.5 rushing vs. Tomlinson

Adrian Arrington U3.5 completions MAX

Mike Williams +9.5 yards vs. Lance Moore

Brees U29.5 completions

Alot of good lines out there on props this weekend...can't wait to see GR's card
Click to expand...
Wow, an Adrian Arrington line? Epic!
Click to expand...
I jumped on this one big. What, exactly, does he have to do to qualify this for action? Catch? Target? Just a single play?
Click to expand...
Never mind, I just saw he was inactive for the game. Bummer.
 
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