FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

[John Bender]

Its week 2

Remember ....take what you think you learned last week and do the opposite.

Week 2 is always a "don't he opposite" day because public overreacts to what they saw in week 1 and the lines are set accordingly (usually)

This may be pure anecdotal but I remember getting crushed every year in week 2 because i thought I had more knowledge of what teams were all about

Therefore...

Redskins -5.5

Cowboys +3 (even money)

Rams/Bucs over 37.5

Bears +7

GL all

 

[John Bender]

I also think the Browns beat the Saints outright

 

[Man In The Box]

My SF play is based on injuries and the Bears' inability to stop the run, which goes back to all of last year as well. I think that one could get ugly.

 

[John Bender]

My SF play is based on injuries and the Bears' inability to stop the run, which goes back to all of last year as well. I think that one could get ugly.

I think SF can cover easily too.

That's why I did the opposite.

 

[hagmania]

Its hard to think an NFL game in today's environment cant get to 40 points? Hou/Oak Over?

Thats a question not a statement.

Tell that to the NYJ/OAK total last week.

 

[Peyton Marino]

Its week 2

Remember ....take what you think you learned last week and do the opposite.

Week 2 is always a "don't he opposite" day because public overreacts to what they saw in week 1 and the lines are set accordingly (usually)

This may be pure anecdotal but I remember getting crushed every year in week 2 because i thought I had more knowledge of what teams were all about

Therefore...

Redskins -5.5

Cowboys +3 (even money)

Rams/Bucs over 37.5

Bears +7

GL all

you on the bears even with jeffrey and marshall both possibly out?

eta: nevermind, saw above.

 

[hagmania]

So with JB's wisdom, pound the over!!!

 

[The Ref]

Even with Drew Stanton starting for Arizona?

A source informed ESPN's Adam Schefter that Carson Palmer (shoulder) is "50-50 at best" to play against the Giants on Sunday.

RB has some Palmer props up. May not be a bad lean.

 

[Man In The Box]

My SF play is based on injuries and the Bears' inability to stop the run, which goes back to all of last year as well. I think that one could get ugly.

I think SF can cover easily too.

That's why I did the opposite.

The old Costanza theory. I'd be lying if I said I didn't use it a time or two myself. Not just in regards to gambling either

 

[Billy Bats]

I also think the Browns beat the Saints outright

Dawgs are minus Cameron.

 

[swirvenirvin]

A few on sportsbook. Back with the rest tomorrow AM

*1 P. Manning under 28.5 completions -115

*.9 E. Manning under 243.5 passing -115

*.9 Hoyer under 237.5 passing -115

*1 Harvin over 4.5 receptions -135

*.9 Rivers under 262.5 passing -115

Lets get this today

*8 M. Lee under 62.5 -115

*8 RGIII under 260.5 -115

*.8 K. Benjamin under 72.5 -115

*.9 C. Newton under 27.5 rush -115

*.1 J. McCown under 240.5 -115

*.9 M. Ball under 19.5 rec -115

*.8 J. Bell under 50.5 rush -115

*.8 Lynch under 14 rec -115

*1 Hokpins under 72.5 -115

*.9 A. Morris over 84.5 rush -115

*1 S. Jackson under 50.5 rush -115

*.9 Bowe over 3.5 rec -115

*1 James Jones under 3.5 rec -130

*.9 Mike Evans under 55.5 rece -115

*9 Gio Bernard over 4.5 rece -150

*.8 Cooks under 70.5 rec -115

*1 Gronkowski over 5 rec -115

*.8 S. Greene over 50.5 rush -115

*1 D. Murray over 3 rec (E)

*1.1 Forte over 4.5 rece +110

*.6 Charles over 4.5 +110

*.9 Gates under 46.5 -115

*.8 M. Ryan under 305.5 -115

*.8 K. Allen under 65.5 -115

*.9 Desean Jackson over 64.5 rece -115

*1. R. Fitzpatrick under 235.5 -115

*1.Manuel under 218.5 -115

*.9 M. Wallace over 63.5 rece -115

 

[swirvenirvin]

Here are the reverse money trend movements for tomorrow. All three point to taking the home dogs. 2-2 on these on week 1, there was only 1 notable movement in week 2 but that was due to an injury update before gametime.

Air Force opened -13 @ Georgia State, 86% on Air Force and line down to -11.

Mississippi St. opened -15.5 @ South Alabama, 79% on Miss. St. and line down to -13.

USC opened -19.5 @ Boston College, 71% on USC and line down to -17. This is also a ranked team on the road.

will be taking So. Ala. and BC, system or not can't get myself to touch the AFA-GS game. thanks for the Baylor 1h play tonight, followed to a nice payday along with the 1h TT over 28 1/2.

2-1 works for me. Gotta start sprinkling on the ML.

Total now 4-3, of that ranked teams on the road is 3-0. hope this line movement keeps up.

made nice change on Georgia 2h and UCLA 2h. Georgia's defense looked not top 10like, either that or Spurrier is a genius. UCLA 2h I got very lucky in that I didn't know Hundley was hurt, was watching the score update on my phone while at dinner and didn't know about his injury till the drive home, after the game. Could have been disastrous.

Thanks for these will start following. Have always hears RLM is close to 60%

 

[swirvenirvin]

so my local has some Brandon Marshall props up...was thinking of hitting the under but if he doesn't play its no action and if he does without Jeffery on the other side he could tear it up

there's always a chance he's out as a decoy I guess

thoughts from the prop masters?

I think you would be screwed is Jefferey sits and Marshall doesnt. I grabbed Forte over 4.5 instead for biggest play of the day so far

 

[Billy Bats]

I'm assuming Andrew Hawkins props are high, but he might have an overs kind of day.

