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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Lumpy, if I give you a picture of a girl who cheated on me in HS, can you make that your avatar? TIA.
lumpy19
Footballguy
comfortably numb
Footballguy
W. Kentucky -3.5 65.0% (lost)
USC -7 62.8% (lost)
Utah -3 59.8% (won)
Arizona St -2.5 59.8% (lost)
SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)
UCF -2 58.9% (lost)
Baylor -3 58.2% (lost)
N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)
Alabama -7.5 56.8% (lost)
LSU -8.5 56.8% (lost)
S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)
AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)
Oklahoma -6.5 56.0% (lost)
Auburn -6 55.4% (lost)
Arkansas -7 55.2% (won)
Mississippi St. -5.5 55.1% (lost)
Missouri -3 54.8% (won)
UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)
LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)
Air Force +2 54.1% (won)
TCU -3 53.9% (won)
Memphis +1 53.7% (won)
Stanford -14 53.2% (won)
Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)
Utah St -10 52.3% (won)
ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)
Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)
Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)
Florida St +7.5 51.7% (lost)
Texas A&M 51.6% (won)
Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)
Pittsburgh -5.5 50.5% (lost)
Georgia -7 50.4% (won)
games receiving over 55.0% are 2-14 ATS this year so far.
USC -7 62.8% (lost)
Utah -3 59.8% (won)
Arizona St -2.5 59.8% (lost)
SD St -3.5 59.2% (lost)
UCF -2 58.9% (lost)
Baylor -3 58.2% (lost)
N. Illinois +8 57.1% (lost)
Alabama -7.5 56.8% (lost)
LSU -8.5 56.8% (lost)
S. Alabama -3.5 56.4% (lost)
AZ State -7.5 56.3% (lost)
Oklahoma -6.5 56.0% (lost)
Auburn -6 55.4% (lost)
Arkansas -7 55.2% (won)
Mississippi St. -5.5 55.1% (lost)
Missouri -3 54.8% (won)
UNC -3.5 54.6% (lost)
LA Tech -7 54.5% (won)
Air Force +2 54.1% (won)
TCU -3 53.9% (won)
Memphis +1 53.7% (won)
Stanford -14 53.2% (won)
Boston Coll -3 53.1% (lost)
Utah St -10 52.3% (won)
ULL +1.5 52.2% (won)
Cincinnati -2 52.2% (lost)
Fresno St. pick 51.8% (lost)
Florida St +7.5 51.7% (lost)
Texas A&M 51.6% (won)
Miami FL -3 51.4% (lost)
Pittsburgh -5.5 50.5% (lost)
Georgia -7 50.4% (won)
games receiving over 55.0% are 2-14 ATS this year so far.
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Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Pitt -6 looked really good for a while for me while at work.. WTF happened here?!?!?!?! Gambling is neat!
hagmania
Footballguy
Give it to him all day long imo!
I think I would have played Dobbs rushing over from any initial point too. Vols have a bright couple of years ahead of them.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
NFL this weekend:
Cardinals +6.5
Ravens +9/Bengals +9.5 teaser
I like the Lions too but it moved off the seven so I might as well wait and see what happens there. I might take Cards ML also.
Cardinals +6.5
Ravens +9/Bengals +9.5 teaser
I like the Lions too but it moved off the seven so I might as well wait and see what happens there. I might take Cards ML also.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Detroit is +7 - 120 at RB
I also saw AZ + 7 at RB - 120 - went to bet it and it changed back to +6.5 - 110
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
lumpy19
Footballguy
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
lumpy19
Footballguy
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comfortably numb
Footballguy
can't stop laughing at this one, sorry GB nuggs
https://scontent-a-lga.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/10896895_909171322435388_8794858791014534384_n.jpg?oh=f44c351ab619651eb75d2a2af3724ff8&oe=552DC9E8
https://scontent-a-lga.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xpf1/v/t1.0-9/10896895_909171322435388_8794858791014534384_n.jpg?oh=f44c351ab619651eb75d2a2af3724ff8&oe=552DC9E8
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Somehow I woke up early (accident) and while lying in bed checked to see if a game was on. Had 2 minutes to pick something. Briefly saw these posts and because of you two wonderful human beings, took the money line for two units. One of the biggest comebacks ever for me and I will always keep you fine gentlemen in my heart, forever and ever.Leroy Hoard said:
In Hoard and Hag we trust. Needed that after the Baylor disaster.
hagmania
Footballguy
Not this game. Jones is out to prove something and he has young players that will play all game IMO.
Just so long as Jalen Hurd doesn't actually break his ankle, considering a bit of a pile on UT at half.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
WTF????? DUMB
BRONG
FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY
Cool, thanks. I'm already on KSU, but I did want Okie State...so I doubled it.
What are the rest, if you don't mind?
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Really how stupid can someone be?
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Cavs -130 and Rockets -145 first 3P tonight (Sportsbetting).
Bobcats start only two guys who can hit a 3 at all, which is pretty rare.
