comfortably numb
Footballguy
GL to both you guysDoes the FFAWT cause you to smoke? Happy to hear he's kicking the habit.
I'll be taking a break for a few days starting Wednesday AM. I'm going in for stomach surgery becuase I'm aork:
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
There is logic behind these.... Really
Maclin over 80.5 -115
Matthews over 3.5 +110
Matthews over 35.5 -115
Cooper under 3.5 -135
Newton over 35.5 rushing -115
Olsen over 4.5 -150
D-Will under 49.5 rush+rec -120
Benjamin over 4.5 -140
Benjamin over 67.5 -115
ETA Cooper -135 not -115
Maclin over 80.5 -115
Matthews over 3.5 +110
Matthews over 35.5 -115
Cooper under 3.5 -135
Newton over 35.5 rushing -115
Olsen over 4.5 -150
D-Will under 49.5 rush+rec -120
Benjamin over 4.5 -140
Benjamin over 67.5 -115
ETA Cooper -135 not -115
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Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Sanchez developed some good chemistry with Matthews during the preseason, went to him often, I'm going to hit that one hard.
The Ref
Footballguy
Fun fact: I spent $7.95 for 15 min of internet time on the cruise ship Sunday AM so I could put in some props. Well done Swirv - you didn't disappoint!
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Nailed it.Billy Bats said:
Maclin vs Cason who is PFF worst CB in the league.
Olsen was actually blocking more (similar to J. Thomas) they past few weeks because 3 linemen were out who are all back now. Although Philly has been tough on TE's only reason why I didnt grab the over 56.5
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
heard carnival is going to start figuring out ways to offer wifi on their ships soon.The Ref said:
The Ref
Footballguy
They already have it.... They just like to charge a fortune for it. Next cruise is 6 on princess for me so I get 2 hours free.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
nope stuck to my normal units based on that forumla i did of 5 yr trends and 5 yr personal record. Far right column. Only bet I have done more on all year was the Ben Tate unders.
Code:
RB Bet Unit Rush Under 2.0 1.5Rush Over 0.7 0.8Rush+Rec Over 0.7 0.9Rush+Rec Under 1.2 1.1Receptions Over 0.8 0.9Receptions Under 1.6 1.3Receiving Over 0.5 0.8Receiving Under 1.2 1.1WR Bet Unit Receptions Over 1.0 1.0Receptions Unde 1.1 1.1Receiving Over 1.1 1.0Receiving Under 1.0 1.0QB Bet Unit Passing Over 1.2 1.1Passing Under 1.0 1.0Completion Over 1.0 1.0Completion Unde 1.5 1.3Rushing Over 0.8 0.9Rushing Under 1.2 1.1TE Bet Unit Receptions Over 1.0 1.0Receptions Unde 1.3 1.1Receiving Over 0.5 0.7Receiving Under 2.1 1.6
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ChainsawU
Footballguy
The Spurs haven't covered a spread yet this season. Since 2011, Spurs in the first game of a B2B when both games are on the road:
SU: 22-5 (9.59, 81.5%)
ATS: 20-7-0 (6.87, 74.1%) avg line: -2.7
O/U: 20-7-0 (4.65, 74.1%) avg total: 200.3
This situation happens nine more times this season after tonight. link
SU: 22-5 (9.59, 81.5%)
ATS: 20-7-0 (6.87, 74.1%) avg line: -2.7
O/U: 20-7-0 (4.65, 74.1%) avg total: 200.3
This situation happens nine more times this season after tonight. link
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Wonder if he's locking in profit?
mquinnjr
Footballguy
I'm not sure there's enough sports books online to handle a 90k lock-in. That's a flight and one-night stay in Vegas territory, or a ridiculous line of credit with a local.
well, he's only out $5 if the Panthers don't cover so he could put $20 on the Eagles to lock in some profit here.
comfortably numb
Footballguy
mquinnjr
Footballguy
I was thinking more along the lines of a 49.5k wager on the Birds -7.
I couldn't imagine getting a 90k check from SB. Do you fly down to Costa Rica? Get paid the max per month over like two years? Might set off some international banking regulation red flags on that one to get it all at once. Even flying down to Costa Rica, you still have to get the cash repatriated.
yeah my thoughts exactly. I don't know what I'd do if it hit. I guess move
I was thinking more along the lines of a 49.5k wager on the Birds -7.
