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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)

TF, my limits are low on team totals, so I cannot Martingale the Padres' TT. But I think it's a good idea if you have the discipline for it.

 
Gotta love Fez...

Steve Fezzik ‏@FezzikSports

Lynx have no bench right now, 3 great players, Augustus unlikely to play, boom she is in, 5/6, Mystics look like Spain out there, hopeless
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The dude bets WNBA pretty heavily. From what I have tracked, he's pretty good at it, too.

 
I've been talking about this for years, but I think I finally want to do it. Pick one of the smaller CFB conferences..... MAC, C-USA, Sun Belt, whatever. Watch every single game, get to know the rosters inside-out and make educated picks every week. If that means I am not up on what's going on with the bigger conferences, so be it.

My question is, how do I do this? If I have the time (I do) and am willing to watch every game start-to-finish from one conference (I am), is there somewhere where I can watch replays of every smaller-conference game?

 
Raider Nation said:
I've been talking about this for years, but I think I finally want to do it. Pick one of the smaller CFB conferences..... MAC, C-USA, Sun Belt, whatever. Watch every single game, get to know the rosters inside-out and make educated picks every week. If that means I am not up on what's going on with the bigger conferences, so be it.

My question is, how do I do this? If I have the time (I do) and am willing to watch every game start-to-finish from one conference (I am), is there somewhere where I can watch replays of every smaller-conference game?
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#MACtion

 
Raider Nation said:
TF, my limits are low on team totals, so I cannot Martingale the Padres' TT. But I think it's a good idea if you have the discipline for it.
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I just started my vacation. I'm off until the 29th. I'll begin the martingale tonight, taking the half unit I won on the soccer fixture.

SD TT u3.5. $25 to win $19.23

 
Bizarre night. Runs everywhere, Kimbrel blows the save with a 2-run lead, the Reds have just about blown all of a 8-0 lead and they are playing football in Denver.

 
got_nugs said:
I took Ecuador -1, over 1g/1h and over 2.5.

I have no idea why.
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Because the South Americans travel and all of those countries are practically playing home games?

Pretty nice showing for CONCACAF so far, despite Honduras going down.

 
Celph Titled said:
got_nugs said:
I took Ecuador -1, over 1g/1h and over 2.5.

I have no idea why.
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Because the South Americans travel and all of those countries are practically playing home games?

Pretty nice showing for CONCACAF so far, despite Honduras going down.
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Yeah, pretty much. I just didn't want anyone tailing ME of all people on soccer, hence the warning.

 
Some fine work in here as always, thanks for all the hard work all you guys do. Got a payout from sportsbook in 11 days since i did withdrawal request. pretty damn good despite their s h i fill in the t notoriety for slow paying.

 
I've had a live Dodgers bet since the 2nd inning. Dickhead Jansen just blew the save with a 2-run lead.

Against the Padres.

 
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If you have Bovada, total of the shirt numbers of all scorers (duplicates don't count twice, that's important) under 39.5 is a +EV bet for Argentina/Iran.

Under game props.

 
If anyone needs a reminder why we bet the over in every Baylor game the fiesta bowl is on espnu.

Also funny to see "everyone" had teddy Bridgewater as the unquestioned #1 pick and that Bortles "really should go back to school"

 
Incidentally, you get some great lines. Baltimore is -114 at Bovada right now, and -109 at both SB and 5dimes.

Overnight it was Bal -106 and NYY -104.

:hifive:

 
Do you guys wear sports jerseys? I only have 2, a Udonis Haslem one he auto'd for me and I wear around the house only for some playoff Heat games, never in public. The other is an OJ Simpson Bills Mitchell & Ness that I wear maybe 1x/year because in real life I like funny...and I think it's funny to sport OJ Simpson stuff.

I was thinking about picking up a Messi jersey after he saved my ### on a silly oversized -890 wager on Argentina...but I don't think i'd ever wear it.

 
Raider Nation said:
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
Incidentally, you get some great lines. Baltimore is -114 at Bovada right now, and -109 at both SB and 5dimes.

Overnight it was Bal -106 and NYY -104.

:hifive:
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Given your comment on my Cubs total yesterday, do you think I am making up lines?
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No, it's a compliment. You seem to get some very favorable numbers.
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Rad you're getting numbers that move in your favor! Goo's # is -135 on demBrew right now.

 
Raider Nation said:
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
Incidentally, you get some great lines. Baltimore is -114 at Bovada right now, and -109 at both SB and 5dimes.

Overnight it was Bal -106 and NYY -104.

:hifive:
Click to expand...
Given your comment on my Cubs total yesterday, do you think I am making up lines?
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No, it's a compliment. You seem to get some very favorable numbers.
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Ok, thank you. I already went through that with DD. Yes, it appears that more often than not, I am beating Pinnacle closing lines. Nothing beats 5dimes overnight 5c ML and 10c totals which has some to do with it. I've been looking at other overnights - Sportsbook, Bovada, Betus and the juice alone is killer. I estimate if I waited until morning to play them I would lose 15u of profits.

I crush some:

Pending 6/21/14 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 915 Baltimore Orioles +114* vs New York Yankees (B Norris - R must Start V Nuno - L must Start) Pending 6/21/14 4:10pm Reduced Baseball 901 Philadelphia Phillies +156* vs St. Louis Cardinals (C Hamels - L must Start A Wainwright - R must Start) and don't beat others:

Pending 6/21/14 2:10pm Reduced Baseball 919 Seattle Mariners +160* vs Kansas City Royals (C Young - R must Start J Vargas - L must Start)
 
I put in a pretty healthy wager on Germany -1.5

And parlayed that with Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is a lock but at -195 probably not the greatest thing to wager on straight.

A german blowout is in order here imo

 
I have the over in the LAD/SD game:

Pending 6/21/14 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 913 Los Angeles Dodgers/San Diego Padres Over 6½ -113* (J Beckett - R must Start T Ross - R must Start)
 
In things I only care about, this is very interesting:

Monday, Tuesday, Friday (hardly any day games) my ROI on plays is 28.6%

Wednesday, Thursday (which has mixed day games), Saturday and Sunday which have a ton of day games is -2.3%

That could be some scary #### if I fix an issue with day games.

 
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