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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

Reading my Twitter feed about the LSU game is just awful. As bad as our defense was, we probably still could have run the ball every play and won. And how the #### does fournette only get 11 carries

 
So...USC -4.5 over vermont? Starts 11:30... :popcorn:
I won't bet on USC because that would violate my "don't bet on dumb teams" rule, but Vermont is really terrible and should lose this game by more than 5.

But USC is a dumb team.
I played Vermont +4.5. Some numbers I have been running liked them at open and you also have the market moving from +5.5 to +4 despite the majority of bets coming in on USC. Their offensive and defensive stats are almost identical despite Vermont having a slightly more difficult schedule. They also get Hector Harold back tonight who is averaging 11.4p/4.8r per game this year (his stats last year weren't as good but he did put up 24 vs Duke). I don't like that Vermont doesn't take care of the ball well but I don't anticipate USC converting a lot of those opportunities into easy scores. The late start isn't ideal either, but on paper I will take the points on two teams I think are fairly equal.
Also USC is dumb.

 
Sides: 7-8 +.2u

Totals: 7-6 +.4u

System plays: 4-4 -.4u

Overall: 14-14 +.6u

Like I never placed a bet! :lmao:

Tomorrow

Ole Miss +3.5

Ole MIss ML +145 to win 1u

Boise State +3

Georgia Tech +6.5

Ga Tech +210 .67u

Ga Tech/Miss State OVER 61.5

 
WED Pucks:

Nice card finally, here goes:

Jets -110

Jackets -110

Avs -130

CAR/Pitt under 5 +110

AN/SJ under 5 +105

Flames/Ducks ML parlay +157

Will look to add Canes (line too high) and Yotes (wrong team favored) tomorrow.

Also will be looking hard at Rangers in Fla and potentially the under in that game.

Will be looking at OT plays in the NYI/WINN, Minn/CBUS and NJ/DET games if I can get a line at +300 or better.

 
I have a job interview tomorrow. I think when they ask me how I've dealt with a difficult situation, I'm gonna mention the CMU comeback vs Western Kentucky and San Diego State not kicking the FG up 2. :thumbup:

How did I deal with it? I drank more, and posted here more.
Make sure to say "see you next year" on the way out.

 
Here comes Vermont on the rail...


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That was gross. Both Bookmaker and Pinnacle moved from +5.5 to +4, I had been watching that line for most of the evening because its the last game of the night. I think Vermont was the long run winning sharp side despite falling into a big hole, they certainly had plenty of chances at the end. still cost modogg a win - sorry about that fellas.

 
That was gross. Both Bookmaker and Pinnacle moved from +5.5 to +4, I had been watching that line for most of the evening because its the last game of the night. I think Vermont was the long run winning sharp side despite falling into a big hole, they certainly had plenty of chances at the end. still cost modogg a win - sorry about that fellas.
that's alright. Lady luck shined on me in that one, pure luck. i took USC originally after Frosty's post (i have been playing real dumb for the last day or 2, so i thought it made sense), and then went to hedge out after i saw your post but just missed the line. Grabbed Vermont 2nd half though, so i will chalk that one up to pure luck and be happy about it :hifive:

 
Here comes Vermont on the rail...

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:lol:

 
TCU -3 1u
I guess I'm swimming against the FFAWT grain here but I think TCU holds serve here...

ACTION 6.5pt Teaser: BOISE +10 / WISC +13 / BAMA -2.5 - 1u

Got a smidge on all 4 contenders outside DEN/NEP to win the AFC. Both DEN and NEP feel more vulnerable than in the past. :shrug: Of course this is where we find out the Belichick has had a leash on his squad and shoots the lock off :lol:

 
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Tomorrow:

Seton Hall +1 (day action!)

Penn State +18 (day action!)

Oklahoma -17 (day action!)

Providence -5.5

Boise State +8
In.....and doing the unthinkable....I'm fading Frosty on the Seton hall pick and taking St John's

Whitehead being out hurts Hall a great deal and I just don't think Seton Hall is as good as John's

Halls best win is GeoWash and they haven't beat any other teams that impress me.

St Johns at least have a couple more impressive wins for my liking

Sorry GB....i hope i'm wrong....well....not really....ugh!!

 

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