I couldn't imagine getting a 90k check from SB. Do you fly down to Costa Rica? Get paid the max per month over like two years? Might set off some international banking regulation red flags on that one to get it all at once. Even flying down to Costa Rica, you still have to get the cash repatriated.
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Can Sanchez run at all? I mean he has to be a better athlete than Foles, they are still going to run the read option Chip offense. All he would have to do to trick the offense once for over 4.5 rushing if he has any athletic ability..
Also waiting until McCoy gets into the mid 90's or so then will prob hit that under. Read something this was first time in career that he has had 4 consecutive games over 80 yards rushing. Will it be his 5th I guess Ill take the odds that it wont be for no other reason than to buck the trend.
Also waiting until McCoy gets into the mid 90's or so then will prob hit that under. Read something this was first time in career that he has had 4 consecutive games over 80 yards rushing. Will it be his 5th I guess Ill take the odds that it wont be for no other reason than to buck the trend.
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lumpy19
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Where is this posted? I'd play that, possibly multiple unit-ish. One collapsed pocket run for a first and he's got it.
ETA: In 4 years as the starter in NY, I calculated with PFR his RYPG @ 5.28, so it's a good number.
62 starts
125 attempts
2.625 Y/A over that span
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
NE IND opens up at 57.. yikes
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Might wait for the public to push that up and go under/tease it up. I'd be shocked if that isn't a heavily public bet over (especially being a SNF national game) thinking the total can't go high enough.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
mquinnjr
Footballguy
Think we get 60 by kick-off, maybe even more? Wouldn't shock me, one low scoring quarter would potentially cash the under. I think it'll be exciting just to see how far this gets pushed, especially after last week's losing weekend for the books.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Ridiculous total but look at the scores these two have been putting up in their last five games
Not like either of them has a stellar defense either
Not like either of them has a stellar defense either
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
lets go Swirv Picks! I grabbed McCoy u93.5 as well and doubled up on Maclin Over
not sure if anyone signed up for GooBook but they have a good amount (but not all) of these...went 13-6 on the ones they had yesterday (15-7 across all my books)
not sure if anyone signed up for GooBook but they have a good amount (but not all) of these...went 13-6 on the ones they had yesterday (15-7 across all my books)
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Labatt prohibition series Apple harvest ale
jamil
Footballguy
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
So tough to bet Kuechly under when he should have a ton of opportunities from Mccoy runs and the short passing game.
comfortably numb
Footballguy
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
These are mostly action plays for me tonight.
Kuechly U9.5 (-110)
T.Davis U7.5 (-140)
Harper O4.5 (-135)
Jenkins O4.5 (-105)
C.Williams U4.5 (-120)
Eagles crew gives out few assists, so it should be tough for both Panthers LBs to go over their numbers but Eagles can run a lot of plays, which may negate that a bit.
Harper hasn't been very good this year, but Eagles opposing safeties seem to put up big numbers most weeks. FBG/PFF have him projected for 7+ tackles tonight.
Taking a chance on the over with Jenkins with Olsen on the other side, and since DeMeco Ryans is gone.
Panthers don't throw to WRs much so taking a shot on the under for Cary Williams here too.
Don't feel great about any of these. Just posting my thoughts in case anyone was interested.
I tailed Swirve on offensive side tonight.
Kuechly U9.5 (-110)
T.Davis U7.5 (-140)
Harper O4.5 (-135)
Jenkins O4.5 (-105)
C.Williams U4.5 (-120)
Eagles crew gives out few assists, so it should be tough for both Panthers LBs to go over their numbers but Eagles can run a lot of plays, which may negate that a bit.
Harper hasn't been very good this year, but Eagles opposing safeties seem to put up big numbers most weeks. FBG/PFF have him projected for 7+ tackles tonight.
Taking a chance on the over with Jenkins with Olsen on the other side, and since DeMeco Ryans is gone.
Panthers don't throw to WRs much so taking a shot on the under for Cary Williams here too.
Don't feel great about any of these. Just posting my thoughts in case anyone was interested.
I tailed Swirve on offensive side tonight.