Bobcats start only two guys who can hit a 3 at all, which is pretty rare.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Wayne under 49.5 -115
Fleener over 3 -120
Witten over 4 (E)
Williams under 2.5 -130
Right now:
Kansas St. -1 56.7% (56%, 61%, 58%, 60,% 61.5%)
Washington -7 58.6% (59%, 79%, 65%, 78%, 69.1%)
East Carolina +7 55.9% (56%, 47%, 49%, 46%, 51.3%)
Toledo -3.5 57.4% (57%, 77%, 68%, 76%, 55.1%)
Oregon -7 53.6% (54%, 64%, 69%, 62%, 67.2%)
It doesn't seem like they mean much the night before, I can post them right before kick. For example, Stanford was 59.3% the night before and closed at 53.2%. A few others moved 5-10%.
ETA: all the sites % I use . Wash and Toledo seem to be the clear outliers. Oregon is way too early imo.
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TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Does UCLA have a shutdown corner or do they just double or triple team WR1s? Last 8 games are lockdown city. Lockett is my favorite wr in cfb, but damnnnnnnnn.
Agholar (#6 in cfb in receptions) 3-21
Mickens 1-2
Jones 4-46
Spuce (#4 in cfb in receptions) 6-63 (double ot)
Lawler, Harper, Treggs, 3-88, 5-29, 4-41
Marshall 5-41
Scott 1-3
Agholar (#6 in cfb in receptions) 3-21
Mickens 1-2
Jones 4-46
Spuce (#4 in cfb in receptions) 6-63 (double ot)
Lawler, Harper, Treggs, 3-88, 5-29, 4-41
Marshall 5-41
Scott 1-3
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Checks from Bovada should be kept under $1k right?
The Ref
Footballguy
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Man, glad I had Tennessee 1h -27.5 for $1 billion dollars. Had no business winning, but it did. /nugs
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
You're a cfb guy Ref, what do you make of it? 3-21 against Agholar and 6-63 against Spruce is incredible. Both games had pass-friendly game flows. Any insight what they are doing?
I still need to update my spreadsheets for some data over the last couple weeks, but games tomorrow are at Carolina and Pittsburgh.
I show Carolina as a pretty favorable crew (around 1.2 tackles/opp) and Pittsburgh is about average but still not bad (1.14 tackles/opp).
I guess the difference is Pitt has been top-5 in tackle opportunities/game while Carolina has been in the bottom 3rd. That makes sense since Pittsburgh aired things out and their defense has trouble getting off the field. Carolina runs the ball and shortens the game.
So, a run-heavy team like Carolina going up against an offense like the Cardinals likely means fewer opportunities all around, but I'd still probably take my chances with Kuechly getting to 8.
Tough to figure out Steelers/Ravens without Le'Veon Bell but I'd still probably lean over on both LBs.
FWIW, PFF has these projections
Kuechly: 7.7
Mosley: 10.8
D.Smith: 8.9
I show Carolina as a pretty favorable crew (around 1.2 tackles/opp) and Pittsburgh is about average but still not bad (1.14 tackles/opp).
I guess the difference is Pitt has been top-5 in tackle opportunities/game while Carolina has been in the bottom 3rd. That makes sense since Pittsburgh aired things out and their defense has trouble getting off the field. Carolina runs the ball and shortens the game.
So, a run-heavy team like Carolina going up against an offense like the Cardinals likely means fewer opportunities all around, but I'd still probably take my chances with Kuechly getting to 8.
Tough to figure out Steelers/Ravens without Le'Veon Bell but I'd still probably lean over on both LBs.
FWIW, PFF has these projections
Kuechly: 7.7
Mosley: 10.8
D.Smith: 8.9
facook
Footballguy
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
It's got to be scheme related. I don't see a ucla corner in the projected top 20 in this draft class or the next. j Strong was the only true wr1 who had success and that was in a throttling.
I've seen exactly one UCLA game this year and that was Virginia (with no WR1) though so I can't say.
hagmania
Footballguy
me too.
they have Mosely as their #1 fantasy LB this week.
this seems like good news for his DROY prospects though:
http://www.al.com/sports/index.ssf/2014/12/cj_mosley_doubles_up_on_nfl_aw.html
he was defensive rookie of the month in October and December.
got_nugs
Footballguy
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Just bought a yacht and some teenage Thai chicks.
I pretty much just assume Nugs is on every over there is.
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
I had this discussion with a buddy yesterday. Please tell me how Mosley wins D rookie of month 2 out of 4, Fuller wins 1, Borland wins 1, but Donald and Mack are allegedly 1-2 DROY for the season?
Something that I found quite interesting was the pro bowl voting. True it's not apples to apples, but Mosley landed on the 2nd team with 9 votes, Donald (no team) had 4 votes, and Mack 0. I was pretty pumped up when seeing this, but looking more closely, Donald was up against Suh, McCoy, Dareus, Watt (2nd team, only 5 votes??). Competition for ILB wasn't as stiff as DT, but the votes for Mosley, plus making the pro bowl, is encouraging. One thing that makes this very interesting is that this is the AP pro bowl voting, which is the same AP that votes ROY. The other thing is (as we said), Mack doesn't appear to be a big threat, as he garnered 0 votes.
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Ref and I had a conversation on u130.5, it went just like this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ytui54sfuFYThis ####### guy