 

[swirvenirvin]

SO Pats are down to 3 again??

 

[Man In The Box]

Arizona now in the Wong window at SB.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I'm assuming Andrew Hawkins props are high, but he might have an overs kind of day.

not posted anywhere.. waiting on those and grabbing when they come out

 

[Eminence]

PANTHERS -2.5
GAME OVER 44


BILLS +1
GAME OVER 42.5


JAGUARS +5.5
GAME UNDER 43.5


COWBOYS +3
GAME UNDER 49


CARDINALS EVEN
GIANTS TEAM UNDER 21


VIKINGS +4
GAME UNDER 48.5


SAINTS -5.5
GAME UNDER 49
BROWNS UNDER 21


FALCONS ML +200
BENGALS UNDER 27.5

RAMS +5.5

SEAHAWKS -5

TEXANS -3.5
GAME UNDER 40.5


JETS +7.5
GAME OVER 46.5


CHIEFS / BRONCOS OVER 51
BEARS / 49ERS UNDER 47


EAGLES +3

EAGLES ML +145

 

[Billy Bats]

I'm assuming Andrew Hawkins props are high, but he might have an overs kind of day.

not posted anywhere.. waiting on those and grabbing when they come out

Cool swirve, post them when you get them, curious.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Browns and Bolts for me straight today. gllllll

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Pats -3.5 -105 at RB?

 

[Tiger Fan]

Just found out this was the way I lost an under yesterday - last play of the game in an already decided blowout

4th and 3 at UTSA 45 Blake Bogenschutz pass intercepted for a TD Ashton Lampkin return for 50 yds for a TD

 

[swirvenirvin]

Pats -3.5 -105 at RB?

3 on 5dimes, dont remember juice may have been -120

 

[swirvenirvin]

I'm assuming Andrew Hawkins props are high, but he might have an overs kind of day.

not posted anywhere.. waiting on those and grabbing when they come out

Cool swirve, post them when you get them, curious.

Bovada had it for a while but no line posted. Now completely gone and not even listed on the 5 other books

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Sportsbook.ag also has the Cards at +2.5, fwiw.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Palmer out per roto

 

[LOCO]

giants will be 1-1 after today

cowboys +3

redskins -4.5

pats -3

 

[Bojang0301]

What is the Wong window technique?

 

[LOCO]

What is the Wong window technique?

tease a game where it cross the 3 and the 7.

 

[Bojang0301]

Matt Stafford TDs+Interceptions over 2.5 sounds gold

 

[hwjchim]

So what would happen if I take this bet on SB?

P Harvin Over Receiving Yards +375

 

[Good Posting Judge]

So what would happen if I take this bet on SB?

P Harvin Over Receiving Yards +375

It would be cancelled.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

What's driving this pats Vikings line back to -3?

 

[John Bender]

Good luck today boysies!

Let's win some dough

:football helmet smiling dudeski:

 

[lumpy19]

What's driving this pats Vikings line back to -3?

Money

 

[Dan Lambskin]

What's driving this pats Vikings line back to -3?

Money

I guess I meant why...just surprised the line is back to where it was prior to AD being deactivated

 

[Treynwreck3]

Its hard to think an NFL game in today's environment cant get to 40 points? Hou/Oak Over?

Thats a question not a statement.

I like the UNDER in this game. Houston offense will continue to play conservatively and the Houston pass rush is going to pound Carr.

 

[regularguy]

What's driving this pats Vikings line back to -3?

Money

I guess I meant why...just surprised the line is back to where it was prior to AD being deactivated

Same here. I expected public money on NE today so I'm surprised.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Last one I think. This is based on ESPN isider BS so who knows.

San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick's legs could be on display Sunday
After cutting LaMichael James this week, the 49ers have just two tailbacks on the roster. Facing a Chicago Bears team that gave up 193 yards on the ground in its opener, you have to figure the Niners would stick to a ground attack in christening Levi's Stadium. So investing in Frank Gore seems smart. But the feeling in Santa Clara, California, is quarterback Colin Kaepernick and the read-option could make a big comeback against the Bears as well, giving the quarterback an extra edge in fantasy terms. He's a must-start this week. -- Paul Gutierrez

*1 Kapernick over 29.5 rushing

 

[tonydead]

Bears +7

SD +6

NE -3

Det +110

Hou/Oak o40.5

Forte o4.5rec (swirv tail)

 

[Man In The Box]

Damn I feel bad for RG III :(

 

[swirvenirvin]

Holy injuries

 

[Raider Nation]

Vikes are good.

 

[lumpy19]

What's driving this pats Vikings line back to -3?

Money

I guess I meant why...just surprised the line is back to where it was prior to AD being deactivated

I know I was being a sarcastic #######....my guess is the line would have moved off 3 on game day with ap in the lineup...without him it moved back to 3 and stuck. I think he's one of the few non quarterbacks that can actually effect a line.

 

[regularguy]

What's driving this pats Vikings line back to -3?

Money

I guess I meant why...just surprised the line is back to where it was prior to AD being deactivated

I know I was being a sarcastic #######....my guess is the line would have moved off 3 on game day with ap in the lineup...without him it moved back to 3 and stuck. I think he's one of the few non quarterbacks that can actually effect a line.

I know you grabbed -3 the other day. I'm curious if you came back on Minny for a middle and if so what price.

 

[Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll]

It is gonna be hot in the Murph today.

 

[Man In The Box]

Way to go Lions. Awesome.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Why is Detroit punting down 3 scores?

 

[John Bender]

Can the Brownies pull this off?

 

[John Bender]

OH HELL YES